Trent Farquhar
2B Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 398 | .282/.420/.361 | 1 | 31 | 89 | — | .244/.360/.323 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A+/APHI | 308 | .214/.351/.282 | 2 | 18 | 52 | — | .200/.292/.259 |
| 2026 | 25 | A+PHI | 275 | .194/.349/.290 | 1 | 9 | 36 | — | .155/.268/.232 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBPHI | 1 | .217/.312/.294 | 0 | 0 | 76 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 40 | .218/.311/.297 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 24 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 348 | 278 | 626 | 111 | 214 | 17 | 21 | 290 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 41 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 324 | 439 | 382 | 821 | 59 | 367 | 10 | 12 | 382 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 20 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 389 | 450 | 444 | 894 | 56 | 412 | 5 | 10 | 405 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 172 | 140 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 257 | 388 | 336 | 724 | 79 | 336 | 20 | 13 | 337 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 144 | 105 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 314 | 497 | 429 | 925 | 114 | 405 | 18 | 24 | 424 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 62 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 250 | 323 | 268 | 590 | 18 | 350 | 26 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 153 | 127 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 197 | 333 | 283 | 617 | 87 | 230 | 16 | 16 | 294 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 119 | 96 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 229 | 362 | 281 | 643 | 52 | 278 | 15 | 16 | 301 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 36 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 389 | 276 | 665 | 34 | 250 | 3 | 17 | 323 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 275 | 217 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 58 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 194 | 349 | 290 | 640 | 97 | 256 | 21 | 14 | 301 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 304 | 263 | 568 | 105 | 186 | 21 | 17 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 41 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 222 | 317 | 250 | 567 | 28 | 279 | 15 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 20 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 368 | 400 | 421 | 821 | 53 | 404 | 5 | 5 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 172 | 148 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 44 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 216 | 318 | 284 | 601 | 68 | 293 | 26 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 144 | 115 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 36 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 261 | 406 | 357 | 762 | 96 | 354 | 25 | 17 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 153 | 134 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 30 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 194 | 294 | 276 | 570 | 82 | 234 | 20 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 119 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 200 | 276 | 238 | 514 | 38 | 239 | 20 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 36 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 333 | 258 | 591 | 32 | 217 | 3 | 11 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 275 | 233 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 76 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 155 | 268 | 232 | 499 | 77 | 208 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 65 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 200 | 312 | 255 | 567 | 55 | 250 | 17 | 11 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 65 | 52 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 269 | 406 | 346 | 752 | 77 | 318 | 12 | 15 | 348 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 398 | 337 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 96 | 11 | 31 | 9 | 240 | 352 | 312 | 663 | 71 | 331 | 24 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 398 | 319 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 65 | 77 | 11 | 31 | 9 | 282 | 420 | 361 | 781 | 78 | 366 | 19 | 16 | 362 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 308 | 270 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 55 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 196 | 289 | 252 | 540 | 56 | 238 | 18 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 308 | 252 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 44 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 214 | 351 | 282 | 633 | 67 | 251 | 14 | 16 | 300 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 275 | 233 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 76 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 155 | 268 | 232 | 499 | 77 | 222 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 275 | 217 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 58 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 194 | 349 | 290 | 640 | 97 | 256 | 21 | 14 | 301 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 65 | 56 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 196 | 312 | 250 | 562 | 54 | 245 | 17 | 11 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 398 | 337 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 96 | 11 | 31 | 9 | 240 | 352 | 312 | 663 | 71 | 326 | 24 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 308 | 270 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 55 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 196 | 289 | 252 | 540 | 56 | 234 | 18 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 275 | 237 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 76 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 152 | 268 | 228 | 496 | 76 | 208 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 398 | 337 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 96 | 11 | 31 | 9 | 240 | 352 | 312 | 663 | 71 | 326 | 24 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 308 | 270 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 55 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 196 | 289 | 252 | 540 | 56 | 234 | 18 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 275 | 237 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 76 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 152 | 268 | 228 | 496 | 76 | 208 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 325 | 284 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 83 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 217 | 312 | 294 | 606 | 76 | 299 | 26 | 10 | 281 | 76 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 312 | 294 | 605 | 76 | 298 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 76 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 26% | 152 | 133 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 311 | 297 | 608 | 79 | 298 | 26 | 10 | 282 | 77 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 26% | 40 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 311 | 297 | 608 | 79 | 297 | 25 | 10 | 282 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 40 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 300 | 257 | 557 | 57 | 280 | 25 | 10 | 282 | 66 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 569 | 113 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 162 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 199 | 298 | 255 | 553 | 56 | 278 | 25 | 10 | 282 | 66 | -18 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1335 | 1148 | 238 | 51 | 7 | 6 | 137 | 312 | 35 | 72 | 17 | 207 | 311 | 280 | 590 | 72 | 277 | 23 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 559 | 116 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 152 | 17 | 35 | 8 | 208 | 311 | 279 | 590 | 72 | 278 | 23 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -18 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 275 PAwOBA .296 → .222 (−75)K% 21.1% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 8.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.73% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 3.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 13.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.54% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .296 → .222; ISO .097 → .079; BABIP .256 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 153 PAwOBA .288 → .254 (−33)K% 16.3% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.34% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.34% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 11.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 18.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×1.039 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.49% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .288 → .254; ISO .087 → .073; BABIP .230 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 119 PAwOBA .293 → .229 (−64)K% 15.1% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.13% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 19.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.13% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 8.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .293 → .229; ISO .052 → .041; BABIP .278 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 36 PAwOBA .316 → .262 (−54)K% 2.8% → 3.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 2.78% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 3.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 11.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .316 → .262; ISO .034 → .031; BABIP .250 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 172 PAwOBA .331 → .267 (−64)K% 19.8% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.77% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.79% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 7.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.65% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 3.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.47% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 22.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .331 → .267; ISO .079 → .070; BABIP .336 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 144 PAwOBA .418 → .338 (−80)K% 18.1% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.31% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 17.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.38% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.990 | 26.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.86% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×0.990 | 7.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.990 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.115 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .418 → .338; ISO .114 → .097; BABIP .405 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 20 PAwOBA .395 → .373 (−23)K% 5.0% → 6.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 6.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 35.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .395 → .373; ISO .056 → .049; BABIP .412 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Phillies · 41 PAwOBA .373 → .272 (−101)K% 9.8% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.76% | ÷0.989 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.005 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 23.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.023 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 88, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .373 → .272; ISO .059 → .041; BABIP .367 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .