Robinson Smith

P FCL Pirates

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 163 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	9	9	23	8.87	4.47	26.9%	11.5%	—	K 18.3% · BB 14.4% · FIP 6.56
2026	18	ROKPIT	11	6	30	4.45	3.56	20.6%	10.7%	—	K 14.0% · BB 13.4% · FIP 4.78
2027PROJ	19	MLBPIT	3	3	17	5.06	5.06	20.0%	12.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBPIT	3	3	14	4.87	4.79	20.8%	11.5%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsMoises Castillo (age 19) · Reibyn Corona (age 19) · Luis Victorino (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.06

FIP5.06

K%20.0%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	9	9	23	104	28	12	4	100%	2.6	18.3%	14.4%	3.9%	5.8%	8.87	6.56	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	9	9	23	104	28	12	4	100%	2.6	18.3%	14.4%	3.9%	5.8%	8.87	6.56	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	9	9	23	104	28	12	4	100%	2.6	26.9%	11.5%	15.4%	3.8%	8.87	4.47	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	6	30	131	27	14	2	55%	2.8	14.0%	13.4%	0.7%	2.1%	4.45	4.78	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	6	30	131	27	14	2	55%	2.8	14.0%	13.4%	0.7%	2.1%	4.45	4.78	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	11	6	30	131	27	14	2	55%	2.8	20.6%	10.7%	9.9%	1.5%	4.45	3.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	PIT	3	3	17	72	14	9	2	100%	5.7	20.0%	12.7%	7.2%	3.0%	5.06	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	5	5	29	121	25	14	4	100%	5.7	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	2.9%	4.87	4.79	+0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	3	3	14	59	12	7	2	100%	4.7	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	2.9%	4.87	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	14	60	12	7	2	100%	4.7	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	2.9%	4.87	4.42	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	170	99	28	100%	4.6	20.8%	11.5%	9.3%	2.9%	4.87	4.42	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		20	15	54	235	37	32	9	75%	2.7	15.9%	13.8%	2.1%	3.8%	6.37	5.57	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	56	200	876	139	121	33	75%	2.7	15.9%	13.8%	2.1%	3.8%	6.37	5.57	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robinson Smith (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	20.0%	12.7%	3.0%	—	4.79	20.8%	9.3%	29	-0.27	—	—	—
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	85
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	85
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	84
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	83
Cristian Aray R 2024 · 4.99 FIP	17	SP-	4.99	14.8%	11.8%	3.0%	.272	4.48	13.0%	-2.3%	72	-0.51	4.44	104	83
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	83
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	83
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	82
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	82
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	81
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	80
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	80
Ricardo Yan R 2022 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP	4.00	20.5%	14.6%	1.4%	.271	4.43	20.2%	4.3%	211	+0.43	3.62	300	80
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	80
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	79
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	79
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	79
Richard Fernandez R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	19	SP	5.10	15.1%	9.3%	3.8%	.309	4.25	16.5%	-0.2%	85	-0.85	3.66	137	79
Aneury Lora R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	18	SP	3.95	16.6%	11.1%	1.5%	.339	3.72	15.1%	5.9%	114	-0.23	3.69	192	79
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	79