Luis Gamez

P ACL Dodgers

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.4 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	10	2	25	2.16	1.86	25.0%	6.7%	—	K 17.0% · BB 8.4% · FIP 2.73
2026	19	MIX2 levels	21	11	74	3.39	3.38	32.6%	12.7%	—	K 22.9% · BB 15.4% · FIP 5.04
2027PROJ	20	MLBLAD	38	0	40	5.04	5.04	22.2%	13.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBLAD	33	0	35	4.91	4.83	22.7%	12.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBLAD	51	0	54	4.69	4.56	23.7%	11.0%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%

CompsKobe Robinson (age 21) · Felix Arronde (age 20) · Eccel Correa (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%22.2%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%8.4%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	10	2	25	104	26	7	0	20%	2.5	17.0%	8.4%	8.6%	0.0%	2.16	2.73	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	10	2	25	104	26	7	0	20%	2.5	17.0%	8.4%	8.6%	0.0%	2.16	2.73	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	10	2	25	104	26	7	0	20%	2.5	25.0%	6.7%	18.3%	0.0%	2.16	1.86	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	11	74	307	100	39	8	52%	3.5	22.9%	15.4%	7.4%	3.5%	3.39	5.04	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	11	74	307	100	39	8	52%	3.5	22.9%	15.4%	7.4%	3.5%	3.39	5.04	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	11	74	307	100	39	8	52%	3.5	32.6%	12.7%	19.9%	2.6%	3.39	3.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	LAD	38	0	40	169	38	23	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	13.8%	8.4%	3.1%	5.04	5.04	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	67	0	70	296	67	36	9	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.3%	10.4%	3.0%	4.84	4.76	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAD	70	0	74	311	74	34	9	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	2.9%	4.62	4.49	+0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAD	73	0	76	323	79	33	9	0%	1.0	24.4%	10.2%	14.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.30	+0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAD	75	0	78	331	82	32	9	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.6%	15.3%	2.9%	4.27	4.17	+0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAD	76	0	79	335	85	31	10	0%	1.0	25.3%	9.3%	16.0%	2.9%	4.16	4.09	+0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAD	76	0	79	335	85	31	10	0%	1.0	25.5%	9.3%	16.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.07	+0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAD	74	0	78	330	84	31	10	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.3%	16.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.10	+0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	LAD	72	0	76	320	81	30	10	0%	1.1	25.4%	9.5%	15.9%	3.0%	4.15	4.19	+0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	LAD	69	0	72	306	77	30	10	0%	1.1	25.1%	9.7%	15.4%	3.2%	4.25	4.32	+0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	LAD	65	0	68	288	71	29	10	0%	1.0	24.8%	10.0%	14.8%	3.4%	4.40	4.50	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	33	0	35	148	34	18	5	0%	1.1	22.7%	12.3%	10.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.83	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAD	51	0	54	228	54	25	7	0%	1.1	23.7%	11.0%	12.7%	3.1%	4.69	4.56	+0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAD	62	0	65	274	67	28	8	0%	1.0	24.4%	10.2%	14.2%	3.0%	4.49	4.37	+0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAD	67	0	70	296	74	28	9	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.6%	15.3%	3.0%	4.34	4.24	+0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	73	308	78	29	9	0%	1.0	25.3%	9.3%	16.0%	3.0%	4.23	4.16	+0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	74	312	80	29	9	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.3%	16.2%	3.0%	4.17	4.14	+0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAD	70	0	74	312	80	29	9	0%	1.1	25.5%	9.3%	16.2%	3.0%	4.17	4.17	+0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	LAD	69	0	72	304	77	29	10	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.5%	15.9%	3.1%	4.22	4.26	+0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	LAD	66	0	69	291	73	28	10	0%	1.0	25.1%	9.7%	15.4%	3.3%	4.32	4.39	+0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	LAD	62	0	65	274	68	27	10	0%	1.0	24.8%	10.0%	14.8%	3.5%	4.48	4.58	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		619	0	649	2742	682	270	85	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.9%	15.0%	3.1%	4.36	3.95	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	210	83	26	0%	1.0	24.9%	9.9%	15.0%	3.1%	4.36	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		31	13	99	411	88	56	11	42%	3.2	21.4%	13.7%	7.7%	2.6%	3.08	4.46	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	26	200	828	177	113	22	42%	3.2	21.4%	13.7%	7.7%	2.6%	3.08	4.46	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Gamez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	22.2%	13.8%	3.1%	—	4.51	23.6%	12.5%	220	-0.53	—	—	—
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	92
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	88
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	88
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	86
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	84
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	84
Joseph Hernandez R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	21	SW	4.39	24.7%	16.7%	2.3%	.348	4.92	18.1%	4.0%	190	+0.53	4.39	260	82
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	81
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	81
Joshua Quezada R 2024 · 4.46 FIP	20	SP-	4.46	18.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.293	4.03	19.6%	10.8%	80	-0.43	3.61	161	81
Luis Garcia R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	21	SP-	4.30	17.9%	13.4%	1.8%	.295	3.65	27.4%	17.5%	264	-0.65	3.40	535	81
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	80
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	80
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	80
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	80
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	79
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	79
Zach Messinger R 2022 · 3.99 FIP	22	SP-	3.99	23.0%	14.7%	1.8%	.317	4.28	18.7%	7.6%	314	+0.29	3.70	470	79
Moisés Chace R 2023 · 5.51 FIP	20	SW	5.51	24.5%	20.7%	3.4%	.277	4.38	27.5%	13.2%	97	-1.13	3.77	247	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.0	72	24.6%	10.2%	1.15	4.36
David Hernandez ('19)	3.2	65	23.9%	9.1%	1.22	4.12
Rob Murphy ('85-'95, 6 WAR*)	3.1	69	25.2%*	9.2%*	1.07*	3.94*
Xavier Hernandez ('89-'98, 3 WAR*)	3.4	67	23.9%*	9.1%*	1.12*	4.20*
Doug Bair ('76-'90, 7 WAR*)	4.5	76	25.2%*	10.4%*	1.22*	4.12*
Stan Belinda ('00)	3.4	61	21.3%	9.9%	1.13	4.12
Hansel Robles ('22)	2.1	61	25.3%	10.2%	1.20	4.11