Carlos Salazar — OGILVIE

Carlos SalazarSS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 79 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .290 / .294

PA79

HR1

K%28

BB%9

BABIP290

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$18M		$38M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	74	61	10	2	0	0	8	20	3	0	3	164	292	197	488	33	238	27	11	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	74	56	12	3	0	0	13	14	3	0	3	214	389	268	657	54	279	19	18	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	119	102	18	4	0	1	12	35	1	5	3	176	270	245	515	69	246	29	10	230	34	-9	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	119	95	23	6	0	1	19	24	1	5	3	242	374	337	711	95	301	20	16	321	104	+1	-0	+0	+1	+3	0.5
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	79	71	15	3	0	1	7	22	1	2	1	210	290	294	584	84	279	28	9	259	56	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	119	103	18	4	0	1	12	35	1	5	3	175	270	243	512	68	243	29	10	230	34	-9	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	198	173	33	7	0	2	19	57	2	7	4	190	278	265	543	75	264	29	10	242	43	-13	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	234	209	45	9	1	3	20	62	3	4	2	215	293	311	604	96	282	26	9	271	65	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	363	324	71	14	2	6	31	94	5	7	2	219	297	330	627	111	284	26	9	280	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	459	410	90	17	2	8	40	118	6	9	3	220	298	329	628	110	286	26	9	286	77	-12	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	526	468	104	20	2	10	46	133	7	10	4	222	301	338	639	115	287	25	9	291	81	-11	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.0
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	571	508	114	22	3	11	50	144	8	11	4	224	304	344	648	120	288	25	9	294	83	-11	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	600	534	121	23	3	12	53	151	8	11	4	227	306	348	654	122	289	25	9	296	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.4
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	616	548	125	24	3	13	54	155	9	11	4	228	308	354	662	126	289	25	9	297	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.5
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	624	555	127	24	3	14	55	157	9	12	4	229	309	359	667	130	289	25	9	298	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	624	554	126	24	3	14	56	157	9	12	4	227	309	357	666	130	289	25	9	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	619	549	124	23	3	13	56	157	9	11	4	226	308	350	658	124	288	25	9	298	86	-10	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.5
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	609	541	122	23	3	13	55	156	8	11	4	226	306	351	657	126	288	26	9	296	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+17	1.3
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	599	532	117	22	2	12	54	155	8	11	4	220	301	336	638	117	287	26	9	293	83	-12	+1	-2	+6	+17	1.0
2039	31	MLB	TB	52%	584	518	113	21	2	12	53	153	8	10	4	218	301	336	636	118	285	26	9	290	80	-13	+0	-3	+6	+17	0.7
2040	32	MLB	TB	56%	566	503	108	20	2	11	51	150	7	10	4	215	296	328	624	113	282	27	9	284	76	-16	+0	-4	+6	+16	0.4
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	80	72	15	3	0	1	7	21	1	1	1	208	287	292	579	83	285	26	9	263	60	-4	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	176	157	34	6	1	3	15	46	2	3	1	217	293	325	618	108	288	26	9	272	66	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	249	222	49	9	1	4	22	64	3	5	2	221	300	324	624	104	289	26	9	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	298	266	60	11	1	6	26	76	4	6	2	226	304	342	646	117	290	26	9	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	329	292	66	12	2	6	29	83	5	6	2	226	307	342	649	116	291	25	9	284	76	-9	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	342	304	70	13	2	7	30	86	5	6	2	230	310	355	665	125	292	25	9	287	78	-9	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	349	310	71	13	2	7	31	88	5	7	2	229	309	352	661	123	292	25	9	288	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	353	314	72	13	2	8	31	89	5	7	2	229	309	360	668	131	292	25	9	289	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	346	307	70	13	2	7	31	87	5	6	2	228	309	352	661	124	292	25	9	289	79	-8	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	340	301	69	13	2	7	31	86	5	6	2	229	312	355	667	126	292	25	9	288	79	-8	+0	-0	+4	+10	0.5
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	326	289	66	12	2	7	30	83	4	6	2	228	310	356	666	128	291	25	9	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	315	279	62	11	1	6	29	81	4	6	2	222	304	333	638	111	290	26	9	284	76	-9	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.3
2039	31	MLB	TB	52%	305	270	60	11	1	6	28	80	4	5	2	222	305	337	642	115	288	26	9	280	73	-9	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB	TB	56%	318	282	61	11	1	6	29	84	4	5	2	216	298	326	625	110	285	26	9	275	69	-11	+0	-2	+3	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4126	3666	825	151	20	81	369	1054	56	75	26	225	306	343	649	118	291	26	9	284	75	-115	+5	-6	+44	+117	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	130	24	3	13	58	166	9	12	4	225	306	344	650	119	290	26	9	284	75	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	7747	6885	1532	291	34	153	689	1984	108	142	55	223	303	341	644	119	288	26	9	292	81	-164	+6	-10	+83	+220	13.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	128	24	3	13	58	166	9	12	5	221	302	341	643	119	286	26	9	292	81	-14	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	74	56	12	3	0	0	13	14	3	0	3	214	389	268	657	54	279	19	18	314	99	-0	-1	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,226	84	77	224	301	344	+45	+24	8.0	6.8
	/162	664	13	12	224	301	344	+7.1	+3.8	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Salazar (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	190/278/265	75	264	2	7	29%	10%	43	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→50	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	48	-1.9	201/251/277	76	239	4	11	17%	4%	43	-2.2	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→50	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	40	-2.4	202/253/286	84	263	5	7	24%	6%	46	-2.0	262/304/399	137	319	15	17	22%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2