Andinson Ferrer P Stockton Ports
+0.1 WAR
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
xFIP
SIERA
K%23.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.4%
IP16
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL Mets 1181301254619125.0%19.0%1.2%1.804.05+0.3
202319ASt. Lucie Mets123381684219317.4%13.7%2.4%4.264.68+0.1
202420ASt. Lucie Mets13021903012121.2%17.2%1.8%3.924.48+0.1
202521AStockton Ports16016802415122.2%22.1%1.4%7.164.82+0.0
▸ 2026 Season
202622MLBOAK161668167223.1%10.7%2.9%4.494.49+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202723MLBOAK202084208223.9%9.9%2.9%4.374.30+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career5941054639780821.0%17.3%1.8%3.944.49+1.0
/ 200 IP11282008821851521521.0%17.3%1.8%3.944.49+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Andinson Ferrer (OGILVIE) 4.49 23.1%10.7%2.9% 4.30 23.9%14.0%20 -0.19
Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.42 16.7%7.5%121 -0.54 3.19 181 93
Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.66 FIP 23 SU 3.66 22.3%10.3%2.1%.311 4.87 22.2%10.2%100 +1.21 3.66 123 92
Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.30 22.3%13.1%247 -0.86 2.92 367 91
Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP 22 SU 3.33 22.6%9.2%1.8%.283 3.80 17.9%8.3%110 +0.47 3.33 286 90
Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 22 SU 4.13 21.4%8.7%3.1%.265 4.57 19.6%6.7%179 +0.44 3.39 214 90
Caleb Freeman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP 21 SU 3.98 24.6%12.9%2.4%.267 5.15 21.7%8.1%58 +1.17 3.98 198 89
Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 22 SU 4.20 21.9%9.0%3.3%.278 5.95 14.7%7.1%62 +1.75 4.20 104 89
Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.43 FIP 24 SU 4.43 22.4%10.9%3.3%.261 3.88 20.1%9.3%114 -0.55 3.82 142 89
Nic Enright R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 22 SU 3.63 24.6%12.2%1.9%.263 3.01 29.6%23.5%124 -0.62 0.50 249 89
Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.10 FIP 22 SU 4.10 22.8%8.8%3.3%.309 4.62 21.5%2.4%151 +0.52 4.10 215 88
Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP 23 SU 3.95 22.7%10.8%2.5%.236 3.95 18.2%9.1%96 -0.00 3.37 134 88
Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.89 17.3%7.8%115 +0.39 3.18 144 88
Austin Smith R 2027 · 3.85 FIP 23 SU 3.85 22.7%10.0%2.6%.274 5.19 16.3%0.7%52 +1.34 3.85 100 88
Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.78 FIP 22 SU 3.78 25.0%9.0%3.0%.341 4.02 20.4%9.7%242 +0.24 3.40 259 88
Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.40 FIP 22 SU 3.40 25.4%10.6%2.0%.351 5.26 21.6%5.6%193 +1.86 3.40 242 88
Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SU 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.89 439 87
Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 22 SU 3.55 22.2%7.9%2.4%.324 3.08 25.6%17.5%121 -0.47 3.07 194 87
Mason Fox R 2025 · 3.59 FIP 21 SU 3.59 21.9%11.5%1.6%.260 6.61 21.3%4.8%30 +3.02 3.59 112 87
Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.81 FIP 23 SU 3.81 20.7%10.2%2.1%.258 4.53 18.7%6.4%107 +0.72 3.81 145 87
Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.06 FIP 23 SU 4.06 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.22 17.9%7.6%114 -0.84 2.82 152 87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.