Carlos Salazar

SS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1458ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTB	74	.214/.389/.268	0	0	42	—	.150/.292/.183
2026	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	175	.243/.361/.307	1	9	30	—	.171/.271/.219
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTB	285	.219/.292/.293	2	5	68	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTB	49	.225/.299/.308	0	1	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTB	118	.228/.303/.318	1	2	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%78

K%71

Z-Con%71

Chase%47

Speed39

BB%31

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsIsiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19) · Luisangel Acuña (age 19) · Cooper Pratt (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .289 / .290

PA91

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	74	56	12	3	0	0	13	14	3	0	3	214	389	268	657	54	279	19	18	314	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	140	34	6	0	1	22	30	4	9	4	243	361	307	669	64	289	17	13	300	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	60	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	150	292	183	475	33	200	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	146	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	171	271	219	490	48	191	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	60	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	150	292	183	475	33	205	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	74	56	12	3	0	0	13	14	3	0	3	214	389	268	657	54	279	19	18	314	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	146	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	171	271	219	490	48	212	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	140	34	6	0	1	22	30	4	9	4	243	361	307	669	64	289	17	13	300	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	62	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	145	292	177	469	32	200	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	153	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	163	271	209	480	46	191	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	62	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	145	292	177	469	32	200	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	153	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	163	271	209	480	46	191	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	285	256	57	10	2	2	23	71	4	5	1	219	292	293	584	74	291	25	8	268	68	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	143	129	28	5	1	1	11	35	2	3	1	223	297	306	603	83	293	24	8	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	244	218	49	8	1	3	20	60	4	5	2	226	300	317	618	91	294	25	8	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	355	318	72	12	2	5	29	86	5	7	2	228	303	327	630	98	294	24	8	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	428	384	88	15	2	7	35	103	6	9	3	231	305	334	640	104	295	24	8	290	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	474	425	99	17	3	8	39	113	7	10	3	233	307	341	648	108	296	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	501	448	104	18	3	8	41	120	7	11	3	233	308	342	650	109	296	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	516	461	108	19	3	9	43	123	7	11	4	233	308	343	651	110	296	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	465	109	19	3	9	43	125	7	11	4	232	307	341	647	109	295	24	8	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	516	461	106	18	3	8	43	125	7	10	4	230	305	336	641	106	295	24	8	291	83	-11	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	505	451	104	18	3	8	42	124	7	9	4	228	302	330	632	102	294	25	8	287	80	-12	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	493	444	99	17	2	7	40	122	6	8	4	225	299	323	622	98	292	25	8	283	78	-13	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	52%	477	430	94	16	2	6	38	120	6	7	5	221	294	313	608	92	290	25	8	277	74	-15	-1	-3	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	49	44	10	2	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	225	299	308	606	82	296	24	8	277	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	118	105	24	4	1	1	10	29	2	2	1	228	303	318	621	90	297	25	8	283	77	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	193	172	41	7	1	3	16	47	3	4	1	231	305	328	633	97	298	24	8	288	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	242	217	50	8	1	4	20	58	3	5	2	233	308	335	643	102	299	24	8	292	83	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	268	240	56	9	2	4	22	64	4	6	2	235	309	342	651	107	300	24	8	295	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	283	254	60	10	2	5	23	68	4	6	2	235	310	343	653	108	300	24	8	295	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	291	261	62	10	2	5	24	69	4	6	2	235	310	344	653	108	299	24	8	296	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	288	258	61	10	2	5	24	69	4	6	2	234	309	341	650	107	299	24	8	294	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	283	254	59	10	2	4	23	69	4	5	2	233	307	337	644	104	298	24	8	292	83	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	270	242	55	9	1	4	22	66	4	5	2	230	304	331	635	100	297	24	8	288	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	259	233	53	9	1	4	21	64	3	4	2	228	301	324	625	96	296	25	8	284	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	52%	249	224	49	8	1	3	20	63	3	4	3	224	296	314	611	91	293	25	8	278	74	-8	-0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2793	2504	580	96	16	42	229	678	39	54	21	232	306	333	639	101	300	24	8	290	79	-61	+2	-4	+30	+61	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	135	22	4	10	53	158	9	13	5	232	305	334	640	103	299	24	8	290	79	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5512	4923	1113	191	29	81	456	1333	79	112	46	226	302	326	628	100	291	24	8	285	79	-119	+5	-7	+56	+114	5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	132	23	3	10	54	157	9	13	5	227	303	329	632	102	292	24	8	285	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 175 PAwOBA .302 → .212 (−90)K% 17.1% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.14%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	20.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.57%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.87%
HBP% /PA	2.29%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.61%
Singles /BIP	24.55%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.983	×1.008	16.52%
Doubles /BIP	5.45%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.983	×1.008	3.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.983	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.91%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .302 → .212; ISO .064 → .039; BABIP .289 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rays · 74 PAwOBA .312 → .231 (−82)K% 18.9% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.92%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	23.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.57%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.32%
HBP% /PA	4.05%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.90%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷0.985	×0.680	×1.045	×1.022	15.81%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.989	×0.600	×1.045	×1.022	4.63%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.045	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .312 → .231; ISO .054 → .038; BABIP .279 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,885	44	56	230	301	333	+31	+21	4.9	4.5
/162	664	10	13	+7.1	+4.8	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Salazar (OGILVIE)	19	51→56	29→34	49→54	61	217/289/290	74	291	1	2	25%	8%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2011 · A	19	47→57	37→45	54→60	42	219/270/295	76	299	3	17	26%	6%	60	-1.6	240/286/340	100	292	6	24	19%	6%	76	-0.4	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Edinson Rincon 2010 · A	19	47→56	37→45	48→30	45	218/288/289	71	313	4	5	30%	8%	66	-1.1	233/279/353	120	293	12	2	24%	5%	78	-0.3	255/295/362	107	317	10	1	22%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Andruw Monasterio 2016 · A	19	43→53	36→45	53→55	48	202/265/267	65	246	3	13	19%	7%	52	-2.2	213/267/272	59	274	2	10	21%	6%	54	-2.0	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4

Carlos Salazar

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps