Jake Snider

CF Frisco RoughRiders
Age 29 L/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426A+/ACOL417.261/.427/.39972987—.223/.344/.334
202527AA/A+SD153.256/.384/.3360959—.198/.298/.243
202628AATEX61.192/.288/.1920310—.167/.237/.167
2027PROJMLE29MLBTEX2.214/.295/.3160074-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB30MLBTEX27.213/.293/.3130173-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed50
BB%45
Chase%31
Z-Con%25
Whiff%20
wOBA6
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsSherman Johnson (age 29) · Tim Torres (age 29) · Nick Ward (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .295 / .316
PA2
HR0
K%50
BB%8
BABIP283
ISO79
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202123 ABradenton Marauders — 1813 6100 520 00 4626115381.150 77545 1128 517 182 — — — — — —
202325 AFresno Grizzlies — 447375 9815106 559311 222 261372403775 141329 2112 347 76 — — — — — —
202426 A+Spokane Indians — 272215 51625 425410 212 237386353739 116291 2015 340 66 — — — — — —
202426 AFresno Grizzlies — 145103 32922 33217 82 311503495999 184366 1423 444 126 — — — — — —
202527 AASan Antonio Missions — 2318 6000 332 31 333478333812 400 1313 391 116 — — — — — —
202527 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 130107 26620 19332 62 243367336704 93347 2515 323 49 — — — — — —
202628 AAFrisco RoughRiders — 6152 10000 6231 31 192288192480 333 3810 229 10 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202123 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 1815 6100 330 00 400500467967 67504 1717 437 182 — — — — — —
202325 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 447393 871394 3712811 222 221306331637 109304 298 281 76 — — — — — —
202426 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 272231 47524 267310 212 203311294605 91261 2710 266 66 — — — — — —
202426 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 145115 30722 21287 82 261406409814 148311 1914 354 126 — — — — — —
202527 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 2319 6000 232 31 316435316751 373 139 340 116 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 130113 20410 13422 62 177273230504 53283 3210 241 49 — — — — — —
202628 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 6154 9000 4281 31 167237167404 297 467 183 10 — — — — — —
202123 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 1815 6100 330 00 400500467967 67500 1717 437 182 — — — — — —
202123 A RAWBradenton Marauders — 1813 6100 520 00 4626115381.150 77545 1128 517 182 — — — — — —
202325 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 447393 871394 3712811 222 221306331637 109313 298 281 76 — — — — — —
202325 A RAWFresno Grizzlies — 447375 9815106 559311 222 261372403775 141329 2112 347 76 — — — — — —
202426 A+ MLE2 teams — 417346 761245 4710117 294 220341321662 101291 2411 297 87 — — — — — —
202426 A+ RAW2 teams — 417318 831547 757517 294 261427399826 138317 1818 376 87 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLE2 teams — 153132 26410 15464 93 197298242540 45299 3010 256 59 — — — — — —
202527 A+ RAW2 teams — 153125 32620 22364 93 256384336720 80356 2414 333 59 — — — — — —
202628 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 6154 9000 4281 31 167237167404 333 467 183 10 — — — — — —
202628 AA RAWFrisco RoughRiders — 6152 10000 6231 31 192288192480 333 3810 229 10 — — — — — —
202123 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 1815 6100 330 00 400500467967 67504 1717 437 182 — — — — — —
202325 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 447396 871394 3712811 222 220306328634 109304 298 281 76 — — — — — —
202426 A+ MLE2 teams — 417350 761245 4710117 294 217341317659 100278 2411 297 87 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLE2 teams — 153133 26410 15464 93 195298241539 45297 3010 256 59 — — — — — —
202628 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 6156 9000 4281 31 161237161398 297 467 183 10 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 A+ MLE2 teams — 417350 761245 4710117 294 217341317659 100278 2411 297 87 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLE2 teams — 153133 26410 15464 93 195298241539 45297 3010 256 59 — — — — — —
202628 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 6156 9000 4281 31 161237161398 297 467 183 10 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLETEX 2% 200178 38713 17533 51 213294313607 100284 268 278 74 -6 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXTEX 2% 22 0000 010 00 214295316611 102283 500 279 74 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLETEX 23% 120107 23412 10322 21 212292311603 98283 278 276 73 -4 +0 -2 +0 +3 -0.3
202830 MLB CTXTEX 23% 2725 5100 270 10 213293313606 101282 267 277 73 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2725 5100 270 10 200259240499 40278 267 277 76 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 1202400 481690 240 199258239498 40277 267 277 76 -21 +5 -11 +2 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 13001123 242371512 12336036 6712 215313307620 92302 289 280 76 -6 +0 -2 +1 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650562 1211886 6218018 346 215314308622 93301 2810 280 76 -21 +0 -7 +2 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 61 PAwOBA .228 → .183 (−45)K% 37.7% → 46.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.70%÷1.000×1.220——46.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.84%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9686.66%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.870—×0.9681.38%
Singles /BIP34.48%÷1.000×0.920—×0.96830.71%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.840—×0.9680.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940—×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .228 → .183; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 130 PAwOBA .318 → .241 (−77)K% 25.4% → 32.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.38%÷0.989×1.270——32.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.62%÷0.984×0.710—×0.95810.11%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.790—×0.9581.16%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.013×0.920×0.990×0.95820.96%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷1.071×0.810×0.990×0.9585.81%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.120×0.850×0.990×0.9581.95%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.800—×0.9580.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .318 → .241; ISO .093 → .066; BABIP .347 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 23 PAwOBA .382 → .340 (−43)K% 13.0% → 15.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.04%÷1.054×1.220——15.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷1.020×0.700—×0.9788.75%
HBP% /PA8.70%—×0.870—×0.9787.40%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷0.964×0.920—×0.97837.35%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.963×0.840—×0.9780.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.940—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.950×0.800—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .382 → .340; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Spokane Indians · 272 PAwOBA .334 → .266 (−68)K% 19.9% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.85%÷0.996×1.350——26.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.44%÷1.106×0.710—×0.9689.59%
HBP% /PA3.68%—×0.810—×0.9682.88%
Singles /BIP23.60%÷0.999×0.910×1.050×0.96821.86%
Doubles /BIP3.73%÷1.098×0.830×1.050×0.9682.86%
Triples /BIP1.24%÷0.907×0.820×1.050×0.9681.14%
Home runs /BIP3.11%÷1.086×0.830—×0.9682.30%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 81, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .334 → .266; ISO .116 → .092; BABIP .291 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFresno Grizzlies · 145 PAwOBA .440 → .354 (−86)K% 14.5% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.48%÷1.011×1.360——19.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.76%÷1.064×0.690—×0.96014.17%
HBP% /PA4.83%—×0.780—×0.9603.61%
Singles /BIP23.17%÷1.015×0.920×1.018×0.96020.52%
Doubles /BIP10.98%÷1.081×0.830×1.018×0.9608.24%
Triples /BIP2.44%÷0.900×0.910×1.018×0.9602.41%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷1.002×0.800—×0.9601.87%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 103, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .440 → .354; ISO .184 → .165; BABIP .366 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AFresno Grizzlies · 447 PAwOBA .340 → .281 (−59)K% 20.8% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.81%÷0.987×1.360——28.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.86%÷0.952×0.690—×0.9708.33%
HBP% /PA2.46%—×0.780—×0.9701.86%
Singles /BIP23.76%÷0.988×0.920×1.039×0.97022.30%
Doubles /BIP5.32%÷0.946×0.830×1.039×0.9704.70%
Triples /BIP3.55%÷0.941×0.910×1.039×0.9703.45%
Home runs /BIP2.13%÷1.186×0.800—×0.9701.39%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .340 → .281; ISO .141 → .115; BABIP .329 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ABradenton Marauders · 18 PAwOBA .505 → .437 (−69)K% 11.1% → 15.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷0.989×1.360——15.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA27.78%÷1.130×0.690—×0.99016.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP45.45%÷0.976×0.920—×0.99042.44%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷0.943×0.830—×0.9907.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.302×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 98, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .505 → .437; ISO .077 → .075; BABIP .545 → .504. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).