Shotaro MoriiSS Stockton Ports
Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 81 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .283 / .314
PA81
HR1
K%32
BB%9
BABIP302
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.91.80.10.40.71.01.21.21.31.31.21.0+$60M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT46
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
DEFENSE48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.3$6M+$6M
2034Arb-1$3M+1.3$6M+$4M
2035Arb-2$4M+1.2$5M+$3M
2036Arb-3$5M+1.0$4M+$2M
Totals $15M $33M +$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKACL Athletics 188163 26512 24700 43 160267239507 80261 3713 239 41
202518 ROKACL Athletics 188151 39813 36470 43 258401384785 126353 2519 360 134
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 AOAK 122106 21412 10513 42 198286311597 113345 428 251 50 -7 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
YTD19 AOAK 122102 25512 14383 42 245353373725 127359 3111 324 106 +1 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.6
ROS19 AOAK 0% 8173 15311 7261 21 205283314596 109295 329 273 67 -3 +0 -1 +1 +2 -0.0
ROS19 MLBOAK 0% 01 0000 000 00 293 262 58 -0 +0
FULL19 AOAK 122107 21412 10513 42 196286308594 112339 428 251 50 -7 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
TOT19 AOAK 203179 36723 17774 63 201285312597 112326 388 260 57 -10 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBOAK 43% 274246 52926 23853 52 211287337624 126295 318 281 73 -8 +0 -2 +3 +8 0.1
202821 MLBOAK 61% 390349 761429 331185 72 218295347641 129295 308 289 80 -9 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.4
202922 MLBOAK 68% 471422 9417312 401396 83 223299363662 140296 308 295 84 -9 +0 -3 +5 +13 0.7
203023 MLBOAK 71% 523466 10519314 451537 93 225303369672 144297 299 298 87 -8 +1 -3 +6 +15 1.0
203124 MLBOAK 71% 558498 11220315 481637 103 225302367669 143298 299 301 88 -7 +1 -4 +6 +16 1.2
203225 MLBOAK 71% 577514 11621316 501688 104 226304372676 146298 299 302 89 -7 +0 -4 +6 +16 1.2
203326 MLBOAK 71% 587523 11821416 511718 114 226304373677 147298 299 303 90 -7 +1 -4 +6 +17 1.3
203427 MLBOAK 69% 588523 11721316 521718 114 224304367671 143298 299 303 90 -7 +1 -4 +6 +17 1.3
203528 MLBOAK 69% 585520 11621316 521718 104 223303367671 144297 299 302 89 -7 +0 -5 +6 +17 1.2
203629 MLBOAK 67% 575511 11320315 521697 103 221302360662 139297 299 300 88 -8 +1 -5 +6 +16 1.0
203730 MLBOAK 72% 565502 11019315 511687 93 219300359659 139296 309 297 86 -9 +1 -6 +6 +16 0.8
203831 MLBOAK 75% 551490 10719314 491657 93 218299355654 137294 309 294 83 -11 +1 -6 +6 +16 0.5
203932 MLBOAK 77% 533473 10117313 481627 83 214295345640 131291 309 288 79 -13 +0 -7 +6 +15 0.2
204033 MLBOAK 79% 503447 9416312 451566 72 210291340631 130287 319 282 74 -15 +1 -8 +5 +14 -0.2
204134 MLBOAK 74% 457409 8213210 401445 62 200280315595 115281 329 274 68 -17 +0 -8 +5 +13 -0.6
202720 MLBOAK 43% 118106 22412 10371 21 208282321603 113292 318 270 65 -5 +0 -1 +1 +3 -0.1
202821 MLBOAK 61% 237212 45815 20713 41 212289330620 118293 308 277 71 -8 +0 -2 +3 +7 0.0
202922 MLBOAK 68% 321286 631128 28954 62 220299357655 136294 309 283 75 -9 +0 -2 +3 +9 0.2
203023 MLBOAK 71% 372332 7413210 321095 72 223301364665 142295 299 286 77 -10 +1 -2 +4 +11 0.3
203124 MLBOAK 71% 396354 7814210 341155 72 220298356654 136295 299 288 79 -9 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.4
203225 MLBOAK 71% 409365 8114211 361195 73 222300362662 140295 299 290 80 -9 +0 -3 +4 +12 0.4
203326 MLBOAK 71% 416372 8215211 361215 83 220298360658 140295 299 290 80 -9 +0 -3 +4 +12 0.5
203427 MLBOAK 69% 409365 8014211 361195 73 219298359657 140295 299 290 80 -9 +0 -3 +4 +12 0.4
203528 MLBOAK 69% 402358 7914211 361185 72 221301363664 142295 299 289 80 -9 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.4
203629 MLBOAK 67% 385342 7513210 351135 72 219301357658 137294 299 288 78 -9 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.3
203730 MLBOAK 72% 405361 7814210 361205 72 216296349645 133293 309 285 77 -11 +1 -4 +4 +11 0.2
203831 MLBOAK 75% 413368 7914210 371245 72 215295345640 130291 309 282 74 -12 +1 -5 +4 +12 -0.0
203932 MLBOAK 77% 411366 7713210 371255 62 210292339630 128288 309 277 70 -14 +0 -5 +4 +12 -0.3
204033 MLBOAK 79% 396353 731229 351225 62 207288329616 122284 319 271 65 -16 +0 -6 +4 +11 -0.6
204134 MLBOAK 74% 339302 611027 301074 52 202283318601 116279 329 263 59 -16 +0 -6 +4 +10 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career 54294843 104718328135 478161567 9331 216296349645 133292 309 283 75 -155 +6 -51 +58 +154 1.3
/ 162G 650580 12522316 571938 114 216295347641 131291 309 283 75 -19 +1 -6 +7 +18 0.1
Career 80067129 155427545202 7102399100 13649 218298354652 136296 309 293 83 -156 +8 -72 +86 +227 9.4
/ 162G 650579 12622416 581958 114 218298352650 135296 309 293 83 -13 +1 -6 +7 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKACL Athletics 188151 39813 36470 43 258401384785 126353 2519 360 134 +7 -0 +5 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA
103,52711310226311395+13+110.511.2
/162664212+2.4+0.12.0pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons
115,60914395220296358+58-911.09.3
/1626641711+6.8-1.01.3pk7: 8
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Shotaro Morii (OGILVIE) 19 20→46 35→50 50→48 45 201/285/312 112326 36 38% 8% 57 -0.3
Carlos Jimenez
2022 · A
19 38→43 42→55 53→50 44 188/268/290 102278 1011 34% 8% 55 -1.4 201/284/321 120321 1116 37% 9% 69 -0.4 229/308/399169310211831%9%95+0.9
Carlos Rodriguez
2022 · A
19 39 40→45 46→45 47 181/281/275 94294 76 37% 11% 57 -1.2 183/259/259 76293 56 36% 9% 43 -2.2 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
Samuel Basallo
2023 · A
18 41→48 44→55 48→45 40 209/264/317 108283 124 30% 6% 59 -1.1 232/286/390 158298 197 28% 7% 88 +0.9 230/287/40617628623628%7%89+0.8
Bo Naylor
2019 · A
19 44 39→55 52→50 46 210/278/299 89296 69 30% 8% 60 -1.0 189/246/313 124271 118 33% 7% 50 -1.7 218/311/403185271231227%11%99+1.3
Carter Jensen
2023 · A
20 35→45 42→55 45→50 44 176/254/278 102265 97 35% 9% 46 -2.0 196/287/331 135277 149 32% 11% 73 -0.1 224/298/39617229121829%9%92+0.9
Hoy Park
2016 · A
20 40→49 41→45 47→55 46 196/269/296 99264 811 28% 8% 56 -1.3 205/280/294 89283 516 27% 8% 59 -1.1 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Angel Ortiz
2022 · A
19 41 41→50 46→45 44 205/260/295 90268 99 27% 7% 51 -1.7 207/258/303 96281 77 27% 6% 53 -1.5 221/277/35313228512926%6%72-0.1
John Drennen
2006 · A
19 39→49 47→50 47→45 42 202/261/332 130256 158 28% 6% 63 -0.9 220/278/321 101286 96 25% 6% 66 -0.6 246/296/37513029310119%6%85+0.5
Leopoldo Correa
2010 · A
18 41 42→45 50→30 48 197/280/305 107291 95 33% 10% 63 -0.8 210/272/297 87263 63 21% 7% 57 -1.2 212/269/300892618021%6%53-0.5
Randel Alcantara
2016 · A
19 44 41→45 46→45 43 211/283/321 110282 76 26% 6% 69 -0.4 197/255/304 107263 96 27% 5% 53 -1.5 132/175/24210915714327%3%1-1.4
Termarr Johnson
2023 · A
19 45→46 41→45 52→55 47 210/291/312 102321 714 34% 10% 70 -0.3 212/314/339 127299 1512 31% 12% 88 +0.9 207/304/326119281141429%11%78+0.2
Rio Ruiz
2014 · A
20 44→51 44→50 50→40 45 216/272/344 128281 108 26% 7% 69 -0.4 233/298/343 110302 84 24% 9% 80 +0.4 236/304/3391033038223%9%79+0.2
Samuel Zavala
2023 · A
19 42→46 47→45 48→50 44 211/278/352 141295 1310 32% 8% 74 -0.1 192/285/302 110297 1212 36% 11% 66 -0.6 186/281/28599269111332%11%57-0.9
Eddys Leonard
2019 · A
18 41→47 41→55 48→50 48 200/282/301 101267 914 27% 9% 64 -0.8 211/283/328 117302 118 32% 8% 71 -0.3 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Iverson Leonardo
2022 · A
20 41 45→50 47→50 41 200/276/327 127305 119 36% 8% 68 -0.5 188/268/292 104312 98 39% 8% 56 -1.3 154/245/248942608840%9%34-0.7
Yasmil Bucce
2023 · A
18 41 40→45 49→30 44 198/265/288 89272 75 29% 7% 53 -1.5 202/288/300 98309 84 34% 10% 66 -0.6 205/306/33412832513237%11%79+0.2
Khalil Lee
2017 · A
19 43→52 44→45 50→55 43 202/283/323 121316 109 36% 9% 69 -0.4 203/275/320 117336 1117 39% 8% 66 -0.6 202/298/324122329122538%9%73-0.1
Marcelo Mayer
2022 · A
19 46→45 43→50 53→50 42 216/280/325 108329 1012 35% 8% 68 -0.5 216/281/362 146316 1612 34% 8% 79 +0.3 231/283/364133283151023%6%77+0.1
Gosuke Katoh
2014 · A
19 44→50 44→45 49→50 44 216/280/339 122298 116 30% 8% 72 -0.2 189/264/271 82322 611 39% 9% 47 -1.9 214/277/319106296101130%7%61-0.6
Ronarsy Ledesma
2012 · A
19 41 42→45 47→50 43 203/277/306 103268 97 27% 6% 63 -0.9 224/283/326 102290 511 24% 5% 69 -0.4 226/280/33711129161123%4%69-0.2