Ismael Mejia

C DSL Arizona Red

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	59	.163/.305/.204	0	3	9	—	.115/.220/.135
2026	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	153	.294/.418/.397	1	4	59	—	.191/.307/.237
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBARI	263	.223/.297/.304	2	4	72	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBARI	73	.234/.308/.330	1	1	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBARI	166	.237/.311/.340	2	3	81	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%76

K%75

wOBA71

wRC+61

ISO43

Whiff%43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsIsiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19) · Rubén Tejada (age 18) · Cooper Pratt (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 127 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .295 / .301

PA127

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	49	8	2	0	0	10	9	0	3	0	163	305	204	509	41	200	15	17	254	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	153	126	37	10	0	1	17	25	10	4	2	294	418	397	815	103	360	16	11	377	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	52	6	1	0	0	7	11	0	3	0	115	220	135	355	19	144	19	12	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	153	131	25	6	0	0	12	30	10	4	2	191	307	237	544	46	248	20	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	52	6	1	0	0	7	11	0	3	0	115	220	135	355	19	146	19	12	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	49	8	2	0	0	10	9	0	3	0	163	305	204	509	41	200	15	17	254	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	153	131	25	6	0	0	12	30	10	4	2	191	307	237	544	46	248	20	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	153	126	37	10	0	1	17	25	10	4	2	294	418	397	815	103	360	16	11	377	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	52	6	1	0	0	7	11	0	3	0	115	220	135	355	19	144	19	12	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	153	130	25	6	0	0	12	30	10	4	2	192	307	238	546	46	248	20	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	52	6	1	0	0	7	11	0	3	0	115	220	135	355	19	144	19	12	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	153	130	25	6	0	0	12	30	10	4	2	192	307	238	546	46	248	20	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	263	236	52	10	1	2	20	65	5	4	1	223	297	304	601	80	296	25	8	275	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	213	191	43	8	1	2	16	52	4	4	1	227	302	316	617	89	297	24	8	282	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	343	306	71	14	2	4	27	83	7	7	2	230	305	326	631	96	298	24	8	287	81	-8	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	436	391	90	17	2	6	34	104	8	9	3	232	308	335	642	102	299	24	8	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	499	448	104	20	3	7	39	118	9	10	3	234	309	342	651	108	299	24	8	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	465	110	21	3	8	41	123	9	11	3	236	311	348	659	112	300	24	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	465	111	21	3	9	41	123	9	11	3	236	311	349	661	113	300	24	8	299	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	520	465	110	21	3	9	41	123	9	11	4	236	311	350	661	114	299	24	8	299	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	464	110	21	3	9	42	123	9	10	4	235	310	347	657	112	299	24	8	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	465	109	21	3	8	41	125	9	10	4	233	308	342	651	109	298	24	8	295	86	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	465	108	20	3	8	41	126	9	9	4	231	306	336	642	105	297	24	8	291	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	465	106	20	2	7	41	128	9	9	4	228	302	328	630	100	295	25	8	286	80	-12	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	504	452	101	19	2	6	39	126	8	7	5	224	297	318	615	94	292	25	8	280	76	-14	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	489	441	97	18	2	6	37	124	8	6	8	219	291	306	597	87	288	25	8	273	71	-17	-2	-4	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	73	66	16	3	1	1	6	18	1	1	0	234	308	330	638	96	308	25	8	290	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	166	149	35	7	1	2	13	40	3	3	1	237	311	340	651	103	309	24	8	295	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	236	212	51	11	2	3	18	56	4	5	2	239	314	348	662	109	309	24	8	299	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	282	253	61	13	2	4	22	67	5	6	2	241	316	355	671	113	310	24	8	303	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	264	64	13	2	5	23	69	5	6	2	243	317	361	678	118	310	23	8	305	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	264	64	13	2	5	23	69	5	6	2	243	318	362	680	119	310	23	8	306	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	294	264	64	13	2	5	23	69	5	6	2	243	318	362	680	119	310	23	8	306	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	288	258	62	13	2	4	23	68	5	6	2	242	317	359	676	117	309	24	8	305	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	285	255	61	13	2	4	23	68	5	5	2	240	314	355	669	114	308	24	8	302	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	278	249	59	12	2	4	22	67	5	5	2	238	312	348	660	110	307	24	8	298	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	274	245	59	12	2	4	22	67	5	4	2	235	308	340	648	105	305	24	8	293	80	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	263	237	54	11	1	3	20	66	4	4	3	230	303	330	633	100	302	25	8	287	76	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	254	229	51	10	1	3	19	65	4	3	4	225	297	317	614	92	298	26	7	280	71	-9	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3281	2945	701	144	22	47	257	789	56	60	26	238	311	350	661	112	308	24	8	299	82	-65	+2	-6	+59	+71	6.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	139	29	4	9	51	156	11	12	5	238	311	348	659	110	310	24	8	299	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6463	5780	1327	253	33	90	509	1550	119	123	51	230	305	331	637	102	296	24	8	289	82	-128	+4	-10	+112	+135	11.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	133	25	3	9	51	156	12	12	5	229	304	329	633	100	296	24	8	289	82	-13	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.1	3,409	49	63	232	303	336	+61	+32	8.7	7.6
/162	664	10	12	+11.9	+6.2	1.7	pk7: 6
#5Al Evans'39-'51 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	13	14	241*	311*	352*	+42	+0	7.0	7.0
/162	664	4	4	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Mejia (OGILVIE)	19	55→60	30→35	48→53	58	222/295/301	80	296	1	2	25%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Adrián Sugastey 2022 · A	19	51	37→40	49→40	42	244/287/314	70	318	5	5	24%	5%	71	-0.8	222/270/304	82	282	6	3	22%	5%	62	-1.4	225/265/311	86	256	8	3	15%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	47→57	41→40	48→50	48	226/294/329	103	270	7	6	19%	7%	78	-0.3	206/264/285	79	270	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕George Lombard Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→48	39→45	48→55	49	232/311/316	85	335	6	12	30%	10%	81	-0.1	208/291/311	103	304	8	22	31%	9%	74	-0.6	208/297/325	117	296	10	23	30%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Euribiel Angeles 2022 · A	20	56→62	39→40	51→50	44	263/313/353	91	333	5	13	22%	6%	90	+0.6	245/277/329	84	298	6	13	19%	4%	70	-0.8	243/278/327	84	280	6	17	15%	4%	67	-0.9
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5

Ismael Mejia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps