Denis Reguillo — OGILVIE

Denis Reguillo P Salem Red Sox

Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%17.6%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Red	11	11	32	153	26	16	0	100%	2.9	11.6%	13.1%	-1.5%	0.0%	5.57	3.78	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Red	11	11	32	153	26	16	0	100%	2.9	17.0%	10.5%	6.5%	0.0%	5.57	2.98	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	2	25	108	28	10	3	20%	2.5	17.6%	11.6%	6.1%	4.0%	5.11	5.27	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	2	25	108	28	10	3	20%	2.5	17.6%	11.6%	6.1%	4.0%	5.11	5.27	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	10	2	25	108	28	10	3	20%	2.5	25.9%	9.3%	16.7%	2.8%	5.11	3.63	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	52	266	40	42	2	0%	1.7	10.7%	19.0%	-8.3%	1.1%	7.44	5.19	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	52	266	40	42	2	0%	1.7	10.7%	19.0%	-8.3%	1.1%	7.44	5.19	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	52	266	40	42	2	0%	1.7	15.0%	15.8%	-0.8%	0.8%	7.44	4.48	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	BOS	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	17.6%	16.0%	1.6%	2.9%	5.61	5.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	46	0	49	205	40	28	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.16	-0.3
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	47	0	50	210	43	26	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.3%	8.2%	2.8%	5.01	4.87	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	BOS	23	0	24	101	20	14	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.16	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	33	0	35	148	30	18	4	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.3%	8.2%	2.8%	5.01	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	248	50	32	7	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.9%	7.1%	2.8%	5.12	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	109	24	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.9%	7.1%	2.8%	5.12	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		51	13	109	527	65	83	7	25%	2.1	12.4%	15.7%	-3.4%	1.4%	6.36	4.80	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	24	200	967	119	152	13	25%	2.1	12.4%	15.7%	-3.4%	1.4%	6.36	4.80	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Denis Reguillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	17.6%	16.0%	2.9%	—	5.01	19.9%	6.9%	98	-0.60	—	—	—
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	88
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	85
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	84
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	84
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	83
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	83
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	82
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	82
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	81
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	80
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	80
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	79
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	43	19.4%	13.7%	1.11	5.26
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77