Dylan MacLean
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 24
LHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%16.8%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 137 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 7 | 6 | 17 | 85 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 86% | 2.4 | 13.6% | 27.9% | -14.3% | 1.6% | 5.82 | 6.37 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 7 | 6 | 17 | 85 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 86% | 2.4 | 20.0% | 22.4% | -2.4% | 1.2% | 5.82 | 5.22 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 21 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 10.8% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 3.96 | 6.43 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 21 | 0 | 25 | 110 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.96 | 4.86 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 23 | 7 | 76 | 321 | 75 | 30 | 2 | 30% | 3.3 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 3.20 | 3.42 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 23 | 7 | 76 | 321 | 75 | 30 | 2 | 30% | 3.3 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 0.6% | 3.20 | 2.65 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 21 | 10 | 73 | 285 | 65 | 15 | 9 | 48% | 3.5 | 17.6% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 21 | 10 | 73 | 285 | 65 | 15 | 9 | 48% | 3.5 | 22.8% | 5.3% | 17.5% | 3.2% | 3.34 | 3.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 15 | 14 | 71 | 302 | 59 | 23 | 12 | 93% | 4.7 | 15.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.69 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 47 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 5.5 | 16.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 137 | 580 | 106 | 42 | 20 | — | — | 18.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 4.60 | 4.99 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.12 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 52 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.39 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 67 | 283 | 53 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.7 | 18.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 10 | 10 | 65 | 274 | 52 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 7 | 7 | 45 | 190 | 35 | 13 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 18.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 52 | 220 | 41 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 44 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 28 | 28 | 183 | 774 | 144 | 55 | 23 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.06 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 157 | 60 | 25 | 100% | 6.4 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 87 | 37 | 262 | 1103 | 177 | 111 | 32 | 43% | 3.0 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.89 | 4.62 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 28 | 200 | 843 | 135 | 85 | 25 | 43% | 3.0 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.89 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan MacLean (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 16.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.41 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 203 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Gainey L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 88 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 84 |
| Charlie McDaniel L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.78 | 17.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.26 | 16.9% | 10.6% | 73 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 174 | 82 |
| Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 81 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 80 |
| Nico Tellache L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 80 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 80 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 79 |
| JP Sears L 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | .268 | 3.25 | 24.7% | 17.8% | 222 | -0.65 | 2.18 | 927 | 78 |
| Eric Wooten L 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 78 |
| Matt Stalcup L 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.43 | 16.2% | 9.7% | 0.8% | .266 | 6.06 | 11.5% | -1.2% | 56 | +2.63 | 3.43 | 145 | 77 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 77 |
| Steven Moyers L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.99 | 13.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | .291 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 11.9% | 218 | -0.28 | 3.67 | 464 | 77 |
| Brad Hand L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 77 |
| Carson Teel L 2025 · 3.44 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.44 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 1.2% | .292 | 4.80 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 144 | +1.36 | 3.44 | 248 | 77 |
| Jordan Carr L 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.86 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.87 | 14.9% | 6.2% | 162 | +0.01 | 3.39 | 261 | 76 |
| Matt Tomshaw L 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.95 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .318 | 3.49 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 401 | -0.46 | 2.95 | 681 | 76 |
| Matt Tracy L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 76 |
| Matt Purke L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 12.5% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .340 | 3.76 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 169 | -0.07 | 2.92 | 226 | 76 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.86 | 18.4% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .266 | 4.36 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 84 | +0.50 | 3.37 | 275 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 1.14 | 4.44 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |