Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 6.2% | 2.45 | 5.21 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 6.2% | 2.45 | 5.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 19 | 1 | 41 | 186 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 5% | 2.1 | 16.5% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 3.98 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | MIA | 27 | 0 | 28 | 120 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 69 | 306 | 73 | 30 | 6 | — | — | 23.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 1.8% | 4.13 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | MIA | 28 | 0 | 30 | 126 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 21 | 1 | 44 | 202 | 35 | 25 | 4 | 5% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 4.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 5 | 200 | 911 | 156 | 112 | 17 | 5% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Isaac Prince (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.22 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 30 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Harold Cortijo R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.46 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .309 | 5.87 | 13.5% | 2.2% | 73 | +1.41 | 4.13 | 179 | 86 |
| Kevin Malisheski R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.99 | 20.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | .333 | 4.81 | 12.0% | 0.1% | 122 | -0.18 | 3.81 | 198 | 83 |
| Danny Dopico R 2029 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 82 |
| Matt Walker R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.21 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.90 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 178 | +0.69 | 2.42 | 211 | 81 |
| Blake Workman R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 81 |
| Chris Gau R 2029 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 81 |
| Angel Guillen R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.92 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .411 | 3.44 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 78 | -0.48 | 3.37 | 181 | 80 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2029 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 80 |
| Osiel Rodriguez R 2028 · 3.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.32 | 19.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 5.28 | 22.3% | 7.4% | 92 | +1.96 | 3.32 | 124 | 79 |
| Jake Elliott R 2029 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 79 |
| Jeff Bain R 2029 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 78 |
| David Matoma R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 18 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .259 | 5.85 | 14.9% | -6.1% | 62 | +1.96 | 3.58 | 101 | 78 |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 78 |
| Sean Boyle R 2029 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.70 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .342 | 2.85 | 22.6% | 15.3% | 86 | -1.85 | 2.85 | 496 | 78 |
| Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.12 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .327 | 3.37 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 81 | -0.75 | 3.30 | 104 | 77 |
| Scott Williams R 2029 · 3.22 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.22 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 1.6% | .238 | 3.61 | 19.3% | 10.5% | 76 | +0.39 | 2.90 | 119 | 77 |
| Juan Jimenez R 2029 · 3.45 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.45 | 18.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .327 | 5.51 | 17.2% | 2.6% | 80 | +2.06 | 3.45 | 115 | 77 |
| Justin Meis R 2029 · 3.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.80 | 25.6% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .300 | 5.11 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 261 | +1.31 | 3.80 | 385 | 77 |
| Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.62 | 23.5% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .286 | 5.15 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 157 | +1.53 | 3.62 | 181 | 77 |
| Audry Lugo R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.05 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .247 | 5.27 | 15.6% | -0.4% | 77 | +1.22 | 4.05 | 113 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.14 | 4.29 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |