Tyler Locklear — OGILVIE

Tyler Locklear1B Reno Aces

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.488 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5557vR 63

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .294 / .359

PA160

HR4

K%29

BB%7

BABIP293

ISO138

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 25 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT25

Whiff%

1015.6%

xwOBA

100.243

POWER45

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

3187.7

Bat Spd

5171.5

EYE40

Chase%

2536.5%

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 148 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

111

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

242

251

▶R

ISO

176

071

◀◀L

BABIP

188

285

▶▶R

43.2%

36.0%

▶▶R

BB%

5.4%

9.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.488 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.3M	-$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.3M		$-1M	-$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	133	119	27	3	0	8	5	41	7	0	0	227	298	454	751	227	264	31	4	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	133	117	33	5	0	7	7	29	7	0	0	282	359	504	863	222	313	22	5	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	463	399	94	24	1	14	40	118	19	13	0	236	334	406	740	170	294	25	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	463	377	110	30	1	16	62	100	19	13	0	292	417	504	921	212	353	22	13	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	555	488	108	23	4	18	46	175	17	10	1	221	310	395	706	174	301	32	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	555	468	122	28	4	18	65	145	17	10	1	261	370	453	823	192	337	26	12	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	550	492	117	22	1	13	41	158	12	21	7	238	312	366	678	128	319	29	7	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	550	476	136	25	1	22	57	138	12	21	7	286	376	481	857	195	355	25	10	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	ARI	—	241	218	57	11	1	6	18	58	4	4	2	261	329	404	733	142	329	24	7	322	105	+1	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.4
YTD	25	AAA	ARI	—	241	211	66	14	1	8	25	45	4	4	2	313	396	502	898	190	365	19	10	396	162	+17	+0	+0	-4	+7	2.0
ROS	25	AAA	ARI	55%	160	144	32	6	1	4	12	46	3	3	1	221	294	359	654	138	292	29	7	299	87	-2	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	ARI	55%	88	79	17	3	0	2	7	25	2	2	1	215	295	329	625	114	295	28	8	287	78	-2	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.2
FULL	25	AAA	ARI	—	329	297	74	14	1	8	25	83	6	6	3	249	320	384	704	135	319	25	8	313	97	-1	+0	-0	-6	+9	0.2
TOT	25	AAA	ARI	—	401	362	89	17	2	10	30	104	7	7	3	245	315	386	701	141	315	26	7	313	98	-1	+0	-0	-7	+11	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ARI	56%	598	535	121	23	2	17	46	166	12	12	4	226	302	372	674	146	292	28	8	302	89	-7	+1	-1	-11	+17	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	ARI	55%	586	524	120	23	2	17	46	161	11	12	4	229	305	378	683	149	292	27	8	304	91	-6	+1	-1	-10	+17	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	ARI	55%	575	513	116	22	2	16	46	157	11	11	4	226	304	370	674	144	291	27	8	303	90	-6	+1	-2	-10	+16	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	ARI	56%	334	299	69	13	1	10	26	93	6	7	2	231	305	381	686	151	294	28	8	291	81	-7	+1	-1	-6	+9	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	ARI	55%	323	289	66	13	1	9	25	89	6	7	2	228	303	374	677	145	294	28	8	293	82	-7	+1	-1	-6	+9	-0.3
2029	28	MLB	ARI	55%	314	280	64	12	1	9	25	86	6	6	2	229	305	375	680	146	293	27	8	293	82	-6	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1224	1095	241	42	3	35	96	356	24	26	8	220	297	360	657	140	290	29	8	286	77	-32	+2	-7	-39	+35	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	128	22	2	19	51	189	13	14	4	220	298	363	661	143	290	29	8	286	77	-17	+1	-4	-21	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	3620	3214	735	146	13	107	282	1022	92	82	21	229	309	382	691	153	297	28	8	306	93	-30	+8	-9	-65	+103	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	131	26	2	19	51	183	17	15	4	227	309	378	687	151	295	28	8	306	93	-5	+1	-2	-12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	133	117	33	5	0	7	7	29	7	0	0	282	359	504	863	222	313	22	5	376	146	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2023	22	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	94	77	20	6	1	1	11	14	5	2	0	260	387	403	790	143	302	15	12	358	132	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	275	226	69	19	0	12	36	60	11	10	0	305	425	549	974	243	365	22	13	425	184	+26	+2	—	—	+8	3.7
2023	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	94	74	21	5	0	3	15	26	3	1	0	284	424	473	897	189	383	28	16	395	160	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	49	45	7	1	0	2	3	20	1	1	0	156	224	311	536	156	217	41	6	243	44	-3	+0	-1	-10	+1	-1.2
2024	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	318	265	69	15	3	8	39	76	10	5	0	260	376	430	806	170	330	24	12	359	133	+12	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2024	23	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	188	158	46	12	1	8	23	49	6	4	1	291	399	532	931	241	376	26	12	408	171	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.1
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	116	103	18	0	0	3	10	43	3	3	1	175	267	262	529	87	263	37	9	250	50	-7	+0	-3	-10	+3	-1.7
2025	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	434	373	118	25	1	19	47	95	9	18	6	316	406	542	947	225	375	22	11	412	173	+36	+1	—	—	+12	5.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	165	148	25	1	0	5	13	63	4	4	1	169	255	277	532	108	250	38	8	248	48	-10	+0	-4	-20	+5	-2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#3Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,224	35	26	220	295	362	-22	-8	-0.7	-0.6
	/162	664	19	14	220	295	362	-11.9	-4.1	-0.4	pk7: -0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Locklear (OGILVIE)	25	25	45	50	40	245/315/386	141	315	10	7	26%	7%	98	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	38	45→50	51→50	45	194/270/315	121	262	12	11	30%	8%	63	-0.9	214/301/367	153	292	18	6	31%	9%	89	+1.0	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	43→41	50	52→55	37	218/267/370	152	309	19	19	35%	6%	75	-0.0	222/264/367	145	315	17	20	34%	5%	72	-0.2	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	268	12	15	26%	7%	62	-0.9	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	75	-0.0	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	38→43	48→55	48→55	42	200/258/333	133	262	16	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	219/283/390	171	289	23	18	31%	8%	87	+0.8	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Sean Bouchard 2022 · AA	26	41	50→55	47→50	39	209/263/369	160	294	17	10	34%	6%	72	-0.2	219/309/394	175	294	19	14	30%	10%	98	+1.6	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	40→36	50	43→45	46	207/287/359	152	273	17	7	30%	9%	81	+0.4	212/279/335	123	294	13	8	31%	8%	71	-0.3	191/254/285	93	268	11	5	31%	7%	43	-0.6
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	39→46	49→55	49→55	38	199/276/345	145	291	17	13	36%	6%	72	-0.2	222/309/399	177	296	21	15	31%	7%	101	+1.8	207/290/404	197	249	27	18	29%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	34→42	49→50	50	46	185/255/328	144	223	18	11	26%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/358	155	263	19	13	29%	10%	82	+0.5	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→40	51→55	46→45	46	191/276/352	161	267	19	7	34%	10%	75	-0.0	196/264/341	145	281	18	6	35%	7%	66	-0.6	174/240/314	140	235	21	2	35%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	45	40	206/269/351	145	287	17	7	34%	7%	71	-0.3	208/271/378	170	297	22	4	36%	7%	79	+0.3	197/262/376	179	277	24	1	37%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	44→42	51→50	51→55	46	225/296/386	161	279	18	12	26%	8%	91	+1.1	222/301/376	154	297	17	17	30%	7%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	43→38	47→50	48→45	47	213/309/346	133	293	14	10	30%	9%	87	+0.8	198/267/323	125	326	14	8	41%	7%	63	-0.8	198/263/340	142	299	16	6	37%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	38	54→55	47→40	43	206/272/387	181	266	22	5	32%	8%	82	+0.5	185/252/318	133	280	16	5	38%	7%	56	-1.3	161/230/272	111	256	13	3	41%	7%	31	-2.2
✕Michael Toglia 2023 · MLB	24	36→34	53→55	48→45	41	193/261/360	167	280	21	8	38%	8%	70	-0.3	188/264/344	156	262	20	7	35%	9%	67	-0.5	189/268/367	178	253	24	7	34%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Jabari Blash 2014 · AA	25	39→41	49→60	46→50	44	197/283/346	148	301	17	11	38%	10%	76	+0.1	205/290/392	187	285	24	9	35%	9%	92	+1.2	199/309/387	188	287	24	5	36%	12%	95	+1.0
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0