Sebastian Dos Santos

SS Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 140 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTFG #1025MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP45ETA2028FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSTL	166	.312/.460/.570	4	13	79	—	.182/.313/.314
2026	18	ASTL	255	.246/.405/.437	10	18	91	—	.204/.333/.351
2026	18	ROKSTL	112	.264/.429/.586	6	10	93	—	.179/.304/.400
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBSTL	477	.228/.327/.382	14	10	102	0.9
2028PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBSTL	208	.232/.332/.388	6	5	107	0.6
2029PROJ68% MLB	21	MLBSTL	334	.235/.335/.397	10	7	110	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 2.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$7M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%79

Chase%78

Max EV74

Speed68

Z-Con%61

K%52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 56, comp-based) · star 16% · didn't stick 62%

CompsAdael Amador (age 20) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 19) · Alfredo Duno (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .325 / .379

PA320

HR9

SB7

K%25

BB%11

ISO155

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$91M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$11M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2034	Arb-1	$7M	+2.4	$11M	+$8M
2035	Arb-2	$12M	+2.3	$10M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$16M	+2.1	$8M	+$2M
Totals		$37M		$64M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	166	128	40	13	4	4	30	29	5	13	4	312	460	570	1.030	258	367	17	18	441	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	255	199	49	8	0	10	44	60	9	18	4	246	405	437	842	191	295	24	17	378	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	112	87	23	6	2	6	22	27	3	10	3	264	429	586	1.015	322	315	24	20	439	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	166	137	25	8	2	2	21	37	5	13	4	182	313	314	627	131	226	22	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	255	211	43	7	0	8	32	82	9	18	4	204	333	351	684	147	268	32	13	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	112	95	17	4	1	5	14	39	3	10	3	179	304	400	704	221	245	35	12	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	166	137	25	8	2	2	21	37	5	13	4	182	313	314	627	131	228	22	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	166	128	40	13	4	4	30	29	5	13	4	312	460	570	1.030	258	367	17	18	441	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	306	60	11	1	13	46	120	12	28	7	196	324	366	690	170	267	33	13	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	367	286	72	14	2	16	66	87	12	28	7	252	412	483	895	231	301	24	18	397	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	166	139	25	8	2	2	21	37	5	13	4	180	313	309	622	129	226	22	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	306	60	11	1	13	46	120	12	28	7	196	324	366	690	170	261	33	13	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	166	139	25	8	2	2	21	37	5	13	4	180	313	309	622	129	226	22	13	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	306	60	11	1	13	46	120	12	28	7	196	324	366	690	170	261	33	13	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	0%	477	413	94	17	3	14	53	118	8	10	3	228	327	382	710	155	282	25	11	319	102	+1	+1	-8	+5	+10	0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	48%	431	372	86	16	2	13	48	105	8	9	2	232	332	394	727	162	284	24	11	326	107	+4	+1	-7	+5	+9	1.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	68%	490	424	100	18	3	16	54	117	9	11	3	236	335	403	739	167	285	24	11	331	110	+6	+1	-8	+5	+11	1.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	76%	529	456	109	20	3	17	58	124	10	11	3	238	337	409	746	171	286	23	11	334	112	+7	+1	-8	+6	+11	1.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	80%	571	493	119	22	3	19	63	133	10	12	3	240	338	413	751	173	287	23	11	335	113	+9	+1	-6	+6	+12	2.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	79%	617	534	129	24	3	21	67	143	11	12	3	242	338	416	754	174	289	23	11	336	114	+10	+1	-5	+7	+13	2.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	79%	632	547	131	24	3	21	69	146	11	12	3	242	339	417	755	175	289	23	11	337	114	+11	+1	-3	+7	+14	3.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	79%	638	552	133	24	3	22	70	147	11	12	3	242	338	416	755	174	288	23	11	337	114	+11	+1	-3	+7	+14	3.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	78%	636	550	132	24	3	21	70	148	11	12	3	241	338	414	751	173	288	23	11	335	113	+10	+1	-3	+7	+14	3.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	77%	631	546	131	24	3	21	69	148	11	10	3	239	336	409	745	170	287	23	11	333	111	+8	+1	-3	+7	+14	2.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	75%	620	538	127	23	3	20	67	147	10	9	3	237	333	403	736	166	286	24	11	329	109	+7	+1	-4	+7	+13	2.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	STL	74%	609	528	123	22	3	19	66	147	10	8	3	234	330	395	725	161	284	24	11	325	106	+4	+0	-5	+7	+13	2.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	STL	73%	595	517	120	22	3	18	64	146	9	7	4	230	325	386	710	156	281	25	11	319	102	+2	-0	-5	+6	+13	1.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	STL	72%	576	501	112	20	2	16	61	144	9	5	8	224	319	373	692	148	278	25	11	312	97	-2	-2	-6	+6	+12	0.9
2041	33	MLB MLE	STL	72%	547	477	104	18	2	15	57	140	8	5	22	218	312	358	669	140	273	26	10	303	91	-6	-8	-6	+6	+12	-0.2
2042	34	MLB MLE	STL	68%	499	438	91	15	2	12	51	131	7	4	84	210	302	339	642	129	266	26	10	292	84	-10	-33	-7	+5	+11	-3.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	48%	208	179	42	8	1	6	23	51	4	5	1	232	332	388	720	156	286	25	11	324	107	+2	+1	-3	+2	+5	0.6
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	68%	334	288	68	13	2	10	37	80	6	7	2	235	335	397	731	162	287	24	11	328	110	+4	+1	-6	+4	+7	1.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	76%	404	349	83	16	2	12	45	95	7	9	2	238	336	402	739	165	288	24	11	331	112	+6	+1	-6	+4	+9	1.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	80%	455	394	94	18	2	14	50	106	8	9	2	240	337	406	743	167	289	23	11	333	113	+7	+1	-5	+5	+10	1.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	79%	490	426	103	20	3	15	53	113	8	10	3	241	338	409	746	168	290	23	11	334	114	+8	+1	-4	+5	+11	2.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	79%	502	433	105	20	3	16	55	116	9	10	3	241	338	410	748	168	290	23	11	334	114	+8	+1	-2	+5	+11	2.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	79%	506	437	106	20	3	16	55	117	9	10	3	241	338	409	747	168	290	23	11	334	114	+8	+1	-2	+5	+11	2.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	78%	495	430	104	20	3	16	54	115	8	9	3	240	337	407	744	167	289	23	11	333	113	+8	+1	-2	+5	+11	2.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	77%	485	421	100	19	2	15	53	114	8	8	2	238	335	402	737	164	289	24	11	330	111	+7	+1	-2	+5	+11	2.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	75%	464	403	95	18	2	14	50	110	8	7	2	236	332	396	729	160	287	24	11	327	109	+5	+1	-3	+5	+10	1.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	STL	74%	448	390	90	17	2	13	48	108	7	6	2	233	329	389	718	156	286	24	11	322	106	+3	+0	-3	+5	+10	1.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	STL	73%	433	377	86	16	2	12	46	106	7	5	3	229	324	380	704	150	283	24	11	317	102	+1	-0	-4	+5	+9	1.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	STL	72%	417	364	81	15	2	11	44	104	6	4	6	224	319	367	686	143	279	25	11	310	97	-1	-2	-4	+4	+9	0.6
2041	33	MLB CTX	STL	72%	395	345	76	14	2	10	41	101	6	3	16	218	311	352	664	135	274	26	10	301	91	-4	-6	-5	+4	+9	-0.2
2042	34	MLB CTX	STL	68%	338	295	62	11	1	8	35	89	5	3	57	210	302	334	636	125	268	26	10	290	84	-7	-22	-5	+4	+7	-2.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6374	5531	1295	245	32	188	689	1525	106	105	107	234	330	392	722	158	288	24	11	324	106	+54	-22	-56	+68	+138	18.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	132	25	3	19	70	156	11	11	11	234	330	390	720	156	288	24	11	324	106	+6	-2	-6	+7	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	9474	8192	1895	347	46	295	1036	2302	168	187	163	231	330	393	723	162	283	24	11	324	106	+71	-32	-83	+96	+194	25.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	130	24	3	20	71	158	12	13	11	231	330	391	722	160	284	24	11	324	106	+5	-2	-6	+7	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eddie Joost'36-'55 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,783 PA	10.2	6,783	134	61	232*	343*	399*	+64	+30	34.4	32.7
/162	664	13	6	+6.3	+3.0	3.4	pk7: 31
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	10.1	6,693	212	111	235	328	399	+69	-24	28.9	24.0
/162	664	21	11	+6.9	-2.4	2.9	pk7: 19
#3Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#4Denis Menke'62-'74 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,934 PA	8.9	5,934	101	34	250*	346*	403*	+30	-23	22.7	21.7
/162	664	11	4	+3.4	-2.6	2.5	pk7: 21
#5Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#6Heinie Wagner'02-'18 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,771 PA	5.7	3,771	10	144	251*	324*	410*	+36	-7	15.0	14.9
/162	664	2	25	+6.4	-1.3	2.6	pk7: 15

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Dos Santos (OGILVIE)	19	25→45	30→52	50	70	225/325/379	153	282	9	7	25%	11%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	53→56	46→50	46→55	55	258/340/385	126	301	13	14	18%	10%	108	+1.9	241/316/374	133	282	15	21	19%	9%	97	+1.1	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	50→58	50	47→40	51	245/343/412	167	321	17	8	27%	10%	116	+2.5	248/329/371	123	310	12	3	22%	9%	101	+1.4	253/330/357	104	310	11	1	21%	9%	97	+0.8
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	51→55	46→55	53→50	51	245/315/399	154	285	10	14	18%	8%	101	+1.4	242/307/374	132	286	11	11	19%	8%	93	+0.8	259/353/423	164	286	18	7	16%	11%	123	+2.7
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→50	45→50	48→45	53	234/319/371	136	287	12	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	231/311/367	136	281	13	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	225/308/360	135	270	13	9	21%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Samuel Basallo 2024 · AA	19	48→51	51→55	49→45	45	241/301/404	163	305	18	7	27%	8%	98	+1.2	236/295/399	163	297	20	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	227/288/392	165	278	23	3	27%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Ramon Ramirez 2024 · A	19	44	46→50	45	52	219/294/345	126	249	13	9	18%	9%	82	+0.0	210/281/347	137	271	15	7	27%	8%	78	-0.3	207/279/354	147	270	17	7	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Termarr Johnson 2024 · A	20	44→53	49→45	50→55	55	213/330/357	143	314	17	9	34%	14%	99	+1.2	217/304/333	116	293	13	16	28%	10%	83	+0.1	212/296/315	103	281	11	21	27%	10%	74	-0.5
✕Alexander Albertus 2024 · A	19	49	41→45	47→45	61	232/339/328	96	275	9	11	18%	13%	95	+1.0	228/315/321	93	292	7	9	22%	10%	84	+0.2	225/311/319	93	294	7	6	24%	10%	80	-0.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	44→51	46→60	49→50	53	217/301/350	133	262	13	15	22%	10%	86	+0.3	235/307/404	169	301	19	11	27%	8%	101	+1.4	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7

Sebastian Dos Santos

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps