Luis Aular

SS DSL Red Sox Blue

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	87	.164/.349/.194	0	0	7	—	.097/.244/.111
2026	18	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	62	.186/.435/.302	1	4	52	—	.125/.323/.229
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBBOS	172	.193/.284/.263	1	2	59	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBOS	53	.203/.293/.284	0	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBBOS	143	.208/.297/.297	2	2	69	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%96

Chase%76

wOBA67

Speed67

wRC+65

K%52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYasmil Bucce (age 19) · Omar Alfonzo (age 19) · Juan Villavicencio (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .281 / .261

PA62

HR0

K%32

BB%9

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	87	67	11	2	0	0	15	33	4	0	1	164	349	194	543	30	314	38	17	277	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	62	43	8	0	1	1	16	13	3	4	1	186	435	302	738	116	241	21	26	363	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	87	72	7	1	0	0	10	41	4	0	1	97	244	111	355	14	208	47	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	62	48	6	0	1	1	11	16	3	4	1	125	323	229	552	104	158	26	18	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	87	72	7	1	0	0	10	41	4	0	1	97	244	111	355	14	219	47	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	87	67	11	2	0	0	15	33	4	0	1	164	349	194	543	30	314	38	17	277	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	62	48	6	0	1	1	11	16	3	4	1	125	323	229	552	104	161	26	18	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	62	43	8	0	1	1	16	13	3	4	1	186	435	302	738	116	241	21	26	363	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	87	73	7	1	0	0	10	41	4	0	1	96	244	110	354	14	208	47	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	62	48	6	0	1	1	11	16	3	4	1	125	323	229	552	104	158	26	18	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	87	73	7	1	0	0	10	41	4	0	1	96	244	110	354	14	208	47	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	62	48	6	0	1	1	11	16	3	4	1	125	323	229	552	104	158	26	18	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	172	151	28	4	1	1	16	54	3	2	1	193	284	263	547	70	288	31	9	256	59	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	153	135	26	4	1	1	14	47	3	2	1	198	289	278	567	80	290	31	9	264	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	296	260	53	8	2	4	28	90	6	4	1	203	293	291	584	89	291	30	9	270	69	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	402	353	73	11	3	6	38	120	8	6	2	207	296	303	599	96	292	30	9	276	73	-13	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	474	418	87	13	4	7	44	140	9	7	2	210	299	313	612	103	293	30	9	281	76	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	458	98	15	4	9	48	151	9	7	3	213	301	322	623	108	294	29	9	285	79	-13	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	548	482	104	16	4	10	51	159	10	7	3	214	302	325	626	110	294	29	9	286	80	-13	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	564	496	106	16	4	10	53	164	10	7	3	214	302	326	628	112	294	29	9	287	80	-13	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	569	501	107	17	4	10	53	166	10	7	3	213	301	324	625	111	294	29	9	285	79	-14	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	567	499	106	16	4	10	53	167	10	5	2	212	299	319	619	108	293	29	9	283	78	-15	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	560	494	103	16	4	9	52	166	9	3	2	209	297	313	610	104	291	30	9	279	75	-17	-0	-1	+6	+12	-0.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	550	485	101	15	4	9	51	165	9	1	2	206	293	306	599	99	290	30	9	275	72	-18	-1	-2	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	53	47	9	2	0	0	5	16	1	1	0	203	293	284	577	81	298	30	9	268	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	143	126	26	4	1	2	13	44	3	2	1	208	297	297	595	90	299	31	9	274	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	218	192	40	7	1	3	20	65	4	3	1	212	301	309	610	97	300	30	9	280	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	268	236	51	9	2	4	25	79	5	4	1	215	304	319	623	104	301	29	9	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	294	260	57	10	2	5	27	86	5	4	1	219	306	328	634	110	302	29	9	289	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	310	272	59	10	2	5	29	90	6	4	2	219	306	331	637	112	303	29	9	290	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	319	280	61	10	2	6	30	93	6	4	2	219	307	333	639	113	302	29	9	291	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	315	277	61	10	2	6	29	92	6	4	1	218	306	330	636	112	302	29	9	290	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	311	274	59	10	2	5	29	92	5	3	1	217	304	325	629	109	301	30	9	287	78	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	325	286	61	10	2	5	30	97	6	2	1	214	301	319	621	105	300	30	9	284	75	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	304	268	57	9	2	5	28	91	5	1	1	211	298	312	610	101	298	30	9	279	72	-10	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2860	2518	541	91	18	46	265	845	52	32	12	215	303	320	623	105	301	30	9	285	75	-80	+2	-2	+31	+62	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	123	21	4	10	60	192	12	7	3	215	303	318	621	103	302	30	9	285	75	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5414	4756	987	150	39	86	512	1612	101	61	26	208	298	310	608	102	292	30	9	278	75	-151	+2	-4	+56	+114	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	118	18	5	10	61	194	12	7	3	207	296	308	604	102	292	30	9	278	75	-19	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,923	48	32	211	296	316	+31	+21	3.0	3.0
/162	664	11	7	+7.1	+4.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Aular (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	191/281/261	70	288	0	1	32%	9%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→43	39→55	47→45	40	170/236/260	90	270	6	8	37%	7%	40	-3.0	210/275/349	139	306	13	8	34%	8%	76	-0.4	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	37	35→55	53→50	43	177/251/241	65	256	2	8	30%	7%	42	-2.9	192/259/282	90	265	4	9	27%	7%	54	-2.0	185/255/303	118	252	4	11	26%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Ryan Mount 2006 · A	19	42	38→50	50	42	194/263/278	84	305	5	8	35%	8%	55	-2.0	216/268/330	114	295	12	11	29%	6%	68	-1.0	242/286/380	138	297	15	8	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0

Luis Aular

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps