Darwin Almanzar

SS FCL Twins

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 179 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	176	.252/.351/.497	6	6	40	—	.153/.236/.287
2026	18	ROKMIN	166	.254/.485/.342	0	7	82	—	.198/.364/.267
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBMIN	276	.207/.289/.308	3	4	71	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	77	.213/.295/.325	1	1	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIN	170	.218/.300/.340	3	3	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%98

wRC+88

wOBA80

Z-Con%73

K%64

Speed60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 5, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 88%

CompsJuan Brito (age 20) · Jon Del Campo (age 19) · Thayron Liranzo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .287 / .305

PA138

HR2

K%26

BB%9

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	151	38	17	1	6	20	28	3	6	2	252	351	497	847	245	269	16	11	368	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	166	114	29	6	2	0	46	31	5	7	5	254	485	342	827	88	345	19	28	396	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	157	24	10	1	3	14	34	3	6	2	153	236	287	522	134	166	19	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	166	131	26	5	2	0	29	45	5	7	5	198	364	267	631	69	283	27	17	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	157	24	10	1	3	14	34	3	6	2	153	236	287	522	134	172	19	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	176	151	38	17	1	6	20	28	3	6	2	252	351	497	847	245	269	16	11	368	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	166	131	26	5	2	0	29	45	5	7	5	198	364	267	631	69	299	27	17	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	166	114	29	6	2	0	46	31	5	7	5	254	485	342	827	88	345	19	28	396	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	157	24	10	1	3	14	34	3	6	2	153	236	287	522	134	166	19	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	166	131	26	5	2	0	29	45	5	7	5	198	364	267	631	69	283	27	17	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	157	24	10	1	3	14	34	3	6	2	153	236	287	522	134	166	19	8	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	166	131	26	5	2	0	29	45	5	7	5	198	364	267	631	69	283	27	17	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	276	246	51	11	2	3	25	71	3	4	1	207	289	308	597	100	276	26	9	273	71	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	223	198	42	9	2	3	20	57	3	4	1	213	295	325	620	112	278	26	9	282	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	351	311	68	14	3	6	32	88	5	6	2	218	300	339	640	122	280	25	9	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	443	394	87	18	3	9	40	110	6	7	3	222	304	351	655	129	282	25	9	295	86	-7	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	503	445	101	20	4	11	46	124	7	8	3	225	307	360	667	135	283	25	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	543	482	110	22	4	13	49	133	7	9	3	228	309	368	676	140	285	24	9	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	566	502	115	23	4	14	52	138	7	9	3	228	309	371	680	143	285	24	9	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	578	512	117	23	4	14	53	141	8	9	3	229	310	373	683	144	284	24	9	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	581	516	117	23	4	14	53	143	7	9	3	228	309	370	679	143	284	25	9	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	579	514	117	23	4	14	53	144	7	8	3	226	307	366	673	140	283	25	9	302	91	-6	+0	-1	+6	+13	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	570	506	113	22	4	13	52	143	7	7	4	224	304	360	664	136	282	25	9	299	88	-8	-0	-1	+6	+12	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	560	497	110	22	4	12	51	142	7	7	4	221	301	353	653	132	281	25	9	294	85	-10	-0	-2	+6	+12	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	547	487	105	21	3	11	49	141	6	5	6	217	296	343	639	126	278	26	9	289	82	-12	-1	-3	+6	+12	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	528	471	99	19	3	10	46	139	6	4	16	212	290	331	621	119	274	26	9	281	77	-15	-6	-4	+6	+11	-0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	77	69	15	3	1	1	7	20	1	1	0	213	295	325	621	112	278	26	9	282	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	170	151	33	7	1	3	15	43	2	3	1	218	300	340	640	122	280	25	9	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	240	213	48	10	2	5	22	60	3	4	1	222	304	352	655	130	282	25	9	296	86	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	285	253	56	11	2	6	26	70	4	5	2	225	307	361	668	136	283	25	9	300	89	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	307	272	61	12	2	7	28	75	4	5	2	228	309	368	677	141	285	24	9	304	92	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	320	284	65	13	2	8	29	78	4	5	2	228	310	372	681	143	285	24	9	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	327	290	66	13	2	8	30	80	4	5	2	229	310	374	683	145	285	24	9	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	322	286	65	13	2	8	29	79	4	5	2	228	309	371	680	143	284	25	9	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	318	282	64	13	2	8	29	79	4	4	2	226	307	366	674	140	283	25	9	303	91	-4	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	305	270	61	12	2	7	28	77	4	4	2	224	304	360	665	137	282	25	9	299	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	295	263	58	11	2	7	27	75	3	3	2	221	301	353	654	132	281	25	9	295	85	-5	-0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	309	274	60	12	2	6	28	80	4	3	4	217	296	344	640	127	278	26	9	289	82	-7	-1	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	287	257	55	11	2	6	25	75	3	2	8	212	290	331	622	120	274	26	9	282	77	-8	-3	-2	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3562	3164	707	141	24	80	323	891	44	49	30	223	304	359	663	136	283	25	9	298	86	-52	-2	-6	+38	+77	5.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	129	26	4	15	59	163	8	9	5	224	304	360	664	137	284	25	9	298	86	-10	-0	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7052	6246	1376	279	50	149	651	1758	93	107	62	220	303	353	656	132	280	25	9	295	86	-103	-3	-10	+72	+145	10.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	128	26	5	14	60	162	9	10	6	222	306	358	664	135	282	25	9	295	86	-10	-0	-1	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,699	81	52	223	301	357	+40	+24	8.3	7.4
/162	664	15	9	+7.1	+4.3	1.5	pk7: 6
#6George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin Almanzar (OGILVIE)	19	40	50	45	40	206/287/305	99	276	2	2	26%	9%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	47	206/270/283	77	273	6	5	26%	8%	58	-1.7	206/258/288	82	299	4	5	30%	6%	54	-2.0	272/305/377	105	345	10	18	23%	3%	93	+0.5
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Nick Franklin 2010 · A	19	45→51	40→50	49→50	41	220/262/313	93	284	7	6	25%	5%	61	-1.5	233/283/371	138	305	15	13	27%	6%	83	+0.1	240/308/375	135	306	13	12	25%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Alejandro Flores 2015 · A	19	39	41→50	48→40	45	194/256/286	92	252	8	5	26%	7%	54	-2.0	195/258/283	88	291	7	6	33%	7%	53	-2.1	206/261/337	132	279	11	4	29%	6%	64	-0.6
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	46→56	41→50	45→55	48	223/287/324	101	278	9	11	23%	8%	74	-0.5	249/327/380	131	292	14	17	19%	9%	102	+1.5	244/325/378	134	283	16	23	19%	10%	99	+0.9
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0

Darwin Almanzar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps