Leomar Rosario
P
Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 217 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145136vR 127
ERA5.63
FIP5.63
K%21.7%
BB%18.9%
K-BB%2.8%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 11 | 5 | 28 | 128 | 29 | 27 | 1 | 45% | 2.5 | 15.4% | 26.4% | -11.0% | 1.1% | 6.43 | 5.75 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL HOU Blue | 11 | 5 | 28 | 128 | 29 | 27 | 1 | 45% | 2.5 | 22.7% | 21.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 6.43 | 4.39 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | 6 | 1 | 16 | 75 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 17% | 2.6 | 14.5% | 26.7% | -12.2% | 1.1% | 6.32 | 5.84 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | 6 | 1 | 16 | 75 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 17% | 2.6 | 21.3% | 21.3% | 0.0% | 1.3% | 6.32 | 4.95 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 5 | 49 | 224 | 65 | 40 | 3 | 24% | 2.3 | 21.5% | 20.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.41 | 4.94 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 5 | 49 | 224 | 65 | 40 | 3 | 24% | 2.3 | 29.0% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 1.3% | 4.41 | 3.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 29 | 0 | 33 | 162 | 47 | 45 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 32.8% | -11.3% | 2.4% | 4.68 | 6.76 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | HOU | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | 18.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.63 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 85 | 383 | 95 | 87 | 9 | — | — | 24.8% | 22.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.27 | 6.06 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 51 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.35 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 53 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.35 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 35 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 57 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 4.71 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 132 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 11 | 125 | 589 | 113 | 152 | 11 | 16% | 1.9 | 19.3% | 25.8% | -6.5% | 1.8% | 5.17 | 5.73 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 18 | 200 | 940 | 181 | 243 | 17 | 16% | 1.9 | 19.3% | 25.8% | -6.5% | 1.8% | 5.17 | 5.73 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Leomar Rosario (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.63 | 21.7% | 18.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.12 | 22.7% | 7.1% | 108 | -0.51 | — | — | — |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 93 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .295 | 5.27 | 18.8% | 4.5% | 93 | -0.01 | 3.94 | 189 | 87 |
| Will McAffer R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.59 | 20.4% | 18.1% | 1.7% | .270 | 6.10 | 18.5% | -4.0% | 77 | +1.51 | 4.59 | 133 | 86 |
| Matt Brill R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.94 | 20.8% | 16.3% | 2.8% | .248 | 3.84 | 19.4% | 4.9% | 60 | -1.10 | 3.75 | 161 | 86 |
| Konnor Ash R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.57 | 22.2% | 17.0% | 2.2% | .340 | 3.50 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 87 | -1.07 | 2.11 | 127 | 86 |
| Sal Biasi R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.19 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.3% | .295 | 7.85 | 15.3% | -0.2% | 23 | +2.66 | 4.68 | 188 | 85 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.09 | 20.8% | 18.8% | 2.5% | .324 | 5.52 | 13.7% | -3.9% | 51 | +0.43 | 3.90 | 178 | 85 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 84 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 84 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 84 |
| Zane Russell R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.19 | 22.7% | 18.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 5.10 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 71 | -0.09 | 4.28 | 108 | 84 |
| Kris Hall R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.65 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 7.02 | 12.7% | -7.8% | 34 | +2.37 | 4.65 | 106 | 84 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.68 | 18.4% | 18.5% | 3.3% | .303 | 4.27 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 49 | -1.41 | 3.01 | 135 | 83 |
| Mason McCullough R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 20.8% | 19.2% | 1.5% | .340 | 3.91 | 26.7% | 6.9% | 77 | -0.71 | 3.30 | 154 | 83 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.91 | 23.1% | 15.9% | 3.2% | .278 | 3.58 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 53 | -1.33 | 3.58 | 104 | 83 |
| Jacob Wallace R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.58 | 24.6% | 21.6% | 3.3% | .237 | 4.39 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 153 | -1.19 | 4.00 | 271 | 83 |
| Roberto Espinosa R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.02 | 18.9% | 18.6% | 2.1% | .273 | 4.46 | 14.8% | 2.2% | 77 | -0.56 | 4.32 | 117 | 83 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.99 | 21.0% | 17.9% | 2.5% | .279 | 5.09 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 82 | +0.10 | 3.55 | 156 | 83 |
| Cody Adcock R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.54 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .253 | 3.69 | 25.7% | 3.9% | 26 | -1.85 | 3.34 | 139 | 83 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2028 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 22.4% | 16.7% | 1.11 | 5.36 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |