Yeison AcostaC DSL Orioles Black
Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 74 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .297 / .262
PA74
HR0
K%24
BB%11
BABIP277
ISO62
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.32.60.51.01.51.92.02.02.12.12.12.01.8+$130M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT49
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE69
scouting grade only
SPEED58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.0$10M+$10M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.1$10M+$9M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.1$9M+$9M
2035Arb-1$4M+2.1$8M+$7M
2036Arb-2$6M+2.0$7M+$5M
2037Arb-3$9M+1.8$6M+$3M
Totals $22M $51M +$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 138115 15110 14406 21 130259157416 26195 2910 203 14 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 138106 19220 23286 21 179356236591 57237 2017 289 79 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKBAL — 11188 16410 17232 123 182327250577 68232 2115 268 63 -5 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.2
YTD18 ROKBAL — 11178 18510 27162 123 231439321760 90273 1424 353 128 +4 +1 +0 +2 +3 1.0
ROS18 ROKBAL 0% 7465 13210 8181 31 200297262559 62274 2411 274 68 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS18 MLBBAL 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 278 —— 266 62 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL18 ROKBAL — 11189 16410 17232 123 180327247574 67229 2115 268 63 -5 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.2
TOT18 ROKBAL — 185153 29620 25413 154 190315255570 65250 2214 270 65 -7 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBBAL 34% 233202 43822 25564 61 213312302614 89278 2411 284 75 -7 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.5
202820 MLBBAL 48% 363316 691335 38866 92 218314326640 108281 2410 291 81 -8 +1 +0 +6 +10 1.0
202921 MLBBAL 54% 460401 891647 481088 113 222317334651 112282 2310 297 85 -8 +1 +0 +8 +13 1.5
203022 MLBBAL 57% 520451 1021949 551219 123 226322346668 120283 2311 300 88 -7 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.9
203123 MLBBAL 58% 520451 1021949 551209 123 226322346668 120284 2311 303 90 -6 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.0
203224 MLBBAL 57% 520451 1021949 551209 123 226322346668 120285 2311 304 91 -5 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.0
203325 MLBBAL 57% 520451 1021949 551209 123 226322346668 120285 2311 305 92 -5 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203426 MLBBAL 57% 520451 10319410 551209 123 228324355679 126285 2311 306 92 -5 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203527 MLBBAL 55% 520450 10319410 561209 123 229326356682 127285 2311 306 92 -5 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203628 MLBBAL 55% 520450 1021949 561219 123 227324347671 120284 2311 305 91 -5 +1 -1 +9 +15 2.0
203729 MLBBAL 53% 520450 1011849 561229 123 224322342665 118283 2311 303 90 -6 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.8
203830 MLBBAL 57% 520449 1001849 571239 113 223322341663 118282 2411 300 88 -7 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.6
203931 MLBBAL 60% 504436 951738 551218 112 218317326642 108279 2411 296 85 -9 +1 -3 +9 +14 1.3
204032 MLBBAL 61% 489425 901637 531198 102 212311313624 101276 2411 290 80 -11 +1 -4 +9 +14 1.0
204133 MLBBAL 62% 473412 861537 511187 92 209306311617 102272 2511 284 75 -13 +1 -4 +8 +13 0.6
204234 MLBBAL 58% 436379 771336 471117 82 203303301603 98266 2511 276 69 -15 +1 -5 +8 +12 0.1
204335 MLBBAL 53% 373324 621024 40986 72 191292272563 80260 2611 267 62 -16 +1 -6 +7 +11 -0.4
202719 MLBBAL 34% 8071 16311 8191 20 225312338651 113282 2410 276 69 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202820 MLBBAL 48% 176152 33612 19423 41 217316309625 92284 2411 283 75 -5 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
202921 MLBBAL 54% 249217 49924 26584 61 226320341661 115286 2310 288 79 -6 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.6
203022 MLBBAL 57% 294256 581125 31685 72 227322344666 117287 2311 292 82 -6 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.8
203123 MLBBAL 58% 299261 591125 31695 72 226320341661 115288 2310 294 83 -6 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203224 MLBBAL 57% 296258 591125 31685 72 229323345668 116289 2310 296 85 -5 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203325 MLBBAL 57% 295257 591126 31685 72 230324358682 128289 2311 297 85 -5 +1 +0 +5 +8 1.0
203426 MLBBAL 57% 294256 591126 31685 72 230325359685 129289 2311 297 86 -5 +1 +0 +5 +8 1.0
203527 MLBBAL 55% 289251 581126 31675 72 231328363690 131289 2311 297 86 -5 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.9
203628 MLBBAL 55% 286248 571125 31665 72 230327351678 121288 2311 296 85 -5 +1 -0 +5 +8 0.9
203729 MLBBAL 53% 278241 551025 30655 61 228326349675 120287 2311 294 83 -5 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.8
203830 MLBBAL 57% 297258 581125 32705 61 225322341663 116286 2411 292 81 -6 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.7
203931 MLBBAL 60% 300259 581125 33725 61 224323340663 116283 2411 287 78 -7 +1 -2 +5 +8 0.6
204032 MLBBAL 61% 300260 571025 32735 61 219316331647 112280 2411 282 74 -9 +1 -2 +5 +8 0.4
204133 MLBBAL 62% 295256 53924 32735 61 207307305612 98276 2511 276 69 -10 +1 -3 +5 +8 0.2
204234 MLBBAL 58% 253220 45823 27654 51 205303300603 95270 2611 267 63 -11 +1 -3 +5 +7 -0.1
204335 MLBBAL 53% 199173 33512 21523 41 191289266555 75264 2611 258 56 -10 +0 -3 +4 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 44803895 8661593174 477106375 10023 222319336655 114285 2411 288 79 -108 +11 -15 +80 +127 9.7
/ 162G— — 650565 12523411 6915411 153 221318335652 113283 2411 288 79 -16 +2 -2 +12 +18 1.4
Career— — 82237129 155628061129 8791962142 18345 218316329645 111281 2411 295 84 -153 +19 -25 +147 +233 22.5
/ 162G— — 650564 12322510 6915511 144 218315328643 110280 2411 295 84 -12 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 138106 19220 23286 21 179356236591 57237 2017 289 79 -3 +0 — — +4 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA
123,381976227312387+60+7722.521.6
/162664191+11.9+15.14.4pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
104,61374102220313332+75+4013.710.9
/1626641115+10.8+5.82.0pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yeison Acosta (OGILVIE) 18 44→49 28→33 53→58 69 190/315/255 65250 015 22% 14% 65 +0.3 ————————— —————————
●Angel Genao
2022 · A 		18 45→55 37→50 58→50 55 210/300/285 75268 416 22% 11% 66 -0.6 232/290/328 96308 711 25% 7% 72 -0.2 264/318/398134323111321%7%100+1.2
✕Jaison Chourio
2023 · A 		18 48→49 38→40 54→55 58 220/315/308 87276 315 20% 12% 79 +0.3 223/313/311 88314 521 27% 11% 79 +0.3 222/315/3219930182326%12%81+0.2
✕Leo Rivas
2016 · A 		18 44→54 37→40 52→65 44 204/291/284 80291 316 28% 8% 63 -0.8 208/298/281 73293 317 27% 10% 65 -0.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
✕Alexander Albertus
2023 · A 		18 50 36→40 55→45 58 230/334/299 69299 29 22% 12% 85 +0.7 231/326/326 95288 810 21% 11% 89 +0.9 220/314/312922799922%11%79+0.1
✕Eliezer Alfonzo
2018 · A 		18 50→51 35→45 50→40 52 232/303/288 55280 28 17% 8% 68 -0.5 236/302/306 70280 38 16% 8% 72 -0.2 245/294/3429726310311%6%75-0.0
✕Juan Brito
2021 · A 		19 47→49 41→50 53→45 48 227/287/331 103273 813 20% 7% 72 -0.2 229/306/358 129287 1210 23% 9% 89 +0.9 227/311/37414727215921%10%92+1.1
✕Michael Chirinos
2019 · A 		19 49 36→40 51→55 56 226/296/292 67252 411 12% 9% 66 -0.6 223/285/300 77247 614 12% 8% 63 -0.8 217/274/284672247227%7%60-0.4
★Geraldo Perdomo
2019 · A 		19 46→56 36→45 53→55 55 213/301/277 64275 317 22% 11% 65 -0.7 215/298/294 79281 415 23% 9% 69 -0.4 259/359/388129285112012%12%115+2.3
✕Alvaro Montero
2018 · A 		18 48 35→30 52→60 54 219/315/281 62294 316 24% 11% 72 -0.2 215/296/270 55306 218 27% 9% 61 -1.0 232/319/2633131203023%9%67-0.2
✕Enmanuel Tejeda
2023 · A 		18 44 38→40 51→60 58 207/313/298 91265 412 22% 12% 76 +0.1 218/305/301 83307 623 28% 10% 73 -0.1 216/305/2927730173228%10%68-0.2
✕Kelvin Alarcon
2017 · A 		18 47 34→30 51→55 58 211/319/262 51303 214 27% 13% 69 -0.4 204/289/261 57297 39 29% 10% 56 -1.3 201/262/235343190834%7%34-0.6
✕Ramón Cabrera
2009 · A 		19 43→53 40 51→40 49 209/274/305 96254 77 20% 8% 60 -1.0 234/282/320 86276 45 16% 6% 66 -0.6 263/317/347843013313%7%86+0.6
✕Jorge Minyety
2009 · A 		18 48 35→30 46→50 58 220/319/290 70282 113 20% 12% 76 +0.1 212/292/272 60291 211 25% 10% 59 -1.1 202/281/2413928201125%10%42-0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez
2023 · A 		19 51→55 40→45 53→55 43 245/292/346 101303 714 21% 5% 78 +0.2 237/292/339 102303 814 23% 6% 76 +0.1 255/306/365110315102221%6%86+0.6
●Vidal Bruján
2016 · A 		18 50→58 37→45 50→65 55 230/302/309 79254 417 11% 8% 73 -0.1 236/293/328 92268 517 13% 7% 73 -0.1 245/304/35811329094318%7%82+0.4
●Henry Alejandro Rodriguez
2008 · A 		18 45→55 40→45 50→55 48 212/272/311 99253 66 18% 7% 60 -1.0 237/276/324 87278 614 16% 5% 65 -0.7 270/301/382112304121115%4%91+0.7
✕Cristofer Torin
2023 · A 		18 49→50 35→40 53→50 59 226/322/293 67276 219 17% 12% 79 +0.3 217/296/292 75270 514 20% 9% 66 -0.6 221/293/3149326771019%8%68-0.4
✕Carlos Willoughby
2008 · A 		19 48→42 36→40 53→60 49 225/302/290 65279 317 19% 7% 69 -0.4 231/314/298 67298 228 21% 9% 76 +0.0 235/320/3077230313520%9%78+0.1
✕Yonny Hernández
2017 · A 		19 47→57 34→30 53→60 52 216/292/271 55261 119 16% 8% 59 -1.1 225/304/282 57280 124 18% 9% 67 -0.5 268/330/3265831931716%7%84+0.3
●Xavier Edwards
2019 · A 		19 52→62 37→40 56→60 50 245/307/319 74309 318 21% 8% 77 +0.1 246/292/306 60294 119 16% 6% 66 -0.6 304/363/3868134843613%8%114+2.3