Mason Denaburg
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 105
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
K%21.6%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 7 | 4 | 20 | 101 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 57% | 2.9 | 12.8% | 17.3% | -4.5% | 1.4% | 7.52 | 4.98 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 7 | 4 | 20 | 101 | 19 | 14 | 1 | 57% | 2.9 | 18.8% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 7.52 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 13 | 13 | 39 | 173 | 38 | 24 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 16.3% | 16.4% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 4.15 | 4.88 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 13 | 13 | 39 | 173 | 38 | 24 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 4.15 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 28 | 4 | 36 | 206 | 33 | 49 | 6 | 14% | 1.3 | 11.9% | 28.1% | -16.2% | 4.5% | 11.64 | 8.15 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 28 | 4 | 36 | 206 | 33 | 49 | 6 | 14% | 1.3 | 16.0% | 23.8% | -7.8% | 2.9% | 11.64 | 7.48 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 62 | 279 | 49 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.9% | 16.0% | -2.1% | 0.9% | 4.38 | 4.45 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 62 | 279 | 49 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.6% | 14.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 4.38 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 94 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 21 | 157 | 759 | 104 | 148 | 17 | 24% | 1.8 | 13.7% | 19.5% | -5.8% | 2.2% | 6.41 | 5.62 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 27 | 200 | 965 | 132 | 188 | 21 | 24% | 1.8 | 13.7% | 19.5% | -5.8% | 2.2% | 6.41 | 5.62 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Denaburg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 21.6% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.63 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 35 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 86 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 81 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 80 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 79 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 79 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 79 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 79 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 79 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 78 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 78 |
| Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 77 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 77 |
| Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 256 | 77 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 77 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 35 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 1.13 | 4.62 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |