Shane Sasaki — OGILVIE

Shane SasakiCF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .267 / .292

PA132

HR1

SB6

K%34

BB%8

BABIP307

ISO92

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	263	55	4	124	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	—	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	182	234	227	461	45	308	38	6	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	144	131	25	2	1	2	11	53	1	22	2	191	259	267	526	76	299	37	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	290	385	403	788	113	395	26	12	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	364	94	18	2	8	31	135	4	47	4	258	323	385	708	126	384	34	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	324	414	497	911	173	415	23	12	402	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	401	368	82	14	3	6	26	133	3	29	4	223	280	326	606	103	326	33	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	401	349	101	17	6	7	45	100	3	29	4	289	375	433	808	143	382	25	11	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	3 teams	—	290	259	55	9	0	1	26	95	4	24	4	212	294	259	553	46	331	33	9	253	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	3 teams	—	290	246	62	12	0	1	39	78	4	24	4	252	363	313	676	61	365	27	13	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	350	315	62	13	2	1	23	109	2	30	3	197	256	260	516	63	293	31	7	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	350	301	68	14	2	1	37	84	2	30	3	226	315	296	610	70	306	24	11	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	CIN	—	198	177	36	3	5	2	17	73	2	9	3	203	281	311	591	107	330	37	9	261	58	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
YTD	26	AA	CIN	—	198	170	41	4	6	2	24	57	2	9	3	241	342	371	712	129	348	29	12	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
ROS	26	AA	CIN	2%	132	120	24	4	2	1	10	45	1	6	1	200	267	292	559	92	305	34	8	248	48	-8	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
ROS	26	MLB	CIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						307	33	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	CIN	—	201	180	36	3	5	2	17	74	2	9	3	200	276	306	582	106	324	37	8	261	58	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
TOT	26	AA	CIN	—	330	297	60	7	7	3	27	118	3	15	4	202	275	303	578	101	320	36	8	256	54	-17	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CIN	27%	336	304	62	10	4	3	26	111	3	15	3	204	273	293	566	89	305	33	8	256	54	-18	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.5
2028	28	MLB	CIN	40%	364	329	67	11	4	3	29	118	3	16	3	204	274	289	563	85	303	32	8	260	57	-18	+2	-1	+1	+10	-0.5
2029	29	MLB	CIN	45%	373	337	70	12	4	4	30	120	3	15	3	208	278	303	581	95	302	32	8	261	58	-18	+2	-1	+1	+11	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	CIN	27%	90	82	17	3	1	1	7	30	1	4	1	207	278	305	583	98	307	33	8	251	50	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	CIN	40%	145	131	26	5	1	1	12	47	1	6	1	198	271	275	546	76	306	32	8	255	54	-8	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	CIN	45%	167	150	31	5	2	2	14	54	1	7	1	207	279	307	585	100	304	32	8	257	55	-9	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	405	366	74	13	4	4	33	132	3	17	3	202	274	292	566	90	302	33	8	255	53	-21	+2	-1	+1	+11	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	118	21	6	6	53	212	5	27	5	201	273	288	561	87	301	33	8	255	53	-34	+3	-1	+2	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	2906	2628	556	96	22	31	224	972	24	213	28	212	280	300	580	89	319	33	8	254	52	-157	+31	-2	+10	+82	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	124	21	5	7	50	217	5	48	6	211	278	299	577	88	318	33	8	254	52	-35	+7	-0	+2	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	—	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	182	234	227	461	45	308	38	6	215	23	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	286	77	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	290	385	403	788	113	395	26	12	355	130	+5	+4	—	—	+4	1.3
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	324	414	497	911	173	415	23	12	402	165	+30	+8	—	—	+11	5.0
2023	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	256	77	15	3	7	30	65	3	12	4	301	381	465	845	164	372	22	10	372	142	+14	+1	—	—	+8	2.4
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	16	12	3	0	1	0	4	4	0	4	0	250	438	417	854	167	375	25	25	388	155	+1	+1	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	92	81	21	2	2	0	11	31	0	13	0	259	348	333	681	74	420	34	12	314	98	-0	+3	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	250	217	52	10	0	1	29	69	3	21	4	240	337	300	637	60	347	28	12	298	86	-4	+3	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	24	19	6	1	0	0	4	4	1	1	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	17	17	389	156	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	16	10	4	1	0	0	6	5	0	2	0	400	625	500	1.125	100	800	31	38	512	250	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	80	68	15	2	0	0	7	14	2	6	1	221	312	250	562	29	273	18	9	259	56	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	270	233	53	12	2	1	30	70	0	24	2	227	316	309	625	82	317	26	11	282	74	-8	+4	—	—	+8	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#4Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	407	4	17	205	273	294	+1	+2	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	6	28	205	273	294	+2.4	+4.1	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shane Sasaki (OGILVIE)	26	40	30	60	50	202/275/303	101	320	3	15	36%	8%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	42	181/261/245	65	297	4	26	37%	9%	40	-2.4	198/267/279	81	291	6	19	31%	8%	50	-1.7	189/255/261	72	261	6	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	196/245/263	67	267	5	32	28%	6%	37	-2.7	190/257/265	75	276	5	26	31%	7%	43	-2.2	115/212/152	37	189	0	39	35%	8%	-3	-1.2
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	46	36→30	62→65	40	214/266/277	63	314	4	40	32%	6%	49	-1.8	205/264/276	71	304	4	29	31%	7%	48	-1.9	167/236/204	38	260	1	38	33%	8%	16	-1.5
✕Roemon Fields 2017 · AAA	26	44→54	35→30	57→60	41	211/252/267	56	278	3	32	25%	5%	40	-2.4	227/274/288	61	300	3	36	24%	6%	54	-1.4	232/283/289	57	304	2	40	23%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	45→55	37→40	56→55	42	213/270/288	74	288	5	24	27%	6%	53	-1.5	207/246/287	80	284	6	19	28%	4%	43	-2.2	196/224/260	63	269	5	20	28%	2%	23	-3.0
✕Jay Gonzalez 2018 · AA	26	50	35→30	58→60	46	226/293/291	65	334	1	30	30%	9%	64	-0.8	235/291/305	70	348	3	19	30%	7%	66	-0.6	257/304/294	38	383	0	15	31%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Kenny Wilson 2015 · AAA	25	46→51	38→40	56→60	38	215/268/293	79	305	4	27	30%	5%	54	-1.4	224/281/313	89	311	6	26	28%	6%	65	-0.7	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA	26	48→51	40	55→65	45	227/290/316	89	325	7	30	31%	8%	69	-0.4	233/301/321	88	314	6	37	26%	8%	76	+0.0	230/304/301	71	305	4	56	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→51	38→40	56→60	37	234/270/316	81	316	5	28	27%	4%	59	-1.1	225/263/304	79	296	3	28	24%	4%	54	-1.4	223/259/288	65	291	0	37	22%	4%	45	-0.9
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→47	39→45	55→60	40	184/270/268	84	306	7	24	39%	8%	50	-1.7	205/282/312	107	298	10	23	32%	7%	67	-0.5	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Zach Davis 2021 · AA	27	49→52	35→30	58→65	39	225/282/286	61	333	2	31	31%	6%	58	-1.2	216/282/281	65	323	4	41	32%	7%	57	-1.2	214/285/259	45	320	2	62	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	44→40	38→50	54→55	37	204/254/278	74	317	5	26	36%	6%	44	-2.1	206/248/342	136	286	15	19	32%	5%	59	-1.1	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Alfredo Reyes 2019 · AA	25	45	37→30	58→55	39	207/264/271	64	333	5	28	37%	7%	46	-2.0	201/271/281	80	346	6	19	40%	8%	53	-1.5	137/217/198	61	262	4	17	45%	8%	7	-1.5
✕Jeremias Pineda 2017 · AAA	26	49→57	34→30	58→65	40	222/280/270	48	339	2	36	33%	6%	53	-1.5	237/293/301	64	355	3	36	31%	7%	66	-0.6	262/314/324	61	376	2	49	29%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Ciriaco 2016 · AA	26	49	35→30	56→60	37	230/252/288	58	293	2	27	22%	2%	44	-2.1	225/247/299	74	270	6	18	19%	3%	45	-2.1	225/238/286	61	260	6	19	16%	1%	34	-0.9
✕Aaron Whitefield 2022 · AA	25	44→47	38→40	56→60	39	206/261/285	79	318	6	29	35%	6%	49	-1.8	214/271/329	115	328	11	30	35%	7%	66	-0.6	201/259/328	127	309	12	40	37%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Casio Grider 2014 · A	26	45→40	37→40	56→55	39	209/271/289	80	306	3	23	31%	6%	55	-1.4	199/254/291	92	312	8	21	36%	6%	48	-1.9	157/207/247	89	256	10	28	41%	5%	14	-2.0
✕Niko Decolati 2023 · AA	25	44→47	39→40	54→55	42	209/276/294	85	309	7	21	33%	7%	58	-1.2	205/298/291	86	306	6	16	32%	9%	68	-0.5	192/306/270	77	284	5	18	30%	11%	65	-0.4