Colin Yeaman

3B Frederick Keys

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ABAL	72	.185/.371/.204	0	2	47	—	.158/.314/.175
2026	22	A+BAL	406	.198/.337/.262	3	25	30	—	.157/.256/.211
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBBAL	1	.194/.277/.271	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB	24	MLBBAL	71	.199/.283/.289	1	1	62	-0.1
2029PROJ35% MLB	25	MLBBAL	128	.203/.286/.302	2	2	66	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.2M2033Arb-2$0.4M2034Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%91

Speed69

BB%66

Whiff%37

K%34

wOBA20

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDylan Neuse (age 24) · Francisco Acuna (age 23) · Ethan Murray (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .277 / .271

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$11M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	72	54	10	1	0	0	10	17	6	2	1	185	371	204	575	19	263	24	14	289	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Frederick Keys	—	406	328	65	8	2	3	55	111	14	25	3	198	337	262	599	64	283	27	14	284	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	72	57	9	1	0	0	7	23	6	2	1	158	314	175	490	18	246	32	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	406	351	55	6	2	3	33	145	14	25	3	157	256	211	467	54	238	36	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	72	57	9	1	0	0	7	23	6	2	1	158	314	175	490	18	257	32	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	72	54	10	1	0	0	10	17	6	2	1	185	371	204	575	19	263	24	14	289	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	406	351	55	6	2	3	33	145	14	25	3	157	256	211	467	54	250	36	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	—	406	328	65	8	2	3	55	111	14	25	3	198	337	262	599	64	283	27	14	284	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	72	59	9	1	0	0	7	23	6	2	1	153	314	169	484	17	246	32	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	406	356	55	6	2	3	33	145	14	25	3	154	256	208	464	53	238	36	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	72	59	9	1	0	0	7	23	6	2	1	153	314	169	484	17	246	32	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	406	356	55	6	2	3	33	145	14	25	3	154	256	208	464	53	238	36	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	477	425	81	15	2	4	38	143	11	11	2	191	275	266	541	76	273	30	8	252	57	-25	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	194	277	271	549	78	276	0	0	255	57	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	22%	323	287	57	10	2	4	26	95	7	7	1	196	280	283	563	87	275	29	8	260	62	-15	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	369	328	66	12	2	5	30	107	8	7	1	200	283	295	579	95	276	29	8	266	66	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	42%	394	351	71	13	2	6	32	113	8	7	1	203	286	304	589	101	277	29	8	270	69	-15	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	404	360	74	13	2	7	33	115	8	7	1	204	287	306	593	102	277	28	8	272	70	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	406	361	74	13	2	7	34	115	8	6	1	205	286	307	594	103	277	28	8	272	70	-14	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	397	354	72	13	2	6	33	114	7	6	1	202	284	301	585	99	276	29	8	268	68	-15	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	387	345	69	12	2	6	32	112	7	5	1	200	280	294	574	94	274	29	8	264	65	-16	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	22%	71	63	12	2	0	1	6	21	2	1	0	199	283	289	572	90	279	30	8	264	62	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	128	113	23	4	1	2	11	37	3	2	0	203	286	302	588	98	280	29	9	270	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	42%	165	147	30	5	1	3	14	47	3	3	1	206	289	310	599	104	281	28	8	274	69	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	180	159	33	6	1	3	15	51	4	3	1	207	290	313	603	106	281	28	8	275	70	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	188	166	34	6	1	3	16	53	4	3	1	208	289	314	603	106	281	28	9	276	70	-7	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	184	164	34	6	1	3	15	53	3	3	1	206	287	308	594	102	280	29	8	272	68	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	195	173	35	6	1	3	16	57	4	3	1	203	283	300	583	98	278	29	8	268	65	-8	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1111	985	201	35	6	18	93	319	23	18	5	204	288	307	595	103	280	29	8	272	62	-43	+2	-2	+4	+24	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	118	20	4	11	54	187	13	11	3	205	287	311	598	106	280	29	8	272	62	-25	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3368	2980	582	99	17	46	277	1002	78	77	12	195	281	286	567	91	274	30	8	259	62	-115	+7	-5	+10	+63	-4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	112	19	3	9	53	193	15	15	2	195	280	285	565	90	273	30	8	259	62	-26	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 406 PAwOBA .282 → .213 (−69)K% 27.3% → 35.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.34%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	35.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.55%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.012	8.23%
HBP% /PA	3.45%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	2.69%
Singles /BIP	23.96%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.968	×1.012	20.43%
Doubles /BIP	3.69%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.968	×1.012	2.82%
Triples /BIP	0.92%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.968	×1.012	0.77%
Home runs /BIP	1.38%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.012	1.23%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .282 → .213; ISO .064 → .053; BABIP .283 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 72 PAwOBA .287 → .237 (−50)K% 23.6% → 32.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.61%	÷0.993	×1.360	—	—	32.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.89%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×1.015	9.66%
HBP% /PA	8.33%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	6.60%
Singles /BIP	24.32%	÷0.998	×0.920	—	×1.015	22.77%
Doubles /BIP	2.70%	÷0.898	×0.830	—	×1.015	2.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.904	×0.910	—	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.899	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .287 → .237; ISO .019 → .017; BABIP .263 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,113	17	18	203	282	302	+12	+0	0.2	0.2
/162	664	10	11	+7.1	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Steve Jeltz'83-'90 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,041 PA	3.1	2,041	5	18	209*	308*	287*	+19	-7	-0.9	-0.5
/162	664	2	6	+6.1	-2.1	-0.3	pk7: -0
#5Johnnie LeMaster'75-'87 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,515 PA	5.3	3,515	22	94	218*	275*	313*	+37	-13	-3.1	-0.9
/162	664	4	18	+7.0	-2.4	-0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Yeaman (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	189/273/264	75	273	2	5	30%	8%	57	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	40→47	41→45	47→50	42	197/272/302	105	277	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	213/283/307	94	282	7	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	198/282/292	94	261	8	17	25%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	38→48	41→40	51→50	43	187/258/284	97	272	8	13	32%	8%	55	-2.0	202/275/294	92	293	7	12	31%	8%	63	-1.4	199/276/286	87	286	6	13	30%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	39→42	38→45	54→55	37	188/242/272	84	288	5	10	35%	6%	45	-2.7	210/263/316	106	300	8	14	31%	5%	63	-1.4	210/264/322	112	293	9	15	30%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Anthony Phillips 2013 · A	23	37→47	39→40	47→50	42	185/247/263	78	252	7	13	28%	7%	45	-2.7	202/268/290	88	274	7	7	27%	7%	59	-1.6	210/275/282	72	282	5	6	25%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2024 · A	23	44	40	50→45	43	209/272/301	92	295	8	8	30%	7%	63	-1.3	199/260/287	88	290	8	9	32%	7%	55	-1.9	146/208/202	56	213	6	8	33%	6%	15	-1.6
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	219/269/312	93	327	7	4	33%	6%	64	-1.3	218/265/307	89	325	7	0	34%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	39→46	40→45	55	41	193/250/296	103	263	6	14	28%	6%	54	-2.0	206/262/315	109	276	9	15	28%	6%	63	-1.4	220/278/302	82	279	5	24	22%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Nick Lorusso 2024 · A	23	39→44	38→50	49→50	38	185/243/272	87	294	5	9	37%	6%	46	-2.6	202/265/325	123	271	12	10	29%	7%	66	-1.1	197/261/329	132	257	14	11	29%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	39→44	37→40	51→50	46	186/263/256	70	278	4	15	32%	9%	50	-2.3	206/285/302	96	295	8	14	30%	10%	69	-0.9	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→50	40→45	48→45	37	199/248/295	96	286	8	8	32%	5%	52	-2.2	221/269/341	120	301	12	6	29%	5%	71	-0.8	222/288/333	111	299	11	7	28%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	181/264/286	105	253	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.7	163/255/263	100	223	10	3	30%	9%	47	-1.3
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4

Colin Yeaman

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps