Aaron WaltonOF
Lake County Captains
Age 22
R/R
6'4" / 218 lbs
A+
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.3 · 2031
wRC+†113
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .342
PA83
HR2
SB5
K%30
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30↗43
PWR
35↗47
SPD
60→60
FLD
45↗55
EYE
45→45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.0 | $10M | +$8M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.9 | $5M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.2M |
| Totals | $11M | $52M | +$41M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 71 | 65 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .185 | .254 | .323 | .577 | .138 | .324 | 42 | 7 | .226 | 31 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 70 | 62 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .274 | .357 | .468 | .825 | .194 | .395 | 31 | 9 | .340 | 118 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .231 | .167 | .397 | .000 | .302 | 31 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | CLE | 83 | 74 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .257 | .337 | .419 | .756 | .162 | .370 | 31 | 8 | .333 | 113 | +1 | +1 | -0 | -0 | +2 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | CLE | 175 | 156 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .237 | .312 | .391 | .703 | .154 | .291 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | CLE | 288 | 257 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 70 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .233 | .311 | .385 | .696 | .152 | .292 | 24 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | CLE | 358 | 318 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 86 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .236 | .315 | .387 | .702 | .151 | .293 | 24 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | CLE | 404 | 359 | 86 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 97 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .240 | .319 | .401 | .720 | .162 | .293 | 24 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -0 | -2 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | CLE | 426 | 379 | 90 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 103 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .237 | .317 | .393 | .710 | .156 | .293 | 24 | 9 | .321 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | CLE | 436 | 387 | 92 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 106 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .238 | .319 | .398 | .717 | .160 | .293 | 24 | 9 | .319 | 103 | +1 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | CLE | 435 | 386 | 91 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 107 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .236 | .317 | .389 | .706 | .153 | .292 | 25 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 430 | 382 | 90 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 107 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .236 | .316 | .390 | .706 | .154 | .291 | 25 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 420 | 373 | 86 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 106 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .231 | .312 | .378 | .690 | .147 | .289 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 403 | 357 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 104 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .227 | .310 | .373 | .683 | .146 | .288 | 26 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +2 | -4 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 375 | 333 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .222 | .304 | .357 | .661 | .135 | .286 | 26 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +2 | -4 | -2 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 331 | 293 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 91 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .222 | .305 | .358 | .663 | .137 | .284 | 27 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 279 | 248 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 79 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .210 | .292 | .335 | .627 | .125 | .282 | 28 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4844 | 4305 | 993 | 186 | 32 | 130 | 445 | 1232 | 58 | 117 | 8 | .231 | .311 | .379 | .690 | .149 | .291 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -26 | +20 | -27 | -29 | +137 | 7.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 133 | 25 | 4 | 17 | 60 | 165 | 8 | 16 | 1 | .230 | .312 | .375 | .687 | .145 | .291 | 25 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -4 | +3 | -4 | -4 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 71 | 63 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .238 | .324 | .397 | .721 | .159 | .341 | 30 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Aaron Walton (OGILVIE) | 22 | 30→43 | 35→47 | 60 | 45 | .212/.280/.342 | .129 | .288 | 2 | 2 | 30% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Aaron Altherr 2013 · A |
22 | 40→50 | 41→55 | 53→50 | 36 | .200/.241/.299 | .099 | .277 | 8 | 17 | 31% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .215/.263/.344 | .129 | .306 | 11 | 15 | 32% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .244/.318/.420 | .176 | .303 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 104 | +1.5 |
|
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A |
22 | 39→44 | 46→55 | 53→55 | 34 | .196/.247/.327 | .132 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.251/.317 | .119 | .302 | 12 | 12 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .258/.302/.412 | .153 | .342 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 96 | +0.7 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A |
21 | 40→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .201/.263/.319 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.270/.325 | .122 | .295 | 10 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2016 · A |
22 | 39→40 | 46→65 | 52→50 | 35 | .201/.236/.333 | .133 | .265 | 13 | 10 | 30% | 3% | 51 | -1.7 | .200/.241/.349 | .149 | .267 | 17 | 8 | 31% | 4% | 58 | -1.2 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Steven Souza Jr. 2011 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 42→60 | 53→55 | 39 | .194/.250/.299 | .105 | .270 | 9 | 16 | 31% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .202/.270/.341 | .139 | .284 | 15 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .258/.336/.452 | .194 | .336 | 23 | 25 | 29% | 10% | 124 | +2.2 |
|
●Sean Bouchard 2019 · A |
23 | 38→44 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 37 | .196/.244/.314 | .117 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .296 | 13 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.323/.415 | .191 | .292 | 21 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 106 | +1.0 |
|
●Roger Bernadina 2006 · A |
22 | 39→49 | 44→45 | 54→60 | 49 | .200/.275/.314 | .114 | .247 | 13 | 19 | 24% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .233/.293/.330 | .097 | .310 | 8 | 25 | 26% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .263/.320/.391 | .127 | .327 | 12 | 31 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.4 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A |
23 | 43→52 | 43→50 | 56→55 | 44 | .210/.266/.328 | .118 | .264 | 9 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .209/.281/.330 | .121 | .263 | 12 | 23 | 24% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .238/.302/.379 | .141 | .300 | 14 | 21 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A |
22 | 40→48 | 43→50 | 53→50 | 44 | .197/.278/.309 | .112 | .288 | 11 | 9 | 33% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .221/.269/.333 | .112 | .308 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .235/.287/.332 | .097 | .308 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Patrick Leonard 2015 · A |
22 | 41→49 | 45 | 52→50 | 41 | .208/.266/.329 | .121 | .284 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.275/.334 | .118 | .314 | 11 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.269/.327 | .115 | .307 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕Keon Broxton 2013 · A |
23 | 41→50 | 42→55 | 52→60 | 39 | .199/.257/.303 | .104 | .305 | 10 | 16 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .215/.269/.344 | .129 | .326 | 13 | 17 | 36% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .225/.301/.390 | .165 | .341 | 17 | 38 | 36% | 9% | 92 | +1.0 |
|
●Christopher Morel 2022 · AAA |
23 | 38→46 | 48→60 | 53→50 | 36 | .199/.247/.340 | .141 | .285 | 16 | 15 | 35% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.291/.421 | .198 | .297 | 25 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .224/.302/.431 | .208 | .280 | 28 | 10 | 30% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A |
23 | 45→43 | 40→50 | 53→55 | 41 | .214/.276/.312 | .098 | .301 | 7 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.282/.341 | .126 | .287 | 11 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
●Will Benson 2021 · A |
23 | 33→43 | 50→55 | 52→55 | 44 | .178/.260/.325 | .147 | .263 | 19 | 13 | 38% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.302/.379 | .172 | .307 | 19 | 18 | 36% | 11% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |
|
●Edward Olivares 2017 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 40→55 | 52→55 | 43 | .207/.286/.300 | .093 | .273 | 6 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .220/.265/.353 | .133 | .276 | 13 | 14 | 25% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .259/.316/.431 | .172 | .293 | 20 | 16 | 19% | 6% | 108 | +1.4 |
|
●Alex Castellanos 2010 · A |
23 | 43→50 | 43→55 | 55→50 | 34 | .210/.260/.324 | .114 | .309 | 9 | 17 | 34% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .226/.281/.380 | .154 | .310 | 15 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .231/.292/.408 | .176 | .307 | 18 | 15 | 29% | 6% | 93 | +1.1 |
|
●Rob Refsnyder 2013 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 43→50 | 53→50 | 45 | .216/.269/.323 | .107 | .257 | 11 | 15 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .258/.330/.377 | .119 | .319 | 9 | 12 | 20% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .268/.338/.393 | .126 | .327 | 10 | 12 | 20% | 8% | 105 | +2.0 |
|
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 45→50 | 55 | 43 | .207/.263/.330 | .123 | .274 | 12 | 23 | 29% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .238/.291/.367 | .129 | .293 | 12 | 17 | 22% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .247/.300/.379 | .132 | .296 | 12 | 17 | 20% | 6% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
●Patrick Wisdom 2014 · A |
22 | 38→45 | 46→70 | 50 | 39 | .197/.253/.324 | .127 | .281 | 14 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.235/.303 | .117 | .276 | 12 | 7 | 35% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .208/.294/.470 | .262 | .265 | 38 | 8 | 37% | 10% | 111 | +1.7 |