Tim Kennelly

PosOF

B/TR/R

Born1986-12-05

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	36	INTLPerth Heat	163	.292/.395/.416	3	5	133	—
2024	37	INTLPerth Heat	155	.213/.289/.301	1	1	67	—
2025	38	INTLPerth Heat	56	.271/.352/.479	2	0	126	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	135	112	33	11	0	1	21	16	2	3	1	295	415	420	834	125	337	12	16	380	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	27	25	5	2	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	267	33	0	239	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		182	27	0	121	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	233	200	55	15	1	1	24	47	3	2	0	275	361	375	736	100	348	20	10	327	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA	Reading Phillies	—	133	117	30	6	2	2	12	16	3	1	1	256	341	393	734	137	280	12	9	329	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	315	271	82	27	2	3	33	49	5	6	3	303	388	450	839	148	353	16	10	369	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	463	416	114	18	1	5	35	53	8	2	2	274	342	358	700	84	303	11	8	317	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	INTL	Perth Heat	—	163	143	37	8	0	4	10	30	6	4	1	259	333	399	732	140	295	18	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	Reading Phillies	—	195	181	39	8	3	3	11	44	3	5	2	215	272	343	614	127	269	23	6	276	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL	Perth Heat	—	204	174	65	10	0	10	16	22	7	10	5	374	447	603	1.050	230	377	11	8	445	187	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	57	52	10	2	0	1	3	8	0	1	0	192	236	288	525	96	209	14	5	229	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA	Reading Phillies	—	201	183	47	7	1	3	8	39	0	1	0	257	288	355	643	98	301	19	4	274	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	INTL	Perth Heat	—	55	47	9	1	0	0	6	6	1	1	0	191	291	213	504	21	220	11	11	244	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL	Perth Heat	—	146	132	40	5	1	4	9	13	1	4	1	303	352	447	799	144	305	9	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL	Perth Heat	—	219	200	51	11	1	8	12	24	2	9	0	255	302	440	742	185	254	11	5	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	INTL	Perth Heat	—	70	59	16	6	0	3	9	6	1	5	0	271	371	525	897	254	260	9	13	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	INTL	Perth Heat	—	138	124	40	13	0	6	14	18	0	6	2	323	391	573	964	250	340	13	10	420	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	INTL	Perth Heat	—	150	133	45	7	0	5	13	17	1	5	1	338	401	504	905	165	351	11	9	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL	Perth Heat	—	186	160	54	11	1	6	21	22	3	8	2	338	424	531	955	194	358	12	11	418	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	INTL	Perth Heat	—	180	153	40	8	0	6	24	26	2	4	3	261	369	431	800	170	279	14	13	358	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	INTL	Perth Heat	—	81	72	18	6	0	1	9	20	0	3	0	250	333	375	708	125	333	25	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	35	INTL	Perth Heat	—	153	124	35	10	0	6	20	21	6	4	4	282	401	508	909	226	296	14	13	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	INTL	Perth Heat	—	163	137	40	6	1	3	22	27	2	5	2	292	395	416	811	124	343	17	13	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	37	INTL	Perth Heat	—	155	136	29	9	0	1	13	37	2	1	0	213	289	301	591	88	280	24	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	38	INTL	Perth Heat	—	56	48	13	4	0	2	6	5	0	0	1	271	352	479	831	208	262	9	11	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	135	120	26	8	0	1	13	23	2	3	1	217	304	308	612	92	255	17	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	27	25	5	2	0	1	0	12	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	237	44	0	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		170	33	0	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	233	209	51	13	1	1	15	63	3	2	0	244	304	330	634	86	321	27	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	133	120	28	5	2	2	9	20	3	1	1	233	303	358	661	125	258	15	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	315	279	72	24	2	3	25	70	5	6	3	258	330	391	721	133	315	22	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	463	426	104	18	1	4	25	77	8	2	2	244	298	319	618	75	281	17	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	195	184	36	7	3	2	8	52	3	5	2	196	241	299	540	103	258	27	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	57	54	11	2	0	1	1	9	0	1	0	204	218	296	514	93	204	16	2	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	Reading Phillies	—	201	185	44	5	1	2	6	49	0	1	0	238	262	308	570	70	286	24	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	135	120	26	8	0	1	13	23	2	3	1	217	304	308	612	92	260	17	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	—	135	112	33	11	0	1	21	16	2	3	1	295	415	420	834	125	337	12	16	380	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	27	25	5	2	0	1	0	12	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	333	44	0	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	27	25	5	2	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	200	200	400	600	200	267	33	0	239	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		200	33	0	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		182	27	0	121	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	233	209	51	13	1	1	15	63	3	2	0	244	304	330	634	86	338	27	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	233	200	55	15	1	1	24	47	3	2	0	275	361	375	736	100	348	20	10	327	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	400	98	29	3	4	33	89	8	7	4	245	315	362	678	117	300	20	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	448	388	112	33	4	5	45	65	8	7	4	289	374	433	807	144	330	15	10	357	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	626	571	139	24	1	5	33	105	14	6	3	243	301	315	616	72	288	17	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	626	559	151	26	1	9	45	83	14	6	3	270	340	369	708	98	301	13	7	319	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	399	365	73	14	6	4	17	107	10	15	7	200	255	304	559	104	267	27	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	399	355	104	18	3	13	27	66	10	15	7	293	360	470	830	177	325	17	7	362	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	313	292	66	9	1	3	8	71	1	3	0	226	249	295	544	68	283	23	3	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	313	282	66	10	1	4	17	53	1	3	0	234	279	319	598	85	270	17	5	260	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	146	132	40	5	1	4	9	13	1	4	1	303	352	447	799	144	305	9	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	146	132	40	5	1	4	9	13	1	4	1	303	352	447	799	144	305	9	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	219	200	51	11	1	8	12	24	2	9	0	255	302	440	742	185	254	11	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	219	200	51	11	1	8	12	24	2	9	0	255	302	440	742	185	254	11	5	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	70	59	16	6	0	3	9	6	1	5	0	271	371	525	897	254	260	9	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	70	59	16	6	0	3	9	6	1	5	0	271	371	525	897	254	260	9	13	390	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	138	124	40	13	0	6	14	18	0	6	2	323	391	573	964	250	340	13	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	138	124	40	13	0	6	14	18	0	6	2	323	391	573	964	250	340	13	10	420	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	150	133	45	7	0	5	13	17	1	5	1	338	401	504	905	165	351	11	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	150	133	45	7	0	5	13	17	1	5	1	338	401	504	905	165	351	11	9	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	186	160	54	11	1	6	21	22	3	8	2	338	424	531	955	194	358	12	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	186	160	54	11	1	6	21	22	3	8	2	338	424	531	955	194	358	12	11	418	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	180	153	40	8	0	6	24	26	2	4	3	261	369	431	800	170	279	14	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	180	153	40	8	0	6	24	26	2	4	3	261	369	431	800	170	279	14	13	358	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	81	72	18	6	0	1	9	20	0	3	0	250	333	375	708	125	333	25	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	81	72	18	6	0	1	9	20	0	3	0	250	333	375	708	125	333	25	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	35	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	153	124	35	10	0	6	20	21	6	4	4	282	401	508	909	226	296	14	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	35	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	153	124	35	10	0	6	20	21	6	4	4	282	401	508	909	226	296	14	13	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	163	137	40	6	1	3	22	27	2	5	2	292	395	416	811	124	343	17	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	163	137	40	6	1	3	22	27	2	5	2	292	395	416	811	124	343	17	13	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	37	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	155	136	29	9	0	1	13	37	2	1	0	213	289	301	591	88	280	24	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	37	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	155	136	29	9	0	1	13	37	2	1	0	213	289	301	591	88	280	24	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	38	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	56	48	13	4	0	2	6	5	0	0	1	271	352	479	831	208	262	9	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	38	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	56	48	13	4	0	2	6	5	0	0	1	271	352	479	831	208	262	9	11	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	135	119	26	8	0	1	13	23	2	3	1	218	304	311	615	92	255	17	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	27	27	5	2	0	1	0	12	0	0	0	185	200	370	570	185	237	44	0	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		170	33	0	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	233	213	51	13	1	1	15	63	3	2	0	239	304	324	628	85	321	27	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	404	98	29	3	4	33	89	8	7	4	243	315	359	674	116	298	20	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	626	574	139	24	1	5	33	105	14	6	3	242	301	314	615	71	281	17	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	399	369	73	14	6	4	17	107	10	15	7	198	255	301	556	103	258	27	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	313	301	66	9	1	3	8	71	1	3	0	219	249	286	535	66	268	23	3	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3893	3475	881	195	16	70	291	711	58	90	31	254	321	379	700	126	297	18	7	148	-14	-526	+6	+0	-23	+84	-46.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	148	33	3	12	49	119	10	15	5	255	323	384	708	129	299	18	8	148	-14	-88	+1	+0	-4	+14	-7.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2012 AAReading Phillies · 201 PAwOBA .273 → .244 (−29)K% 19.4% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.40%	÷0.963	×1.220	—	—	24.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.98%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×0.988	2.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.960	×0.970	×0.996	×0.988	24.84%
Doubles /BIP	4.86%	÷1.117	×0.860	×0.996	×0.988	3.68%
Triples /BIP	0.69%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.996	×0.988	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	2.08%	÷1.289	×0.780	—	×0.988	1.25%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 92, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .273 → .244; ISO .098 → .071; BABIP .301 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 57 PAwOBA .206 → .199 (−7)K% 14.0% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.04%	÷1.057	×1.200	—	—	15.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	1.75%	÷1.157	×0.690	—	×1.018	1.07%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.91%	÷0.984	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	16.08%
Doubles /BIP	4.55%	÷1.005	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	4.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.27%	÷1.249	×0.840	—	×1.018	1.56%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 111, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .206 → .199; ISO .096 → .079; BABIP .209 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAReading Phillies · 195 PAwOBA .269 → .235 (−34)K% 22.6% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.56%	÷1.026	×1.220	—	—	26.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.64%	÷0.918	×0.700	—	×0.998	4.29%
HBP% /PA	1.54%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	1.31%
Singles /BIP	18.25%	÷0.960	×0.970	×0.979	×0.998	18.02%
Doubles /BIP	5.84%	÷0.966	×0.860	×0.979	×0.998	5.08%
Triples /BIP	2.19%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.979	×0.998	2.26%
Home runs /BIP	2.19%	÷1.067	×0.780	—	×0.998	1.60%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 105, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .269 → .235; ISO .127 → .105; BABIP .269 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Clearwater Threshers · 463 PAwOBA .309 → .269 (−39)K% 11.4% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.45%	÷0.975	×1.420	—	—	16.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.13%	÷0.990	×0.750	—	×0.988	5.33%
HBP% /PA	1.73%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	1.59%
Singles /BIP	24.79%	÷0.987	×0.920	×0.998	×0.988	22.78%
Doubles /BIP	4.96%	÷0.947	×0.960	×0.998	×0.988	4.96%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷1.072	×0.810	×0.998	×0.988	0.21%
Home runs /BIP	1.38%	÷1.151	×0.880	—	×0.988	1.04%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 114, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .309 → .269; ISO .084 → .072; BABIP .303 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Clearwater Threshers · 315 PAwOBA .365 → .309 (−56)K% 15.6% → 22.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.56%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	22.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.48%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.998	7.84%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	1.47%
Singles /BIP	22.52%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.963	×0.998	19.90%
Doubles /BIP	12.16%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.963	×0.998	11.22%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.963	×0.998	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	1.35%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	1.19%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .365 → .309; ISO .148 → .129; BABIP .353 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAReading Phillies · 133 PAwOBA .323 → .283 (−40)K% 12.0% → 14.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.03%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.02%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	6.49%
HBP% /PA	2.26%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.97%
Singles /BIP	19.80%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.953	×1.027	18.80%
Doubles /BIP	5.94%	÷1.000	×0.860	×0.953	×1.027	5.00%
Triples /BIP	1.98%	÷1.000	×0.950	×0.953	×1.027	1.84%
Home runs /BIP	1.98%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.027	1.59%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .323 → .283; ISO .137 → .117; BABIP .280 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 ALakewood BlueClaws · 233 PAwOBA .322 → .274 (−48)K% 20.2% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.17%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	27.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.87%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	—	6.52%
HBP% /PA	1.29%	—	×0.770	—	—	0.99%
Singles /BIP	24.84%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.035	—	23.65%
Doubles /BIP	9.80%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.035	—	8.32%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.035	—	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	0.65%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	—	0.54%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .322 → .274; ISO .100 → .085; BABIP .348 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 ALakewood BlueClaws · 15 PAwOBA .117 → .096 (−21)K% 26.7% → 35.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.67%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	35.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.015	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.015	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.015	16.98%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.015	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	—	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.015	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .117 → .096; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .