Ryan Burrowes — OGILVIE

Ryan BurrowesSS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION364 act + 242 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .283 / .287

PA242

HR3

SB16

K%31

BB%8

BABIP291

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$39M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	196	168	34	7	1	2	15	50	10	12	0	202	306	292	597	89	269	26	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	196	158	42	9	1	3	25	34	10	12	0	266	399	392	791	127	315	17	13	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	178	162	28	6	2	0	8	74	5	12	5	173	234	235	469	62	315	42	4	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	178	158	41	8	3	2	12	51	5	12	5	259	331	386	718	127	368	29	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	351	315	51	4	0	1	24	167	6	24	5	162	235	184	419	22	327	48	7	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	351	304	67	7	1	1	35	115	6	24	5	220	313	260	573	39	340	33	10	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	429	386	82	12	1	6	25	156	12	47	6	212	281	295	577	83	333	36	6	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	429	372	95	15	2	6	39	110	12	47	6	255	345	355	700	99	342	26	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	CWS	—	364	320	71	14	3	6	35	106	7	31	9	222	312	341	653	119	312	29	10	289	79	-8	+3	+0	+4	+10	0.8
YTD	21	A+	CWS	—	364	302	80	17	3	8	53	79	7	31	9	265	387	421	807	156	335	22	15	364	137	+15	+3	+0	+4	+10	3.3
ROS	21	A+	CWS	0%	242	215	43	8	1	3	20	76	5	16	4	199	283	287	570	88	295	31	8	269	64	-10	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	CWS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						296	0	0	256	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	CWS	—	365	321	71	14	3	6	35	106	7	31	9	221	311	340	651	118	311	29	10	289	79	-9	+3	+0	+4	+10	0.8
TOT	21	A+	CWS	—	606	535	114	22	4	9	55	182	12	47	13	213	300	319	620	106	304	30	9	281	73	-18	+4	+0	+7	+17	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CWS	35%	581	518	108	19	3	10	48	179	10	27	7	208	288	315	603	106	295	31	8	274	68	-21	+3	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2028	23	MLB	CWS	49%	609	542	116	20	3	12	52	181	10	27	7	214	295	328	623	114	295	30	9	284	76	-17	+3	+0	+7	+17	1.0
2029	24	MLB	CWS	53%	627	558	121	21	3	13	54	182	10	26	6	217	297	335	633	118	296	29	9	290	80	-14	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2030	25	MLB	CWS	55%	638	568	125	22	4	14	55	183	10	26	6	220	300	347	647	127	296	29	9	293	83	-13	+3	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2031	26	MLB	CWS	56%	637	566	125	22	3	15	56	183	10	24	6	221	302	350	652	129	296	29	9	294	84	-12	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2032	27	MLB	CWS	55%	629	558	123	22	3	14	56	181	10	23	6	220	303	346	649	125	296	29	9	295	84	-12	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2033	28	MLB	CWS	55%	619	548	120	21	3	14	56	179	10	21	5	219	303	345	648	126	295	29	9	294	83	-12	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.4
2034	29	MLB	CWS	53%	609	539	118	21	3	13	55	177	10	19	4	219	303	341	644	122	295	29	9	292	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+17	1.2
2035	30	MLB	CWS	53%	598	530	115	20	3	13	54	175	9	16	4	217	300	340	640	123	294	29	9	289	80	-14	+2	-2	+6	+17	0.9
2036	31	MLB	CWS	52%	587	520	111	19	3	12	53	174	9	14	3	213	297	331	628	117	291	30	9	286	77	-15	+2	-3	+6	+17	0.6
2037	32	MLB	CWS	56%	576	510	107	18	3	11	52	173	9	12	3	210	294	322	616	112	288	30	9	280	73	-18	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.3
2038	33	MLB	CWS	59%	513	454	93	15	2	10	46	157	8	9	2	205	289	313	602	108	285	31	9	274	68	-19	+1	-4	+5	+15	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	CWS	35%	201	179	37	7	1	3	17	62	3	10	2	207	286	307	594	101	295	31	8	263	60	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	CWS	49%	296	264	57	10	2	6	25	88	5	13	3	216	296	337	633	121	296	30	8	273	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2029	24	MLB	CWS	53%	331	295	64	11	2	7	28	96	5	14	3	217	296	339	635	122	297	29	8	280	72	-10	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2030	25	MLB	CWS	55%	349	310	69	12	2	8	30	100	6	14	3	223	303	352	655	129	297	29	9	283	75	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2031	26	MLB	CWS	56%	355	315	69	12	2	8	31	102	6	14	3	219	301	346	647	127	297	29	9	284	76	-10	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2032	27	MLB	CWS	55%	346	307	68	12	2	8	31	99	5	13	3	221	303	352	655	130	296	29	9	284	76	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2033	28	MLB	CWS	55%	338	300	67	12	2	8	30	98	5	11	3	223	304	357	661	133	296	29	9	283	75	-10	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB	CWS	53%	325	288	63	11	2	7	29	94	5	10	2	219	301	344	645	125	295	29	9	282	74	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.4
2035	30	MLB	CWS	53%	314	278	61	11	2	7	28	92	5	8	2	219	302	349	651	129	294	29	9	279	72	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2036	31	MLB	CWS	52%	306	270	57	10	1	6	28	91	5	7	2	211	297	322	619	111	292	30	9	275	69	-11	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.0
2037	32	MLB	CWS	56%	324	287	60	10	1	7	29	97	5	7	2	209	293	324	617	115	289	30	9	270	65	-13	+1	-2	+3	+9	-0.2
2038	33	MLB	CWS	59%	302	268	55	9	1	6	27	92	4	5	1	205	288	313	601	108	285	30	9	264	60	-13	+1	-2	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3788	3362	727	127	20	81	333	1111	59	126	29	216	298	338	636	122	295	29	9	278	71	-126	+14	-8	+41	+107	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	125	22	3	14	57	191	10	22	5	217	298	338	636	121	295	29	9	278	71	-22	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	8619	7657	1620	277	41	163	729	2647	153	355	79	212	293	322	615	111	297	31	8	279	72	-273	+39	-15	+92	+244	9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	122	21	3	12	55	200	12	27	6	211	293	321	614	109	298	31	8	279	72	-21	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	196	158	42	9	1	3	25	34	10	12	0	266	399	392	791	127	315	17	13	359	133	+7	+2	—	—	+6	1.6
2023	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	178	158	41	8	3	2	12	51	5	12	5	259	331	386	718	127	368	29	7	318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	322	280	57	7	1	1	32	107	5	22	4	204	297	246	543	43	316	33	10	255	53	-17	+3	—	—	+9	-0.5
2024	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	29	24	10	0	0	0	3	8	1	2	1	417	500	417	917		588	28	10	410	172	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	130	114	29	7	1	2	12	34	3	16	2	254	341	386	727	132	342	26	9	327	109	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	20	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	299	258	66	8	1	4	27	76	9	31	4	256	347	341	688	85	343	25	9	313	98	-1	+5	—	—	+8	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,788	80	126	217	296	338	+41	+18	6.3	5.8
	/162	664	14	22	217	296	338	+7.1	+3.2	1.1	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Burrowes (OGILVIE)	21	40	25	60	35	213/300/319	106	304	9	47	30%	9%	73	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	41	38→30	62→70	39	194/261/276	82	302	5	38	35%	7%	47	-1.9	201/252/267	66	276	3	38	27%	5%	40	-2.4	195/242/247	52	259	1	51	24%	5%	28	-1.5
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	36→46	35→40	56→60	40	170/243/223	53	273	2	26	36%	7%	27	-3.3	191/262/262	71	286	4	28	32%	7%	45	-2.1	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
●Derek Hill 2017 · A	21	43→51	36→50	59→60	37	203/247/272	70	301	3	25	32%	5%	39	-2.5	194/246/270	76	309	5	27	36%	6%	39	-2.5	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	46	36→40	54→60	39	211/270/286	75	319	3	19	33%	6%	53	-1.5	210/261/283	73	336	3	11	36%	6%	48	-1.9	184/230/216	32	334	0	4	42%	5%	14	-0.9
✕Shane Sasaki 2022 · A	22	44→54	38→40	58→60	39	204/265/285	80	328	6	22	37%	7%	51	-1.7	232/295/336	104	351	9	27	34%	8%	77	+0.1	232/299/329	97	349	8	32	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Ciro Rosero 2007 · A	21	46	38→30	53→60	43	221/279/298	77	284	6	25	24%	6%	60	-1.0	215/273/303	88	291	8	16	27%	6%	59	-1.1	193/247/281	88	236	13	19	24%	5%	39	-0.6
✕Tito Polo 2016 · A	21	43→50	38→45	56→60	40	207/261/291	84	276	5	26	26%	5%	51	-1.7	223/277/331	108	297	10	27	27%	5%	68	-0.5	225/280/337	113	299	11	32	28%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A	21	42→45	39→45	54→55	39	200/255/283	83	294	6	21	33%	6%	46	-2.0	213/267/313	100	294	9	16	29%	6%	59	-1.1	214/267/306	93	290	9	15	28%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40→45	55→65	40	189/270/275	87	300	7	31	37%	8%	53	-1.5	224/290/323	99	311	6	26	28%	7%	72	-0.2	245/309/346	101	327	3	32	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8
✕Daniel Carroll 2010 · A	21	43→44	35→45	55→60	35	195/257/257	62	314	3	26	36%	5%	41	-2.3	210/279/320	110	322	12	28	36%	7%	67	-0.5	211/283/332	120	323	14	33	36%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Bladimir Restituyo 2022 · A	21	45→44	36→40	57→55	33	214/244/277	64	316	5	25	33%	4%	39	-2.5	211/233/302	91	278	9	20	27%	2%	41	-2.3	209/230/301	93	262	10	21	25%	2%	37	-1.9
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→48	41→40	57→65	42	217/271/315	97	295	9	18	28%	6%	61	-1.0	221/279/307	86	297	5	34	26%	6%	62	-0.9	221/279/307	86	298	5	42	26%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Jon Matthews 2012 · A	21	42	36→40	54→60	40	196/256/265	69	282	2	18	30%	6%	42	-2.3	206/267/279	73	292	4	23	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/305/297	64	314	3	21	24%	8%	68	-0.2