Cristian Paulino
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AATL | 187 | .299/.371/.467 | 3 | 19 | 71 | — | .227/.285/.337 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+SF | 299 | .259/.281/.374 | 4 | 29 | 30 | — | .198/.217/.281 |
| 2017 | 25 | A+/A2 orgs | 308 | .283/.347/.384 | 5 | 34 | 55 | — | .225/.274/.313 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants | — | 250 | 215 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 51 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 251 | 335 | 340 | 674 | 88 | 305 | 20 | 8 | 301 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 135 | 112 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 277 | 382 | 438 | 819 | 161 | 316 | 13 | 12 | 356 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 106 | 97 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 247 | 298 | 320 | 618 | 72 | 329 | 23 | 6 | 276 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 110 | 101 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 307 | 358 | 475 | 833 | 168 | 354 | 15 | 5 | 366 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 296 | 271 | 65 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 240 | 292 | 332 | 624 | 92 | 291 | 19 | 5 | 278 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 187 | 167 | 50 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 299 | 371 | 467 | 838 | 168 | 376 | 21 | 7 | 371 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 299 | 286 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 69 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 259 | 281 | 374 | 655 | 115 | 329 | 23 | 3 | 287 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 50 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 340 | 367 | 447 | 814 | 106 | 429 | 22 | 2 | 357 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 258 | 229 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 49 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 271 | 343 | 371 | 714 | 100 | 330 | 19 | 9 | 320 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 250 | 221 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 158 | 231 | 199 | 430 | 41 | 199 | 25 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 135 | 119 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 210 | 282 | 328 | 610 | 118 | 237 | 18 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 106 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 182 | 221 | 232 | 453 | 51 | 261 | 33 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 110 | 103 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 257 | 320 | 577 | 107 | 262 | 23 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 296 | 276 | 55 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 199 | 241 | 283 | 523 | 83 | 249 | 24 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 187 | 172 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 227 | 285 | 337 | 622 | 110 | 308 | 28 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 299 | 288 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 93 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 198 | 217 | 281 | 498 | 83 | 273 | 31 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 50 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 277 | 306 | 362 | 668 | 85 | 374 | 28 | 2 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 258 | 237 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 69 | 2 | 30 | 7 | 215 | 268 | 304 | 572 | 89 | 278 | 27 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 250 | 221 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 158 | 231 | 199 | 430 | 41 | 207 | 25 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants | — | 250 | 215 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 51 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 251 | 335 | 340 | 674 | 88 | 305 | 20 | 8 | 301 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 135 | 119 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 210 | 282 | 328 | 610 | 118 | 253 | 18 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 135 | 112 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 277 | 382 | 438 | 819 | 161 | 316 | 13 | 12 | 356 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 106 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 182 | 221 | 232 | 453 | 51 | 281 | 33 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 106 | 97 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 247 | 298 | 320 | 618 | 72 | 329 | 23 | 6 | 276 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 110 | 103 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 257 | 320 | 577 | 107 | 273 | 23 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 110 | 101 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 307 | 358 | 475 | 833 | 168 | 354 | 15 | 5 | 366 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 296 | 276 | 55 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 199 | 241 | 283 | 523 | 83 | 256 | 24 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 296 | 271 | 65 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 240 | 292 | 332 | 624 | 92 | 291 | 19 | 5 | 278 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 187 | 172 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 227 | 285 | 337 | 622 | 110 | 314 | 28 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 187 | 167 | 50 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 299 | 371 | 467 | 838 | 168 | 376 | 21 | 7 | 371 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 299 | 288 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 93 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 198 | 217 | 281 | 498 | 83 | 281 | 31 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 299 | 286 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 69 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 259 | 281 | 374 | 655 | 115 | 329 | 23 | 3 | 287 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 285 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 83 | 3 | 34 | 9 | 225 | 271 | 312 | 583 | 88 | 299 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 308 | 276 | 78 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 60 | 3 | 34 | 9 | 283 | 347 | 384 | 731 | 101 | 346 | 19 | 8 | 326 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 250 | 227 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 7 | 19 | 6 | 154 | 231 | 194 | 425 | 40 | 199 | 25 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 135 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 205 | 282 | 320 | 602 | 115 | 237 | 18 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 106 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 180 | 221 | 230 | 451 | 50 | 261 | 33 | 4 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 110 | 103 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 214 | 257 | 320 | 577 | 107 | 262 | 23 | 3 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 296 | 279 | 55 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 71 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 197 | 241 | 280 | 520 | 82 | 249 | 24 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 187 | 171 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 228 | 285 | 339 | 624 | 111 | 308 | 28 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 299 | 290 | 57 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 93 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 197 | 217 | 279 | 496 | 83 | 273 | 31 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 287 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 83 | 3 | 34 | 9 | 223 | 271 | 310 | 581 | 87 | 294 | 27 | 5 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1691 | 1563 | 315 | 56 | 13 | 16 | 69 | 445 | 29 | 155 | 40 | 202 | 249 | 285 | 533 | 83 | 269 | 26 | 4 | 230 | 42 | -117 | +15 | +0 | +6 | +37 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 121 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 171 | 11 | 60 | 15 | 201 | 249 | 285 | 533 | 83 | 269 | 26 | 4 | 230 | 42 | -45 | +6 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAugusta GreenJackets · 258 PAwOBA .311 → .244 (−67)K% 19.0% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.99% | ÷0.954 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.91% | ÷0.997 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.960 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.960 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.960 | 22.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×0.960 | 3.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.016 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×0.960 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.818 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.960 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 103, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .311 → .244; ISO .100 → .085; BABIP .330 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+San Jose Giants · 50 PAwOBA .347 → .284 (−63)K% 22.0% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.00% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 1.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.11% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 32.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.008 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.968 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .284; ISO .106 → .085; BABIP .429 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+San Jose Giants · 299 PAwOBA .279 → .213 (−66)K% 23.1% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.68% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 1.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×0.978 | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×0.955 | ×0.978 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.955 | ×0.978 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .279 → .213; ISO .115 → .088; BABIP .329 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAugusta GreenJackets · 187 PAwOBA .361 → .273 (−88)K% 20.9% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.86% | ÷0.996 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.95% | ÷0.989 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.21% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.22% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.980 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.16% | ÷1.055 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.980 | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.951 | ×0.980 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.952 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .361 → .273; ISO .168 → .123; BABIP .376 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAugusta GreenJackets · 296 PAwOBA .272 → .223 (−49)K% 18.9% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷1.053 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.07% | ÷0.966 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.990 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.72% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.990 | 3.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷0.934 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.990 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷0.890 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 111, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .272 → .223; ISO .092 → .082; BABIP .291 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Giants · 110 PAwOBA .356 → .249 (−107)K% 15.5% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 2.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.73% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×0.975 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×0.975 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.974 | ×0.975 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 1.81% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .356 → .249; ISO .168 → .115; BABIP .354 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Giants · 106 PAwOBA .269 → .189 (−79)K% 22.6% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.012 | ×0.985 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.012 | ×0.985 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.012 | ×0.985 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .269 → .189; ISO .072 → .048; BABIP .329 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKAZL Giants · 135 PAwOBA .348 → .256 (−91)K% 12.6% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 15.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.964 | ×0.995 | 2.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .348 → .256; ISO .161 → .118; BABIP .316 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).