Jadher Areinamo — OGILVIE

Jadher Areinamo2B Montgomery Biscuits

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION270 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .275 / .369

PA180

HR5

K%20

BB%5

BABIP266

ISO137

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$9M	+$7M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$54M	+$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	175	159	32	5	1	0	10	35	5	5	4	201	270	245	515	44	256	20	6	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	175	152	42	7	2	0	17	22	5	5	4	276	368	349	717	72	321	13	10	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	3 teams	—	285	261	61	9	3	1	17	60	5	6	5	234	293	303	596	69	297	21	6	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	3 teams	—	285	250	72	13	3	1	28	41	5	6	5	288	371	376	747	88	338	14	10	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	420	403	93	17	1	3	10	75	2	16	5	231	253	300	553	69	273	18	2	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	420	396	121	26	1	4	17	52	2	16	5	306	337	407	744	101	339	12	4	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	467	435	113	26	0	9	23	71	2	32	8	260	300	382	682	122	287	15	5	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	467	425	128	30	0	10	33	52	2	32	8	301	354	442	797	141	319	11	7	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	737	671	150	33	2	13	43	125	8	26	9	224	278	337	615	113	250	17	6	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	737	651	197	38	3	28	60	87	8	26	9	303	367	499	866	197	307	12	8	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	TB	—	270	254	56	9	0	11	12	68	1	8	2	220	258	386	644	165	256	25	4	273	67	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
YTD	22	AA	TB	—	270	248	63	11	0	12	18	53	1	8	2	254	307	444	751	190	277	20	7	328	109	+3	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.2
ROS	22	AA	TB	40%	180	168	39	8	0	5	9	36	1	4	1	232	275	369	644	137	265	20	5	284	76	-5	+0	+1	+1	+5	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	TB	40%	72	68	16	3	0	2	4	14	0	2	0	235	278	368	645	132	267	19	6	281	73	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
FULL	22	AA	TB	—	342	322	72	12	0	13	16	82	1	10	2	224	263	382	645	158	259	24	5	275	68	-12	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.0
TOT	22	AA	TB	—	450	422	95	17	0	16	21	104	2	12	3	225	265	379	644	154	260	23	5	278	71	-15	+1	+1	+2	+13	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TB	60%	581	541	128	25	1	17	32	115	3	9	3	237	283	381	664	144	269	20	6	294	83	-11	+1	+3	+2	+16	1.1
2028	24	MLB	TB	66%	609	564	135	26	1	19	36	120	4	9	2	239	290	390	680	151	271	20	6	301	88	-8	+1	+3	+2	+17	1.5
2029	25	MLB	TB	68%	617	570	137	27	1	19	38	121	4	9	2	240	292	391	684	151	273	20	6	304	91	-6	+1	+3	+2	+17	1.7
2030	26	MLB	TB	70%	627	579	140	27	2	20	39	124	4	9	2	242	294	399	693	157	273	20	6	306	92	-5	+1	+3	+2	+18	1.9
2031	27	MLB	TB	69%	629	580	139	27	1	20	40	125	4	9	2	240	293	393	686	153	273	20	6	306	92	-5	+1	+3	+2	+18	1.9
2032	28	MLB	TB	68%	626	577	139	27	1	20	40	125	4	8	2	241	295	395	690	154	272	20	6	305	92	-6	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.7
2033	29	MLB	TB	67%	617	568	135	26	1	19	40	124	4	8	2	238	292	387	680	150	272	20	6	303	90	-7	+1	+1	+2	+17	1.5
2034	30	MLB	TB	66%	607	558	132	26	1	18	40	124	4	8	2	237	292	384	676	147	271	20	7	300	88	-8	+1	+1	+2	+17	1.3
2035	31	MLB	TB	65%	594	546	129	25	1	18	39	123	4	8	2	236	292	385	677	148	268	21	7	296	85	-10	+1	-0	+2	+17	1.0
2036	32	MLB	TB	65%	576	531	122	23	1	16	37	122	3	7	2	230	284	367	651	137	265	21	6	291	81	-13	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.5
2037	33	MLB	TB	65%	546	503	114	21	1	15	35	118	3	7	2	227	281	362	643	135	261	22	6	283	75	-15	+1	-2	+2	+15	0.1
2027	23	MLB	TB	60%	346	322	78	15	1	10	19	69	2	6	2	242	289	388	677	146	272	20	5	290	80	-8	+0	+2	+1	+10	0.5
2028	24	MLB	TB	66%	399	371	90	17	1	12	23	79	2	6	2	243	290	391	681	148	274	20	6	296	85	-7	+0	+2	+1	+11	0.8
2029	25	MLB	TB	68%	422	390	95	18	1	13	26	83	3	6	2	244	296	395	691	151	275	20	6	300	87	-6	+0	+2	+2	+12	1.0
2030	26	MLB	TB	70%	437	404	98	19	1	13	27	86	3	6	2	243	295	391	686	149	276	20	6	301	89	-6	+0	+2	+2	+12	1.1
2031	27	MLB	TB	69%	433	399	96	18	1	13	28	86	3	6	2	241	295	388	684	148	276	20	6	301	89	-6	+0	+2	+2	+12	1.1
2032	28	MLB	TB	68%	428	394	95	18	1	13	28	85	3	6	2	241	296	391	687	150	275	20	7	300	88	-6	+0	+1	+2	+12	1.0
2033	29	MLB	TB	67%	412	379	91	17	1	12	27	83	3	5	2	240	296	385	681	145	274	20	7	298	86	-6	+0	+1	+1	+12	0.8
2034	30	MLB	TB	66%	399	367	88	16	1	12	26	81	3	5	1	240	295	387	682	147	273	20	7	296	84	-7	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.7
2035	31	MLB	TB	65%	387	357	84	16	1	11	25	80	2	5	1	235	289	378	667	143	271	21	6	292	81	-8	+1	-0	+1	+11	0.5
2036	32	MLB	TB	65%	373	344	80	15	1	10	24	79	2	5	1	233	286	369	656	137	268	21	6	286	77	-10	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.2
2037	33	MLB	TB	65%	353	325	72	13	0	9	23	76	2	4	1	222	277	345	622	123	264	22	7	279	72	-11	+0	-1	+1	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4461	4120	983	185	10	130	280	901	28	62	18	239	292	383	675	144	274	20	6	295	84	-82	+5	+10	+16	+126	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	143	27	1	19	41	131	4	9	3	238	291	382	673	143	274	20	6	295	84	-12	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8893	8214	1938	378	19	232	528	1743	64	180	55	236	287	371	659	135	271	20	6	291	81	-190	+14	+15	+32	+252	12.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	142	28	1	17	39	127	5	13	4	237	289	372	661	135	271	20	6	291	81	-14	+1	+1	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 2	—	175	152	42	7	2	0	17	22	5	5	4	276	368	349	717	72	321	13	10	329	110	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2022	18	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	26	26	2	1	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	77	77	115	192	38	111	31	0	84	-77	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	110	97	29	2	0	0	9	14	3	2	1	299	376	320	696	21	345	13	8	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	149	127	41	10	3	1	19	19	2	4	4	323	419	472	891	150	370	13	13	395	161	+10	-1	—	—	+4	1.4
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	420	396	121	26	1	4	17	52	2	16	5	306	337	407	744	101	339	12	4	329	110	+5	+1	—	—	+12	1.8
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	467	425	128	30	0	10	33	52	2	32	8	301	354	442	797	141	319	11	7	350	126	+14	+3	—	—	+13	3.1
2025	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	159	141	36	8	0	4	12	19	2	6	0	255	321	397	718	142	264	12	8	315	100	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	415	367	109	24	2	11	34	48	4	15	8	297	362	463	825	166	309	12	8	358	132	+15	-0	—	—	+12	2.7
2025	21	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	163	143	52	6	1	13	14	20	2	5	1	364	425	692	1.117	329	345	12	9	470	218	+22	+1	—	—	+5	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Vinny Castillalast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,579 PA	7	3,579	117	11	253	299	421	-2	+14	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	22	2	253	299	421	-0.3	+2.5	2.0	pk7: 11
#4Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	9	4,089	92	25	262	292	395	+16	+24	10.7	10.8
#4Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	/162	664	15	4	262	292	395	+2.6	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#5Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#6Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,517	135	62	238	288	387	+16	+24	7.8	7.1
	/162	664	20	9	238	288	387	+2.4	+3.6	1.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jadher Areinamo (OGILVIE)	22	57	42	45	45	225/265/379	154	260	16	12	23%	5%	71	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ramón Urías 2016 · AAA	22	51→57	42→50	45→50	41	249/296/354	105	296	10	12	20%	4%	82	+0.5	250/316/377	127	303	13	12	21%	5%	97	+1.5	249/317/382	133	319	14	3	25%	7%	96	+1.0
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	45→55	45	43→50	46	222/286/346	124	248	13	10	17%	5%	77	+0.1	227/275/305	78	284	5	9	21%	4%	60	-1.0	249/304/354	105	317	8	11	23%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Yamaico Navarro 2010 · AA	22	49→55	44→50	48→50	42	238/284/359	121	297	11	8	24%	5%	78	+0.2	226/282/344	118	274	12	13	21%	7%	73	-0.1	229/296/386	157	263	20	11	21%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Jose Martinez 2008 · AA	22	50→54	45	42→40	45	246/282/365	119	260	12	6	12%	4%	79	+0.3	235/270/334	99	255	10	4	12%	3%	66	-0.6	260/309/347	88	283	9	4	11%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Brandon Douglas 2009 · AA	23	51→54	45→40	49→50	45	254/294/378	124	279	13	11	15%	5%	87	+0.8	265/308/337	72	308	2	11	14%	5%	82	+0.5	269/309/336	67	313	1	14	14%	4%	78	+0.1
✕James Tomlin 2006 · AA	23	51→61	41→40	47→50	45	246/284/350	103	287	8	12	18%	5%	76	+0.0	250/287/344	94	295	5	13	16%	5%	74	-0.1	269/320/351	82	329	2	16	18%	6%	87	+0.6
●Johnny Giavotella 2009 · A	22	51→61	41→45	46→50	47	243/288/343	100	281	7	10	16%	6%	75	-0.0	252/301/353	101	293	7	13	16%	6%	83	+0.6	279/323/381	103	323	7	10	15%	6%	97	+1.6
✕Luis Santana 2021 · AA	22	50	39→45	48→50	48	235/305/324	89	283	6	8	19%	7%	79	+0.3	210/269/326	116	284	12	9	29%	6%	64	-0.8	207/265/333	126	274	15	8	29%	5%	61	-0.5
●Chin-Lung Hu 2007 · AA	23	53→61	40→45	48→50	46	254/295/343	89	285	7	12	14%	5%	78	+0.2	259/293/368	109	292	8	11	14%	4%	83	+0.6	267/297/376	109	298	8	11	13%	4%	82	+0.4
●Luis Juarez 2012 · AAA	22	48→58	48→50	46→40	43	241/278/377	136	268	16	9	17%	4%	81	+0.4	239/278/355	116	273	11	7	17%	4%	75	-0.0	272/318/417	145	288	18	3	12%	6%	106	+1.4
●Jamie Westbrook 2017 · AA	22	46→55	42→50	47→45	42	225/263/329	105	262	10	9	19%	4%	61	-1.0	235/275/363	128	268	14	5	18%	4%	76	+0.1	249/316/391	143	292	15	4	20%	7%	97	+1.2
✕Gavin Cecchini 2016 · AA	22	49→56	41→45	45	47	238/287/345	107	281	7	6	18%	6%	76	+0.0	241/289/331	90	287	6	5	17%	6%	72	-0.2	240/289/323	83	285	6	4	17%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Asael Sanchez 2016 · AAA	22	54	43→45	50→45	43	261/298/374	112	309	11	13	19%	4%	88	+0.9	260/302/387	127	316	12	9	21%	5%	93	+1.3	276/319/395	119	345	11	6	22%	5%	96	+0.6
✕Austin Romine 2011 · AA	22	49→53	45	46→45	41	242/278/369	127	293	13	5	22%	4%	78	+0.2	236/280/348	112	292	12	4	23%	6%	74	-0.1	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
●Thairo Estrada 2018 · AA	22	55→59	41→55	43→55	45	265/307/361	96	304	8	9	16%	5%	88	+0.9	232/273/341	109	282	10	10	21%	4%	69	-0.4	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4
●Matt Reynolds 2013 · A	22	47→57	42→50	50	43	230/284/336	106	276	10	10	20%	5%	73	-0.1	226/281/314	88	299	5	12	25%	6%	66	-0.6	232/311/367	134	317	10	6	28%	9%	88	+0.5
●Gordon Beckham 2009 · A	22	47→56	48→50	46→45	45	240/288/377	137	278	16	7	20%	6%	85	+0.7	253/317/400	147	292	14	7	18%	7%	103	+1.9	247/314/384	136	287	13	6	18%	7%	96	+1.4
●José Fermín 2022 · AA	23	45→50	43→45	46→55	47	221/279/326	105	244	11	10	15%	6%	68	-0.5	220/303/334	114	243	12	14	15%	9%	81	+0.4	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
✕Daniel Castro 2015 · AAA	22	52→57	42→40	49→50	42	252/275/358	106	277	9	9	14%	3%	72	-0.2	247/273/314	67	282	4	5	14%	4%	60	-1.0	248/275/299	50	285	3	3	13%	3%	55	-1.0
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2016 · AA	22	48→58	42→45	46→50	43	234/268/341	107	270	8	7	17%	4%	66	-0.6	262/295/378	116	305	10	7	17%	4%	87	+0.8	278/311/393	115	324	9	5	17%	4%	95	+1.0