Alexander Camacaro

SS DSL Giants Black

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1799ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Giants Or…	58	.133/.328/.156	0	0	7	—	.083/.241/.104
2026	18	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	176	.290/.408/.414	3	16	53	—	.188/.282/.247
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBSF	286	.202/.279/.278	2	6	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSF	49	.203/.282/.285	0	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSF	119	.207/.286/.296	1	3	69	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%70

wOBA66

wRC+66

BB%57

ISO53

Speed51

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAroon Escobar (age 19) · Robert Gonzalez (age 20) · John Gil (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .277 / .275

PA91

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE69

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	58	45	6	1	0	0	12	14	1	0	1	133	328	156	483	22	194	24	21	257	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	176	145	42	9	0	3	29	41	0	16	5	290	408	414	822	124	382	23	16	370	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	58	48	4	1	0	0	9	18	1	0	1	83	241	104	346	21	132	31	16	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	176	154	29	6	0	1	20	50	0	16	5	188	282	247	528	58	260	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	58	48	4	1	0	0	9	18	1	0	1	83	241	104	346	21	133	31	16	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	58	45	6	1	0	0	12	14	1	0	1	133	328	156	483	22	194	24	21	257	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	176	154	29	6	0	1	20	50	0	16	5	188	282	247	528	58	269	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	176	145	42	9	0	3	29	41	0	16	5	290	408	414	822	124	382	23	16	370	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	58	48	4	1	0	0	9	18	1	0	1	83	241	104	346	21	132	31	16	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	176	154	29	6	0	1	20	50	0	16	5	188	282	247	528	58	260	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	58	48	4	1	0	0	9	18	1	0	1	83	241	104	346	21	132	31	16	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	176	154	29	6	0	1	20	50	0	16	5	188	282	247	528	58	260	28	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SF	0%	286	256	51	9	1	2	26	80	2	6	1	202	279	278	557	76	280	28	9	257	60	-14	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SF	34%	143	128	27	5	1	2	13	39	1	3	1	206	285	291	576	85	282	27	9	264	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	SF	48%	245	219	45	8	1	3	22	67	2	6	1	210	289	302	591	92	283	27	9	271	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	SF	54%	356	318	68	12	2	5	32	95	3	9	2	213	292	312	604	99	285	27	9	276	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	SF	57%	428	382	83	15	2	7	39	114	4	11	3	216	295	320	615	104	286	27	9	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	SF	57%	474	424	92	16	2	8	43	125	4	12	3	219	297	327	624	108	287	26	9	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	SF	57%	501	446	98	17	3	9	45	132	5	12	3	219	298	328	626	109	287	26	9	284	78	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	SF	56%	516	459	101	18	3	9	47	136	5	13	3	219	297	329	626	110	287	26	9	284	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	SF	55%	520	463	102	18	3	9	47	137	5	12	3	218	297	326	623	108	286	26	9	283	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	SF	55%	516	460	101	18	3	9	47	137	4	12	3	216	295	322	616	105	286	27	9	280	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	SF	58%	505	450	96	17	2	8	46	136	4	11	3	214	292	316	608	102	284	27	9	277	74	-16	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	SF	60%	493	442	92	16	2	7	44	134	4	10	3	211	289	308	597	97	283	27	9	272	71	-17	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	SF	34%	49	45	9	2	0	0	4	14	0	1	0	203	282	285	567	82	278	29	8	261	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	SF	48%	119	106	22	4	1	1	11	32	1	3	1	207	286	296	582	89	280	27	9	267	69	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	SF	54%	193	172	36	6	1	3	17	52	2	5	1	210	289	305	594	95	281	27	9	272	73	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	SF	57%	242	216	46	8	1	4	22	64	2	6	1	213	292	312	604	100	282	26	9	276	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	SF	57%	268	240	51	9	1	4	24	70	2	7	2	215	294	319	613	104	283	26	9	279	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	SF	57%	283	252	55	10	1	5	26	74	3	7	2	215	294	320	614	105	283	26	9	280	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	SF	56%	291	260	56	10	1	5	26	76	3	7	2	215	294	320	615	105	283	26	9	280	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	SF	55%	288	257	55	10	1	5	26	76	3	7	2	214	293	318	611	104	283	26	9	278	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	SF	55%	283	253	53	10	1	4	26	75	2	6	2	213	291	314	605	101	282	27	9	276	76	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	SF	58%	293	263	55	10	1	4	26	79	2	6	2	210	289	308	597	98	281	27	9	273	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	SF	60%	297	266	55	10	1	4	27	81	2	6	2	208	285	301	587	93	279	27	9	268	71	-10	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2606	2330	493	89	10	39	235	693	22	61	17	212	290	309	598	97	282	27	9	275	73	-77	+5	-2	+28	+56	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	123	22	2	10	59	173	5	15	4	212	289	308	598	96	282	27	9	275	73	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5022	4475	954	170	24	78	462	1345	43	129	34	213	293	314	607	101	285	27	9	276	73	-143	+11	-4	+51	+104	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	123	22	3	10	60	174	6	17	4	212	293	313	606	100	284	27	9	276	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Giants Black · 176 PAwOBA .364 → .246 (−118)K% 23.3% → 28.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.30%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	28.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.48%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.48%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.85%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	×0.995	20.49%
Doubles /BIP	8.65%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	5.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.88%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.35%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .364 → .246; ISO .124 → .069; BABIP .382 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 58 PAwOBA .253 → .178 (−74)K% 24.1% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.14%	÷0.972	×1.220	—	—	30.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.69%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.98%
HBP% /PA	1.72%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.22%
Singles /BIP	16.13%	÷0.995	×0.680	—	×1.008	11.10%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷0.933	×0.600	—	×1.008	2.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.963	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .253 → .178; ISO .022 → .014; BABIP .194 → .132. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#4Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,699	43	63	216	291	320	+29	+21	2.8	2.7
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+5.2	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Camacaro (OGILVIE)	19	37→42	32→37	55→60	69	200/277/275	75	280	1	2	28%	9%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Jermaine Palacios 2015 · A	19	42→50	36→45	55→50	53	194/287/270	75	252	1	13	22%	10%	63	-1.4	231/274/324	93	290	5	10	21%	5%	68	-1.0	241/273/344	103	303	7	10	22%	3%	70	-0.5
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	42	35→40	52→55	50	200/266/258	58	248	3	15	20%	8%	51	-2.3	194/274/273	79	271	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Edgleen Perez 2024 · A	18	43→40	35→30	51→40	54	197/288/255	58	263	2	8	24%	11%	59	-1.6	211/310/262	51	287	2	5	24%	11%	70	-0.9	218/319/256	38	293	2	3	23%	12%	69	-0.5
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	37→47	36→45	54→50	59	173/286/238	65	220	3	15	21%	12%	57	-1.8	191/267/256	65	260	3	9	25%	8%	52	-2.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	42→45	37→40	55→60	49	196/284/271	75	254	4	13	23%	8%	62	-1.4	189/256/252	63	311	4	20	37%	6%	47	-2.6	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4

Alexander Camacaro

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps