Robert Alvarez — OGILVIE

Robert AlvarezC DSL CLE Goryl

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION133 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP265

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	110	17	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	155	250	173	423	18	193	20	10	203	23	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	115	12	1	0	0	8	37	1	0	0	104	169	113	282	9	148	29	6	143	-17	-18	+0	—	—	+3	-1.5
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	115	12	1	0	0	8	37	1	0	0	104	169	113	282	9	148	29	6	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	110	17	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	155	250	173	423	18	193	20	10	203	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	118	12	1	0	0	8	37	1	0	0	102	169	110	280	8	148	29	6	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	118	12	1	0	0	8	37	1	0	0	102	169	110	280	8	148	29	6	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	PIT	—	133	113	19	1	1	2	16	35	2	7	1	168	282	248	530	80	218	26	12	231	42	-9	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	PIT	—	133	103	22	1	1	2	26	24	2	7	1	214	382	301	683	87	253	18	20	323	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		266	25	8	260	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	PIT	—	145	124	21	1	1	2	17	38	2	7	1	169	280	242	522	73	221	26	12	233	44	-10	+1	+0	+3	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	208	185	38	5	1	3	19	53	2	4	1	205	286	292	578	86	269	25	9	269	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	343	305	64	9	2	6	31	85	4	7	2	210	291	311	603	102	273	25	9	278	74	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	445	395	86	13	3	8	41	109	6	9	2	218	301	327	627	109	275	24	9	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	517	457	100	15	3	10	48	126	7	10	2	219	303	330	633	112	276	24	9	287	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	520	460	101	15	3	10	48	126	7	10	2	220	303	330	633	111	277	24	9	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	460	101	15	3	10	48	125	7	10	2	220	303	330	633	111	277	24	9	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	460	102	15	3	11	48	125	7	10	2	222	305	339	644	117	277	24	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	459	102	15	3	11	49	125	7	10	2	222	307	340	647	118	277	24	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	459	102	15	3	11	49	126	7	10	2	222	307	340	647	118	277	24	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	458	100	15	3	10	50	126	7	10	2	218	305	330	635	111	276	24	10	290	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	520	458	100	15	3	10	50	127	7	10	2	218	305	330	635	111	276	24	10	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	520	458	99	14	3	10	50	129	7	10	2	216	303	325	628	109	274	25	10	286	79	-13	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	504	444	95	14	3	9	48	126	7	9	2	214	301	320	620	106	272	25	10	282	77	-14	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	489	433	90	13	3	8	47	124	6	8	2	208	294	307	601	99	269	25	10	276	73	-16	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	473	419	84	11	2	8	45	123	6	8	2	200	287	294	581	93	265	26	10	270	69	-18	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	71	64	13	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	203	282	281	563	78	268	25	8	258	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	166	148	32	5	1	3	15	41	2	3	1	216	297	324	621	108	271	25	9	265	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	241	214	46	7	2	4	22	59	3	5	1	215	297	322	620	107	273	24	9	270	78	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	293	260	56	8	2	5	27	71	4	6	1	215	299	319	618	104	274	24	9	274	81	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	299	265	58	9	2	5	28	72	4	6	1	219	303	325	628	106	275	24	9	275	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	296	263	57	9	2	5	27	71	4	6	1	217	299	323	623	106	275	24	9	277	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	295	262	58	9	2	6	27	71	4	6	1	221	304	340	643	118	275	24	9	277	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	261	57	8	2	6	27	71	4	6	1	218	301	333	635	115	275	24	9	277	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	289	256	55	8	2	5	27	70	4	6	1	215	300	320	620	105	275	24	9	277	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	286	253	55	8	2	5	27	69	4	6	1	217	303	324	627	107	274	24	9	277	83	-6	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	278	245	53	8	2	5	27	68	4	5	1	216	304	327	631	110	274	24	10	275	81	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	274	242	53	8	2	5	26	68	4	5	1	219	305	331	636	112	272	25	9	272	79	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	263	233	48	7	1	4	25	66	3	5	1	206	291	296	587	90	270	25	10	268	77	-7	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	254	225	45	6	1	4	24	65	3	4	1	200	286	289	575	89	267	26	9	263	73	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	265	235	46	6	1	4	25	69	3	4	1	196	281	281	562	85	263	26	9	257	69	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3864	3426	732	108	24	67	360	949	51	74	14	214	298	318	616	104	274	25	9	272	77	-95	+9	-8	+69	+84	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	123	18	4	11	61	160	9	12	2	214	299	316	615	102	275	25	9	272	77	-16	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7279	6436	1378	200	41	135	680	1795	95	135	29	214	299	321	619	107	273	25	9	283	77	-178	+15	-15	+128	+155	10.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	123	18	4	12	61	160	8	12	3	214	298	322	620	108	273	25	9	283	77	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.0	3,977	74	76	217	298	326	+71	+36	8.8	7.2
/162	664	12	13	+11.9	+6.0	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robert Alvarez (OGILVIE)	18	40→45	32→37	47→52	59	199/280/279	80	266	1	3	26%	9%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Carlos Narváez 2018 · A	19	46→45	36→45	48→45	46	219/274/285	66	269	4	3	20%	6%	59	-1.6	217/290/287	70	304	5	5	27%	9%	67	-1.1	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→48	39→45	51→55	53	209/310/290	81	290	7	9	27%	11%	76	-0.4	212/285/327	115	307	10	14	32%	8%	74	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44→50	38→45	47→55	45	210/277/286	76	271	6	9	24%	6%	62	-1.4	207/267/292	85	318	6	15	35%	6%	59	-1.6	229/275/344	115	283	10	21	22%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→49	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/280/296	87	296	5	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	36→30	50→60	46	214/289/282	68	300	4	7	28%	8%	65	-1.2	214/302/264	50	297	2	18	26%	8%	68	-1.0	217/309/247	30	304	0	28	25%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Mikey Edie 2015 · A	18	48	37→30	47→50	45	227/308/301	74	283	5	13	20%	6%	78	-0.3	214/275/269	55	304	2	15	29%	5%	57	-1.8	194/246/238	44	286	1	12	31%	3%	36	-1.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	70	-0.9	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	73	-0.6	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	41	202/274/282	81	298	6	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	205/294/284	79	319	6	6	34%	9%	69	-0.9	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→45	47	229/297/310	81	289	3	9	21%	7%	75	-0.5	215/287/285	70	278	2	8	22%	8%	65	-1.2	224/302/303	80	300	5	8	25%	8%	73	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps