Shane Sasaki — OGILVIE

Shane SasakiLF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .261 / .238

PA23

HR0

K%30

BB%9

BABIP306

ISO48

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	19	ROK	GCL Rays	—	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	182	234	227	461	45	308	38	6	215	31	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2020	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	286	79	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	290	385	403	788	113	395	26	12	355	127	+5	+4	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	324	414	497	911	173	415	23	12	402	158	+28	+8	—	—	+9	4.5
2023	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	256	77	15	3	7	30	65	3	12	4	301	381	465	845	164	372	22	10	372	138	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2023	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	16	12	3	0	1	0	4	4	0	4	0	250	438	417	854	167	375	25	25	388	149	+1	+1	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	92	81	21	2	2	0	11	31	0	13	0	259	348	333	681	74	420	34	12	314	98	-0	+3	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	250	217	52	10	0	1	29	69	3	21	4	240	337	300	637	60	347	28	12	298	88	-4	+3	—	—	+5	0.4
2024	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	24	19	6	1	0	0	4	4	1	1	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	17	17	389	149	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	16	10	4	1	0	0	6	5	0	2	0	400	625	500	1.125	100	800	31	38	512	232	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	80	68	15	2	0	0	7	14	2	6	1	221	312	250	562	29	273	18	9	259	61	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	270	233	53	12	2	1	30	70	0	24	2	227	316	309	625	82	317	26	11	282	77	-7	+4	—	—	+6	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	245	55	4	124	-30	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	144	131	24	2	1	1	11	53	1	22	2	183	252	237	488	53	303	37	8	237	47	-9	+4	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	364	93	19	2	8	31	133	4	47	4	255	321	385	705	129	371	33	8	310	96	-2	+8	—	—	+9	1.5
2023	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	293	267	63	11	2	5	19	92	3	12	4	236	294	348	642	112	329	31	6	285	79	-7	+1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	16	13	3	0	1	0	3	6	0	4	0	231	375	385	760	154	284	38	19	258	61	-1	+1	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	250	226	47	8	0	1	20	81	3	21	4	208	281	257	538	49	317	32	8	243	51	-15	+3	—	—	+5	-0.7
2024	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	24	20	5	1	0	0	3	6	1	1	0	250	375	300	675	50	350	25	12	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	16	12	3	1	0	0	4	7	0	2	0	250	438	333	771	83	641	44	25	353	125	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	80	70	14	2	0	0	5	17	2	6	1	200	273	229	501	29	239	21	6	218	34	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	270	243	50	11	2	1	20	86	0	24	2	206	266	280	546	74	295	32	7	237	47	-17	+4	—	—	+6	-0.7
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	263	55	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Rays	—	47	44	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	1	0	182	234	227	461	45	308	38	6	215	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL MLE	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL RAW	Perth Heat	—	67	56	10	2	0	2	10	27	0	8	1	179	303	321	624	143	286	40	15	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	144	131	24	2	1	1	11	53	1	22	2	183	252	237	488	53	295	37	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	144	124	36	4	2	2	18	37	1	22	2	290	385	403	788	113	395	26	12	355	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	364	93	19	2	8	31	133	4	47	4	255	321	385	705	129	376	33	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	346	112	27	3	9	49	92	4	47	4	324	414	497	911	173	415	23	12	402	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	366	87	15	4	7	28	126	3	29	4	238	297	358	655	120	338	31	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	401	349	101	17	6	7	45	100	3	29	4	289	375	433	808	143	382	25	11	359	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	290	258	56	10	0	1	27	94	4	24	4	217	301	267	568	50	337	32	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	290	246	62	12	0	1	39	78	4	24	4	252	363	313	676	61	365	27	13	317	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	314	64	13	2	1	24	103	2	30	3	204	265	268	532	64	296	29	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	350	301	68	14	2	1	37	84	2	30	3	226	315	296	610	70	306	24	11	276	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	—	47	45	5	1	0	0	2	26	0	1	0	111	149	133	282	22	245	55	4	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	144	131	24	2	1	1	11	53	1	22	2	183	252	237	488	53	303	37	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	402	364	93	19	2	8	31	133	4	47	4	255	321	385	705	129	371	33	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	367	87	15	4	7	28	126	3	29	4	237	297	357	654	120	327	31	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	290	257	56	10	0	1	27	94	4	24	4	218	301	268	570	51	338	32	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	321	64	13	2	1	24	103	2	30	3	199	265	262	526	62	282	29	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	401	367	87	15	4	7	28	126	3	29	4	237	297	357	654	120	327	31	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	290	257	56	10	0	1	27	94	4	24	4	218	301	268	570	51	338	32	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	350	321	64	13	2	1	24	103	2	30	3	199	265	262	526	62	282	29	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	CIN	—	198	177	37	3	5	2	17	69	2	9	3	209	286	316	602	107	327	35	9	265	65	-8	+1	+0	-2	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	CIN	—	198	170	41	4	6	2	24	57	2	9	3	241	342	371	712	129	348	29	12	320	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	CIN	2%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	190	261	238	499	48	304	30	9	253	57	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	26	AA MLE	CIN	—	221	198	41	4	5	2	19	76	2	10	3	207	283	308	591	101	322	34	9	264	65	-9	+1	+0	-2	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	336	303	63	10	4	3	27	106	3	15	3	208	279	297	576	89	304	32	8	260	62	-15	+2	+0	-4	+7	-1.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	40%	364	328	68	11	4	3	30	113	3	16	3	207	280	293	572	85	303	31	8	264	65	-15	+2	-1	-4	+8	-1.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	CIN	45%	373	336	71	12	4	4	31	115	3	15	3	211	284	307	590	95	302	31	8	265	65	-15	+2	-1	-4	+8	-1.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	90	82	17	3	1	1	7	28	1	4	1	207	278	305	583	98	307	31	8	256	62	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	40%	145	131	28	5	2	1	12	45	1	6	1	214	285	305	590	92	305	31	8	260	65	-6	+1	-0	-2	+3	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	CIN	45%	167	150	32	5	2	2	14	51	1	7	1	213	285	313	598	100	304	31	8	262	65	-7	+1	-1	-2	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	402	363	77	13	5	4	33	124	3	17	3	212	283	309	592	96	308	31	8	260	61	-17	+2	-1	-4	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	124	21	8	6	53	200	5	27	5	211	282	305	587	94	307	31	8	260	61	-28	+4	-1	-7	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2797	2522	545	96	21	30	223	903	23	208	27	216	286	307	592	90	320	32	8	258	61	-47	+6	-2	-12	+24	-3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	126	22	5	7	52	210	5	48	6	215	285	305	590	90	319	32	8	258	61	-28	+3	-1	-7	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	407	4	17	209	277	298	+1	+2	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	6	28	+2.3	+4.1	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Shane Sasaki (OGILVIE)	26	40	30	60	50	200/270/278	77	304	1	12	33%	8%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	43	181/262/245	64	295	4	26	37%	9%	47	-2.5	197/266/275	78	286	6	19	30%	8%	55	-2.0	187/253/253	65	254	4	20	26%	8%	42	-1.2
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	58→55	40	207/268/279	72	305	6	26	32%	7%	57	-1.8	234/278/320	86	310	5	20	25%	5%	69	-0.9	247/287/328	80	320	4	20	23%	4%	71	-0.4
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→49	38→45	55→60	41	188/273/268	80	300	6	24	36%	8%	57	-1.8	206/282/310	104	292	9	23	31%	7%	70	-0.8	198/283/305	107	280	11	28	31%	8%	67	-0.7
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	211/266/291	80	290	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	235/300/318	83	320	5	36	26%	8%	77	-0.3	243/312/317	74	327	4	49	25%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	44→54	37→40	56→55	43	210/267/283	74	278	5	24	25%	6%	57	-1.8	210/248/287	77	278	6	19	25%	4%	50	-2.3	204/232/265	60	269	4	20	25%	2%	36	-2.8
✕Kenny Wilson 2015 · AAA	25	47→51	37→40	56→60	40	220/273/299	79	304	4	27	28%	5%	63	-1.4	226/283/311	85	308	5	26	26%	6%	69	-0.9	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	48	36→30	62→65	41	224/277/288	65	323	4	40	30%	7%	61	-1.5	212/269/284	72	307	5	29	30%	7%	57	-1.8	180/244/222	42	272	1	38	32%	7%	32	-1.4
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	195/244/261	67	264	5	32	28%	6%	43	-2.8	190/255/265	75	270	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/211/155	36	182	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→52	38→40	56→60	37	236/272/317	81	316	5	28	27%	4%	65	-1.2	226/265/305	79	297	3	28	24%	5%	60	-1.6	224/260/289	65	291	0	37	22%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/266/303	87	289	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	199/257/281	82	305	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	165/231/231	66	276	3	12	38%	7%	30	-1.8
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	44→49	40→45	58→65	40	204/278/299	95	320	7	26	36%	7%	65	-1.2	209/288/298	89	324	8	39	35%	9%	69	-0.9	212/292/295	83	324	7	47	34%	9%	67	-0.7
✕Jay Gonzalez 2018 · AA	26	51→52	35→30	58→60	47	229/297/294	65	335	1	30	30%	9%	70	-0.8	238/294/308	70	343	3	19	29%	7%	72	-0.7	264/311/305	41	379	0	15	28%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	233/292/292	59	308	3	29	24%	7%	68	-1.0	215/282/277	62	301	3	26	27%	8%	61	-1.5	194/268/218	24	284	0	37	29%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Zach Davis 2021 · AA	27	49→52	35→30	58→65	39	223/281/283	60	330	2	31	31%	6%	61	-1.5	218/284/281	63	320	4	41	30%	7%	63	-1.4	217/289/261	44	318	2	62	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	45→42	38→50	54→55	39	210/259/286	76	313	5	26	33%	6%	54	-2.0	207/249/342	135	281	14	19	31%	5%	64	-1.3	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Roemon Fields 2017 · AAA	26	46→56	35→30	57→60	42	217/259/274	58	278	3	32	23%	5%	51	-2.3	229/276/290	61	298	2	36	23%	6%	61	-1.5	233/283/287	54	303	1	40	22%	6%	60	-1.0
✕Jeremias Pineda 2017 · AAA	26	49→57	34→30	58→65	40	224/282/270	46	337	2	36	32%	7%	59	-1.6	241/297/304	63	356	3	36	30%	7%	72	-0.7	268/321/330	62	381	1	49	28%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	224/277/323	99	305	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.9	225/272/306	81	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	227/272/293	66	306	4	48	26%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Aaron Whitefield 2022 · AA	25	44→48	38→40	56→60	39	209/262/288	78	312	6	29	33%	6%	56	-1.9	215/272/326	111	324	10	30	34%	7%	69	-0.9	201/261/321	120	306	11	40	36%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Alex Requena 2007 · AA	26	50→54	35→30	57→60	42	230/279/289	59	316	2	31	27%	6%	62	-1.4	226/284/296	70	314	3	25	27%	7%	65	-1.2	219/289/273	54	301	0	37	25%	9%	60	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps