Johnathon ThomasOF Harrisburg Senators
Age 26 R/R 5'7" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .257 / .271
PA160
HR1
SB9
K%32
BB%4
BABIP290
ISO74
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -24.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-25BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +11.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: -1.50-1.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.2-0.9-1.0-1.1262829
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 ROKFCL Nationals — 1514 1000 140 00 7113371205 100 277 116 -53 — — — — — —
202222 ROKFCL Nationals — 1514 2000 130 00 143200143343 182 207 167 -14 — — — — — —
202323 AFredericksburg Nationals — 385340 59704 1813823 6512 174262229492 56275 365 223 29 — — — — — —
202323 AFredericksburg Nationals — 385323 731104 359323 6512 226344297641 71303 249 302 89 — — — — — —
202424 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 269241 35630 1012611 237 145214195409 50302 474 182 -2 — — — — — —
202424 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 269236 45840 158911 237 191271258529 68304 336 242 44 — — — — — —
202525 AA2 teams — 348317 671432 14877 326 211260293554 82284 254 238 40 — — — — — —
202525 AA2 teams — 348305 701332 20657 326 230287311598 82285 196 264 60 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 AAWSH — 241215 44822 128010 176 205278288567 84311 335 247 47 -14 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.8
YTD26 AAWSH — 241210 491022 176210 176 233321329649 95318 267 295 84 -4 +1 +0 -1 +7 0.2
ROS26 AAWSH 2% 160147 29611 7515 93 196257271528 74287 324 241 43 -10 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
ROS26 MLBWSH 2% 33 0000 010 00 287 330 218 25 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL26 AAWSH — 244218 44822 128110 176 202275284559 83307 335 247 47 -15 +1 +0 -1 +7 -0.8
TOT26 AAWSH — 401362 731433 1913115 269 201270281551 80302 335 245 45 -25 +2 +0 -2 +11 -1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBWSH 27% 269247 491022 13847 123 198258279538 81286 315 247 47 -16 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.9
202828 MLBWSH 40% 319291 581123 17988 134 199263282544 82286 315 252 51 -18 +1 -1 -2 +9 -1.1
202929 MLBWSH 45% 344314 631224 191058 123 201264290554 89286 316 253 52 -19 +1 -1 -2 +10 -1.1
202727 MLBWSH 27% 7266 14311 4222 31 212278333611 121286 316 227 32 -6 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.4
202828 MLBWSH 40% 127116 24511 7393 51 207270293563 86286 316 233 36 -9 +1 -0 -1 +4 -0.6
202929 MLBWSH 45% 154140 29612 9474 52 207275307582 100286 316 235 38 -11 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 356325 671434 201099 134 206271305576 98294 316 233 36 -26 +1 -1 -2 +10 -1.8
/ 162G— — 650593 1222657 3719916 247 206271302573 96294 316 233 36 -47 +2 -2 -4 +18 -3.3
Career— — 21091911 361661316 9969369 16638 189254262516 73284 335 233 37 -151 +18 -2 -13 +60 -9.0
/ 162G— — 650589 1112045 3121421 5112 188254261516 73284 335 233 37 -47 +5 -1 -4 +18 -2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 ROKFCL Nationals — 1514 2000 130 00 143200143343 182 207 167 -14 -2 +0 — — +0 -0.2
202323 AFredericksburg Nationals — 385323 731104 359323 6512 226344297641 71303 249 302 89 -5 +8 — — +11 1.5
202424 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 269236 45840 158911 237 191271258529 68304 336 242 44 -17 +2 — — +8 -0.8
202525 AAHarrisburg Senators — 249218 50912 13475 234 229282307589 78282 195 259 56 -12 +3 — — +7 -0.2
202525 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 9987 20420 7182 92 230299322621 92290 187 277 70 -3 +1 — — +3 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA
91,92513161245312332-11-81.21.7
/162664456-3.9-2.70.4pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1358314201262287-2+0-1.2-0.6
/162664626-4.0+0.0-2.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Johnathon Thomas (OGILVIE) 26 45 30 60 25 201/270/281 80302 326 33% 5% 45 -1.5 ————————— —————————
✕Juan Ciriaco
2016 · AA 		26 49 35→30 56→60 37 230/252/288 58293 227 22% 2% 44 -2.1 225/247/299 74270 618 19% 3% 45 -2.1 225/238/2866126061916%1%34-0.9
✕Delvin Zinn
2022 · AA 		25 40→44 37→30 56→55 40 196/245/263 67267 532 28% 6% 37 -2.7 190/257/265 75276 526 31% 7% 43 -2.2 115/212/1523718903935%8%-3-1.2
✕Wes Rogers
2019 · AA 		25 43→48 38→40 58→65 41 207/257/286 79287 532 29% 6% 47 -1.9 194/251/270 76305 517 35% 7% 41 -2.3 158/224/2165827231240%7%14-2.0
✕Andrew Means
2012 · A 		25 46→47 37→30 55 35 220/255/287 67298 525 27% 3% 46 -2.0 224/273/304 80299 616 26% 5% 59 -1.1 228/285/2976929851224%6%58-0.4
✕Roemon Fields
2017 · AAA 		26 44→54 35→30 57→60 41 211/252/267 56278 332 25% 5% 40 -2.4 227/274/288 61300 336 24% 6% 54 -1.4 232/283/2895730424023%6%56-0.9
✕Michael Mitchell
2012 · AA 		26 45→55 37→40 56→55 42 213/270/288 74288 524 27% 6% 53 -1.5 207/246/287 80284 619 28% 4% 43 -2.2 196/224/2606326952028%2%23-3.0
✕Simon Whiteman
2023 · AA 		26 39→44 36→30 58→55 42 181/261/245 65297 426 37% 9% 40 -2.4 198/267/279 81291 619 31% 8% 50 -1.7 189/255/2617226162028%8%38-1.0
✕Casio Grider
2014 · A 		26 45→40 37→40 56→55 39 209/271/289 80306 323 31% 6% 55 -1.4 199/254/291 92312 821 36% 6% 48 -1.9 157/207/24789256102841%5%14-2.0
✕Aaron Whitefield
2022 · AA 		25 44→47 38→40 56→60 39 206/261/285 79318 629 35% 6% 49 -1.8 214/271/329 115328 1130 35% 7% 66 -0.6 201/259/328127309124037%7%58-0.5
✕Kenny Wilson
2015 · AAA 		25 46→51 38→40 56→60 38 215/268/293 79305 427 30% 5% 54 -1.4 224/281/313 89311 626 28% 6% 65 -0.7 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7
✕Alex Requena
2007 · AA 		26 50→54 35→30 57→60 42 230/279/289 59316 231 27% 6% 57 -1.2 225/283/295 70316 325 27% 7% 61 -1.0 216/287/2695430203726%9%53-0.5
✕Ryan Strausborger
2014 · AA 		26 44→47 41→45 58→55 38 213/252/313 100280 722 26% 4% 53 -1.5 221/261/322 101279 926 23% 5% 59 -1.1 220/262/3189927493023%5%54-0.9
✕Nick Dalesandro
2023 · AA 		26 46 36→30 62→65 40 214/266/277 63314 440 32% 6% 49 -1.8 205/264/276 71304 429 31% 7% 48 -1.9 167/236/2043826013833%8%16-1.5
✕Eliezer Mesa
2014 · AA 		25 44→52 38→40 57→55 36 210/243/290 80288 518 28% 4% 42 -2.3 238/271/324 86298 712 22% 4% 63 -0.9 294/320/3677336241020%3%89+0.3
✕Luis Aviles Jr.
2021 · AA 		26 44→40 38→50 54→55 37 204/254/278 74317 526 36% 6% 44 -2.1 206/248/342 136286 1519 32% 5% 59 -1.1 196/238/335139267152232%4%50-1.1
✕Raymond Kruml
2012 · AAA 		26 50→53 38→40 57→55 37 235/268/312 77326 528 29% 4% 58 -1.2 222/262/313 91320 823 31% 5% 56 -1.3 166/196/2175125453736%4%1-0.9
✕Vance Vizcaino
2021 · AA 		26 42 40 55 38 205/255/298 93300 824 33% 6% 50 -1.8 219/277/326 107312 1115 31% 6% 67 -0.5 205/263/28883291111332%5%48-0.5
✕Zach Davis
2021 · AA 		27 49→52 35→30 58→65 39 225/282/286 61333 231 31% 6% 58 -1.2 216/282/281 65323 441 32% 7% 57 -1.2 214/285/2594532026231%7%51-0.6
✕Torii Hunter Jr.
2021 · A 		26 44→47 36→40 56→55 42 204/274/272 69316 317 34% 8% 52 -1.6 206/262/309 103338 921 39% 6% 56 -1.3 198/251/304106327102640%6%46-1.1
✕Stephen Wrenn
2021 · AA 		26 41→43 42→45 58→60 38 201/260/313 112299 925 34% 6% 56 -1.3 214/271/338 124329 1322 37% 6% 68 -0.5 199/257/318119311132938%5%54-0.8