Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 13 | 6 | 38 | 168 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 46% | 2.9 | 19.4% | 17.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.17 | 5.81 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 13 | 6 | 38 | 168 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 46% | 2.9 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 5.17 | 3.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 7 | 6 | 21 | 95 | 24 | 22 | 1 | 86% | 3.0 | 17.2% | 28.9% | -11.8% | 1.5% | 6.00 | 6.12 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | HOU | 4 | 4 | 23 | 96 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 44 | 191 | 46 | 32 | 4 | — | — | 24.1% | 16.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 5.21 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | HOU | 5 | 5 | 24 | 101 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.0 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 3.9 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 85 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 12 | 59 | 263 | 49 | 58 | 8 | 60% | 3.0 | 18.6% | 21.9% | -3.2% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.92 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 40 | 200 | 887 | 165 | 194 | 26 | 60% | 3.0 | 18.6% | 21.9% | -3.2% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.92 | -1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Omar Damian (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 24 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.91 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | .316 | 4.73 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 161 | -0.18 | 4.35 | 197 | 84 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 81 |
| Gerelmi Maldonado R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 124 | +0.43 | 3.83 | 215 | 80 |
| Sean Paul Liñan R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .324 | 4.14 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.10 | 3.29 | 243 | 80 |
| Luis Arejula R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 80 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 80 |
| Luis Victorino R 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 78 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 78 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 78 |
| Moises Castillo R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 77 |
| Anderson Brito R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 77 |
| Porter Hodge R 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 77 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2029 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 76 |
| Alexander Cornielle R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.08 | 24.1% | 14.2% | 2.2% | .329 | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 312 | +0.26 | 3.85 | 502 | 76 |
| Deretd Parra R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 76 |
| Jose Cedeno R 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.66 | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .271 | 3.54 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 88 | -1.12 | 2.95 | 123 | 76 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 76 |
| Moisés Chace R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.81 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .387 | 4.54 | 24.2% | 6.9% | 208 | +0.73 | 3.81 | 247 | 76 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.94 | 22.5% | 14.8% | 1.6% | .264 | 5.65 | 16.1% | -2.1% | 40 | +1.71 | 3.94 | 216 | 76 |
| Heisell Baro R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .196 | 5.77 | 15.8% | -1.4% | 61 | +1.40 | 4.16 | 105 | 76 |