Narciso Polanco2B
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 21
L/R
5'10" / 161 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.3 · 2031
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .275 / .287
PA320
HR3
SB13
K%26
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
25→25
SPD
55→55
EYE
50↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.1 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.9 | $5M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | -$0.3M |
| Totals | $12M | $54M | +$42M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 218 | 191 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 77 | 4 | 11 | 5 | .183 | .274 | .267 | .541 | .084 | .293 | 35 | 9 | .244 | 45 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | 180 | 163 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 3 | .160 | .230 | .209 | .439 | .049 | .219 | 28 | 7 | .198 | 10 | -18 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -1.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 415 | 377 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 137 | 3 | 26 | 7 | .170 | .237 | .255 | .491 | .085 | .248 | 33 | 7 | .223 | 29 | -33 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 524 | 461 | 90 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 116 | 9 | 35 | 15 | .195 | .282 | .267 | .549 | .072 | .250 | 22 | 9 | .250 | 50 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 61 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .167 | .250 | .352 | .602 | .185 | .226 | 34 | 8 | .243 | 44 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TB | 259 | 233 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 71 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .193 | .268 | .288 | .556 | .094 | .264 | 27 | 8 | .259 | 57 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | TB | 320 | 287 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 92 | 4 | 13 | 4 | .188 | .265 | .300 | .565 | .111 | .257 | 29 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | TB | 563 | 500 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 51 | 130 | 7 | 19 | 6 | .208 | .290 | .318 | .608 | .110 | .259 | 23 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -19 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +16 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | TB | 609 | 540 | 115 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 57 | 138 | 7 | 20 | 6 | .213 | .296 | .335 | .632 | .122 | .262 | 23 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -15 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +17 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | TB | 638 | 564 | 122 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 61 | 142 | 8 | 20 | 6 | .216 | .302 | .344 | .646 | .128 | .264 | 22 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -13 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +18 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | TB | 655 | 578 | 127 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 145 | 8 | 19 | 6 | .220 | .306 | .351 | .657 | .131 | .265 | 22 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +19 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 78% | TB | 662 | 583 | 129 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 66 | 147 | 8 | 19 | 6 | .221 | .309 | .357 | .666 | .136 | .265 | 22 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +19 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | TB | 663 | 583 | 128 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 67 | 147 | 8 | 18 | 5 | .220 | .309 | .355 | .664 | .136 | .265 | 22 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +19 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TB | 658 | 578 | 125 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 67 | 148 | 8 | 16 | 5 | .216 | .306 | .344 | .651 | .128 | .265 | 22 | 10 | .297 | 86 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +19 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | TB | 648 | 569 | 123 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 66 | 147 | 8 | 15 | 4 | .216 | .306 | .344 | .651 | .128 | .264 | 23 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +18 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | TB | 638 | 561 | 119 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 147 | 7 | 13 | 4 | .212 | .302 | .335 | .637 | .123 | .262 | 23 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | TB | 623 | 547 | 115 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 64 | 146 | 7 | 11 | 3 | .210 | .301 | .335 | .636 | .124 | .261 | 23 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | TB | 605 | 531 | 110 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 62 | 145 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .207 | .298 | .328 | .626 | .121 | .259 | 24 | 10 | .284 | 75 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +17 | -0.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | TB | 575 | 506 | 103 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 58 | 142 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .204 | .293 | .316 | .609 | .113 | .258 | 25 | 10 | .279 | 71 | -19 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +16 | -0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | TB | 527 | 463 | 92 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 134 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .199 | .289 | .307 | .596 | .108 | .256 | 25 | 10 | .272 | 67 | -20 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +15 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9660 | 8528 | 1772 | 329 | 68 | 176 | 932 | 2309 | 116 | 276 | 87 | .208 | .294 | .324 | .619 | .116 | .262 | 24 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -291 | +20 | -20 | +34 | +274 | 1.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 120 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 63 | 155 | 8 | 19 | 6 | .209 | .297 | .328 | .624 | .118 | .263 | 24 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 218 | 175 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 52 | 4 | 11 | 5 | .251 | .391 | .377 | .768 | .126 | .339 | 24 | 17 | .349 | 125 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | 180 | 157 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 3 | .210 | .303 | .280 | .584 | .070 | .260 | 19 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -7 | -1 | — | — | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 415 | 354 | 80 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 95 | 3 | 26 | 7 | .226 | .324 | .336 | .661 | .110 | .292 | 23 | 12 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +2 | — | — | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 524 | 435 | 99 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 73 | 82 | 9 | 35 | 15 | .228 | .350 | .320 | .670 | .092 | .268 | 16 | 14 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Narciso Polanco (OGILVIE) | 21 | 40 | 25 | 55 | 55 | .200/.275/.287 | .087 | .271 | 3 | 9 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A |
21 | 45 | 36→30 | 54→60 | 51 | .210/.290/.269 | .060 | .280 | 4 | 23 | 25% | 10% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.308/.288 | .066 | .293 | 2 | 21 | 22% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .235/.336/.301 | .066 | .302 | 0 | 28 | 19% | 12% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 37→30 | 51→60 | 45 | .202/.271/.271 | .070 | .286 | 4 | 11 | 29% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .211/.307/.281 | .070 | .293 | 4 | 26 | 27% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.340/.278 | .049 | .305 | 3 | 35 | 22% | 10% | 80 | +0.1 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 38→45 | 58→55 | 45 | .188/.259/.276 | .088 | .265 | 5 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .210/.284/.296 | .086 | .280 | 6 | 17 | 25% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .229/.318/.327 | .099 | .300 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A |
21 | 44 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 46 | .205/.280/.288 | .083 | .305 | 6 | 13 | 32% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .234/.309/.335 | .101 | .341 | 7 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .246/.314/.364 | .118 | .341 | 8 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
●Brice Turang 2021 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 36→45 | 54→60 | 50 | .211/.287/.276 | .065 | .284 | 3 | 16 | 25% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .230/.292/.324 | .094 | .293 | 8 | 22 | 23% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .273/.346/.393 | .120 | .333 | 12 | 35 | 20% | 10% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A |
20 | 44 | 37→40 | 48→55 | 42 | .208/.263/.284 | .076 | .278 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .229/.294/.302 | .073 | .305 | 3 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .262/.328/.337 | .075 | .341 | 2 | 29 | 22% | 6% | 87 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A |
22 | 42→43 | 38→40 | 51→55 | 43 | .203/.259/.275 | .072 | .276 | 6 | 16 | 28% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.279/.314 | .093 | .282 | 9 | 18 | 24% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .227/.292/.316 | .089 | .272 | 11 | 27 | 20% | 8% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jean Ramirez 2022 · A |
21 | 44→49 | 38→40 | 52→65 | 45 | .209/.282/.287 | .078 | .296 | 5 | 20 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .216/.277/.299 | .083 | .307 | 8 | 27 | 30% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .212/.271/.279 | .067 | .295 | 7 | 31 | 29% | 7% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Elias Arias 2015 · A |
21 | 49 | 36→30 | 47→55 | 48 | .229/.296/.295 | .067 | .290 | 4 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.260/.275 | .073 | .287 | 5 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .161/.210/.245 | .083 | .254 | 7 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 13 | -0.9 |
|
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A |
21 | 43 | 38→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .207/.263/.285 | .078 | .260 | 5 | 17 | 22% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .207/.257/.291 | .084 | .292 | 7 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .194/.239/.274 | .079 | .290 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 3% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A |
21 | 46 | 36→40 | 57→60 | 47 | .215/.281/.293 | .077 | .280 | 1 | 18 | 22% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .228/.289/.316 | .088 | .298 | 4 | 17 | 23% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .245/.306/.339 | .094 | .314 | 6 | 23 | 22% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Brent Keys 2012 · A |
22 | 46→56 | 35→30 | 51→50 | 49 | .215/.284/.270 | .055 | .276 | 3 | 14 | 22% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .265/.319/.333 | .068 | .300 | 4 | 12 | 12% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .276/.336/.332 | .056 | .308 | 2 | 12 | 10% | 8% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A |
21 | 43 | 33→30 | 46→55 | 51 | .196/.288/.239 | .043 | .279 | 1 | 15 | 28% | 10% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.268/.256 | .055 | .262 | 2 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 45 | -2.1 | .183/.242/.211 | .028 | .222 | 0 | 9 | 16% | 7% | 19 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A |
22 | 41→44 | 37→40 | 51→50 | 47 | .197/.266/.269 | .071 | .257 | 5 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .211/.288/.305 | .094 | .269 | 6 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.293/.306 | .097 | .264 | 6 | 10 | 21% | 10% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A |
21 | 43 | 39→45 | 54→50 | 40 | .206/.263/.293 | .087 | .303 | 7 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .215/.257/.315 | .100 | .316 | 7 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .210/.249/.305 | .095 | .301 | 6 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 45 | -1.2 |
|
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A |
21 | 43→46 | 36→45 | 50→55 | 40 | .206/.254/.272 | .067 | .282 | 3 | 13 | 27% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .198/.252/.266 | .068 | .286 | 3 | 12 | 30% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.289/.354 | .121 | .330 | 9 | 17 | 30% | 6% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Gerson Manzanillo 2007 · A |
21 | 47 | 36→30 | 57→50 | 43 | .221/.269/.292 | .071 | .277 | 2 | 15 | 21% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .211/.254/.277 | .066 | .287 | 3 | 13 | 26% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .254/.283/.307 | .053 | .299 | 3 | 13 | 16% | 3% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A |
21 | 46→43 | 35→30 | 52→55 | 47 | .215/.282/.278 | .063 | .284 | 2 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .208/.268/.272 | .064 | .266 | 3 | 20 | 21% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .205/.264/.263 | .058 | .262 | 2 | 22 | 21% | 6% | 42 | -1.4 |
|
✕Alfredo Angarita 2018 · A |
21 | 41 | 35→30 | 51→55 | 49 | .194/.274/.256 | .062 | .268 | 2 | 15 | 26% | 9% | 48 | -1.9 | .202/.266/.257 | .055 | .287 | 2 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .194/.258/.236 | .042 | .276 | 1 | 9 | 28% | 7% | 32 | -1.3 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A |
21 | 42 | 33→30 | 48→50 | 47 | .194/.253/.236 | .041 | .244 | 1 | 14 | 20% | 7% | 33 | -2.9 | .235/.285/.276 | .041 | .289 | 1 | 10 | 18% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .240/.292/.258 | .018 | .289 | 0 | 11 | 16% | 7% | 52 | -0.5 |