Yovanny Duran

OF FCL Twins

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 173 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2069ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	197	.296/.454/.382	0	31	64	—	.190/.327/.239
2026	18	A/ROKMIN	297	.267/.412/.411	5	43	68	—	.200/.303/.302
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIN	407	.206/.292/.304	5	11	71	-0.2
2028PROJ25% MLB	20	MLBMIN	61	.212/.299/.320	1	2	77	-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	21	MLBMIN	139	.216/.303/.333	3	4	82	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%82

Whiff%73

BB%72

Speed63

Z-Con%55

K%33

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 2.2, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 88%

CompsDalton Pompey (age 19) · Jonatan Clase (age 19) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 181 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .290 / .301

PA181

HR2

SB5

K%28

BB%10

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	197	152	45	7	3	0	39	30	5	31	7	296	454	382	836	86	366	15	20	388	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	83	69	10	3	0	1	13	24	0	7	3	145	280	232	512	87	200	29	16	246	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	214	167	53	8	4	4	42	46	3	36	11	317	462	485	947	168	412	21	20	421	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	197	163	31	4	2	0	28	37	5	31	7	190	327	239	566	49	238	19	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	83	73	9	2	0	1	9	33	0	7	3	123	220	192	411	68	194	40	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	214	183	42	6	3	3	26	66	3	36	11	230	335	344	679	115	320	31	12	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	197	163	31	4	2	0	28	37	5	31	7	190	327	239	566	49	244	19	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	197	152	45	7	3	0	39	30	5	31	7	296	454	382	836	86	366	15	20	388	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	297	256	50	8	3	4	35	99	3	43	14	195	299	297	596	102	295	33	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	297	236	63	11	4	5	55	70	3	43	14	267	412	411	823	144	354	24	19	372	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	197	162	31	4	2	0	28	37	5	31	7	191	327	241	567	49	238	19	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	297	257	50	8	3	4	35	99	3	43	14	195	299	296	595	101	285	33	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	197	162	31	4	2	0	28	37	5	31	7	191	327	241	567	49	238	19	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	297	257	50	8	3	4	35	99	3	43	14	195	299	296	595	101	285	33	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	407	360	74	13	3	5	40	112	4	11	3	206	292	304	596	98	280	28	10	274	71	-14	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	25%	245	216	46	8	2	4	24	66	3	6	2	212	299	320	619	108	282	27	10	282	77	-7	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	38%	364	321	69	12	2	7	36	97	4	9	2	216	303	332	636	116	284	27	10	289	82	-8	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	45%	445	393	86	15	3	9	44	116	5	11	3	219	306	342	648	122	285	26	10	294	85	-8	+1	-0	-3	+10	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	496	438	96	17	3	10	49	128	6	12	3	222	308	349	657	126	286	26	10	297	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	532	469	106	19	4	12	52	136	6	12	3	224	310	354	664	129	287	26	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	552	487	110	20	4	12	54	141	6	12	3	225	310	355	665	130	287	26	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	561	495	111	20	4	12	55	143	6	12	3	224	310	354	664	130	287	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	561	494	111	20	4	12	56	144	6	12	3	223	309	351	661	128	286	26	10	299	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	555	489	108	19	3	12	55	144	6	11	3	221	307	347	654	125	285	26	10	296	86	-9	+1	-0	-3	+12	0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	542	478	105	19	3	11	53	142	6	10	3	219	304	340	644	121	284	26	10	292	84	-10	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	530	468	101	18	3	10	52	140	5	9	3	216	301	332	633	116	282	26	10	287	81	-12	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	25%	61	54	11	2	0	1	6	16	1	2	0	212	299	320	619	109	282	26	10	283	77	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	38%	139	122	27	5	1	3	14	37	2	4	1	216	303	333	636	117	284	27	10	289	82	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	45%	202	178	39	7	1	4	20	53	2	5	1	220	306	342	649	123	285	26	10	294	85	-4	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	244	215	49	9	2	5	24	63	3	6	2	222	309	349	658	127	286	26	10	298	87	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	268	237	53	9	2	6	26	68	3	6	2	225	310	354	665	130	287	25	10	300	89	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	281	248	56	10	2	6	28	72	3	6	2	225	311	355	666	130	287	26	10	301	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	287	254	56	10	2	6	28	73	3	6	2	224	310	355	665	130	287	25	10	300	89	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	283	250	56	10	2	6	28	73	3	6	2	223	309	352	661	129	286	26	10	299	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	278	246	55	10	2	6	27	72	3	5	2	221	307	347	654	126	285	26	10	296	86	-5	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	264	233	51	9	2	5	26	69	3	5	2	219	304	341	645	122	284	26	10	292	84	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	254	224	49	9	1	5	25	67	3	4	2	216	301	332	633	117	282	26	10	288	81	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2561	2261	502	90	17	53	252	663	29	55	18	222	308	347	655	125	289	26	10	296	84	-42	+4	-1	-15	+55	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	127	23	4	13	64	168	7	14	5	221	307	343	650	122	288	26	10	296	84	-11	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6058	5326	1162	205	41	117	611	1583	69	195	53	218	307	338	645	120	286	26	10	292	84	-97	+11	-3	-33	+121	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	125	22	4	13	66	170	7	21	6	219	307	340	647	121	286	26	10	292	84	-11	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Twins · 214 PAwOBA .414 → .299 (−115)K% 21.5% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.50%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	30.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.16%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	11.97%
HBP% /PA	1.40%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	1.02%
Singles /BIP	30.58%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.978	×1.008	24.70%
Doubles /BIP	6.61%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.978	×1.008	4.69%
Triples /BIP	3.31%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.978	×1.008	2.34%
Home runs /BIP	3.31%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	2.60%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .414 → .299; ISO .168 → .123; BABIP .412 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 83 PAwOBA .244 → .194 (−49)K% 28.9% → 39.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.92%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	39.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.66%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	11.29%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	0.00%
Singles /BIP	13.33%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.045	13.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.045	6.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	1.86%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .244 → .194; ISO .087 → .069; BABIP .200 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Twins · 197 PAwOBA .381 → .263 (−118)K% 15.2% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.23%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	18.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.80%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.04%
HBP% /PA	2.54%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.79%
Singles /BIP	28.69%	÷0.991	×0.680	×0.973	×1.008	19.31%
Doubles /BIP	5.74%	÷0.982	×0.600	×0.973	×1.008	3.44%
Triples /BIP	2.46%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.973	×1.008	1.26%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.953	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .381 → .263; ISO .086 → .050; BABIP .366 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.1	2,742	56	60	221	304	345	-16	+0	1.7	1.8
/162	664	13	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yovanny Duran (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	204/290/301	97	280	2	5	28%	10%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
●Abraham Almonte 2008 · A	19	41→51	40→55	50→55	52	199/280/293	93	257	8	19	24%	10%	65	-1.2	218/268/315	97	291	6	19	26%	6%	64	-1.3	259/316/379	120	330	8	25	22%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	47→55	39→50	52→55	44	224/269/314	90	277	6	12	22%	6%	63	-1.3	224/270/307	83	299	5	16	25%	6%	63	-1.4	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	41→51	37→55	57→55	47	196/252/275	79	246	4	14	22%	7%	49	-2.4	237/271/333	96	314	7	15	25%	4%	69	-0.9	241/284/391	150	317	14	25	28%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	41→51	41→50	49→55	45	201/256/299	98	254	8	12	24%	7%	56	-1.9	233/299/372	139	304	15	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	241/309/383	142	307	16	19	26%	8%	94	+0.7

Yovanny Duran

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps