Luis Cesar
P
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 22
LHP
6'3" / 183 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105115vR 124
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
K%22.0%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 14.3% | 19.0% | -4.8% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 4.31 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 2.5 | 14.3% | 19.0% | -4.8% | 0.0% | 1.80 | 4.30 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 11 | 9 | 40 | 188 | 41 | 31 | 2 | 82% | 3.6 | 14.8% | 20.6% | -5.8% | 1.5% | 4.08 | 5.28 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 11 | 9 | 40 | 188 | 41 | 31 | 2 | 82% | 3.6 | 21.8% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 4.08 | 4.03 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 12 | 10 | 47 | 196 | 38 | 31 | 4 | 83% | 3.9 | 13.2% | 19.8% | -6.6% | 3.6% | 2.30 | 6.46 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 12 | 10 | 47 | 196 | 38 | 31 | 4 | 83% | 3.9 | 19.4% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.30 | 4.57 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 10 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 27 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 2.6 | 14.2% | 23.3% | -9.0% | 0.0% | 4.85 | 4.84 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 10 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 27 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 2.6 | 20.9% | 18.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 4.85 | 3.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 17 | 0 | 25 | 135 | 32 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.5% | 28.0% | -10.4% | 1.3% | 7.46 | 5.90 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 45 | 219 | 51 | 41 | 4 | — | — | 23.1% | 18.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 6.21 | 5.33 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 78 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 21 | 143 | 669 | 99 | 149 | 12 | 40% | 2.8 | 14.8% | 22.3% | -7.5% | 1.7% | 4.15 | 5.64 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 29 | 200 | 936 | 138 | 209 | 16 | 40% | 2.8 | 14.8% | 22.3% | -7.5% | 1.7% | 4.15 | 5.64 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Cesar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.41 | 22.9% | 12.7% | 21 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 85 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 83 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 82 |
| Josh Simpson L 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.43 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% | .290 | 3.28 | 33.4% | 19.3% | 102 | -1.15 | 3.07 | 247 | 82 |
| Lucas Knowles L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.79 | 20.5% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .366 | 4.10 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 177 | +0.31 | 3.37 | 275 | 81 |
| Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.53 | 13.8% | -0.3% | 43 | +0.49 | 4.04 | 197 | 81 |
| Chase Watkins L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 80 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 79 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 78 |
| Tucker Novotny L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .272 | 4.65 | 17.9% | 0.5% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.81 | 112 | 77 |
| Shane McCain L 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 4.51 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.32 | 4.19 | 201 | 77 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 76 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 76 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 76 |
| Jake Higginbotham L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .256 | 5.13 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 59 | -0.02 | 3.39 | 335 | 76 |
| Cameron Ming L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.03 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .308 | 5.28 | 14.3% | 4.9% | 49 | +1.25 | 4.03 | 111 | 76 |
| Zach Morris L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.59 | 18.5% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .286 | 4.59 | 13.9% | 2.4% | 84 | +1.00 | 3.40 | 109 | 75 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 75 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 75 |
| Franklin Dacosta L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.37 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .272 | 6.15 | 17.0% | -2.0% | 16 | +1.78 | 2.83 | 247 | 74 |