Dylan MacLean — OGILVIE

Dylan MacLean P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION91 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

K%16.8%

BB%6.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	7	6	17	85	17	19	1	86%	2.4	13.6%	27.9%	-14.3%	1.6%	5.82	6.38	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	7	6	17	85	17	19	1	86%	2.4	20.0%	22.4%	-2.4%	1.2%	5.82	5.22	—
2022	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	21	0	25	110	16	8	4	0%	1.2	10.8%	8.6%	2.2%	5.2%	3.96	6.12	—
2022	20	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	21	0	25	110	16	8	4	0%	1.2	14.5%	7.3%	7.3%	3.6%	3.96	4.86	—
2023	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	23	7	76	321	75	30	2	30%	3.3	17.3%	11.0%	6.3%	0.7%	3.20	3.45	—
2023	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	23	7	76	321	75	30	2	30%	3.3	17.3%	11.0%	6.3%	0.7%	3.20	3.45	—
2023	21	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	23	7	76	321	75	30	2	30%	3.3	23.4%	9.3%	14.0%	0.6%	3.20	2.65	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	21	10	73	285	65	15	9	48%	3.5	17.6%	6.1%	11.5%	3.2%	3.34	4.17	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	21	10	73	285	65	15	9	48%	3.5	17.6%	6.1%	11.5%	3.2%	3.34	4.17	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	21	10	73	285	65	15	9	48%	3.5	22.8%	5.3%	17.5%	3.2%	3.34	3.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	20	17	91	388	76	29	16	85%	4.5	15.9%	8.2%	7.6%	4.9%	4.76	5.52	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	20	17	91	388	76	29	16	85%	4.5	15.9%	8.2%	7.6%	4.9%	4.76	5.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	TEX	20	17	91	388	76	29	16	85%	4.5	19.6%	7.5%	12.1%	4.1%	4.76	4.66	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	TEX	1	1	6	24	4	2	1	100%	5.7	16.8%	6.6%	10.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	96	412	80	31	17	—	—	19.4%	7.4%	12.0%	4.1%	4.75	5.46	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	90	380	68	25	11	100%	6.4	17.8%	6.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.47	4.44	+0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	90	380	70	25	11	100%	6.4	18.4%	6.6%	11.8%	3.0%	4.42	4.40	+0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	89	374	69	25	11	100%	6.3	18.5%	6.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.43	4.43	+0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	86	363	67	25	11	100%	6.6	18.5%	6.9%	11.6%	3.1%	4.48	4.51	+0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	13	13	82	346	63	25	11	100%	6.3	18.2%	7.1%	11.1%	3.3%	4.58	4.64	+0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	TEX	12	12	77	326	65	22	11	100%	6.4	19.9%	6.6%	13.3%	3.5%	4.56	4.55	+0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	39	165	29	11	5	100%	6.5	17.8%	6.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.47	4.44	+0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	9	9	60	253	47	17	8	100%	6.7	18.4%	6.6%	11.8%	3.0%	4.42	4.40	+0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	69	291	54	20	9	100%	6.3	18.5%	6.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.43	4.43	+0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	72	304	56	21	10	100%	6.5	18.5%	6.9%	11.6%	3.1%	4.48	4.51	+0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	72	304	55	22	10	100%	6.5	18.2%	7.1%	11.1%	3.3%	4.58	4.64	+0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	69	291	58	19	10	100%	6.3	19.9%	6.6%	13.3%	3.5%	4.56	4.55	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	59	382	1613	300	109	51	100%	6.5	18.6%	6.8%	11.8%	3.2%	4.49	4.12	+3.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	157	57	27	100%	6.5	18.6%	6.8%	11.8%	3.2%	4.49	4.12	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		92	40	281	1189	191	118	38	43%	3.1	16.0%	9.9%	6.1%	3.2%	3.97	4.75	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	28	200	845	135	84	27	43%	3.1	16.0%	9.9%	6.1%	3.2%	3.97	4.75	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan MacLean (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	16.8%	6.6%	3.0%	—	4.42	18.2%	11.6%	268	-0.12	—	—	—
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	82
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	81
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	81
Tommy Shirley L 2015 · 3.35 FIP	26	SP-	3.35	19.6%	7.0%	1.9%	.252	4.93	13.0%	4.2%	106	+1.58	3.35	147	81
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	80
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	79
Matt Stalcup L 2015 · 3.62 FIP	25	SW	3.62	16.2%	9.7%	1.2%	.266	6.20	11.5%	-1.2%	56	+2.58	3.62	145	79
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.26	20.8%	9.6%	219	-0.34	2.32	359	78
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	77
JP Sears L 2019 · 3.85 FIP	23	SW	3.85	16.8%	8.9%	1.9%	.268	3.34	24.7%	17.8%	222	-0.51	2.18	958	77
Jordan Carr L 2022 · 3.86 FIP	25	SP-	3.86	12.5%	5.2%	2.1%	.304	4.01	14.9%	6.2%	162	+0.15	3.49	269	77
Steven Moyers L 2018 · 4.01 FIP	24	SW	4.01	13.4%	5.3%	2.5%	.291	3.56	17.1%	11.9%	218	-0.45	3.52	464	77
Patrick Wicklander L 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP-	4.95	16.9%	8.8%	3.9%	.327	5.11	15.1%	0.1%	45	+0.16	4.88	254	77
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	77
Matt Tomshaw L 2015 · 3.91 FIP	26	SP-	3.91	13.8%	6.0%	2.2%	.318	3.57	16.0%	10.7%	401	-0.34	3.04	681	77
Carson Teel L 2019 · 3.43 FIP	23	SP-	3.43	17.2%	8.8%	1.2%	.292	4.86	16.9%	10.0%	144	+1.43	3.43	248	76
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	76
Matt Purke L 2015 · 3.82 FIP	25	SP-	3.82	12.5%	7.4%	1.5%	.340	3.78	20.6%	7.6%	169	-0.04	3.01	226	75
Lucas Knowles L 2022 · 4.00 FIP	24	SW	4.00	18.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.266	4.47	18.6%	7.8%	84	+0.47	3.37	308	75
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	83	18.3%	6.7%	1.21	4.49
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17