Heiker Meneses

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1991-07-01

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2020	29	INTLTiburones de …	120	.327/.378/.400	1	3	123	—
2021	30	INTLCaribes de An…	130	.229/.323/.303	1	1	76	—
2022	31	INTLBravos de Mar…	88	.260/.321/.351	0	0	84	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox	—	167	132	29	1	2	0	29	44	4	9	3	220	373	258	631	38	330	26	17	307	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox	—	268	216	43	2	6	1	34	68	13	25	5	199	342	278	620	79	284	25	13	292	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	226	208	52	8	3	3	12	47	4	17	6	250	304	361	664	111	310	21	5	297	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	90	83	22	3	0	0	3	25	3	2	0	265	315	301	616	36	373	28	3	282	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	114	101	36	9	5	1	8	24	3	6	1	356	420	574	994	218	455	21	7	425	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A	Greenville Drive	—	234	206	57	6	2	2	18	56	8	17	5	277	358	354	712	78	372	24	8	325	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	145	127	25	1	1	1	13	33	2	1	3	197	282	244	526	47	258	23	9	244	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	273	250	68	16	4	2	9	55	7	18	11	272	316	392	708	120	338	20	3	308	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	62	54	13	0	1	0	5	12	1	2	1	241	317	278	594	37	302	19	8	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	353	322	82	15	4	3	20	84	7	11	7	255	312	354	666	99	336	24	6	298	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	37	32	10	2	1	0	3	9	2	0	2	312	405	438	843	125	435	24	8	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	63	58	14	2	1	0	3	10	0	0	1	241	279	310	589	69	292	16	5	258	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	342	306	58	9	1	1	20	52	6	9	6	190	253	235	488	46	223	15	6	223	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	102	84	16	1	0	1	7	23	5	0	0	190	292	238	530	48	246	23	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	340	88	10	2	0	24	72	7	15	10	259	321	300	621	41	324	19	6	277	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	135	111	28	5	0	0	6	31	9	0	1	252	341	297	639	45	346	23	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	68	58	6	1	1	0	8	24	0	1	0	103	212	155	367	52	171	35	12	178	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	17	16	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	312	353	375	728	62	357	12	6	330	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	ROK	GCL Twins	—	43	35	9	0	0	0	6	8	2	1	1	257	395	257	652		333	19	14	321	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	242	218	63	16	2	2	12	41	8	6	5	289	349	408	757	119	345	17	5	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	247	237	69	10	2	1	6	70	3	9	2	291	317	363	680	72	410	28	2	305	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	80	70	16	3	0	0	7	14	0	2	2	229	299	271	570	43	281	18	9	256	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	210	184	52	7	3	1	20	32	2	5	5	283	359	370	729	87	333	15	10	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	55	47	8	0	0	0	5	10	0	0	0	170	250	170	420		216	18	9	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	168	150	28	4	0	1	13	39	4	2	3	187	269	233	503	47	243	23	8	238	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	186	171	41	8	1	0	9	35	4	5	3	240	293	298	592	58	299	19	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	166	142	34	4	0	1	14	37	3	3	3	239	321	289	609	49	306	22	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	120	110	36	5	0	1	5	32	4	3	0	327	378	400	778	73	455	27	4	351	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	130	109	25	5	0	1	9	30	6	1	0	229	323	303	625	73	300	23	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	88	77	20	7	0	0	5	22	2	0	1	260	321	351	672	91	357	25	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox	—	167	141	21	1	1	0	21	54	4	9	3	149	277	170	447	21	238	32	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox	—	268	226	30	1	4	0	24	83	13	25	5	133	255	173	427	40	199	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	226	213	40	6	2	2	7	68	4	17	6	188	228	263	491	75	260	30	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	90	84	21	3	0	0	2	31	3	2	0	250	292	286	578	36	379	34	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	114	104	32	7	4	1	5	36	3	6	1	308	357	481	838	173	441	32	4	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	234	212	48	5	2	2	12	79	8	17	5	226	293	297	590	71	338	34	5	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	145	130	26	1	1	1	10	42	2	1	3	200	268	246	514	46	270	29	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	273	253	59	12	3	2	6	78	7	18	11	233	271	328	599	95	310	29	2	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	62	56	14	0	1	0	3	14	1	2	1	250	300	286	586	36	323	23	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	353	327	82	14	4	2	15	104	7	11	7	251	298	336	634	86	354	29	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	63	59	14	2	1	0	2	12	0	0	1	237	262	305	567	68	290	19	3	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	342	312	58	8	1	1	14	65	6	9	6	186	235	228	463	42	222	19	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	386	349	88	10	2	0	15	89	7	15	10	252	296	292	589	40	313	23	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	68	60	6	1	1	0	6	29	0	1	0	100	182	150	332	50	165	43	9	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	17	16	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	312	353	375	728	62	320	18	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	43	37	7	0	0	0	4	12	2	1	1	189	302	189	492		258	28	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	247	239	61	8	2	1	4	85	3	9	2	255	276	318	594	63	394	34	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	80	73	15	2	0	0	4	18	0	2	2	205	247	233	480	27	263	22	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	55	48	8	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		212	22	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	168	154	27	3	0	1	9	47	4	2	3	175	240	214	454	39	235	28	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox	—	167	141	21	1	1	0	21	54	4	9	3	149	277	170	447	21	241	32	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox	—	167	132	29	1	2	0	29	44	4	9	3	220	373	258	631	38	330	26	17	307	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox	—	268	226	30	1	4	0	24	83	13	25	5	133	255	173	427	40	208	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox	—	268	216	43	2	6	1	34	68	13	25	5	199	342	278	620	79	284	25	13	292	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	226	213	40	6	2	2	7	68	4	17	6	188	228	263	491	75	266	30	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	—	226	208	52	8	3	3	12	47	4	17	6	250	304	361	664	111	310	21	5	297	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	438	400	101	14	6	3	19	146	14	25	6	253	309	340	649	88	387	33	4	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	438	390	115	18	7	3	29	105	14	25	6	295	365	400	765	105	394	24	7	342	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	418	384	85	13	4	3	15	120	9	19	14	221	267	299	567	78	312	29	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	418	377	93	17	5	3	22	88	9	19	14	247	304	342	646	95	312	21	5	286	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	452	416	105	15	6	2	20	128	10	13	10	252	303	332	634	79	359	28	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	452	408	105	17	6	3	28	105	10	13	10	257	321	350	671	93	339	23	6	301	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	507	458	92	13	3	1	20	97	11	9	7	201	252	249	500	48	250	19	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	507	448	88	12	2	2	30	85	11	9	7	196	264	246	509	49	236	17	6	231	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	521	460	118	13	2	0	21	120	16	15	11	257	312	293	605	37	342	23	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	521	451	116	15	2	0	30	103	16	15	11	257	326	299	625	42	329	20	6	278	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL MLE	4 teams	—	370	325	49	4	3	0	29	123	10	8	6	151	242	182	423	31	239	33	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL RAW	4 teams	—	370	327	83	18	3	2	27	75	10	8	6	254	330	346	675	92	320	20	7	304	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	537	510	126	18	3	1	14	169	5	16	9	247	274	300	574	53	364	31	3	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	537	491	137	20	5	2	33	116	5	16	9	279	331	352	683	73	359	22	6	306	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	409	372	63	6	0	1	23	109	8	7	6	169	233	194	427	24	235	27	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	409	368	77	12	1	1	27	84	8	7	6	209	278	255	533	46	267	21	7	247	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL MLE	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	166	142	34	4	0	1	14	37	3	3	3	239	321	289	609	49	306	22	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	28	INTL RAW	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	166	142	34	4	0	1	14	37	3	3	3	239	321	289	609	49	306	22	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL MLE	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	120	110	36	5	0	1	5	32	4	3	0	327	378	400	778	73	455	27	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	29	INTL RAW	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	120	110	36	5	0	1	5	32	4	3	0	327	378	400	778	73	455	27	4	351	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL MLE	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	130	109	25	5	0	1	9	30	6	1	0	229	323	303	625	73	300	23	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	INTL RAW	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	130	109	25	5	0	1	9	30	6	1	0	229	323	303	625	73	300	23	7	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL MLE	Bravos de Margarita	—	88	77	20	7	0	0	5	22	2	0	1	260	321	351	672	91	357	25	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	INTL RAW	Bravos de Margarita	—	88	77	20	7	0	0	5	22	2	0	1	260	321	351	672	91	357	25	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox	—	167	140	21	1	1	0	21	54	4	9	3	150	277	171	449	21	238	32	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox	—	268	229	30	1	4	0	24	83	13	25	5	131	255	170	425	39	199	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	19	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	226	213	40	6	2	2	7	68	4	17	6	188	228	263	491	75	260	30	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	438	402	101	14	6	3	19	146	14	25	6	251	309	338	648	87	373	33	4	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	418	391	85	13	4	3	15	120	9	19	14	217	267	294	561	77	296	29	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	452	419	105	15	6	2	20	128	10	13	10	251	303	329	632	79	349	28	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	507	471	92	13	3	1	20	97	11	9	7	195	252	242	494	47	233	19	4	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	521	479	118	13	2	0	21	120	16	15	11	246	312	282	594	35	313	23	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	INTL MLE	4 teams	—	370	328	49	4	3	0	29	123	10	8	6	149	242	180	422	30	217	33	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	537	513	126	18	3	1	14	169	5	16	9	246	274	298	572	53	362	31	3	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	27	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	409	375	63	6	0	1	23	109	8	7	6	168	233	192	425	24	229	27	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4817	4343	945	125	34	16	246	1338	119	170	87	218	278	273	551	55	308	28	5	210	28	-412	-1	+0	+52	+104	-26.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	128	17	5	2	33	181	16	23	12	218	279	275	553	56	310	28	5	210	28	-56	-0	+0	+7	+14	-3.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAReading Fightin Phils · 168 PAwOBA .234 → .201 (−33)K% 23.2% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.21%	÷1.015	×1.220	—	—	27.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.74%	÷0.978	×0.700	—	×0.978	5.42%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	1.98%
Singles /BIP	20.72%	÷0.964	×0.970	×1.017	×0.978	20.75%
Doubles /BIP	3.60%	÷1.101	×0.860	×1.017	×0.978	2.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.950	×1.017	×0.978	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.90%	÷1.164	×0.780	—	×0.978	0.59%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .234 → .201; ISO .047 → .033; BABIP .243 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 55 PAwOBA .191 → .178 (−13)K% 18.2% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.18%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	22.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.75%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.62%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	21.18%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .191 → .178; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .216 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 247 PAwOBA .296 → .260 (−36)K% 28.3% → 34.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.34%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	34.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.43%	÷0.937	×0.690	—	×1.018	1.82%
HBP% /PA	1.21%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.16%
Singles /BIP	33.53%	÷0.987	×0.930	×1.015	×1.018	32.65%
Doubles /BIP	5.99%	÷0.954	×0.830	×1.015	×1.018	5.38%
Triples /BIP	1.20%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.015	×1.018	1.20%
Home runs /BIP	0.60%	÷1.106	×0.840	—	×1.018	0.46%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .296 → .260; ISO .072 → .060; BABIP .410 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 80 PAwOBA .248 → .222 (−25)K% 17.5% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.50%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	21.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.50%	÷1.067	×0.700	—	×0.988	4.86%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.21%	÷0.984	×0.970	×0.997	×0.988	22.53%
Doubles /BIP	5.36%	÷1.085	×0.860	×0.997	×0.988	4.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.010	×0.950	×0.997	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.780	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 102, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .248 → .222; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .281 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARochester Red Wings · 68 PAwOBA .177 → .150 (−27)K% 35.3% → 42.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.29%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	42.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×1.033	8.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷0.953	×0.930	×0.999	×1.033	11.86%
Doubles /BIP	2.94%	÷1.224	×0.830	×0.999	×1.033	2.06%
Triples /BIP	2.94%	÷0.971	×0.970	×0.999	×1.033	3.03%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.951	×0.840	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 145, 3B 94, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .177 → .150; ISO .052 → .047; BABIP .171 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKGCL Twins · 43 PAwOBA .314 → .220 (−94)K% 18.6% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.60%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	26.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.95%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.945	8.18%
HBP% /PA	4.65%	—	×0.720	—	×0.945	3.16%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.945	25.83%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.945	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .314 → .220; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 17 PAwOBA .321 → .272 (−49)K% 11.8% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.76%	÷0.961	×1.220	—	—	14.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.039	×0.680	—	×0.998	3.84%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.005	×0.920	—	×0.998	26.11%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.108	×0.910	—	×0.998	5.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.880	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.301	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 101, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .321 → .272; ISO .062 → .051; BABIP .357 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 386 PAwOBA .272 → .254 (−19)K% 18.7% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.65%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	23.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.22%	÷1.059	×0.680	—	×1.012	4.04%
HBP% /PA	1.81%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	1.54%
Singles /BIP	28.36%	÷0.980	×0.920	×1.023	×1.012	27.58%
Doubles /BIP	3.73%	÷0.999	×0.910	×1.023	×1.012	3.52%
Triples /BIP	0.75%	÷1.020	×0.880	×1.023	×1.012	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.232	×0.800	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 104, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .272 → .254; ISO .041 → .039; BABIP .324 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .