Denis Reguillo
P
Salem Red Sox
Age 22
RHP
5'11" / 165 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%21.8%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 11 | 11 | 32 | 153 | 26 | 16 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 11.6% | 13.1% | -1.5% | 0.0% | 5.57 | 3.78 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 11 | 11 | 32 | 153 | 26 | 16 | 0 | 100% | 2.9 | 17.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 5.57 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 10 | 2 | 25 | 108 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 20% | 2.5 | 17.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.11 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 10 | 2 | 25 | 108 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 20% | 2.5 | 25.9% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 2.8% | 5.11 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 52 | 266 | 40 | 42 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 10.7% | 19.0% | -8.3% | 1.1% | 7.44 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 52 | 266 | 40 | 42 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 15.0% | 15.8% | -0.8% | 0.8% | 7.44 | 4.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 30 | 0 | 32 | 133 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.00 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 87 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 13 | 109 | 527 | 65 | 83 | 7 | 25% | 2.1 | 12.4% | 15.7% | -3.4% | 1.4% | 6.36 | 4.83 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 24 | 200 | 967 | 119 | 152 | 14 | 25% | 2.1 | 12.4% | 15.7% | -3.4% | 1.4% | 6.36 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Denis Reguillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 21.8% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.38 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 33 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 87 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 86 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 86 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 85 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 84 |
| Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 84 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 83 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 82 |
| Ben Anderson R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| William Kempner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 82 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 81 |
| David Perez R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .292 | 5.13 | 15.6% | 1.9% | 67 | +1.20 | 3.93 | 151 | 81 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 81 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 81 |
| Parker Curry R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 81 |
| Todd Peterson R 2027 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 81 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 80 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 80 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 32 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.12 | 4.51 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |