Tyler Locklear
1B Reno Aces| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/AASEA | 506 | .272/.384/.468 | 16 | 9 | 102 | — | .235/.325/.392 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBSEA | 49 | .156/.224/.311 | 2 | 1 | 52 | -1.2 | |
| 2025 | 24 | AAASEA | 434 | .316/.406/.542 | 19 | 18 | 117 | — | .281/.350/.438 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBARI | 116 | .175/.267/.262 | 3 | 3 | 57 | -1.7 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAAARI | 302 | .296/.392/.481 | 10 | 4 | 105 | — | .263/.339/.400 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBARI | 42 | .278/.366/.444 | 1 | 1 | 121 | -0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBARI | 64 | .233/.311/.389 | 2 | 1 | 94 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ49% MLB | 27 | MLBARI | 250 | .232/.310/.385 | 7 | 5 | 93 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ52% MLB | 28 | MLBARI | 256 | .230/.308/.380 | 7 | 4 | 91 | -0.2 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 25 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 133 | 117 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 359 | 504 | 863 | 222 | 313 | 22 | 5 | 376 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 94 | 77 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 260 | 387 | 403 | 790 | 143 | 302 | 15 | 12 | 358 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 275 | 226 | 69 | 19 | 0 | 12 | 36 | 60 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 305 | 425 | 549 | 974 | 243 | 365 | 22 | 13 | 425 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 94 | 74 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 284 | 424 | 473 | 897 | 189 | 383 | 28 | 16 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 49 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 224 | 311 | 536 | 156 | 217 | 41 | 6 | 243 | 52 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 318 | 265 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 76 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 260 | 376 | 430 | 806 | 170 | 330 | 24 | 12 | 359 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 188 | 158 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 49 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 291 | 399 | 532 | 931 | 241 | 376 | 26 | 12 | 408 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 116 | 103 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 175 | 267 | 262 | 529 | 87 | 263 | 37 | 9 | 250 | 57 | -6 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +3 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 434 | 373 | 118 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 95 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 316 | 406 | 542 | 947 | 225 | 375 | 22 | 11 | 412 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 42 | 36 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 366 | 444 | 810 | 167 | 333 | 21 | 10 | 354 | 121 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 302 | 260 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 57 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 296 | 392 | 481 | 873 | 185 | 345 | 19 | 11 | 388 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 207 | 184 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 72 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 277 | 310 | 586 | 120 | 271 | 35 | 8 | 269 | 69 | -8 | +1 | -4 | -26 | +4 | -3.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 133 | 119 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 298 | 412 | 709 | 185 | 269 | 31 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 94 | 80 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 333 | 350 | 683 | 125 | 261 | 17 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 275 | 235 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 78 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 251 | 355 | 443 | 798 | 191 | 321 | 28 | 10 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 49 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 224 | 311 | 536 | 156 | 217 | 41 | 6 | 246 | 52 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 318 | 277 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 91 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 227 | 318 | 350 | 669 | 123 | 308 | 29 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 188 | 166 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 247 | 335 | 464 | 799 | 217 | 327 | 30 | 9 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 116 | 103 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 175 | 267 | 262 | 529 | 87 | 263 | 37 | 9 | 253 | 57 | -6 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +3 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 434 | 388 | 109 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 110 | 9 | 18 | 6 | 281 | 350 | 438 | 788 | 157 | 349 | 25 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 42 | 36 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 366 | 444 | 810 | 167 | 333 | 21 | 10 | 347 | 121 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 302 | 270 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 68 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 263 | 339 | 400 | 739 | 137 | 324 | 23 | 8 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 133 | 119 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 298 | 412 | 709 | 185 | 284 | 31 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 133 | 117 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 359 | 504 | 863 | 222 | 313 | 22 | 5 | 376 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 396 | 97 | 26 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 118 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 245 | 347 | 414 | 761 | 169 | 311 | 25 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 463 | 377 | 110 | 30 | 1 | 16 | 62 | 100 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 292 | 417 | 504 | 921 | 212 | 353 | 22 | 13 | 405 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 488 | 111 | 24 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 168 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 227 | 316 | 385 | 701 | 158 | 311 | 30 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 555 | 468 | 122 | 28 | 4 | 18 | 65 | 145 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 261 | 370 | 453 | 823 | 192 | 337 | 26 | 12 | 366 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 491 | 126 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 153 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 257 | 330 | 399 | 729 | 143 | 338 | 28 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 550 | 476 | 136 | 25 | 1 | 22 | 57 | 138 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 286 | 376 | 481 | 857 | 195 | 355 | 25 | 10 | 378 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 306 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 77 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 265 | 342 | 405 | 747 | 141 | 327 | 22 | 8 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 344 | 296 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 66 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 294 | 389 | 476 | 865 | 182 | 344 | 19 | 11 | 384 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 133 | 120 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 298 | 408 | 706 | 183 | 269 | 31 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 398 | 97 | 26 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 118 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 244 | 347 | 412 | 759 | 168 | 306 | 25 | 9 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 487 | 111 | 24 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 168 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 228 | 316 | 386 | 702 | 158 | 306 | 30 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 491 | 126 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 153 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 257 | 330 | 399 | 729 | 143 | 331 | 28 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 305 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 77 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 266 | 342 | 407 | 749 | 141 | 325 | 22 | 8 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 555 | 487 | 111 | 24 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 168 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 228 | 316 | 386 | 702 | 158 | 306 | 30 | 8 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 491 | 126 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 153 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 257 | 330 | 399 | 729 | 143 | 331 | 28 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 305 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 77 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 266 | 342 | 407 | 749 | 141 | 325 | 22 | 8 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | ARI | 45% | 342 | 304 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 85 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 228 | 307 | 381 | 688 | 153 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | ARI | 45% | 64 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 311 | 389 | 700 | 155 | 289 | 25 | 8 | 313 | 94 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 49% | 507 | 451 | 102 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 127 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 227 | 305 | 378 | 684 | 151 | 279 | 25 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -9 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 52% | 494 | 441 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 125 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 225 | 303 | 373 | 676 | 148 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 52% | 294 | 262 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 75 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 300 | 366 | 666 | 144 | 275 | 26 | 8 | 299 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 49% | 250 | 223 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 63 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 232 | 310 | 385 | 695 | 153 | 288 | 25 | 8 | 311 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 52% | 256 | 228 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 65 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 308 | 380 | 688 | 150 | 287 | 25 | 8 | 308 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 52% | 152 | 136 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 304 | 372 | 677 | 146 | 284 | 26 | 8 | 303 | 88 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 865 | 771 | 170 | 32 | 3 | 24 | 70 | 239 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 220 | 300 | 363 | 664 | 143 | 285 | 28 | 8 | 299 | 99 | -14 | +1 | -6 | -38 | +19 | -3.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 127 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 53 | 180 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 219 | 301 | 361 | 662 | 142 | 284 | 28 | 8 | 299 | 99 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -28 | +14 | -2.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3482 | 3081 | 730 | 148 | 13 | 98 | 280 | 919 | 92 | 74 | 19 | 237 | 319 | 389 | 708 | 152 | 303 | 26 | 8 | 314 | 99 | -22 | +2 | -9 | -52 | +36 | -4.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 136 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 172 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 237 | 318 | 386 | 704 | 150 | 303 | 26 | 8 | 314 | 99 | -9 | +1 | -3 | -20 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAReno Aces · 302 PAwOBA .379 → .324 (−55)K% 18.9% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.32% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 24.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.51% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .379 → .324; ISO .185 → .144; BABIP .345 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 434 PAwOBA .405 → .341 (−64)K% 21.9% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.89% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.60% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.26% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 25.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.99% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 8.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.204 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .405 → .341; ISO .225 → .160; BABIP .375 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 318 PAwOBA .354 → .302 (−52)K% 23.9% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.90% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.95% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 3.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.75% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.048 | 21.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.048 | 6.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×1.048 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.142 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .354 → .302; ISO .170 → .133; BABIP .330 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 188 PAwOBA .394 → .346 (−49)K% 26.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.06% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.17% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.94% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 20.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.01% | ÷0.977 | ×0.840 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 9.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.34% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 7.25% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 109, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .394 → .346; ISO .241 → .225; BABIP .376 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Everett AquaSox · 275 PAwOBA .417 → .342 (−76)K% 21.8% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.82% | ÷1.046 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.09% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 3.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷1.018 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 21.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.45% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 9.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.92% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .417 → .342; ISO .243 → .195; BABIP .365 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAArkansas Travelers · 94 PAwOBA .353 → .302 (−51)K% 14.9% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.041 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.046 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.32% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 4.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 16.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.983 | ×0.840 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.103 | ×0.940 | ×0.962 | ×1.027 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 121, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .353 → .302; ISO .143 → .130; BABIP .302 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AModesto Nuts · 133 PAwOBA .371 → .300 (−71)K% 21.8% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷0.971 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 4.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | — | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | — | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.95% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | — | 7.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 109, 2B 112, 3B 112, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .371 → .300; ISO .222 → .188; BABIP .313 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .