Jadher Areinamo
2B Montgomery Biscuits| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+MIL | 467 | .301/.354/.442 | 10 | 32 | 92 | — | .269/.309/.384 |
| 2025 | 21 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 737 | .303/.367/.499 | 28 | 26 | 107 | — | .241/.294/.363 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA/AATB | 342 | .240/.285/.407 | 13 | 9 | 59 | — | .214/.246/.356 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 23 | MLBTB | 21 | .234/.274/.364 | 1 | 0 | 77 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 24 | MLBTB | 115 | .236/.279/.371 | 3 | 2 | 81 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 25 | MLBTB | 171 | .237/.282/.375 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 175 | 152 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 276 | 368 | 349 | 717 | 72 | 321 | 13 | 10 | 329 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 26 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 115 | 192 | 38 | 111 | 31 | 0 | 84 | -73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 110 | 97 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 299 | 376 | 320 | 696 | 21 | 345 | 13 | 8 | 323 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers Gold | — | 149 | 127 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 323 | 419 | 472 | 891 | 150 | 370 | 13 | 13 | 395 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 420 | 396 | 121 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 52 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 306 | 337 | 407 | 744 | 101 | 339 | 12 | 4 | 329 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 467 | 425 | 128 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 52 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 354 | 442 | 797 | 141 | 319 | 11 | 7 | 350 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 159 | 141 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 255 | 321 | 397 | 718 | 142 | 264 | 12 | 8 | 315 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 415 | 367 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 48 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 297 | 362 | 463 | 825 | 166 | 309 | 12 | 8 | 358 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 163 | 143 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 364 | 425 | 692 | 1.117 | 329 | 345 | 12 | 9 | 470 | 204 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 132 | 135 | 267 | 27 | 108 | 3 | 3 | 120 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 303 | 280 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 58 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 257 | 304 | 443 | 747 | 186 | 280 | 19 | 6 | 326 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 175 | 157 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 172 | 253 | 210 | 463 | 38 | 208 | 16 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 26 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 115 | 192 | 38 | 95 | 38 | 0 | 60 | -73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 110 | 99 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 283 | 349 | 303 | 652 | 20 | 335 | 17 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Gold | — | 149 | 135 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 244 | 311 | 348 | 659 | 104 | 293 | 19 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 420 | 401 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 275 | 324 | 599 | 75 | 289 | 17 | 3 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 467 | 435 | 117 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 66 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 269 | 309 | 384 | 693 | 115 | 291 | 14 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 159 | 145 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 234 | 288 | 372 | 661 | 138 | 239 | 14 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 415 | 378 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 65 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 243 | 296 | 360 | 655 | 116 | 260 | 16 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 132 | 135 | 267 | 27 | 108 | 3 | 3 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 303 | 286 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 71 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 227 | 261 | 385 | 645 | 157 | 257 | 23 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 175 | 157 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 172 | 253 | 210 | 463 | 38 | 208 | 16 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 175 | 152 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 276 | 368 | 349 | 717 | 72 | 321 | 13 | 10 | 329 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 285 | 260 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 57 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 235 | 297 | 296 | 593 | 62 | 294 | 20 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 285 | 250 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 41 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 288 | 371 | 376 | 747 | 88 | 338 | 14 | 10 | 339 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 420 | 401 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 249 | 275 | 324 | 599 | 75 | 292 | 17 | 3 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 420 | 396 | 121 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 52 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 306 | 337 | 407 | 744 | 101 | 339 | 12 | 4 | 329 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 467 | 435 | 117 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 66 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 269 | 309 | 384 | 693 | 115 | 296 | 14 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 467 | 425 | 128 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 52 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 354 | 442 | 797 | 141 | 319 | 11 | 7 | 350 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 737 | 672 | 160 | 34 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 113 | 8 | 26 | 9 | 238 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 119 | 261 | 15 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 737 | 651 | 197 | 38 | 3 | 28 | 60 | 87 | 8 | 26 | 9 | 303 | 367 | 499 | 866 | 197 | 307 | 12 | 8 | 374 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 323 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 72 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 214 | 246 | 356 | 602 | 142 | 239 | 21 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 342 | 317 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 59 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 240 | 285 | 407 | 692 | 167 | 254 | 17 | 6 | 302 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 2 | — | 175 | 156 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 173 | 253 | 212 | 464 | 38 | 208 | 16 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 285 | 260 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 57 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 235 | 297 | 296 | 593 | 62 | 291 | 20 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 420 | 403 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 248 | 275 | 323 | 597 | 74 | 289 | 17 | 3 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 467 | 439 | 117 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 66 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 267 | 309 | 380 | 689 | 114 | 291 | 14 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 737 | 681 | 160 | 34 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 113 | 8 | 26 | 9 | 235 | 291 | 352 | 643 | 117 | 254 | 15 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 325 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 72 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 212 | 246 | 354 | 600 | 142 | 240 | 21 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 467 | 439 | 117 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 66 | 2 | 32 | 8 | 267 | 309 | 380 | 689 | 114 | 291 | 14 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 737 | 681 | 160 | 34 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 113 | 8 | 26 | 9 | 235 | 291 | 352 | 643 | 117 | 254 | 15 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 325 | 69 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 72 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 212 | 246 | 354 | 600 | 142 | 240 | 21 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | TB | 10% | 452 | 425 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 96 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 232 | 273 | 365 | 638 | 133 | 271 | 21 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | TB | 10% | 21 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 274 | 364 | 638 | 130 | 274 | 19 | 5 | 283 | 77 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 35% | 330 | 309 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 69 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 278 | 372 | 650 | 138 | 273 | 21 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 46% | 369 | 345 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 77 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 281 | 376 | 657 | 140 | 274 | 21 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 52% | 391 | 365 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 82 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 283 | 378 | 660 | 141 | 274 | 21 | 5 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 397 | 370 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 84 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 284 | 376 | 660 | 141 | 275 | 21 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 54% | 394 | 366 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 85 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 235 | 284 | 374 | 657 | 139 | 275 | 22 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 385 | 358 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 84 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 281 | 367 | 648 | 135 | 273 | 22 | 6 | 288 | 81 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 52% | 374 | 348 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 83 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 277 | 360 | 637 | 131 | 272 | 22 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 35% | 115 | 107 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 236 | 279 | 371 | 650 | 134 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 46% | 171 | 159 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 282 | 375 | 657 | 137 | 276 | 21 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 52% | 202 | 188 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 284 | 376 | 660 | 138 | 277 | 21 | 5 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 210 | 195 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 285 | 375 | 660 | 138 | 277 | 21 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 54% | 211 | 196 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 285 | 372 | 657 | 136 | 277 | 21 | 6 | 292 | 83 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 203 | 188 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 282 | 366 | 648 | 132 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 288 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 52% | 195 | 181 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 279 | 358 | 637 | 128 | 274 | 22 | 6 | 283 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1307 | 1214 | 288 | 56 | 3 | 35 | 73 | 279 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 237 | 284 | 375 | 659 | 138 | 279 | 21 | 6 | 290 | 77 | -28 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +28 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 142 | 28 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 139 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 235 | 281 | 369 | 650 | 134 | 277 | 21 | 6 | 290 | 77 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5276 | 4906 | 1155 | 228 | 13 | 113 | 274 | 1015 | 38 | 130 | 47 | 235 | 281 | 356 | 637 | 121 | 272 | 19 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -62 | +2 | -4 | +10 | +62 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 143 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 125 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 237 | 283 | 359 | 642 | 123 | 274 | 19 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 303 PAwOBA .318 → .273 (−45)K% 19.1% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.027 | 19.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×1.027 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.985 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 4.81% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .318 → .273; ISO .186 → .155; BABIP .280 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAADurham Bulls · 39 PAwOBA .120 → .117 (−3)K% 2.6% → 3.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 3.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 1.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.046 | ×1.050 | 8.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×1.050 | 2.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .120 → .117; ISO .027 → .025; BABIP .108 → .108. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 415 PAwOBA .356 → .287 (−69)K% 11.6% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.57% | ÷0.943 | ×1.270 | — | — | 15.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷0.965 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.57% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 19.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.52% | ÷1.013 | ×0.810 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.246 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.24% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .356 → .287; ISO .166 → .121; BABIP .309 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 159 PAwOBA .313 → .281 (−32)K% 11.9% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.95% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.55% | ÷0.988 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.67% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 17.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.976 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.922 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .313 → .281; ISO .142 → .135; BABIP .264 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 467 PAwOBA .345 → .304 (−41)K% 11.1% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.13% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 14.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.59% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 22.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷0.991 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.016 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.25% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .345 → .304; ISO .141 → .120; BABIP .319 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ACarolina Mudcats · 420 PAwOBA .324 → .262 (−62)K% 12.4% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.38% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.05% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 2.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.16% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.030 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.090 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.030 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×1.030 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .324 → .262; ISO .101 → .076; BABIP .339 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Brewers Gold · 149 PAwOBA .386 → .289 (−97)K% 12.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.75% | ÷0.991 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.08% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×1.008 | 20.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.023 | ×0.720 | ×0.984 | ×1.008 | 6.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.984 | ×1.008 | 2.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.144 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.64% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .386 → .289; ISO .150 → .109; BABIP .370 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ACarolina Mudcats · 110 PAwOBA .318 → .287 (−31)K% 12.7% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.18% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.73% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.53% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 31.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.036 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .318 → .287; ISO .021 → .018; BABIP .345 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .