Nick Lorusso — OGILVIE

Nick Lorusso3B Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION294 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .258 / .358

PA196

HR6

K%30

BB%7

BABIP250

ISO162

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	91	9	5	0	0	7	43	1	2	1	99	172	154	326	55	184	43	7	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	89	15	7	1	0	9	27	1	2	1	169	253	270	522	101	238	27	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	341	300	59	12	3	7	32	92	4	9	3	197	283	327	609	130	252	27	9	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	341	286	75	15	3	12	46	68	4	9	3	262	372	462	834	199	299	20	13	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	406	87	27	0	6	29	135	3	8	3	214	272	325	597	111	297	30	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	394	95	29	0	7	41	108	3	8	3	241	317	368	685	127	307	24	9	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	NYM	—	294	271	53	13	2	13	17	90	4	7	1	196	253	402	656	207	235	31	6	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
YTD	25	AA	NYM	—	294	263	63	16	2	15	25	70	4	7	1	240	315	487	802	247	267	24	9	349	125	+8	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.9
ROS	25	AA	NYM	2%	196	179	35	9	1	6	13	58	2	4	1	196	258	358	615	162	244	30	7	268	63	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
ROS	25	MLB	NYM	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						244	25	0	260	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	NYM	—	298	275	53	13	2	13	17	91	4	7	1	193	250	396	646	204	231	31	6	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
TOT	25	AA	NYM	—	490	450	88	22	3	19	30	148	6	11	2	196	255	384	640	189	241	30	6	274	68	-18	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	NYM	31%	490	448	88	21	2	15	34	141	5	8	2	196	261	353	613	156	249	29	7	274	68	-18	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	NYM	42%	503	457	92	22	2	15	36	143	5	8	2	201	267	357	624	155	252	28	7	277	70	-17	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.0
2029	28	MLB	NYM	48%	508	461	93	22	2	15	37	144	5	8	2	202	268	356	624	154	254	28	7	279	71	-16	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.0
2030	29	MLB	NYM	49%	507	459	93	22	2	15	38	144	5	7	2	203	271	357	628	155	254	28	7	278	71	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	NYM	31%	152	138	28	7	1	5	11	44	2	3	1	203	272	377	648	174	248	29	7	266	62	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	NYM	42%	212	193	38	9	1	6	15	60	2	4	1	197	262	347	609	150	252	28	7	270	65	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	NYM	48%	243	221	44	10	1	7	18	69	2	4	1	199	266	348	614	149	253	28	7	271	66	-9	+0	-0	+1	+7	-0.2
2030	29	MLB	NYM	49%	250	227	46	11	1	7	19	71	2	4	1	203	270	352	623	150	253	28	8	270	65	-10	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	861	783	156	37	4	25	63	245	8	15	4	199	266	352	618	153	253	28	7	270	64	-35	+1	-1	+3	+24	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	118	28	3	19	48	185	6	11	3	200	267	354	620	154	254	28	7	270	64	-26	+1	-1	+2	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	3091	2801	556	140	12	79	226	900	30	54	16	199	266	342	607	143	258	29	7	270	65	-123	+4	-2	+11	+88	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	117	29	3	17	48	189	6	11	3	199	266	345	611	146	258	29	7	270	65	-26	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	89	15	7	1	0	9	27	1	2	1	169	253	270	522	101	238	27	9	240	42	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	31	24	5	1	0	1	6	7	1	1	2	208	387	375	762	167	250	23	19	355	130	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	310	262	70	14	3	11	40	61	3	8	1	267	370	469	840	202	303	20	13	367	139	+14	+1	—	—	+9	2.4
2025	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	394	95	29	0	7	41	108	3	8	3	241	317	368	685	127	307	24	9	305	92	-4	+0	—	—	+13	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	863	26	14	201	265	357	+3	+1	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	20	11	201	265	357	+2.4	+0.8	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Lorusso (OGILVIE)	25	40	40	45	40	196/255/384	189	241	19	11	30%	6%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39	43→40	45	42	197/254/301	103	257	11	7	28%	6%	50	-1.7	210/271/311	101	292	11	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	199/266/281	82	279	10	10	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Dusty Brown 2007 · AA	25	41	43→45	44→30	43	205/258/311	106	264	11	5	26%	6%	55	-1.4	224/282/344	120	300	12	3	28%	7%	74	-0.1	228/291/341	113	307	12	0	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA	25	41→49	44→45	46→50	46	208/272/325	117	250	12	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	220/280/336	116	271	12	12	23%	7%	71	-0.3	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Wendell Rijo 2021 · AAA	25	42→41	46→55	44→50	41	211/263/337	126	275	14	7	28%	6%	64	-0.8	218/273/382	164	281	20	15	29%	6%	81	+0.4	213/270/389	176	264	23	19	28%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	38→41	46→50	43→50	40	200/254/329	130	265	14	9	30%	6%	59	-1.1	210/261/343	133	280	15	10	30%	6%	65	-0.7	199/251/331	132	266	16	8	31%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Yusniel Díaz 2022 · AAA	25	35→45	43→45	42→50	36	180/231/288	108	270	12	6	37%	6%	38	-2.6	225/291/354	129	297	15	11	28%	8%	80	+0.4	242/312/379	138	306	16	11	25%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Coco Montes 2022 · AA	25	39→43	46→50	40→50	36	200/242/333	132	273	13	5	31%	4%	54	-1.4	211/280/347	136	305	14	10	33%	8%	74	-0.1	211/287/344	133	305	14	11	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Jordan Tarsovich 2017 · AA	26	40	45	46→50	47	201/275/317	116	256	13	9	26%	8%	65	-0.7	194/265/291	97	267	8	12	29%	8%	53	-1.5	168/244/247	79	236	5	15	29%	8%	31	-2.0
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	42	209/281/304	95	283	9	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	206/259/318	112	293	12	10	33%	5%	57	-1.2	188/228/300	112	272	15	9	36%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Clint Coulter 2018 · AA	25	41→42	42→50	42→40	39	204/262/312	109	268	10	4	27%	5%	58	-1.2	203/259/326	123	314	12	6	37%	5%	59	-1.1	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕Alan Trejo 2021 · AA	25	38→42	41→50	42→45	36	194/232/287	94	263	10	6	30%	4%	37	-2.6	207/249/352	145	265	15	6	28%	5%	63	-0.9	211/267/341	130	267	14	7	26%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→45	41→45	44→45	44	214/271/309	96	275	9	7	25%	6%	60	-1.0	223/277/326	103	287	9	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Adam Donachie 2009 · AA	25	39	43→45	42→30	45	198/264/301	103	265	12	3	29%	8%	55	-1.4	186/252/279	93	260	9	3	30%	8%	44	-2.1	165/235/251	86	229	8	0	30%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Kevin Ahrens 2014 · AA	25	39→46	42→45	42→40	45	195/260/295	100	257	10	2	28%	8%	52	-1.6	220/276/338	118	275	11	5	23%	7%	70	-0.3	224/281/347	124	272	12	4	22%	7%	72	-0.2