Jesús Pérez

SS DSL Cardinals

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSTL	96	.241/.305/.379	1	6	5	—	.124/.179/.169
2026	18	ROKSTL	170	.282/.387/.423	3	8	47	—	.174/.268/.242
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBSTL	280	.218/.281/.308	3	6	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSTL	78	.223/.287/.320	1	2	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBSTL	171	.226/.292/.330	2	4	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%85

Z-Con%68

ISO62

Whiff%61

wOBA58

wRC+52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGilberto Celestino (age 19) · Jonathan Ornelas (age 19) · Cooper Pratt (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .279 / .305

PA142

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	96	87	21	7	1	1	8	25	0	6	0	241	305	379	685	138	323	26	8	303	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	170	142	40	11	0	3	21	24	4	8	4	282	387	423	809	141	316	14	12	362	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	89	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	124	179	169	347	45	195	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	204	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	89	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	124	179	169	347	45	190	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	96	87	21	7	1	1	8	25	0	6	0	241	305	379	685	138	323	26	8	303	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	207	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	170	142	40	11	0	3	21	24	4	8	4	282	387	423	809	141	316	14	12	362	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	90	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	122	179	167	346	44	195	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	204	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	96	90	11	4	0	0	6	32	0	6	0	122	179	167	346	44	195	33	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	170	149	26	7	0	1	15	29	4	8	4	174	268	242	509	67	204	17	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	0%	280	255	56	11	2	3	20	71	3	6	1	218	281	308	589	90	289	25	7	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	34%	226	206	45	9	1	3	16	57	2	5	1	222	286	320	606	98	290	25	7	274	72	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	48%	353	320	71	14	2	5	26	88	4	8	2	225	291	330	621	105	292	25	7	280	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	54%	444	403	92	18	3	7	33	109	5	10	3	228	294	338	632	111	292	25	7	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	57%	504	455	104	21	3	8	38	123	6	12	3	230	297	345	642	115	293	24	8	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	57%	544	492	114	23	3	10	41	132	6	12	3	232	299	351	649	119	294	24	8	292	84	-11	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	57%	567	513	120	24	4	10	43	138	6	13	4	232	299	352	651	120	294	24	8	292	84	-11	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	579	524	122	24	4	11	44	141	6	13	4	232	299	352	651	120	294	24	8	292	84	-11	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	582	527	122	24	4	10	44	142	6	13	4	231	298	350	648	119	293	24	8	291	83	-12	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	579	524	120	24	3	10	44	143	6	12	4	229	296	345	641	116	293	25	8	289	81	-13	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	570	516	116	23	3	9	43	142	6	11	4	227	294	339	633	112	292	25	8	285	79	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	560	507	115	23	3	9	42	141	6	10	4	224	290	332	622	108	290	25	8	281	76	-16	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	STL	52%	547	497	110	22	3	8	40	140	5	9	5	220	286	323	608	102	288	26	7	275	72	-18	-0	-3	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	34%	78	71	16	3	1	1	6	20	1	2	0	223	287	320	608	97	293	26	8	275	72	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	48%	171	155	34	7	1	2	12	43	2	4	1	226	292	330	621	104	294	25	7	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	54%	241	218	50	10	2	3	18	59	3	5	2	228	295	338	632	109	295	24	7	285	79	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	57%	285	259	59	12	2	4	21	70	3	7	2	231	297	344	641	113	296	25	7	289	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	57%	308	279	64	13	2	5	23	75	3	7	2	232	299	349	649	117	296	24	7	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	57%	320	289	67	14	2	5	24	78	4	7	2	233	300	350	650	118	296	24	8	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	327	295	69	14	2	6	25	79	4	7	2	233	300	350	650	118	296	24	8	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	323	292	67	14	2	5	24	79	4	7	2	232	299	348	647	117	296	24	7	291	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	318	288	67	14	2	5	24	78	3	7	2	230	297	344	641	114	295	25	8	288	81	-7	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	305	276	64	13	2	5	23	76	3	6	2	228	294	338	632	111	294	25	8	285	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	295	268	60	12	2	4	22	74	3	5	2	225	291	331	622	106	293	25	7	281	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	STL	52%	285	259	58	12	2	4	21	73	3	5	3	221	286	322	609	101	290	26	7	275	72	-9	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3256	2949	675	138	22	49	243	804	36	69	22	229	296	340	636	112	296	25	7	287	78	-77	+5	-4	+35	+71	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	135	28	4	10	49	161	7	14	4	229	296	341	637	112	297	25	8	287	78	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6463	5852	1316	266	37	102	485	1593	69	145	46	225	292	335	627	110	290	25	8	283	78	-150	+9	-7	+66	+134	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	133	27	4	10	49	160	7	15	5	226	293	336	630	110	291	25	8	283	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,397	55	72	229	292	342	+36	+21	5.3	4.8
/162	664	11	14	+7.1	+4.1	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Pérez (OGILVIE)	19	49→54	33→38	52→57	53	216/279/305	89	289	1	3	25%	7%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2011 · A	19	47→57	37→45	54→60	42	219/270/295	76	299	3	17	26%	6%	60	-1.6	240/286/340	100	292	6	24	19%	6%	76	-0.4	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	215/278/316	101	296	7	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/266/293	96	297	7	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Samad Taylor 2017 · A	19	46→56	38→50	50→65	42	216/268/295	79	293	4	10	27%	6%	60	-1.6	195/261/290	95	278	6	18	30%	7%	57	-1.8	242/320/377	134	335	14	46	29%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3

Jesús Pérez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps