Wesly Castillo

OF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2302ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	150	.308/.396/.385	0	11	48	—	.209/.289/.261
2026	18	ROKDSL Rangers B…	226	.246/.426/.389	5	16	60	—	.170/.323/.258
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTEX	336	.215/.291/.294	3	7	68	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	58	.220/.297/.311	1	1	74	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTEX	137	.224/.301/.324	2	3	78	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%88

BB%75

Speed73

wOBA71

wRC+66

ISO63

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJose Escobar (age 19) · Forrest Wall (age 19) · Luis Durango (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 121 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .289 / .292

PA121

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	150	130	40	8	1	0	14	19	5	11	0	308	396	385	781	77	357	13	9	356	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	226	167	41	7	1	5	43	47	11	16	3	246	426	389	815	144	308	21	19	374	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	150	134	28	5	1	0	10	23	5	11	0	209	289	261	550	52	240	15	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	226	182	31	5	1	3	30	57	11	16	3	170	323	258	581	88	208	25	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	150	134	28	5	1	0	10	23	5	11	0	209	289	261	550	52	250	15	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	150	130	40	8	1	0	14	19	5	11	0	308	396	385	781	77	357	13	9	356	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	226	182	31	5	1	3	30	57	11	16	3	170	323	258	581	88	226	25	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	226	167	41	7	1	5	43	47	11	16	3	246	426	389	815	144	308	21	19	374	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	150	134	28	5	1	0	10	23	5	11	0	209	289	261	550	52	240	15	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	226	183	31	5	1	3	30	57	11	16	3	169	323	257	580	87	208	25	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	150	134	28	5	1	0	10	23	5	11	0	209	289	261	550	52	240	15	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	226	183	31	5	1	3	30	57	11	16	3	169	323	257	580	87	208	25	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	336	300	65	11	2	3	27	86	6	7	2	215	291	294	586	79	288	26	8	269	68	-13	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	169	150	34	6	1	2	14	43	3	4	1	220	297	309	606	89	290	25	8	277	74	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	283	253	57	10	2	4	23	70	5	7	2	223	301	322	622	98	291	25	8	284	78	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	386	344	78	13	3	6	32	95	7	10	2	226	304	331	635	105	292	25	8	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	452	404	93	16	3	8	37	110	8	11	3	229	306	339	646	111	293	24	8	293	84	-8	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	493	441	101	17	3	9	41	120	8	12	3	231	308	346	654	115	294	24	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	517	460	106	18	3	9	43	125	9	13	3	231	308	347	655	116	294	24	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	531	473	110	19	3	10	44	129	9	13	3	231	308	347	656	116	294	24	8	296	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	533	475	110	19	3	10	44	130	9	13	3	230	307	345	652	115	293	24	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	528	470	107	18	3	9	44	130	9	12	3	228	305	340	645	112	292	25	8	292	84	-10	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	517	461	105	18	3	9	43	129	8	11	3	226	302	334	636	108	291	25	8	289	81	-11	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	505	451	101	17	3	8	41	127	8	10	3	223	299	326	624	103	289	25	8	284	78	-13	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	220	297	311	608	91	290	26	9	278	74	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	137	123	27	4	1	2	11	34	2	3	1	224	301	324	625	100	291	25	8	285	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	209	186	42	7	1	3	17	51	4	5	1	227	305	334	639	107	292	24	8	290	82	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	256	229	54	9	2	5	21	63	4	6	2	230	307	343	650	113	293	25	8	294	84	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	279	249	57	9	2	5	23	68	5	7	2	232	309	350	658	118	294	24	8	297	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	292	261	61	10	2	6	24	71	5	7	2	232	309	351	660	119	294	24	8	298	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	300	267	62	10	2	6	25	73	5	7	2	232	309	351	660	119	293	24	8	298	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	295	263	61	10	2	6	25	72	5	7	2	231	308	349	657	118	293	24	8	297	86	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	290	259	59	10	2	5	24	71	5	6	2	229	306	344	650	115	292	24	8	294	84	-6	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	276	247	56	9	2	5	23	69	4	6	2	226	303	337	640	111	290	25	8	290	81	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	266	238	55	9	2	5	22	67	4	5	2	223	299	329	628	106	289	25	8	285	78	-7	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2658	2374	545	89	18	49	220	654	44	60	18	230	307	344	651	115	295	25	8	293	81	-52	+5	-2	-16	+58	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	22	4	12	54	160	11	15	4	229	307	343	649	114	294	25	8	293	81	-13	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5411	4806	1085	185	33	88	456	1319	101	146	33	226	306	333	639	107	291	24	8	288	81	-102	+12	-4	-30	+109	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	131	22	4	11	55	158	12	18	4	227	307	336	644	109	291	24	8	288	81	-13	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rangers Blue · 226 PAwOBA .367 → .257 (−110)K% 20.8% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.80%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.58%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.11%
HBP% /PA	4.87%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.43%
Singles /BIP	23.33%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.033	×1.008	16.52%
Doubles /BIP	5.83%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.033	×1.008	3.64%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.033	×1.008	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.97%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .367 → .257; ISO .144 → .083; BABIP .308 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 150 PAwOBA .350 → .239 (−110)K% 12.7% → 15.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.67%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	15.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.33%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×1.022	6.46%
HBP% /PA	3.33%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.39%
Singles /BIP	27.93%	÷0.993	×0.680	×1.003	×1.022	19.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.21%	÷1.108	×0.600	×1.003	×1.022	4.00%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.003	×1.022	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.259	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 99, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .350 → .239; ISO .077 → .046; BABIP .357 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,780	46	65	228	302	338	-17	+0	1.0	1.2
/162	664	11	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Wesly Castillo (OGILVIE)	19	55	20	60	35	213/289/292	78	288	1	3	26%	8%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	50	38→30	54→70	43	233/296/306	73	313	5	25	26%	6%	74	-0.6	213/291/269	56	284	2	28	24%	7%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jorge Ruiz 2023 · A	19	50→52	35→40	51→50	47	231/286/295	64	270	2	13	15%	5%	66	-1.1	234/287/309	75	301	3	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	231/285/303	72	304	3	13	23%	6%	66	-0.9
✕James Beresford 2008 · A	19	48→58	34→30	49→45	43	224/270/272	48	290	2	10	23%	6%	54	-2.0	240/287/281	41	306	1	7	20%	6%	63	-1.4	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Jake Fox 2022 · A	19	51→44	37→40	55→50	43	237/294/307	70	336	4	15	29%	7%	72	-0.7	210/291/305	95	291	6	11	27%	9%	72	-0.7	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Theo Bowe 2010 · A	19	43→53	35→30	54→60	43	200/261/257	57	288	2	18	29%	7%	49	-2.4	225/284/284	59	309	3	24	26%	7%	63	-1.4	241/302/294	53	324	2	37	24%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	226/277/312	86	293	6	14	24%	6%	67	-1.1	258/305/354	96	315	6	11	19%	6%	86	+0.3	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Kean Wong 2014 · A	19	51→61	35→45	52→55	43	240/281/300	61	293	2	9	19%	5%	65	-1.2	263/297/326	63	336	3	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	262/307/372	111	343	9	9	25%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Magneuris Sierra 2015 · A	19	52→58	37→40	51→60	46	244/294/317	73	299	3	13	19%	6%	74	-0.5	242/275/309	67	324	3	15	25%	4%	64	-1.3	231/275/306	76	302	5	32	24%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Tyler Wade 2014 · A	19	50→58	35→45	52→60	47	226/301/287	61	336	2	12	31%	9%	71	-0.8	241/296/307	66	332	2	16	26%	7%	73	-0.6	238/306/337	99	319	7	34	26%	8%	83	+0.0

Wesly Castillo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps