Luis AranaSS
DSL Miami
Age 18
S/R
5'10" / 154 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 5.1 · 2034
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .300 / .341
PA196
HR3
K%25
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
57→57
PWR
37→37
SPD
57→57
FLD
50→50
EYE
51↗56
trajectory · 10 yrs
5.0peak
2034
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +4.6 | $44M | +$43M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +4.9 | $48M | +$47M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +5.1 | $52M | +$51M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +5.1 | $53M | +$43M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $17M | +4.9 | $53M | +$36M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $23M | +4.7 | $52M | +$29M |
| Totals | $53M | $302M | +$249M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 227 | 196 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 24 | 10 | 28 | 9 | .230 | .329 | .327 | .655 | .097 | .250 | 11 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | MIA | 196 | 176 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .294 | .324 | .618 | .102 | .292 | 25 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB 11% | MIA | 276 | 245 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 65 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .245 | .325 | .376 | .700 | .131 | .309 | 24 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB 28% | MIA | 396 | 350 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 91 | 6 | 10 | 3 | .254 | .336 | .391 | .727 | .137 | .316 | 23 | 9 | .326 | 108 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +11 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB 48% | MIA | 487 | 428 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 109 | 8 | 13 | 3 | .257 | .343 | .400 | .743 | .143 | .317 | 22 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB 65% | MIA | 550 | 480 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 120 | 9 | 14 | 3 | .263 | .350 | .417 | .767 | .154 | .317 | 22 | 10 | .340 | 118 | +11 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +16 | 3.6 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB 86% | MIA | 593 | 516 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 126 | 10 | 15 | 3 | .266 | .355 | .424 | .780 | .159 | .318 | 21 | 10 | .346 | 123 | +15 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +17 | 4.2 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 621 | 540 | 144 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 66 | 130 | 10 | 15 | 3 | .267 | .357 | .426 | .783 | .159 | .318 | 21 | 11 | .350 | 126 | +18 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +18 | 4.6 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 637 | 552 | 147 | 24 | 4 | 19 | 70 | 133 | 10 | 15 | 3 | .266 | .359 | .428 | .787 | .161 | .319 | 21 | 11 | .353 | 129 | +21 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +18 | 4.9 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 645 | 557 | 150 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 134 | 11 | 15 | 3 | .269 | .364 | .431 | .795 | .162 | .320 | 21 | 11 | .355 | 130 | +22 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +18 | 5.1 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 644 | 556 | 149 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 135 | 11 | 15 | 3 | .268 | .363 | .430 | .793 | .162 | .320 | 21 | 11 | .355 | 130 | +22 | +2 | +1 | +7 | +18 | 5.1 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 639 | 552 | 147 | 24 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 135 | 10 | 14 | 3 | .266 | .361 | .428 | .789 | .161 | .320 | 21 | 11 | .354 | 129 | +21 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +18 | 4.9 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 629 | 543 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 19 | 71 | 134 | 10 | 14 | 2 | .267 | .362 | .431 | .793 | .164 | .319 | 21 | 11 | .352 | 128 | +20 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +18 | 4.7 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 619 | 534 | 141 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 70 | 134 | 10 | 13 | 2 | .264 | .360 | .423 | .783 | .159 | .318 | 22 | 11 | .349 | 126 | +18 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +18 | 4.4 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 605 | 521 | 137 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 69 | 134 | 10 | 12 | 1 | .263 | .360 | .418 | .778 | .155 | .318 | 22 | 11 | .346 | 123 | +16 | +2 | -2 | +6 | +17 | 4.0 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 586 | 506 | 131 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 66 | 133 | 9 | 11 | 0 | .259 | .355 | .411 | .766 | .152 | .317 | 23 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +13 | +2 | -3 | +6 | +17 | 3.6 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 556 | 479 | 121 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 130 | 9 | 10 | 0 | .253 | .350 | .392 | .743 | .140 | .316 | 23 | 11 | .336 | 115 | +10 | +2 | -3 | +6 | +16 | 3.1 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 509 | 439 | 109 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 57 | 123 | 8 | 10 | 0 | .248 | .345 | .383 | .728 | .134 | .315 | 24 | 11 | .330 | 111 | +6 | +2 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 2.4 |
| 2043 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 452 | 392 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 114 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .245 | .341 | .375 | .716 | .130 | .314 | 25 | 11 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -5 | +5 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2044 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 391 | 339 | 80 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 103 | 6 | 8 | 0 | .236 | .332 | .354 | .686 | .118 | .312 | 26 | 11 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | -6 | +4 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2045 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 326 | 283 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 89 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .233 | .328 | .346 | .674 | .113 | .310 | 27 | 11 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -7 | +3 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2046 | 38 | MLB | MIA | 256 | 223 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 72 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .220 | .315 | .314 | .629 | .094 | .306 | 28 | 11 | .295 | 84 | -5 | +1 | -7 | +3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2047 | 39 | MLB | MIA | 181 | 158 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .222 | .313 | .323 | .636 | .101 | .301 | 29 | 10 | .285 | 76 | -5 | +1 | -8 | +2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11021 | 9565 | 2453 | 399 | 71 | 285 | 1185 | 2469 | 181 | 267 | 44 | .256 | .349 | .402 | .752 | .146 | .316 | 22 | 11 | .337 | 116 | +204 | +36 | -39 | +118 | +312 | 64.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 564 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 17 | 70 | 146 | 11 | 16 | 3 | .257 | .350 | .404 | .755 | .147 | .317 | 22 | 11 | .337 | 116 | +12 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 3.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 227 | 185 | 55 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 10 | 28 | 9 | .297 | .422 | .476 | .898 | .178 | .305 | 8 | 13 | .399 | 163 | +16 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 2.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luis Arana (OGILVIE) | 18 | 57 | 37 | 57 | 56 | .226/.300/.341 | .115 | .292 | 3 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 82 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A |
19 | 52→62 | 37→40 | 55→60 | 49 | .241/.304/.317 | .076 | .306 | 3 | 17 | 21% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .250/.296/.310 | .060 | .296 | 1 | 19 | 15% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .299/.358/.381 | .081 | .343 | 4 | 36 | 13% | 8% | 110 | +2.1 |
|
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A |
19 | 48→56 | 42→60 | 54→55 | 47 | .230/.289/.338 | .108 | .295 | 8 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .221/.296/.327 | .106 | .300 | 7 | 12 | 26% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 | .247/.358/.450 | .204 | .280 | 25 | 11 | 21% | 14% | 127 | +2.4 |
|
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A |
18 | 54→51 | 45 | 48→60 | 50 | .258/.332/.396 | .138 | .324 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 | .238/.302/.354 | .116 | .298 | 9 | 18 | 22% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.296/.353 | .109 | .301 | 10 | 29 | 22% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A |
18 | 45→54 | 37→40 | 51→65 | 44 | .205/.292/.286 | .080 | .293 | 3 | 15 | 28% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .210/.299/.284 | .074 | .292 | 3 | 18 | 26% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |
|
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A |
18 | 45→55 | 40→50 | 50→40 | 51 | .218/.295/.314 | .096 | .275 | 8 | 8 | 22% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .225/.288/.359 | .134 | .280 | 15 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .259/.317/.396 | .137 | .305 | 16 | 3 | 20% | 7% | 100 | +1.5 |
|
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A |
18 | 47→56 | 43→60 | 59→55 | 46 | .228/.289/.349 | .121 | .291 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .249/.303/.399 | .150 | .321 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 97 | +1.5 | .288/.348/.497 | .209 | .353 | 27 | 29 | 25% | 7% | 136 | +3.8 |
|
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 36→45 | 53→55 | 55 | .212/.301/.276 | .064 | .273 | 3 | 16 | 22% | 11% | 65 | -0.7 | .218/.304/.295 | .077 | .280 | 4 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .256/.355/.382 | .126 | .288 | 11 | 19 | 14% | 12% | 111 | +2.2 |
|
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A |
19 | 50→59 | 41→50 | 50 | 56 | .236/.325/.340 | .104 | .299 | 8 | 10 | 22% | 12% | 91 | +1.1 | .251/.334/.388 | .137 | .334 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 11% | 107 | +2.2 | .247/.330/.386 | .139 | .319 | 14 | 15 | 25% | 10% | 103 | +1.9 |
|
●César Hernández 2009 · A |
19 | 48→58 | 38→45 | 54→55 | 48 | .224/.278/.312 | .088 | .269 | 4 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .222/.274/.287 | .065 | .277 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .277/.367/.382 | .105 | .344 | 8 | 16 | 20% | 12% | 114 | +2.9 |
|
✕Josue De Paula 2023 · A |
18 | 50→44 | 42→40 | 50→55 | 51 | .242/.315/.355 | .113 | .299 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .231/.320/.328 | .097 | .309 | 8 | 16 | 25% | 11% | 86 | +0.8 | .218/.319/.316 | .098 | .293 | 9 | 21 | 26% | 12% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A |
18 | 52→60 | 40→50 | 48→55 | 56 | .245/.328/.352 | .107 | .279 | 6 | 11 | 14% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .234/.295/.331 | .097 | .293 | 6 | 17 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .262/.326/.420 | .159 | .312 | 17 | 25 | 21% | 5% | 108 | +2.1 |
|
●Ozzie Albies 2015 · A |
18 | 56→59 | 36→60 | 54→55 | 50 | .261/.320/.332 | .071 | .309 | 3 | 17 | 16% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .255/.300/.347 | .092 | .313 | 4 | 20 | 19% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .271/.321/.453 | .182 | .308 | 18 | 16 | 18% | 6% | 114 | +3.2 |
|
★Jean Segura 2008 · A |
18 | 50→60 | 37→50 | 52→60 | 46 | .238/.288/.305 | .067 | .286 | 4 | 17 | 18% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .247/.291/.331 | .084 | .291 | 6 | 17 | 16% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .304/.351/.439 | .135 | .338 | 12 | 24 | 13% | 6% | 123 | +3.5 |
|
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A |
19 | 47→48 | 41→50 | 53→45 | 48 | .227/.287/.331 | .103 | .273 | 8 | 13 | 20% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.306/.353 | .124 | .285 | 12 | 10 | 22% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .226/.311/.371 | .145 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 20% | 10% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A |
19 | 47→56 | 46→55 | 52→50 | 49 | .229/.293/.374 | .145 | .263 | 10 | 13 | 18% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .234/.297/.369 | .135 | .275 | 12 | 12 | 19% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .257/.353/.419 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 16% | 11% | 121 | +2.9 |
|
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A |
19 | 49→58 | 37→45 | 50 | 48 | .231/.293/.308 | .076 | .300 | 4 | 13 | 23% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .243/.308/.337 | .094 | .291 | 8 | 13 | 18% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .263/.355/.386 | .123 | .307 | 11 | 2 | 17% | 11% | 113 | +2.8 |
|
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A |
18 | 50→51 | 44→50 | 53→45 | 51 | .242/.310/.372 | .130 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 18% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .236/.280/.327 | .091 | .288 | 6 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .223/.285/.356 | .132 | .252 | 16 | 6 | 19% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A |
18 | 50→57 | 37→50 | 44→50 | 42 | .231/.298/.310 | .079 | .319 | 4 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.297/.322 | .089 | .310 | 7 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .278/.371/.439 | .161 | .339 | 19 | 13 | 22% | 11% | 132 | +2.8 |
|
●Angel Genao 2022 · A |
18 | 45→55 | 37→45 | 57→50 | 55 | .211/.299/.288 | .077 | .267 | 4 | 15 | 21% | 11% | 67 | -0.5 | .229/.289/.320 | .091 | .303 | 6 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .255/.302/.371 | .117 | .316 | 8 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
●Wander Franco 2019 · A |
18 | 51→57 | 49→55 | 49→55 | 50 | .254/.304/.405 | .151 | .267 | 16 | 6 | 13% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .262/.317/.396 | .134 | .283 | 11 | 9 | 12% | 7% | 102 | +1.8 | .279/.339/.452 | .173 | .300 | 16 | 20 | 12% | 8% | 120 | +2.3 |