Ripken Reyes — OGILVIE

Ripken ReyesSS San Antonio Missions

Age 29 S/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .313 / .307

PA250

HR2

SB5

K%16

BB%8

ISO91

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	ROK	2 teams	—	259	222	52	9	3	1	13	37	19	15	3	234	331	315	646	81	273	14	5	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	ROK	2 teams	—	259	214	66	12	4	2	21	26	19	15	3	308	417	430	847	121	339	10	8	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	102	77	20	2	1	0	8	30	13	4	1	260	418	312	730	52	426	29	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	102	72	22	3	1	0	13	22	13	4	1	306	490	375	865	69	440	22	13	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	416	343	75	13	3	2	33	71	27	9	4	219	335	292	627	73	267	17	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	416	330	77	15	4	2	46	54	27	9	4	233	372	321	693	88	271	13	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	528	420	99	11	4	9	45	103	49	30	7	236	375	345	721	110	291	20	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	528	409	105	16	4	6	56	78	49	30	7	257	409	359	768	103	304	15	11	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	506	421	86	15	3	4	32	83	34	16	7	204	312	283	595	78	243	16	6	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	506	408	92	15	4	4	45	63	34	16	7	225	351	311	662	86	255	12	9	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	2 teams	—	362	305	67	13	5	2	29	46	13	3	0	220	314	315	629	95	251	13	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	2 teams	—	362	289	67	14	6	2	45	37	13	3	0	232	360	343	703	111	258	10	12	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	SD	—	250	217	46	8	2	2	19	41	12	5	1	212	310	295	605	83	256	16	8	289	80	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	SD	28%	489	427	93	17	4	5	37	84	22	9	3	218	313	311	624	94	258	17	8	290	80	-11	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.7
2028	31	MLB	SD	43%	509	444	97	17	4	6	39	91	21	8	2	218	312	315	627	97	259	18	8	289	79	-12	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.6
2029	32	MLB	SD	52%	517	451	97	17	4	6	40	96	21	7	2	215	309	310	619	95	258	19	8	286	77	-14	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.4
2030	33	MLB	SD	57%	457	401	85	15	3	5	35	87	18	5	1	212	304	302	606	90	255	19	8	280	73	-14	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.0
2031	34	MLB	SD	53%	392	344	71	12	3	4	30	78	15	3	1	206	298	294	592	87	250	20	8	272	67	-15	+0	-5	+4	+11	-0.4
2027	30	MLB	SD	28%	137	120	26	5	1	1	10	24	6	2	1	217	309	300	609	83	256	18	7	255	53	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	31	MLB	SD	43%	220	192	41	7	2	2	17	39	9	3	1	214	307	302	609	89	256	18	8	255	54	-12	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.4
2029	32	MLB	SD	52%	269	235	50	9	2	3	21	50	11	4	1	213	307	306	613	94	255	19	8	253	52	-15	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.6
2030	33	MLB	SD	57%	261	229	48	8	2	3	20	50	10	3	1	210	301	301	602	92	252	19	8	249	49	-15	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.7
2031	34	MLB	SD	53%	206	180	37	6	2	2	16	41	8	2	0	206	299	294	593	89	247	20	8	241	43	-13	+0	-3	+2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1093	956	202	35	9	11	84	204	44	14	4	211	304	301	606	90	256	19	8	251	50	-62	+1	-9	+12	+31	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	120	21	5	7	50	121	26	8	2	211	304	302	606	91	255	19	8	251	50	-37	+1	-5	+7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	4787	4072	888	149	39	46	360	847	264	114	32	218	322	308	630	90	263	18	8	284	76	-131	+10	-17	+51	+136	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	553	120	20	5	6	49	115	36	15	4	217	322	304	626	87	261	18	8	284	76	-18	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	59	49	14	2	1	1	5	5	4	0	0	286	397	429	825	143	295	8	8	369	140	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2019	22	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	200	165	52	10	3	1	16	21	15	15	3	315	423	430	854	115	352	10	8	382	150	+11	+2	—	—	+6	1.9
2021	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	70	50	14	0	0	0	6	17	11	3	0	280	463	280	743		424	24	9	356	131	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	32	22	8	3	1	0	7	5	2	1	1	364	548	591	1.139	227	471	16	22	483	227	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	247	191	46	7	1	0	27	29	16	7	3	241	380	288	668	47	279	12	11	306	92	-2	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2022	25	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	169	139	31	8	3	2	19	25	11	2	1	223	361	367	728	144	259	15	11	337	116	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	528	409	105	16	4	6	56	78	49	30	7	257	409	359	768	103	304	15	11	352	128	+17	+3	—	—	+15	3.5
2024	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	506	408	92	15	4	4	45	63	34	16	7	225	351	311	662	86	255	12	9	302	89	-6	+0	—	—	+14	0.9
2025	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	139	110	30	7	2	0	15	13	5	0	0	273	385	373	757	100	306	9	11	326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	28	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	223	179	37	7	4	2	30	24	8	3	0	207	346	324	670	117	227	11	13	306	92	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	7	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
	/162	664	7	7	246	294	339	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,098	12	14	214	304	308	+10	+6	0.7	0.8
	/162	664	7	8	214	304	308	+6.2	+3.6	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ripken Reyes (OGILVIE)	29	45	35	45	60	216/313/307	90	256	2	5	16%	8%	80	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Jaramillo 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	40→45	46→40	47	229/287/322	92	277	7	6	20%	7%	70	-0.3	212/266/298	86	270	6	5	22%	6%	55	-1.4	197/250/267	70	253	4	2	22%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Josh Johnson 2015 · AAA	29	50→49	39→45	47→50	54	238/307/323	85	279	6	12	17%	9%	79	+0.3	227/295/307	80	275	6	10	18%	9%	69	-0.4	224/299/266	43	269	2	7	16%	10%	61	-0.4
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2013 · AAA	29	45	39→45	43→45	46	217/292/301	84	277	7	7	23%	7%	68	-0.5	217/285/326	109	287	11	6	27%	7%	71	-0.3	210/278/314	103	270	12	1	26%	6%	63	-0.2
✕Tyler Heineman 2019 · AAA	28	46→43	39→45	47→50	49	219/285/306	87	266	7	7	20%	8%	65	-0.7	239/297/357	118	286	11	8	20%	6%	84	+0.6	221/315/323	103	271	11	14	21%	10%	81	+0.1
✕Abraham O. Nunez 2005 · MLB	29	49→59	41→40	46→50	50	236/294/339	102	274	8	10	17%	7%	76	+0.1	247/314/327	80	289	6	4	15%	9%	82	+0.5	244/319/307	63	287	4	2	15%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Herrera 2014 · MLB	29	49→58	39→40	46→55	51	232/287/310	78	258	7	9	13%	7%	66	-0.6	236/285/326	90	280	7	9	17%	6%	69	-0.4	234/271/311	77	292	4	10	20%	4%	56	-0.3
✕Rob Johnson 2011 · MLB	29	46→52	41→45	41→50	52	222/297/331	109	271	8	5	20%	9%	77	+0.1	208/273/320	112	259	11	7	23%	7%	64	-0.8	196/251/301	105	240	11	5	23%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Omar Mendoza 2012 · AAA	29	48→54	41→45	43→45	50	233/293/332	99	274	9	8	19%	8%	75	-0.0	233/282/322	89	296	9	7	23%	6%	68	-0.5	233/280/308	75	298	8	5	24%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2009 · MLB	29	54→53	38→45	46→45	54	253/306/337	85	265	5	4	8%	7%	81	+0.4	238/311/349	111	252	11	5	10%	9%	87	+0.8	249/316/387	138	262	15	5	12%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Chris De La Cruz 2010 · AAA	28	52	38→40	43→45	49	246/303/326	80	297	5	6	18%	7%	77	+0.1	235/279/325	90	285	6	5	19%	6%	66	-0.6	240/274/321	81	285	5	0	17%	4%	59	-0.7
✕Bobby Hill 2006 · MLB	28	52	37→40	43→45	50	245/322/320	75	301	4	5	19%	8%	85	+0.7	240/323/338	98	309	7	5	23%	9%	90	+1.0	239/333/326	87	316	5	0	23%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Brent Abernathy 2007 · MLB	29	52→53	39→40	47→50	49	252/299/332	81	283	8	17	14%	6%	77	+0.1	236/283/315	79	268	6	17	14%	6%	66	-0.6	234/281/291	57	261	3	19	11%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Josh Wilson 2010 · MLB	29	46→50	42→45	46→50	44	223/279/328	105	264	8	10	19%	5%	68	-0.5	223/271/323	100	278	7	8	22%	4%	63	-0.8	214/262/309	95	277	6	8	24%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Callix Crabbe 2010 · MLB	27	45→53	38→40	46→55	54	212/287/296	84	249	5	12	17%	9%	64	-0.8	212/274/316	104	252	9	17	19%	7%	63	-0.8	208/268/313	105	247	10	21	20%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Matt Tolbert 2011 · MLB	29	50→56	40→45	54→50	47	239/285/343	104	282	6	15	17%	6%	73	-0.1	213/265/287	74	260	3	13	18%	6%	51	-1.7	219/267/257	38	267	1	11	17%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Jake Elmore 2016 · MLB	29	48→58	36→40	44→55	52	225/292/289	64	266	4	13	17%	8%	63	-0.8	225/301/281	56	274	4	16	18%	9%	66	-0.6	240/302/310	70	291	3	10	18%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Cord Phelps 2015 · MLB	28	48→57	43→45	42→45	50	232/294/348	116	274	10	6	19%	8%	80	+0.4	218/277/304	86	268	8	8	20%	7%	61	-1.0	204/264/256	52	254	5	6	20%	8%	41	-1.8
✕Hainley Statia 2014 · AAA	28	47→57	38→40	45→50	50	222/281/293	72	267	5	9	19%	8%	59	-1.1	239/314/346	107	283	10	11	18%	9%	88	+0.9	265/356/376	112	303	10	10	15%	12%	109	+1.1
✕Angel Sanchez 2013 · MLB	29	55→60	37→40	48→45	51	259/308/327	69	286	5	8	12%	6%	79	+0.3	225/272/305	80	261	7	6	16%	6%	59	-1.1	194/237/251	57	232	4	0	18%	4%	28	-1.0
✕Eddy Garabito 2006 · MLB	29	53	45→40	48→50	51	260/320/390	129	290	12	14	15%	7%	102	+1.8	240/295/334	94	270	8	16	14%	7%	76	+0.1	239/298/316	77	268	6	17	13%	7%	69	-0.4