Narciso Polanco — OGILVIE

Narciso Polanco2B Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 161 lbs A+ HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION505 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP286

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	218	175	44	8	4	2	36	52	4	11	5	251	391	377	768	126	339	24	17	349	122	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	180	157	33	2	3	1	19	35	2	3	3	210	303	280	584	70	260	19	11	270	69	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	354	80	20	2	5	50	95	3	26	7	226	324	336	661	110	292	23	12	300	89	-5	+2	—	—	+9	0.6
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	435	99	16	6	4	73	82	9	35	15	228	350	320	670	92	268	16	14	309	96	-3	+1	—	—	+11	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	218	191	34	5	3	1	20	76	4	11	5	178	270	251	521	73	274	35	9	241	49	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	164	26	1	2	1	12	50	2	3	3	159	225	207	432	49	217	28	7	199	21	-17	-1	—	—	+4	-1.4
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	377	64	15	1	5	30	137	3	26	7	170	237	255	491	85	246	33	7	224	38	-31	+2	—	—	+9	-2.0
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	461	90	16	4	3	47	116	9	35	15	195	282	267	549	72	244	22	9	250	55	-28	+1	—	—	+11	-1.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	218	191	34	5	3	1	20	76	4	11	5	178	270	251	521	73	282	35	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	218	175	44	8	4	2	36	52	4	11	5	251	391	377	768	126	339	24	17	349	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	164	26	1	2	1	12	50	2	3	3	159	225	207	432	49	217	28	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	180	157	33	2	3	1	19	35	2	3	3	210	303	280	584	70	260	19	11	270	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	377	64	15	1	5	30	137	3	26	7	170	237	255	491	85	248	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	354	80	20	2	5	50	95	3	26	7	226	324	336	661	110	292	23	12	300	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	461	90	16	4	3	47	116	9	35	15	195	282	267	549	72	250	22	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	435	99	16	6	4	73	82	9	35	15	228	350	320	670	92	268	16	14	309	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	218	192	34	5	3	1	20	76	4	11	5	177	270	250	520	73	274	35	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	164	26	1	2	1	12	50	2	3	3	159	225	207	432	49	217	28	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	379	64	15	1	5	30	137	3	26	7	169	237	253	490	84	246	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	463	90	16	4	3	47	116	9	35	15	194	282	266	548	71	244	22	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	164	26	1	2	1	12	50	2	3	3	159	225	207	432	49	217	28	7	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	379	64	15	1	5	30	137	3	26	7	169	237	253	490	84	246	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	463	90	16	4	3	47	116	9	35	15	194	282	266	548	71	244	22	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	TB	—	505	459	98	19	4	7	36	145	4	25	10	214	277	318	595	105	294	29	7	260	62	-23	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	TB	—	505	439	111	23	4	9	55	108	4	25	10	253	341	385	726	132	314	21	11	325	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	TB	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		278	30	10	262	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	TB	—	515	468	99	19	4	7	37	148	4	25	10	212	275	314	589	103	291	29	7	260	62	-23	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TB	35%	566	512	111	21	4	10	44	146	5	18	7	217	285	332	617	115	278	26	8	277	73	-18	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	49%	597	539	119	22	4	12	48	149	5	19	7	221	291	343	634	122	280	25	8	286	80	-14	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	615	555	125	23	4	14	50	151	5	19	7	225	295	357	652	132	281	25	8	292	84	-12	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	627	564	128	24	4	15	52	152	6	19	7	227	299	363	663	137	282	24	8	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	634	570	129	24	4	15	53	154	6	19	7	226	299	361	660	135	282	24	8	296	87	-10	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	634	569	129	24	4	15	54	155	6	19	7	227	300	362	663	135	281	24	9	296	87	-10	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	629	564	128	24	4	15	54	154	6	18	7	227	301	363	665	137	281	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	619	556	124	23	4	14	53	153	5	16	6	223	296	354	651	131	280	25	9	294	85	-11	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	TB	57%	609	547	122	22	4	14	52	152	5	14	6	223	296	355	651	132	279	25	9	291	83	-12	+0	-2	+2	+13	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	TB	60%	595	534	116	21	3	13	51	150	5	12	5	217	292	341	632	124	276	25	9	287	80	-14	+0	-3	+2	+13	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	TB	35%	196	177	40	8	1	4	15	50	2	6	2	226	294	350	644	124	287	26	8	277	73	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	49%	290	263	59	11	2	6	23	72	2	9	4	224	292	350	641	125	289	25	8	287	80	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	325	293	67	13	2	7	26	80	3	10	4	229	298	358	656	130	290	25	8	293	84	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	343	309	72	14	2	8	28	83	3	10	4	233	303	369	672	136	290	24	8	296	86	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	353	318	75	14	3	9	29	86	3	11	4	236	306	384	689	148	290	24	8	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	349	313	72	14	2	8	30	85	3	10	4	230	303	364	668	134	290	24	9	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	344	309	71	14	2	8	29	84	3	10	4	230	302	366	668	136	289	24	8	296	86	-6	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	330	296	68	13	2	8	28	82	3	9	3	230	303	368	671	139	289	25	8	294	85	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	TB	57%	347	311	70	13	2	8	30	87	3	8	3	225	299	357	656	132	287	25	9	291	83	-7	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	TB	60%	354	318	71	13	2	8	30	89	3	7	3	223	296	352	648	129	285	25	8	287	80	-8	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3231	2907	665	127	20	74	268	798	28	90	35	229	300	363	663	134	288	25	8	292	76	-63	+4	-4	+12	+70	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	134	26	4	15	54	161	6	18	7	229	301	364	665	135	288	25	8	292	76	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7472	6712	1446	265	49	147	621	1898	72	248	96	215	289	335	624	120	276	25	8	281	76	-123	+8	-7	+22	+133	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	126	23	4	13	54	165	6	22	8	216	289	336	624	120	276	25	8	281	76	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.9	3,232	72	90	224	293	355	+12	+5	4.1	3.9
/162	664	15	18	+2.4	+1.0	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Narciso Polanco (OGILVIE)	21	40	25	55	55	206/272/301	95	278	4	13	27%	7%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	44	35→30	53→65	46	204/281/259	55	266	3	24	23%	7%	58	-1.7	214/284/271	57	295	2	32	26%	6%	61	-1.5	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Elias Arias 2015 · A	21	49	36→30	47→55	49	229/297/294	65	290	4	16	21%	8%	71	-0.8	201/258/275	74	289	5	11	30%	7%	51	-2.2	161/210/245	83	254	7	9	38%	5%	23	-0.9
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→55	35→40	51→55	53	218/299/284	66	260	2	16	16%	9%	70	-0.9	240/345/309	69	306	3	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	242/332/330	88	296	7	18	19%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A	21	42	33→30	48→50	48	196/255/237	41	245	1	14	20%	7%	42	-2.9	237/286/279	42	293	1	10	18%	6%	61	-1.5	240/292/258	18	289	0	11	16%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	44→45	36→45	50→55	40	207/255/274	67	284	3	14	28%	5%	49	-2.4	200/255/273	73	290	3	12	30%	6%	50	-2.3	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	48	228/294/313	86	300	4	17	24%	8%	74	-0.5	270/314/320	50	311	1	59	13%	6%	82	-0.0	303/337/348	46	336	0	63	10%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	47	226/283/285	60	284	1	23	20%	7%	63	-1.4	226/277/284	58	318	1	23	27%	6%	60	-1.6	230/282/279	48	334	0	29	29%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	211/269/283	72	288	6	16	28%	7%	57	-1.8	224/284/319	95	288	9	18	24%	7%	72	-0.7	227/292/316	89	272	11	27	20%	8%	73	-0.3
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	51→50	44	199/273/280	81	308	5	13	35%	9%	59	-1.7	234/307/336	102	347	7	13	31%	9%	84	+0.2	245/313/363	118	342	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2008 · A	22	48	38→40	51→55	46	223/296/307	84	281	4	17	21%	7%	74	-0.6	232/290/313	81	279	5	16	18%	6%	72	-0.7	256/309/334	78	290	5	21	13%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	66	-1.1	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	72	-0.7	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	78	-0.3	225/271/287	62	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/324/338	67	344	3	10	21%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	43	33→30	46→55	52	197/290/240	43	280	1	14	27%	10%	57	-1.8	202/267/260	58	263	3	9	22%	8%	51	-2.2	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	28	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps