Dasan BrownCF Biloxi Shuckers
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION168 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .252 / .219
PA128
HR1
SB8
K%36
BB%9
BABIP265
ISO53
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -22.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-22BATRUN: +1.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -1.20-1.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKGCL Blue Jays 6348 7110 6259 62 146349208558 62304 4010 261 58
201917 ROKGCL Blue Jays 6345 10220 9179 62 222444356800 133357 2714 383 151
202119 ADunedin Blue Jays 226202 36613 16908 226 178265262528 84303 407 230 34
202119 ADunedin Blue Jays 226198 42814 20748 226 212310323633 111317 339 293 83
202220 A+3 teams 360319 711325 2114117 2410 223305323628 100379 396 276 69
202220 A+3 teams 360307 872026 3310217 2410 283384420804 137405 289 362 135
202321 A+2 teams 545495 811134 3118114 3012 164233222456 59245 336 207 17
202321 A+2 teams 545476 1081648 4814114 3012 227315328643 101302 269 293 83
202422 A+2 teams 448403 721425 3016012 354 179256261517 82280 367 232 36
202422 A+2 teams 448386 952238 4511312 354 246342381722 135327 2510 326 108
202523 AA2 teams 291259 35515 241194 364 135220220440 85221 418 198 10
202523 AA2 teams 291242 42714 34864 364 174279260539 87248 3012 250 49
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AAMIL 168143 23201 19634 136 161277196473 35275 3811 228 33 -13 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.7
YTD24 AAMIL 168135 27301 27494 136 200349244594 44302 2916 289 79 -4 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.2
ROS24 AAMIL 2% 128114 19301 11462 82 167252219471 53264 369 233 36 -9 +1 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
ROS24 MLBMIL 2% 33 0000 010 00 262 330 217 24 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 AAMIL 171146 23201 19644 136 158272192464 34268 3711 228 33 -13 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.8
TOT24 AAMIL 296257 42502 301096 218 163266206472 43270 3710 230 34 -22 +1 +0 +1 +8 -1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBMIL 31% 345306 55915 301186 205 180266265531 85271 349 248 48 -20 +2 +0 +1 +10 -0.7
202826 MLBMIL 45% 389345 651117 341297 226 188275287562 99273 339 256 54 -20 +2 +0 +1 +11 -0.6
202927 MLBMIL 49% 404358 671117 361327 236 187274282556 95274 339 260 57 -20 +2 +0 +1 +11 -0.5
203028 MLBMIL 52% 413366 691217 371357 236 189276284560 96274 339 260 58 -20 +2 -1 +1 +12 -0.5
202725 MLBMIL 31% 10795 17302 9372 62 179264274538 95269 358 233 37 -8 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.4
202826 MLBMIL 45% 173153 29513 15583 103 190275294569 105271 349 242 43 -11 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.5
202927 MLBMIL 49% 199176 33513 18653 113 188274278553 91272 339 246 46 -12 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.5
203028 MLBMIL 52% 213189 36614 19703 123 190275296571 106272 339 247 47 -13 +1 -0 +1 +6 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 695616 11519312 6123111 3911 187272286558 99273 339 243 44 -44 +3 -0 +2 +20 -1.9
/ 162G 650576 10818311 5721610 3610 188272286559 99275 339 243 44 -41 +3 -0 +2 +18 -1.8
Career 36123215 577961449 276127693 24963 179264264528 84277 358 241 42 -235 +25 -1 +13 +102 -9.8
/ 162G 650579 1041739 5023017 4511 180265266531 86277 358 241 42 -42 +5 -0 +2 +18 -1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKGCL Blue Jays 6345 10220 9179 62 222444356800 133357 2714 383 151 +4 +0 +2 0.6
202119 ADunedin Blue Jays 226198 42814 20748 226 212310323633 111317 339 293 83 -4 +2 +6 0.4
202220 A+Vancouver Canadians 176151 451102 145010 113 298394411805 113430 288 366 138 +8 +1 +5 1.4
202220 ADunedin Blue Jays 162140 39824 17453 116 279369450819 171385 2810 361 135 +6 -0 +5 1.1
202220 ROKFCL Blue Jays 2216 3100 274 21 188409250659 62333 329 338 117 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202321 A+Vancouver Canadians 463403 881237 4111613 2611 218309315625 97286 259 287 78 -12 +1 +13 0.2
202321 INTLSurprise Saguaros 8273 20411 7251 41 274346397743 123396 309 331 111 +1 +0 +2 0.4
202422 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats 119106 23710 6344 132 217282302584 85319 295 263 60 -5 +2 +3 -0.0
202422 A+Vancouver Canadians 329280 721528 39798 222 257363411774 154330 2412 349 125 +9 +4 +9 2.3
202523 AAABuffalo Bisons 1513 2101 220 52 154267462728 308100 1313 317 101 +0 +0 +0 0.1
202523 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats 276229 40613 32844 312 175279249528 74259 3012 246 47 -17 +5 +8 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA
71,749777239310313+1+354.14.1
/162664329+0.5+13.11.6pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
26981240189271285+2+5-1.0-0.5
/1626641138+2.4+4.8-1.0pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dasan Brown (OGILVIE) 24 25 30 60 50 163/266/206 43270 221 37% 10% 34 -1.2
Delvin Zinn
2022 · AA
25 40→44 37→30 56→55 40 196/245/263 67267 532 28% 6% 37 -2.7 190/257/265 75276 526 31% 7% 43 -2.2 115/212/1523718903935%8%-3-1.2
Wes Rogers
2019 · AA
25 43→48 38→40 58→65 41 207/257/286 79287 532 29% 6% 47 -1.9 194/251/270 76305 517 35% 7% 41 -2.3 158/224/2165827231240%7%14-2.0
Stephen Wrenn
2019 · AA
24 41→43 40→45 56→60 38 200/251/291 91288 824 32% 6% 46 -2.0 202/260/314 112305 924 35% 6% 56 -1.3 193/255/314121298112737%6%53-1.0
Jordyn Adams
2023 · AA
23 40 38→45 58→60 36 190/243/268 78298 524 36% 6% 37 -2.6 197/256/307 110301 1129 36% 7% 53 -1.5 186/248/297110286132638%7%45-1.1
Tyler Tolbert
2022 · A
24 38→46 39→45 66→65 43 177/264/263 86294 537 38% 9% 46 -2.0 200/257/301 101289 738 31% 6% 52 -1.6 217/276/2988030275829%6%56-0.6
Cooper Bowman
2023 · A
23 39 44→45 59→60 43 191/272/302 111287 1131 35% 8% 60 -1.0 201/274/322 121279 1235 31% 8% 66 -0.6 195/268/315120262124029%8%59-0.7
Sergio Garcia
2015 · AAA
24 44 40→45 54→60 35 213/247/305 92298 827 31% 4% 47 -1.9 223/251/333 110300 1118 29% 3% 57 -1.2 231/255/354123300131728%2%62-0.4
Champ Stuart
2017 · AA
24 37 38→30 59→60 33 170/231/242 71319 626 46% 6% 26 -3.4 182/249/266 84318 830 42% 8% 40 -2.4 162/236/2377527674141%8%25-1.5
Jorge Mateo
2019 · AAA
24 39→46 42→50 60→65 36 192/235/306 114281 827 34% 5% 43 -2.2 208/248/328 120298 1022 32% 4% 55 -1.4 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Ashton Creal
2023 · A
24 38 41→40 54→55 39 182/261/280 98290 822 38% 7% 50 -1.8 189/265/279 90345 815 44% 7% 51 -1.7 121/213/1654430071256%7%-2-1.2
Daniel Hinojosa
2009 · AAA
25 43 38→40 58→55 39 206/263/277 72302 626 32% 6% 48 -1.9 234/276/322 88309 520 25% 5% 64 -0.8 248/287/3328432042023%4%68-0.2
Max Ferguson
2023 · A
23 36→33 39→40 63→60 52 173/278/262 89263 732 33% 12% 53 -1.5 178/261/269 91271 928 34% 10% 46 -2.0 178/251/26991257102933%9%39-1.5
Terrance Gore
2015 · AAA
24 45→43 33→30 63→70 42 210/273/249 39295 142 28% 6% 45 -2.1 220/271/261 41299 149 25% 5% 46 -2.0 190/250/2394827115228%6%29-1.0
Tanner English
2018 · AAA
25 35→42 41→40 60→55 36 167/242/266 98300 927 44% 7% 37 -2.6 171/224/270 99298 819 43% 5% 30 -3.1 152/195/2509825671942%4%9-1.9
Kenny Wilson
2014 · AA
24 44→51 39→40 56→60 41 208/274/293 85294 628 30% 6% 58 -1.2 223/277/310 87312 527 28% 6% 62 -0.9 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7
Drew Swift
2023 · A
24 46→43 36→30 58→55 45 208/288/275 66319 426 33% 9% 59 -1.1 206/269/267 61318 216 33% 7% 48 -1.9 207/275/2564931811832%8%44-1.3
Luis Aviles Jr.
2019 · AA
24 40 38→50 54→55 33 192/233/268 76301 623 37% 4% 32 -3.0 202/249/289 87308 824 35% 6% 45 -2.1 196/238/335139267152232%4%50-1.1
Marland Williams
2006 · AA
25 41→39 42→45 62→60 38 203/248/309 106289 932 32% 6% 50 -1.8 184/243/301 117322 1230 43% 7% 46 -2.0 157/222/273116292133448%7%28-1.8
D.J. Burt
2021 · AA
25 43→51 40 55→65 42 206/260/293 87287 726 30% 7% 50 -1.7 231/298/315 84322 636 27% 8% 72 -0.2 239/310/3137433044926%9%74-0.0
Lucius Fox
2021 · AAA
24 43→48 38→40 56→60 46 205/280/287 82284 527 28% 8% 59 -1.1 203/269/300 97292 824 31% 8% 57 -1.2 189/253/2768727482432%7%41-0.9