Tyler Locklear — OGILVIE

Tyler Locklear1B Reno Aces

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB HR -11% Svc 0.488 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 349 proj PA

wRC+†vL 9694vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA344

HR0

SB5

K%29

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO148

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT25

Whiff%

3712.5%

xAVG

100.182

POWER45

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

2186.9

Bat Spd

5171.5

EYE40

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED50

Sprint

2626.3

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%26%▲▲21% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 29%

BB%8%·10% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.152·.167 over 36 AB (60d) · proj .148

BABIP.273·.333 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .271

SLASH.219/.298/.370▲proj .209/.286/.357

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 148 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

111

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

242

251

▶R

ISO

176

071

◀◀L

BABIP

188

285

▶▶R

43.2%

36.0%

▶▶R

BB%

5.4%

9.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.488 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-4M	-$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	133	117	33	5	0	7	7	29	7	0	0	282	359	504	863	222	313	22	5	376	141	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	22	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	94	77	20	6	1	1	11	14	5	2	0	260	387	403	790	143	302	15	12	358	128	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	275	226	69	19	0	12	36	60	11	10	0	305	425	549	974	243	365	22	13	425	174	+24	+2	—	—	+6	3.3
2023	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	94	74	21	5	0	3	15	26	3	1	0	284	424	473	897	189	383	28	16	395	153	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	49	45	7	1	0	2	3	20	1	1	0	156	224	311	536	156	217	41	6	243	50	-3	+0	-1	-10	+1	-1.2
2024	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	318	265	69	15	3	8	39	76	10	5	0	260	376	430	806	170	330	24	12	359	129	+11	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	23	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	188	158	46	12	1	8	23	49	6	4	1	291	399	532	931	241	376	26	12	408	162	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.9
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	116	103	18	0	0	3	10	43	3	3	1	175	267	262	529	87	263	37	9	250	55	-6	+0	-3	-10	+3	-1.7
2025	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	434	373	118	25	1	19	47	95	9	18	6	316	406	542	947	225	375	22	11	412	165	+33	+1	—	—	+9	4.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	165	148	25	1	0	5	13	63	4	4	1	169	255	277	532	108	250	38	8	248	54	-9	+0	-4	-20	+4	-2.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	133	119	28	4	0	7	5	40	7	0	0	235	305	445	751	210	269	30	4	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	94	81	18	5	1	1	7	16	5	2	0	222	323	346	668	123	260	17	7	298	88	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	275	238	57	14	0	10	24	80	11	10	0	239	337	424	761	185	303	29	9	322	104	+1	+2	—	—	+6	0.9
2024	23	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	49	45	7	1	0	2	3	20	1	1	0	156	224	311	536	156	217	41	6	243	51	-3	+0	-1	-10	+1	-1.2
2024	23	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	318	277	57	12	3	5	27	98	10	5	0	206	299	325	624	119	283	31	8	280	76	-9	+1	—	—	+7	-0.1
2024	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	188	166	42	10	1	8	16	57	6	4	1	253	340	470	810	217	330	30	9	344	119	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	116	103	18	0	0	3	10	43	3	3	1	175	267	262	529	87	263	37	9	250	55	-6	+0	-3	-10	+3	-1.7
2025	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	434	388	100	21	1	12	32	118	9	18	6	258	329	410	738	152	328	27	7	323	105	+2	+1	—	—	+9	1.3
2022	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	133	119	28	4	0	7	5	40	7	0	0	235	305	445	751	210	284	30	4	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	133	117	33	5	0	7	7	29	7	0	0	282	359	504	863	222	313	22	5	376	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	463	400	93	24	1	13	39	121	19	13	0	233	330	395	725	163	295	26	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	463	377	110	30	1	16	62	100	19	13	0	292	417	504	921	212	353	22	13	405	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	555	489	105	23	3	15	45	175	17	10	1	215	303	366	669	151	297	32	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	555	468	122	28	4	18	65	145	17	10	1	261	370	453	823	192	337	26	12	366	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	491	118	21	1	15	42	161	12	21	7	240	316	379	694	138	322	29	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	550	476	136	25	1	22	57	138	12	21	7	286	376	481	857	195	355	25	10	378	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	133	120	28	4	0	7	5	40	7	0	0	233	305	442	747	208	269	30	4	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	463	402	93	24	1	13	39	121	19	13	0	231	330	393	723	162	292	26	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	555	488	105	23	3	15	45	175	17	10	1	215	303	367	670	152	293	32	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	491	118	21	1	15	42	161	12	21	7	240	316	379	694	138	314	29	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	463	402	93	24	1	13	39	121	19	13	0	231	330	393	723	162	292	26	8	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	555	488	105	23	3	15	45	175	17	10	1	215	303	367	670	152	293	32	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	491	118	21	1	15	42	161	12	21	7	240	316	379	694	138	314	29	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	ARI	—	344	306	77	16	1	9	28	82	8	5	3	252	330	399	729	147	313	24	8	316	100	+0	-0	+0	-6	+7	0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	ARI	—	42	36	10	3	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	278	366	444	810	167	333	21	10	354	100	+0	+0	+0	-6	+1	-0.5
YTD	25	AAA RAW	ARI	—	302	260	77	16	1	10	34	57	7	4	3	296	392	481	873	185	345	19	11	388	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	ARI	—	42	36	10	3	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	278	366	444	810	167	333	21	10	354	126	+1	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.2
ROS	25	AAA MLE	ARI	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	292	—	—	308	94	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
ROS	25	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	25	MLB A+C	ARI	—	42	36	10	3	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	278	366	444	810	167	333	21	10	354	100	+0	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	ARI	—	344	306	77	16	1	9	28	82	8	5	3	252	330	399	729	147	313	24	8	316	100	+0	-0	+0	-6	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	598	532	121	23	2	17	48	160	13	11	4	227	307	374	681	147	290	27	8	307	94	-5	+1	-1	-11	+13	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	586	520	119	23	2	17	48	157	13	11	4	229	310	379	689	150	290	27	8	307	94	-4	+1	-1	-10	+13	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	575	510	115	22	2	16	47	155	13	10	4	225	307	371	678	145	289	27	8	305	93	-5	+0	-2	-10	+12	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	563	499	113	22	1	16	47	153	12	9	4	226	308	371	679	144	288	27	8	303	91	-6	+0	-3	-10	+12	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	389	346	79	16	1	10	31	104	9	7	3	228	308	367	675	139	296	27	8	292	94	-3	+0	-1	-7	+8	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	381	339	77	16	1	10	31	102	8	7	3	227	307	369	676	142	295	27	8	292	94	-3	+0	-1	-7	+8	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	374	332	75	15	1	10	31	101	8	6	3	226	307	367	675	142	295	27	8	291	93	-3	+0	-1	-7	+8	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	366	325	74	15	1	10	30	100	8	6	2	228	309	372	681	145	293	27	8	288	91	-4	+0	-2	-7	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1675	1490	330	63	4	45	136	470	37	30	12	221	302	360	662	138	290	28	8	287	93	-22	+1	-9	-47	+36	-4.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	128	24	2	17	53	182	14	12	5	221	302	358	660	137	291	28	8	287	93	-9	+0	-3	-18	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4023	3560	812	162	12	116	321	1122	106	85	24	228	311	378	689	150	296	28	8	306	93	-29	+2	-12	-61	+54	-4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	131	26	2	19	52	181	17	14	4	228	311	379	690	151	295	28	8	306	93	-8	+1	-3	-16	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.0	1,974	56	37	222	300	365	-35	-13	-0.6	-0.4
/162	664	19	13	-11.9	-4.3	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Locklear (OGILVIE)	25	25	45	50	40	227/306/375	147	292	10	7	27%	8%	94	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→42	49→50	52→55	46	225/296/377	152	281	16	12	25%	8%	90	+0.6	223/302/373	150	297	16	17	29%	8%	92	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	44	49→50	52→55	39	222/275/368	146	313	18	19	34%	6%	80	-0.2	225/269/372	147	317	17	20	33%	5%	78	-0.3	277/323/436	159	352	16	16	25%	6%	111	+0.9
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→32	50	50	45	188/277/342	154	270	17	12	35%	9%	76	-0.4	180/262/323	143	295	17	12	42%	8%	66	-1.1	156/241/293	137	264	18	12	45%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	47→50	54→55	43	214/282/352	138	289	14	19	30%	7%	79	-0.2	212/275/341	129	288	13	21	30%	7%	74	-0.5	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	40→43	49→55	53→50	46	203/284/353	150	293	17	13	35%	10%	80	-0.1	215/314/395	180	286	21	10	30%	12%	101	+1.4	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	37→41	51→55	46→45	47	195/277/358	163	261	19	7	32%	10%	80	-0.2	194/261/329	135	273	16	6	33%	7%	66	-1.1	171/237/295	123	231	17	2	34%	6%	47	-1.7
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	48→50	46	199/285/316	117	280	13	9	32%	9%	73	-0.6	212/301/356	144	295	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	163	277	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	38→39	52→55	47→40	43	204/271/372	169	265	20	5	31%	8%	80	-0.2	185/255/316	131	278	15	5	37%	8%	61	-1.5	162/235/276	114	253	13	3	39%	8%	42	-2.1
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	41→40	50	43→45	47	212/292/368	156	273	18	7	28%	9%	87	+0.4	215/282/337	122	289	13	8	29%	8%	76	-0.4	200/262/288	89	269	10	5	28%	7%	54	-0.6
✕Aristides Aquino 2019 · AA	25	36→41	49→60	45→50	37	197/242/346	149	259	17	7	32%	5%	63	-1.4	221/283/428	207	273	30	10	31%	7%	98	+1.2	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	53→60	46→50	43	200/285/370	170	278	21	10	35%	8%	85	+0.2	209/303/396	187	292	23	7	35%	10%	98	+1.2	198/312/392	194	297	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Curtis Terry 2022 · MLB	25	42→40	52→55	46→30	40	221/281/391	170	275	20	4	27%	5%	88	+0.5	223/289/369	146	269	16	5	23%	7%	86	+0.3	209/282/345	135	244	14	0	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/322	128	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	219/295/348	129	314	13	16	32%	8%	83	+0.1	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Joe Benson 2013 · MLB	25	42→50	49→55	50	42	214/279/368	154	289	15	15	30%	7%	82	-0.0	210/275/325	115	286	9	13	28%	7%	70	-0.8	209/280/316	107	280	8	13	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	40→47	49→50	49→55	39	202/280/348	147	296	17	13	36%	7%	78	-0.3	220/309/387	167	298	19	15	31%	8%	99	+1.2	201/287/379	178	249	24	18	29%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	267	12	15	25%	7%	66	-1.1	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	78	-0.3	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	86	+0.1
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	46→42	50	48→45	47	228/319/380	153	301	18	10	29%	9%	100	+1.3	201/271/323	122	318	13	8	38%	7%	69	-0.9	196/262/327	131	291	15	6	36%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Casper Wells 2010 · AA	25	42→44	53→60	49→50	43	220/293/398	178	285	20	13	30%	7%	95	+0.9	224/292/410	186	287	21	9	29%	7%	97	+1.1	222/294/415	193	276	22	7	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Michael Toglia 2023 · MLB	24	37→39	52→55	47→45	42	197/266/362	164	283	21	8	37%	8%	76	-0.4	199/274/366	167	274	21	7	34%	9%	80	-0.2	202/279/386	184	273	24	7	34%	9%	83	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps