Yeison Acosta

C DSL Orioles Black

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#521ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	138	.179/.356/.236	0	2	22	—	.115/.259/.142
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	198	.267/.427/.387	1	17	59	—	.173/.302/.247
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBBAL	308	.221/.304/.306	2	6	75	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	53	.228/.311/.326	1	1	81	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBBAL	126	.232/.315/.339	2	3	84	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%87

BB%78

Chase%78

Speed70

Whiff%66

wOBA65

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJaison Chourio (age 19) · Aron Estrada (age 19) · Leo Rivas (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .301 / .303

PA104

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE71

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	138	106	19	2	2	0	23	28	6	2	1	179	356	236	591	57	237	20	17	289	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	198	150	40	11	2	1	39	27	3	17	6	267	427	387	814	120	305	14	20	366	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	138	113	13	1	1	0	16	34	6	2	1	115	259	142	401	27	156	25	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	198	162	28	7	1	1	27	33	3	17	6	173	302	247	549	74	195	17	14	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	138	113	13	1	1	0	16	34	6	2	1	115	259	142	401	27	160	25	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	138	106	19	2	2	0	23	28	6	2	1	179	356	236	591	57	237	20	17	289	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	198	162	28	7	1	1	27	33	3	17	6	173	302	247	549	74	201	17	14	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	198	150	40	11	2	1	39	27	3	17	6	267	427	387	814	120	305	14	20	366	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	138	115	13	1	1	0	16	34	6	2	1	113	259	139	398	26	156	25	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	198	166	28	7	1	1	27	33	3	17	6	169	302	241	543	72	195	17	14	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	138	115	13	1	1	0	16	34	6	2	1	113	259	139	398	26	156	25	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	198	166	28	7	1	1	27	33	3	17	6	169	302	241	543	72	195	17	14	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	308	272	60	11	3	2	29	75	4	6	1	221	304	306	610	85	292	24	9	280	75	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	154	137	30	5	1	2	14	37	2	3	1	225	308	320	629	95	294	24	9	287	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	260	230	52	9	2	3	24	62	4	6	2	228	312	332	644	104	295	24	9	293	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	368	326	74	13	3	5	34	87	5	9	2	231	314	341	656	110	296	24	9	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	438	388	90	16	4	7	41	103	6	10	3	233	316	349	665	116	296	24	9	301	90	-5	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	445	395	94	17	4	8	41	104	6	10	3	235	317	355	672	120	297	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	445	395	94	17	4	8	41	104	6	10	3	235	318	357	674	121	297	23	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	445	395	93	16	4	8	41	104	6	10	3	235	318	357	675	122	297	23	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	445	394	92	16	4	8	42	105	6	10	3	234	317	354	671	120	296	24	9	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	445	395	92	16	4	8	41	106	6	9	3	232	315	350	664	117	295	24	9	301	90	-6	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	445	395	90	16	3	7	41	107	6	9	3	230	312	343	655	113	294	24	9	297	87	-7	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	445	395	90	16	3	7	41	108	6	8	3	227	308	335	644	108	292	24	9	292	84	-8	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	426	379	85	15	3	6	39	105	5	7	4	223	304	325	629	102	289	25	9	286	80	-10	-0	-3	+8	+9	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	407	362	78	13	3	5	37	102	5	6	5	218	297	313	610	95	286	25	9	279	75	-12	-1	-4	+7	+9	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	53	47	11	2	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	228	311	326	638	98	298	25	9	291	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	126	111	26	5	1	2	12	30	2	3	1	232	315	339	653	107	299	24	10	297	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	200	176	41	7	2	3	19	47	3	5	1	235	317	348	666	114	300	24	10	302	88	-3	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	248	220	51	9	2	4	23	58	3	6	2	237	319	356	676	119	300	23	9	305	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	252	224	54	10	2	5	23	59	3	6	2	239	321	363	683	124	301	23	9	308	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	251	223	54	10	2	5	23	59	3	6	2	239	321	364	685	125	301	24	9	309	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	251	223	54	10	2	5	23	59	3	6	2	239	321	365	686	126	301	24	9	309	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	247	219	52	9	2	5	23	58	3	6	2	238	320	362	682	124	300	23	9	308	91	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	244	216	51	9	2	4	23	58	3	5	2	236	318	357	675	121	300	24	9	305	90	-3	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	238	211	50	9	2	4	22	57	3	5	2	234	315	350	666	117	298	24	9	301	87	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	254	226	52	9	2	4	23	62	3	5	2	230	312	342	654	112	296	24	9	296	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	254	226	52	9	2	4	23	63	3	4	2	226	307	332	638	106	293	25	9	290	80	-6	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	249	222	49	8	2	3	22	63	3	4	3	221	300	319	620	98	289	25	9	282	75	-7	-0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2867	2544	597	106	23	49	264	686	36	62	23	235	315	352	668	118	301	24	9	301	84	-44	+3	-6	+51	+62	6.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	135	24	5	11	60	156	8	14	5	234	315	350	665	116	300	24	9	301	84	-10	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5608	4953	1116	197	45	84	530	1326	79	128	45	225	310	334	644	109	289	24	9	293	84	-82	+7	-10	+94	+114	12.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	130	23	5	10	61	154	9	15	5	226	311	336	647	110	290	24	9	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 198 PAwOBA .369 → .255 (−114)K% 13.6% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.64%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	16.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.70%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	13.72%
HBP% /PA	1.52%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.06%
Singles /BIP	21.14%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.983	×0.995	14.06%
Doubles /BIP	8.94%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.983	×0.995	5.25%
Triples /BIP	1.63%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.983	×0.995	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	0.81%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .369 → .255; ISO .120 → .075; BABIP .305 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 138 PAwOBA .287 → .200 (−87)K% 20.3% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.29%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	24.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.008	11.74%
HBP% /PA	4.35%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.07%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷0.989	×0.680	×0.983	×1.008	13.10%
Doubles /BIP	2.56%	÷1.010	×0.600	×0.983	×1.008	1.51%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.983	×1.008	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.913	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .287 → .200; ISO .057 → .033; BABIP .237 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.5	2,971	46	62	231	309	343	+53	+32	9.2	7.9
/162	664	10	14	+11.9	+7.2	2.1	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yeison Acosta (OGILVIE)	19	55→60	29→34	53→58	71	219/301/303	85	292	1	2	24%	9%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→45	53→55	57	205/300/267	62	260	3	17	20%	11%	67	-1.1	222/307/301	79	287	4	15	22%	9%	77	-0.3	258/359/382	124	284	11	19	13%	13%	115	+2.4
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	51→60	39→50	48→50	52	239/316/323	85	302	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.2	217/281/304	87	307	5	10	29%	8%	67	-1.1	242/324/370	128	322	13	10	27%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Sanchez 2024 · A	19	49→54	37→40	50	56	218/326/301	83	327	4	13	30%	13%	84	+0.2	217/305/303	86	356	6	12	36%	11%	76	-0.4	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Johnny Ascanio 2022 · A	19	48	36→40	50→45	50	221/309/292	71	287	2	15	22%	8%	76	-0.4	212/277/284	72	291	4	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2

Yeison Acosta

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps