Dasan Brown

CF Biloxi Shuckers

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AA/A+TOR	448	.246/.342/.381	8	35	55	—	.192/.272/.290
2025	23	AAA/AATOR	291	.174/.279/.260	4	36	26	—	.151/.233/.227
2026	24	AAMIL	168	.200/.349/.244	1	13	41	—	.174/.283/.215
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBMIL	2	.174/.262/.246	0	0	49	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBMIL	58	.179/.267/.261	1	3	54	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%91

Chase%75

Speed46

wOBA25

K%25

wRC+24

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJackson Loftin (age 24) · Jayce Easley (age 24) · Delvin Zinn (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .262 / .246

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP260

ISO58

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	63	45	10	2	2	0	9	17	9	6	2	222	444	356	800	133	357	27	14	383	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	226	198	42	8	1	4	20	74	8	22	6	212	310	323	633	111	317	33	9	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	176	151	45	11	0	2	14	50	10	11	3	298	394	411	805	113	430	28	8	366	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	162	140	39	8	2	4	17	45	3	11	6	279	369	450	819	171	385	28	10	361	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	22	16	3	1	0	0	2	7	4	2	1	188	409	250	659	62	333	32	9	338	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	463	403	88	12	3	7	41	116	13	26	11	218	309	315	625	97	286	25	9	287	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	82	73	20	4	1	1	7	25	1	4	1	274	346	397	743	123	396	30	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	119	106	23	7	1	0	6	34	4	13	2	217	282	302	584	85	319	29	5	263	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	329	280	72	15	2	8	39	79	8	22	2	257	363	411	774	154	330	24	12	349	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	13	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	5	2	154	267	462	728	308	100	13	13	317	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	276	229	40	6	1	3	32	84	4	31	2	175	279	249	528	74	259	30	12	246	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	168	135	27	3	0	1	27	49	4	13	6	200	349	244	594	44	302	29	16	289	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	63	48	7	1	1	0	6	25	9	6	2	146	349	208	558	62	285	40	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	226	203	34	6	1	3	15	95	8	22	6	167	252	251	503	84	291	42	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	176	155	37	7	0	2	10	67	10	11	3	239	326	323	648	84	386	38	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	162	146	35	7	2	3	11	60	3	11	6	240	306	377	683	137	369	37	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	22	17	2	1	0	0	1	10	4	2	1	118	318	176	495	59	266	45	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	463	416	73	10	3	4	30	152	13	26	11	175	253	243	496	67	254	33	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	119	109	19	5	1	0	4	42	4	13	2	174	231	239	469	64	283	35	3	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	329	292	58	10	2	6	28	109	8	22	2	199	287	308	595	110	287	33	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	15	14	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	2	143	200	429	629	286	78	13	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	276	245	37	5	1	3	23	106	4	31	2	151	235	216	452	65	241	38	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	168	144	25	3	0	1	18	60	4	13	6	174	283	215	498	42	270	36	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	63	48	7	1	1	0	6	25	9	6	2	146	349	208	558	62	304	40	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	63	45	10	2	2	0	9	17	9	6	2	222	444	356	800	133	357	27	14	383	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	226	203	34	6	1	3	15	95	8	22	6	167	252	251	503	84	295	42	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	226	198	42	8	1	4	20	74	8	22	6	212	310	323	633	111	317	33	9	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	360	318	73	14	2	5	22	137	17	24	10	230	314	333	647	104	384	38	6	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	360	307	87	20	2	6	33	102	17	24	10	283	384	420	804	137	405	28	9	362	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	545	491	86	12	3	5	35	179	14	30	12	175	250	242	492	67	260	33	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	545	476	108	16	4	8	48	141	14	30	12	227	315	328	643	101	302	26	9	293	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	400	77	16	2	6	33	151	12	35	4	193	274	287	562	95	291	34	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	448	386	95	22	3	8	45	113	12	35	4	246	342	381	722	135	327	25	10	326	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	258	39	6	1	4	25	109	4	36	4	151	237	229	466	78	240	37	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	291	242	42	7	1	4	34	86	4	36	4	174	279	260	539	87	248	30	12	250	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	168	144	25	3	0	1	18	60	4	13	6	174	283	215	498	42	286	36	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	168	135	27	3	0	1	27	49	4	13	6	200	349	244	594	44	302	29	16	289	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	63	48	7	1	1	0	6	25	9	6	2	146	349	208	558	62	285	40	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	226	201	34	6	1	3	15	95	8	22	6	169	252	254	506	85	291	42	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	360	318	73	14	2	5	22	137	17	24	10	230	314	333	647	104	371	38	6	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	545	491	86	12	3	5	35	179	14	30	12	175	250	242	492	67	254	33	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	400	77	16	2	6	33	151	12	35	4	193	274	287	562	95	286	34	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	260	39	6	1	4	25	109	4	36	4	150	237	227	464	77	233	37	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	168	144	25	3	0	1	18	60	4	13	6	174	283	215	498	42	270	36	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	400	77	16	2	6	33	151	12	35	4	193	274	287	562	95	286	34	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	260	39	6	1	4	25	109	4	36	4	150	237	227	464	77	233	37	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	168	144	25	3	0	1	18	60	4	13	6	174	283	215	498	42	270	36	11	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIL	2%	218	193	34	6	1	2	19	72	4	13	3	176	264	249	513	72	264	33	9	240	49	-13	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIL	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	174	262	246	508	72	260	50	0	238	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIL	31%	187	165	30	5	1	2	17	61	3	11	2	181	268	263	532	82	266	33	9	248	54	-10	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIL	31%	58	52	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	3	1	179	267	261	528	82	262	33	9	246	54	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	52	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	3	1	192	276	288	564	96	281	33	9	246	48	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	111	22	0	11	56	213	11	34	11	190	274	285	559	94	279	33	9	246	48	-36	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2405	2131	389	66	11	27	181	856	73	184	47	183	270	262	531	79	288	36	8	239	48	-17	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	105	18	3	7	49	231	20	50	13	182	270	260	531	78	287	36	8	239	48	-37	+5	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 168 PAwOBA .284 → .229 (−55)K% 29.2% → 35.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.17%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	35.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.07%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.998	10.91%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	2.00%
Singles /BIP	26.74%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.977	×0.998	23.98%
Doubles /BIP	3.49%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.977	×0.998	3.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.977	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.16%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.93%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .284 → .229; ISO .044 → .038; BABIP .302 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 276 PAwOBA .242 → .204 (−37)K% 30.4% → 38.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.43%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	38.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.59%	÷0.983	×0.700	—	×1.012	8.35%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.25%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷1.029	×0.970	×0.996	×1.012	19.65%
Doubles /BIP	4.14%	÷1.030	×0.860	×0.996	×1.012	3.48%
Triples /BIP	0.69%	÷0.997	×0.950	×0.996	×1.012	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	2.07%	÷0.885	×0.780	—	×1.012	1.84%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 99, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .242 → .204; ISO .074 → .065; BABIP .259 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAABuffalo Bisons · 15 PAwOBA .309 → .251 (−58)K% 13.3% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	16.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×1.048	9.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.007	×0.930	—	×1.048	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.098	×0.830	—	×1.048	7.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.986	×0.970	—	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷0.847	×0.700	—	×1.048	7.88%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 101, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .309 → .251; ISO .308 → .263; BABIP .100 → .078. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Vancouver Canadians · 329 PAwOBA .341 → .263 (−78)K% 24.0% → 33.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.01%	÷0.980	×1.350	—	—	33.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.85%	÷0.974	×0.710	—	×0.998	8.62%
HBP% /PA	2.43%	—	×0.810	—	×0.998	1.97%
Singles /BIP	23.38%	÷0.964	×0.910	×0.975	×0.998	21.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.46%	÷1.071	×0.830	×0.975	×0.998	5.63%
Triples /BIP	1.00%	÷0.936	×0.820	×0.975	×0.998	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	3.98%	÷1.062	×0.830	—	×0.998	3.10%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 93, 2B 114, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .341 → .263; ISO .154 → .110; BABIP .330 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 119 PAwOBA .256 → .213 (−43)K% 28.6% → 35.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷0.995	×1.220	—	—	35.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.04%	÷0.990	×0.700	—	×1.027	3.66%
HBP% /PA	3.36%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	2.93%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷1.015	×0.970	×0.950	×1.027	19.43%
Doubles /BIP	9.72%	÷1.051	×0.860	×0.950	×1.027	7.76%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.950	×1.027	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.145	×0.780	—	×1.027	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .256 → .213; ISO .085 → .066; BABIP .319 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 463 PAwOBA .281 → .223 (−59)K% 25.1% → 32.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.05%	÷1.028	×1.350	—	—	32.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.86%	÷0.992	×0.710	—	×1.012	6.41%
HBP% /PA	2.81%	—	×0.810	—	×1.012	2.30%
Singles /BIP	23.00%	÷1.006	×0.910	×0.982	×1.012	20.69%
Doubles /BIP	4.18%	÷0.949	×0.830	×0.982	×1.012	3.64%
Triples /BIP	1.05%	÷0.900	×0.820	×0.982	×1.012	0.95%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.253	×0.830	—	×1.012	1.63%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .281 → .223; ISO .097 → .070; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Vancouver Canadians · 176 PAwOBA .359 → .280 (−78)K% 28.4% → 38.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.41%	÷1.003	×1.350	—	—	38.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.95%	÷1.037	×0.710	—	×1.027	5.59%
HBP% /PA	5.68%	—	×0.810	—	×1.027	4.73%
Singles /BIP	31.68%	÷0.950	×0.910	×0.995	×1.027	30.99%
Doubles /BIP	10.89%	÷1.254	×0.830	×0.995	×1.027	7.36%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.820	×0.995	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.98%	÷0.952	×0.830	—	×1.027	1.77%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 151, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .359 → .280; ISO .113 → .076; BABIP .430 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 162 PAwOBA .352 → .293 (−59)K% 27.8% → 37.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.78%	÷1.017	×1.360	—	—	37.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.49%	÷1.050	×0.690	—	×1.015	7.00%
HBP% /PA	1.85%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	1.47%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷1.005	×0.920	×1.050	×1.015	25.66%
Doubles /BIP	8.42%	÷0.983	×0.830	×1.050	×1.015	7.58%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.050	×1.015	2.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.21%	÷0.916	×0.800	—	×1.015	3.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .352 → .293; ISO .171 → .147; BABIP .385 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dasan Brown (OGILVIE)	25	25	30	60	50	175/262/246	72	264	1	7	33%	9%	49	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Loftin 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	41→40	59→65	43	184/266/276	92	257	9	33	30%	8%	57	-1.8	184/252/281	97	272	9	26	34%	7%	52	-2.2	129/194/213	83	197	8	34	37%	6%	12	-2.0
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	194/244/261	66	264	5	32	28%	6%	42	-2.9	189/254/265	76	268	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/208/156	38	181	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Will Holland 2024 · AA	26	37→36	41→45	58→60	42	179/259/279	100	282	9	29	37%	9%	54	-2.0	198/279/310	112	288	11	26	33%	8%	69	-0.9	184/276/301	117	260	13	30	32%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	40→39	38→30	59→60	36	183/245/258	75	320	6	31	42%	7%	43	-2.8	194/263/293	99	319	10	25	39%	8%	59	-1.7	106/204/195	89	165	13	37	43%	11%	14	-1.1
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Terrance Gore 2015 · AAA	24	44→42	33→30	63→70	42	203/268/241	38	292	1	42	29%	6%	48	-2.5	222/275/263	41	303	1	49	25%	6%	55	-2.0	194/257/241	47	277	1	52	28%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Jordy Barley 2024 · AAA	24	37→34	39→40	61→60	33	178/227/260	82	307	7	37	42%	6%	36	-3.3	194/257/284	90	327	8	26	40%	8%	54	-2.0	135/224/190	55	231	7	35	41%	10%	19	-1.0
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	36→44	41→45	60→55	38	173/250/274	101	299	8	27	42%	8%	50	-2.3	175/230/273	98	292	8	19	40%	5%	41	-3.0	158/202/252	95	255	6	19	39%	4%	23	-1.8
✕Marland Williams 2006 · AA	25	42→40	42→45	62→60	39	205/250/309	104	286	9	32	31%	6%	56	-1.9	185/243/299	114	315	11	30	42%	7%	52	-2.2	157/222/270	113	285	12	34	47%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Aaron Whitefield 2022 · AA	25	44→48	38→40	56→60	39	209/262/287	78	312	6	29	33%	6%	55	-1.9	214/270/325	111	322	10	30	34%	7%	68	-1.0	198/256/320	122	300	11	40	36%	7%	60	-0.6
✕Nick Heath 2019 · AA	25	48→39	36→40	59→65	40	219/274/286	67	340	4	34	35%	7%	59	-1.6	202/269/296	94	332	7	41	38%	8%	61	-1.5	184/255/285	101	305	8	50	39%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Johnathon Thomas 2024 · A	24	40	38→40	60→65	38	191/267/259	68	287	6	41	33%	6%	53	-2.1	186/245/255	69	281	4	34	34%	5%	42	-2.9	179/235/245	66	267	3	37	32%	4%	33	-1.9
✕Kevin Mattison 2011 · AAA	25	37→47	41→45	59→60	38	188/236/280	92	252	9	33	29%	5%	45	-2.7	199/256/305	106	286	8	26	31%	6%	58	-1.7	191/252/302	111	285	8	26	34%	6%	54	-1.7
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	210/266/290	80	289	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	231/295/314	83	314	5	36	26%	8%	74	-0.5	237/305/311	73	319	4	49	25%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Cristian Paulino 2017 · A	25	42	40	56→60	35	207/240/301	94	282	7	28	29%	3%	50	-2.3	218/261/312	94	297	9	27	28%	5%	61	-1.5	220/265/301	81	294	9	37	27%	5%	55	-1.0