Colin YeamanSS Frederick Keys
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION276 act + 184 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .286 / .282
PA184
HR2
SB6
K%29
BB%8
BABIP284
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -30.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-31BATRUN: +2.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +13.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: -1.10-1.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.60.70.70.60.4+$23M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Arb-1$1M+0.6$2M+$0.9M
2033Arb-2$1M+0.4$0.9M+$0.3M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $5M $8M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds 7258 9100 6246 21 155300172472 17257 338 234 37
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds 7254 10100 10176 21 185371204575 19263 2414 289 79
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+BAL 276240 44511 21918 143 183271225496 42281 338 223 29 -22 +2 +0 +3 +8 -1.0
YTD22 A+BAL 276228 50611 32688 143 219335268602 48299 2512 281 73 -8 +2 +0 +3 +8 0.4
ROS22 A+BAL 0% 184163 33512 15534 61 202286282568 80285 298 261 58 -9 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
ROS22 MLBBAL 0% 11 0000 000 00 289 00 248 48 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 A+BAL 277241 44511 21918 143 183270224494 41279 338 223 29 -22 +2 +0 +3 +8 -1.0
TOT22 A+BAL 460403 771023 3614412 204 191277248525 57282 318 238 40 -31 +2 +0 +5 +13 -1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBBAL 25% 484433 901526 391369 102 208287293580 85287 288 270 65 -19 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.1
202824 MLBBAL 36% 497444 951628 411369 92 214294313607 99288 278 278 71 -16 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.4
202925 MLBBAL 43% 501446 971629 411369 92 217296323619 105289 278 282 74 -15 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.6
203026 MLBBAL 47% 501445 961629 421359 92 216296321618 106289 278 284 76 -14 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.7
203127 MLBBAL 48% 496442 961629 421349 82 217298324622 106288 278 284 76 -14 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.7
203228 MLBBAL 48% 490436 951629 421339 82 218300326625 108288 279 283 75 -14 +1 -1 +5 +14 0.6
203329 MLBBAL 48% 483431 921628 411328 72 213294316609 102287 278 282 74 -14 +1 -1 +5 +14 0.4
202723 MLBBAL 25% 122109 24412 10342 31 220298330628 110291 288 260 57 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202824 MLBBAL 36% 181161 35613 15503 31 217296323619 106292 288 268 63 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
202925 MLBBAL 43% 215191 42714 18584 41 220300330630 110293 278 273 67 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203026 MLBBAL 47% 233208 46814 19634 41 221299327626 106293 278 275 69 -8 +0 +0 +2 +7 0.1
203127 MLBBAL 48% 236210 46814 20644 41 219299324623 105293 278 275 69 -8 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203228 MLBBAL 48% 236210 46814 20644 41 219299324623 105292 278 274 68 -8 +0 -0 +3 +7 0.1
203329 MLBBAL 48% 230204 45814 20634 41 221303328631 108292 279 273 67 -9 +0 -1 +2 +7 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 14541294 28449725 12239625 267 219299326625 107294 278 272 66 -55 +2 -1 +16 +41 0.3
/ 162G 650578 12722311 5517711 123 220300325625 106295 278 272 66 -25 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.2
Career 37083298 7031171560 309101972 6816 213295312607 99287 278 279 72 -119 +7 -2 +40 +105 3.1
/ 162G 650578 12521311 5417913 123 216298320618 104292 288 279 72 -21 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ADelmarva Shorebirds 7254 10100 10176 21 185371204575 19263 2414 289 79 -2 +0 +2 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,4532525217294322+16+01.61.6
/1626641111+7.1+0.00.7pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Colin Yeaman (OGILVIE) 22 50 40 45 54 191/277/248 57282 320 31% 8% 40 -1.1
Gilberto Celestino
2021 · A
22 46→53 41→45 47→55 45 222/276/324 102280 810 23% 6% 66 -0.6 223/292/321 98291 88 24% 8% 72 -0.2 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
Bryan Lavastida
2021 · A
22 47→44 38→45 46→55 46 221/291/303 81299 58 26% 8% 66 -0.6 220/287/340 120289 1213 26% 7% 75 -0.0 219/292/337118281122725%8%74-0.1
Jacob Amaya
2021 · A
22 47→46 41→45 44→45 51 223/299/325 102286 77 23% 9% 76 +0.1 209/276/333 124269 146 26% 8% 69 -0.4 210/281/32811826813625%8%68-0.4
Chase Pinder
2018 · A
22 49 39→45 46→45 47 230/310/319 89316 77 27% 9% 80 +0.4 203/280/289 86289 74 30% 8% 59 -1.1 194/289/31011626713830%10%68-0.3
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Brennan Milone
2023 · A
22 51→45 40→45 50→45 47 241/303/328 87313 77 24% 8% 78 +0.2 217/292/350 133287 155 28% 9% 80 +0.4 200/279/33013026316529%9%68-0.4
Ronald Bermudez
2010 · A
22 49→46 39→40 47→45 49 234/300/328 94294 69 22% 8% 77 +0.1 217/258/306 89292 44 26% 5% 53 -1.5 255/281/326713264422%3%64-0.3
Rayner Contreras
2009 · A
22 51 39→40 48→50 44 240/295/329 89311 611 24% 6% 75 -0.0 218/274/296 78299 511 27% 6% 58 -1.2 198/223/217193140436%3%9-0.8
Freddy Zamora
2022 · A
23 50→51 40 46→50 49 237/311/326 90314 79 26% 9% 82 +0.5 219/289/306 87305 713 28% 8% 67 -0.5 216/292/2937629461626%8%62-0.6
Leo Jiménez
2023 · A
22 47→49 41→45 49→45 50 221/327/317 97287 89 24% 9% 88 +0.9 227/313/341 114287 117 24% 7% 88 +0.9 227/317/34211428611523%7%86+0.4
Jake Elmore
2009 · A
22 45→55 40 45→55 45 217/280/320 103285 610 25% 7% 66 -0.6 234/305/309 75287 314 18% 9% 74 -0.1 261/334/3347231522316%9%91+0.9
Ramon Santana
2008 · A
22 43→52 43→45 48→45 45 211/291/328 116288 107 29% 8% 75 -0.0 211/275/320 109321 98 35% 6% 65 -0.7 207/271/3161093218435%6%59-0.5
Emerson Landoni
2011 · A
22 50→60 39→40 45 45 239/283/324 85289 712 20% 6% 68 -0.5 232/273/314 82293 66 22% 4% 61 -1.0 263/307/339753144416%5%78+0.1
Raul Beracierta
2021 · A
22 46 40→50 50 45 218/288/314 95304 78 29% 8% 69 -0.4 214/263/346 132326 146 37% 5% 66 -0.6 208/254/34914131017337%5%59-0.4
Carter Jurica
2012 · A
23 44→54 42→40 48→45 47 211/291/317 106283 911 27% 8% 72 -0.2 233/293/319 86310 66 25% 7% 72 -0.2 238/298/316773155424%7%70-0.2
Wilver Perez
2006 · A
22 49→48 43→45 45 43 233/292/349 117322 98 29% 7% 79 +0.3 226/283/324 98317 712 29% 7% 69 -0.4 219/277/3109130871429%6%60-0.4
Ofilio Castro
2006 · A
22 47→55 39→40 46→45 44 225/278/312 87303 66 27% 7% 63 -0.8 236/286/312 76290 46 19% 6% 66 -0.6 256/299/328713063317%5%72-0.1
Collin Burns
2022 · A
22 50 37→45 46→55 44 237/297/313 76310 511 24% 6% 72 -0.2 219/273/305 86293 616 26% 6% 59 -1.1 200/257/2777727361927%6%42-1.1
Jeferson Morales
2021 · A
22 44→45 41→50 48→50 51 208/295/315 107257 68 21% 9% 72 -0.2 200/283/336 136266 149 29% 8% 74 -0.1 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
Carlos Narváez
2021 · A
22 47→45 38→50 48→45 46 219/291/300 81314 56 30% 9% 66 -0.6 193/280/309 116304 135 37% 10% 66 -0.6 212/294/34913628516629%9%79+0.2