Shane Sasaki — OGILVIE

Shane SasakiCF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .266 / .276

PA250

HR2

SB12

K%32

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

30→30

SPD

60→60

EYE

47↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-6M		$-23M	-$17M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	.111	.149	.133	.282	.022	.263	55	4	.124	-47	-8	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.6
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	.179	.303	.321	.624	.143	.286	40	15	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	144	131	26	2	1	2	11	52	1	22	2	.198	.266	.275	.541	.076	.308	36	8	.244	45	-9	+4	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	402	364	93	19	2	8	31	133	4	47	4	.255	.321	.385	.705	.129	.376	33	8	.310	95	-2	+8	+0	+1	+11	1.9
2023	23	A+	3 teams	401	368	84	14	4	7	26	125	3	29	4	.228	.285	.345	.630	.117	.321	31	6	.274	68	-15	+4	+0	+1	+11	0.2
2024	24	AA	3 teams	290	259	54	10	0	1	26	99	4	24	4	.208	.291	.259	.549	.050	.333	34	9	.248	48	-17	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2025	25	AA	2 teams	350	314	62	13	2	1	24	108	2	30	3	.197	.259	.261	.520	.064	.293	31	7	.228	33	-27	+5	+0	+1	+10	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	58	52	10	2	1	0	5	26	0	3	0	.192	.263	.269	.532	.077	.385	45	9	.218	25	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
ROS	26	MLB	CIN	192	174	34	7	1	1	15	64	1	9	1	.195	.263	.264	.528	.069	.302	33	8	.249	49	-11	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
TOT	26	MLB	CIN	250	226	44	9	2	1	20	90	1	12	1	.195	.263	.265	.529	.071	.316	36	8	.242	43	-16	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	CIN	336	303	62	12	2	3	28	91	2	15	2	.205	.276	.287	.563	.083	.282	27	8	.261	58	-16	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
2028	28	MLB 22%	CIN	364	328	68	13	2	4	30	99	3	15	2	.207	.280	.296	.576	.088	.283	27	8	.265	61	-16	+2	-1	+1	+10	-0.3
2029	29	MLB 34%	CIN	373	336	70	14	2	4	31	101	3	14	1	.208	.281	.298	.579	.089	.282	27	8	.266	62	-16	+2	-1	+1	+11	-0.3
2030	30	MLB 44%	CIN	378	340	71	14	2	4	32	103	3	13	1	.209	.283	.297	.580	.088	.281	27	8	.264	60	-17	+2	-2	+1	+11	-0.5
2031	31	MLB 53%	CIN	369	332	68	13	2	4	31	102	3	11	0	.205	.279	.292	.571	.087	.280	28	8	.260	57	-18	+2	-3	+1	+10	-0.7
2032	32	MLB 64%	CIN	354	319	64	12	2	3	30	100	2	9	0	.201	.274	.279	.553	.078	.278	28	8	.256	54	-18	+2	-4	+1	+10	-0.9
2033	33	MLB 74%	CIN	326	294	58	11	1	3	27	94	2	7	0	.197	.269	.272	.541	.075	.277	29	8	.251	50	-18	+1	-4	+1	+9	-1.1
2034	34	MLB 81%	CIN	284	256	49	9	1	2	24	85	2	6	0	.191	.266	.258	.524	.066	.275	30	8	.245	45	-17	+1	-5	+1	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4677	4219	878	166	24	49	378	1409	35	260	25	.208	.279	.294	.572	.086	.297	30	8	.256	54	-243	+42	-20	+17	+133	-7.3
/ 162G	—			650	586	122	23	3	7	53	196	5	36	3	.208	.280	.294	.573	.085	.297	30	8	.256	54	-34	+6	-3	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	.182	.234	.227	.461	.045	.308	38	6	.215	23	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	.179	.303	.321	.624	.143	.286	40	15	.286	77	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	.290	.385	.403	.788	.113	.395	26	12	.355	130	+5	+4	—	—	+4	1.3
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	.324	.414	.497	.911	.173	.415	23	12	.402	165	+30	+8	—	—	+11	5.0
2023	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	293	256	77	15	3	7	30	65	3	12	4	.301	.381	.465	.845	.164	.372	22	10	.372	142	+14	+1	—	—	+8	2.4
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	16	12	3	0	1	0	4	4	0	4	0	.250	.438	.417	.854	.167	.375	25	25	.388	155	+1	+1	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	92	81	21	2	2	0	11	31	0	13	0	.259	.348	.333	.681	.074	.420	34	12	.314	98	-0	+3	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	250	217	52	10	0	1	29	69	3	21	4	.240	.337	.300	.637	.060	.347	28	12	.298	86	-4	+3	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	19	6	1	0	0	4	4	1	1	0	.316	.458	.368	.827	.053	.400	17	17	.389	156	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK	FCL Marlins	16	10	4	1	0	0	6	5	0	2	0	.400	.625	.500	1.125	.100	.800	31	38	.512	250	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	80	68	15	2	0	0	7	14	2	6	1	.221	.312	.250	.562	.029	.273	18	9	.259	56	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	270	233	53	12	2	1	30	70	0	24	2	.227	.316	.309	.625	.082	.317	26	11	.282	74	-8	+4	—	—	+8	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shane Sasaki (OGILVIE)	26	40	30	60	50	.200/.266/.276	.076	.295	2	12	32%	7%	50	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA	26	48→50	40	57→60	41	.227/.278/.324	.096	.310	6	27	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.219/.281/.304	.085	.307	6	25	28%	7%	63	-0.9	.199/.267/.293	.094	.305	8	22	35%	7%	52	-0.6
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→44	37→30	58→55	42	.182/.263/.250	.067	.302	4	26	38%	9%	42	-2.3	.195/.265/.272	.077	.291	6	20	32%	8%	48	-1.9	.190/.256/.259	.069	.262	5	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→46	39→45	55→60	40	.184/.267/.265	.081	.302	6	24	38%	8%	49	-1.8	.202/.278/.309	.107	.292	10	23	32%	7%	64	-0.8	.195/.280/.308	.112	.279	12	28	32%	8%	62	-0.6
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA	26	46→51	40	55→65	44	.219/.280/.306	.087	.311	7	30	30%	8%	63	-0.9	.231/.298/.318	.087	.311	6	38	25%	8%	73	-0.1	.227/.300/.298	.072	.298	4	56	23%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	57→55	38	.208/.263/.282	.074	.311	6	26	34%	6%	49	-1.8	.232/.275/.320	.088	.308	5	20	25%	5%	63	-0.8	.249/.289/.333	.084	.321	4	20	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	.217/.269/.305	.088	.291	6	33	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.198/.256/.280	.082	.303	6	18	34%	7%	46	-2.0	.164/.230/.230	.066	.276	3	12	39%	7%	20	-1.8
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	43→47	42→45	58→65	38	.201/.273/.305	.104	.324	9	26	38%	7%	61	-1.0	.204/.283/.299	.095	.323	9	38	36%	9%	63	-0.8	.208/.288/.296	.088	.322	8	47	35%	9%	62	-0.6
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	43→53	37→40	55	43	.206/.264/.277	.071	.278	5	24	26%	6%	49	-1.8	.205/.244/.281	.076	.277	6	19	27%	4%	40	-2.4	.196/.225/.258	.062	.264	4	20	27%	2%	22	-3.0
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	41→44	37→30	56→55	40	.198/.246/.263	.066	.269	5	30	28%	5%	37	-2.6	.186/.250/.259	.073	.267	5	28	30%	7%	39	-2.5	.114/.203/.150	.036	.179	0	39	33%	8%	-8	-1.3
✕Jay Gonzalez 2018 · AA	26	50	35→30	58→60	47	.227/.294/.289	.062	.334	1	28	30%	9%	64	-0.8	.235/.292/.303	.068	.345	2	20	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.254/.301/.296	.041	.375	0	15	30%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Josh Prince 2013 · AA	25	45→46	38→40	54→60	45	.216/.272/.299	.082	.280	5	30	24%	7%	57	-1.2	.207/.277/.299	.092	.274	8	28	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.291/.302	.086	.289	8	28	26%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	59→60	39	.200/.260/.310	.111	.293	9	26	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.207/.268/.324	.117	.323	12	22	37%	6%	63	-0.8	.189/.251/.296	.108	.301	12	29	39%	5%	47	-1.1
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	49→51	38→40	56→60	37	.234/.269/.314	.080	.315	5	28	27%	4%	59	-1.1	.227/.265/.307	.080	.300	3	29	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.225/.261/.290	.065	.293	0	37	22%	4%	46	-0.8
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	44→42	38→50	54→55	37	.206/.254/.285	.078	.315	6	26	35%	6%	46	-2.0	.208/.250/.351	.143	.287	16	20	32%	5%	63	-0.9	.197/.239/.349	.152	.266	18	22	33%	4%	55	-0.8
✕Kyle Johnson 2016 · AAA	26	45→50	39→40	51→55	44	.213/.279/.303	.089	.287	5	19	26%	7%	62	-0.9	.194/.255/.280	.086	.277	6	12	30%	6%	46	-2.0	.167/.230/.232	.065	.237	5	8	30%	6%	20	-1.8
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	.218/.274/.284	.065	.323	4	39	32%	7%	54	-1.4	.207/.265/.277	.070	.308	4	31	32%	7%	49	-1.8	.172/.238/.213	.041	.267	1	38	33%	7%	19	-1.5
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	.227/.281/.331	.104	.312	8	33	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.225/.272/.308	.083	.305	6	39	27%	6%	59	-1.1	.226/.272/.293	.067	.305	4	48	26%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→42	36→30	55→60	45	.233/.290/.294	.062	.308	3	28	24%	7%	63	-0.8	.217/.283/.274	.057	.307	3	27	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.194/.269/.217	.023	.287	0	37	29%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	58→60	40	.195/.257/.310	.114	.277	9	26	32%	6%	54	-1.4	.220/.274/.346	.126	.300	11	17	29%	5%	71	-0.3	.227/.287/.366	.138	.305	13	23	28%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	54→55	45	.211/.270/.295	.084	.276	5	19	25%	7%	56	-1.3	.222/.278/.320	.098	.290	7	16	24%	7%	66	-0.6	.240/.283/.355	.115	.295	6	17	20%	5%	70	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)