Brayden Smith

2B Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202521ABAL68.200/.343/.3271350—.169/.269/.288
202622A+/ASTL461.248/.356/.412113362—.190/.273/.306
2027PROJMLE23MLBSTL505.194/.274/.30691365-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBSTL113.198/.278/.3132369-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBSTL181.201/.281/.3203572-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed71
ISO70
wOBA51
wRC+47
Z-Con%41
Whiff%23
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsRiver Town (age 24) · Loidel Chapelli (age 22) · Trey Sweeney (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .272 / .303
PA210
HR4
SB5
K%31
BB%9
ISO112
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 44
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT26
scouting grade only
POWER44
scouting grade only
EYE58
scouting grade only
SPEED63
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 6855 11211 12180 31 200343327671 127278 2618 308 50 — — — — — —
202622 A+Peoria Chiefs — 10595 24713 9341 52 253324442766 189362 329 339 59 — — — — — —
202622 APalm Beach Cardinals — 356296 731258 50936 285 247365402767 155328 2614 345 63 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202521 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 6859 10211 8250 31 169269288557 119258 3712 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 10598 19512 6431 52 194248327574 133327 416 256 59 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 356313 59946 341266 285 188280300581 112286 3510 261 63 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 6859 10211 8250 31 169269288557 119273 3712 242 50 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWDelmarva Shorebirds — 6855 11211 12180 31 200343327671 127278 2618 308 50 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 461410 781458 411707 337 190275307582 117298 379 260 62 — — — — — —
202622 A RAW2 teams — 461391 9719611 591277 337 248356412768 164336 2813 344 62 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 6860 10211 8250 31 167269283552 117258 3712 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 461410 781458 411707 337 190275307582 117295 379 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202521 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 6860 10211 8250 31 167269283552 117258 3712 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE2 teams — 461410 781458 411707 337 190275307582 117295 379 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLESTL 0% 505451 871739 441555 133 194274306580 112270 319 264 65 -21 +1 +0 +2 +11 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLESTL 30% 377337 661327 331144 102 198278316594 118272 309 270 69 -14 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.3
202925 MLB MLESTL 44% 411368 741438 361224 103 201281323604 122273 309 274 72 -14 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.3
203026 MLB MLESTL 51% 431385 781539 381275 113 203283327610 124274 299 276 73 -14 +1 +0 +2 +9 -0.2
203127 MLB MLESTL 52% 437391 791539 391284 103 204284329612 124274 299 277 74 -14 +1 +0 +2 +9 -0.2
203228 MLB MLESTL 53% 435389 791529 391264 92 205284328612 123274 299 277 74 -14 +1 -1 +2 +9 -0.2
203329 MLB MLESTL 57% 425381 771529 371254 72 202281322602 119272 299 273 71 -15 +1 -1 +2 +9 -0.5
202824 MLB CTXSTL 30% 113101 20412 10341 31 198278313592 115274 309 269 69 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202925 MLB CTXSTL 44% 181161 32713 16542 51 201281320601 119275 309 273 72 -6 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203026 MLB CTXSTL 51% 219196 39814 19642 51 203283324607 121276 299 275 73 -7 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203127 MLB CTXSTL 52% 229205 42815 20672 51 204284325609 121276 299 276 74 -7 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203228 MLB CTXSTL 53% 232207 43915 21672 51 205284325609 120276 299 276 74 -7 +1 -0 +1 +5 -0.1
203329 MLB CTXSTL 57% 242217 44915 21712 41 202281319600 116274 299 272 71 -8 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12161087 22045624 10735711 276 202280321602 119275 299 274 70 -40 +3 -1 +4 +26 -0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 11824313 571916 143 203281322603 119276 299 274 70 -21 +2 -1 +2 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 32552908 5771102264 289100234 9824 198279317596 119276 319 271 70 -92 +6 -2 +10 +59 -2.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 11522413 582007 205 198279317596 119275 319 271 70 -22 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 356 PAwOBA .340 → .261 (−78)K% 26.1% → 35.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.12%÷1.000×1.360——35.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.04%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9909.59%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.780—×0.9901.30%
Singles /BIP23.65%÷1.000×0.920×0.983×0.99021.16%
Doubles /BIP5.91%÷1.000×0.830×0.983×0.9904.77%
Triples /BIP2.46%÷1.000×0.910×0.983×0.9902.18%
Home runs /BIP3.94%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9903.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .340 → .261; ISO .155 → .119; BABIP .328 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Peoria Chiefs · 105 PAwOBA .330 → .256 (−74)K% 32.4% → 41.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.38%÷1.000×1.270——41.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.57%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9986.07%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.790—×0.9980.75%
Singles /BIP21.31%÷1.000×0.920×1.040×0.99820.36%
Doubles /BIP11.48%÷1.000×0.810×1.040×0.9989.65%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.000×0.850×1.040×0.9981.45%
Home runs /BIP4.92%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.93%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .330 → .256; ISO .189 → .140; BABIP .362 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 68 PAwOBA .302 → .242 (−60)K% 26.5% → 36.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.47%÷0.993×1.360——36.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.65%÷1.007×0.690——12.09%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP18.92%÷0.998×0.920——17.45%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷0.898×0.830——5.00%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷0.904×0.910——2.72%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷0.899×0.800——2.40%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .302 → .242; ISO .127 → .113; BABIP .278 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).