Luisberth Valdez

Luisberth Valdez P FCL Braves

Age 18 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 138

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%21.3%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%3.7%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	6	29	133	34	22	1	67%	3.3	17.4%	20.7%	-3.3%	1.2%	4.91	4.91	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	6	29	133	34	22	1	67%	3.3	17.4%	20.7%	-3.3%	1.2%	4.91	4.91	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	9	6	29	133	34	22	1	67%	3.3	25.6%	16.5%	9.0%	0.8%	4.91	3.48	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	10	7	26	144	29	28	5	70%	2.6	13.7%	24.3%	-10.6%	4.9%	12.46	7.69	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	10	7	26	144	29	28	5	70%	2.6	13.7%	24.3%	-10.6%	4.9%	12.46	7.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	ATL	10	7	26	144	29	28	5	70%	2.6	20.1%	19.4%	0.7%	3.5%	12.46	5.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	6	6	28	117	26	18	3	100%	4.6	21.9%	15.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.24	5.12	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	ATL	3	3	14	59	13	9	2	100%	4.7	21.9%	15.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.24	5.12	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	14	57	13	9	2	100%	4.5	21.9%	15.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.24	4.74	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	191	132	29	100%	4.3	21.9%	15.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.24	4.74	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		19	13	55	277	43	62	9	68%	2.9	15.5%	22.6%	-7.1%	3.1%	8.46	6.36	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	47	200	1001	155	226	31	68%	2.9	15.5%	22.6%	-7.1%	3.1%	8.46	6.36	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luisberth Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	21.3%	17.6%	2.9%	—	5.12	21.9%	6.8%	28	-0.41	—	—	—
Brayan Mendoza L 2022 · 5.29 FIP	18	SP-	5.29	17.9%	15.0%	3.3%	.273	3.89	17.1%	6.3%	221	-1.40	3.59	398	84
Kelvin Rosario L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	16	SP-	4.34	16.3%	15.4%	1.2%	.287	5.81	16.2%	0.7%	93	+1.47	4.34	126	78
Gabriel Agostini L 2022 · 4.84 FIP	18	SP-	4.84	14.6%	15.0%	1.9%	.311	5.24	12.7%	-2.7%	55	+0.40	1.97	122	77
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	77
Manuel Osorio L 2023 · 4.83 FIP	17	SP-	4.83	15.5%	17.7%	1.4%	.276	4.91	16.8%	-0.2%	130	+0.08	3.90	168	76
Roberto Medina L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	18	SP	4.85	21.6%	21.7%	1.5%	.313	5.67	16.4%	-2.1%	73	+0.82	3.87	109	73
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	73
Yordan Nodal L 2019 · 5.24 FIP	17	SW	5.24	15.8%	20.7%	1.6%	.280	4.97	16.5%	1.3%	77	-0.27	4.94	193	72
Francisco Villegas L 2016 · 4.66 FIP	18	SP-	4.66	13.5%	14.8%	1.5%	.288	5.41	17.6%	5.1%	90	+0.75	4.55	131	72
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	72
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	72
Mavis Graves L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	19	SP	6.17	18.8%	22.2%	3.3%	.365	4.16	23.9%	10.0%	243	-2.01	3.10	277	72
Liam Norris L 2021 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP	6.27	17.4%	30.7%	1.4%	.396	5.46	24.2%	4.1%	119	-0.81	3.98	184	72
Javier Chacon L 2022 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	22.5%	13.1%	5.0%	.295	4.63	20.3%	3.5%	94	-0.98	4.56	202	71
Adam Shoemaker L 2022 · 4.46 FIP	19	SP-	4.46	13.9%	16.2%	0.9%	.320	5.32	17.9%	-2.3%	169	+0.86	4.41	246	71
Luis Cesar L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	19	SP-	5.28	14.8%	20.6%	1.5%	.351	5.77	14.3%	-8.1%	91	+0.49	4.84	131	71
Dylan MacLean L 2021 · 6.38 FIP	19	SP	6.38	13.6%	27.9%	1.6%	.271	4.11	15.7%	5.3%	101	-2.27	3.45	281	70
Luis Bellorin L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	18	SP-	5.01	12.4%	16.2%	1.7%	.330	3.28	14.2%	3.3%	37	-1.73	3.28	109	70
Jeremy Peguero L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	19	SW	4.63	17.3%	17.2%	1.5%	.345	4.08	20.1%	0.6%	87	-0.55	3.52	126	70
Frank Mozzicato L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	19	SP	5.00	21.5%	19.7%	2.2%	.306	5.60	18.6%	0.2%	288	+0.60	5.00	428	70