Nick Lorusso — OGILVIE

Nick Lorusso3B Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION456 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP236

ISO124

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	89	15	7	1	0	9	27	1	2	1	169	253	270	522	101	238	27	9	240	48	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	31	24	5	1	0	1	6	7	1	1	2	208	387	375	762	167	250	23	19	355	126	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	310	262	70	14	3	11	40	61	3	8	1	267	370	469	840	202	303	20	13	367	135	+13	+1	—	—	+7	2.1
2025	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	394	95	29	0	7	41	108	3	8	3	241	317	368	685	127	307	24	9	305	93	-4	+0	—	—	+10	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	91	11	5	1	0	7	40	1	2	1	121	192	198	390	77	205	40	7	175	5	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	31	26	5	1	0	1	4	8	1	1	2	192	323	346	669	154	234	26	13	299	88	-0	-1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	310	275	56	11	3	7	27	83	3	8	1	204	282	342	624	138	248	27	9	270	69	-11	+1	—	—	+7	-0.4
2025	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	406	85	26	0	5	29	130	3	8	3	209	267	310	577	101	278	29	7	257	60	-21	+0	—	—	+10	-1.1
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	91	11	5	1	0	7	40	1	2	1	121	192	198	390	77	212	40	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	89	15	7	1	0	9	27	1	2	1	169	253	270	522	101	238	27	9	240	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	341	301	61	12	3	8	31	91	4	9	3	203	286	342	628	140	256	27	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	341	286	75	15	3	12	46	68	4	9	3	262	372	462	834	199	299	20	13	366	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	406	85	26	0	5	29	130	3	8	3	209	267	310	577	101	287	29	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	394	95	29	0	7	41	108	3	8	3	241	317	368	685	127	307	24	9	305	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	92	11	5	1	0	7	40	1	2	1	120	192	196	388	76	205	40	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	341	303	61	12	3	8	31	91	4	9	3	201	286	340	626	139	247	27	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	411	85	26	0	5	29	130	3	8	3	207	267	307	574	100	278	29	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	92	11	5	1	0	7	40	1	2	1	120	192	196	388	76	205	40	7	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	341	303	61	12	3	8	31	91	4	9	3	201	286	340	626	139	247	27	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	446	411	85	26	0	5	29	130	3	8	3	207	267	307	574	100	278	29	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	NYM	—	456	418	79	16	2	16	30	136	6	14	1	189	253	352	605	163	235	30	7	264	65	-19	+2	+0	+2	+10	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	NYM	—	351	313	76	18	2	19	32	88	4	9	1	243	321	495	816	252	274	25	9	355	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	NYM	—	105	92	20	2	0	3	11	24	2	5	0	217	314	337	651	120	262	23	10	300	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	NYM	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		242	30	10	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	NYM	—	466	427	80	16	2	16	31	139	6	14	1	187	252	347	599	159	234	30	7	264	65	-20	+2	+0	+2	+10	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	31%	365	332	65	14	1	11	26	104	4	8	1	196	262	343	606	148	248	28	7	271	70	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYM	42%	388	353	69	15	1	11	28	109	4	8	1	195	262	337	599	142	251	28	7	275	72	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	401	364	73	16	1	12	30	112	4	8	1	201	269	349	618	148	253	28	7	276	73	-13	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	NYM	49%	400	363	72	16	1	11	30	112	4	7	1	198	267	339	606	140	253	28	8	276	73	-13	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	398	361	71	15	1	11	30	112	4	7	1	197	266	335	601	139	251	28	8	273	71	-14	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	31%	113	103	19	4	0	3	8	32	1	2	0	184	250	311	561	126	241	28	7	259	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYM	42%	163	148	29	6	1	5	12	46	2	3	0	196	265	351	617	155	245	28	7	263	72	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	192	174	35	7	1	6	14	53	2	4	1	201	268	356	625	155	246	28	7	264	73	-6	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	NYM	49%	197	178	35	7	1	6	15	55	2	4	1	197	267	348	615	152	246	28	8	264	73	-6	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	200	181	36	8	1	6	15	56	2	3	0	199	268	354	621	155	244	28	8	261	71	-7	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	865	784	154	32	4	26	64	242	9	16	2	196	265	347	612	151	246	28	7	262	67	-29	+2	-2	+3	+19	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	116	24	3	20	48	182	7	12	2	197	266	350	615	153	246	28	7	262	67	-22	+2	-2	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2849	2580	508	119	9	69	212	813	28	57	12	197	265	330	595	133	255	29	7	268	67	-66	+6	-4	+7	+43	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	116	27	2	16	48	185	6	13	3	197	264	331	595	134	254	28	7	268	67	-22	+2	-1	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	872	25	16	201	266	347	+3	+1	0.0	0.0
/162	664	19	13	+2.4	+0.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Lorusso (OGILVIE)	25	40	40	45	40	189/253/330	141	242	9	8	29%	7%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2021 · AAA	25	42→43	44→50	44→50	42	211/263/330	119	272	12	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	216/274/358	142	280	16	15	28%	6%	78	-0.3	211/271/360	149	264	18	19	27%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/276/299	108	261	11	5	30%	10%	65	-1.2	196/278/300	104	279	9	7	31%	9%	66	-1.1	110/223/191	81	162	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Danny Mendick 2019 · AA	25	43→48	43→45	46→50	47	210/274/319	109	252	10	13	21%	7%	68	-1.0	223/284/335	112	273	12	12	22%	7%	76	-0.4	238/297/343	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	40→43	45→50	43→50	40	204/257/324	121	266	12	9	28%	6%	63	-1.4	215/267/344	129	280	14	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	206/260/336	131	268	15	8	28%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	44→45	46	198/281/301	102	271	11	5	30%	8%	68	-1.0	227/321/361	134	295	13	10	25%	11%	96	+1.0	222/324/360	138	289	14	11	26%	12%	95	+0.5
✕Dusty Brown 2007 · AA	25	41	42→45	44→30	43	205/258/309	103	263	10	5	26%	6%	60	-1.6	223/281/335	112	298	11	3	27%	7%	74	-0.5	226/289/329	103	305	10	0	28%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Adam Fox 2007 · AA	25	44	44→45	46→45	47	220/277/341	121	258	12	9	20%	7%	74	-0.5	222/271/341	119	272	12	8	23%	5%	72	-0.7	219/266/340	121	268	14	7	24%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Julio E. Rodriguez 2022 · AA	25	42	42→45	48→30	41	208/258/306	98	267	11	6	26%	5%	59	-1.7	207/278/335	128	280	16	4	31%	8%	74	-0.6	188/262/314	126	251	18	1	32%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Matt Macri 2007 · AA	25	43→40	44→50	44→45	42	217/273/334	118	281	12	6	27%	6%	72	-0.7	222/269/361	139	283	14	6	26%	5%	76	-0.4	213/260/356	144	268	14	6	26%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	41	209/279/305	96	283	9	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	207/259/316	109	289	12	10	31%	5%	62	-1.4	192/232/297	106	271	14	9	34%	3%	45	-1.6
✕Rylan Bannon 2021 · AAA	25	44	46→50	45→50	46	219/284/352	133	275	13	7	25%	8%	80	-0.2	191/272/326	135	244	16	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	191/289/327	136	253	16	12	29%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	43→44	44→50	47→45	42	214/273/333	120	291	12	7	30%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/380	157	291	18	7	29%	6%	84	+0.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	41→45	43→45	44	212/271/307	95	272	9	7	25%	7%	64	-1.3	223/279/323	100	286	9	7	24%	6%	70	-0.8	238/286/342	104	298	8	5	22%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA	25	36→41	40→50	44→45	40	179/245/262	83	256	8	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	212/275/354	142	276	15	7	28%	7%	77	-0.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Eric Wood 2018 · AAA	25	40→50	47→50	47→45	43	207/266/344	137	267	15	7	28%	7%	71	-0.8	214/269/355	141	287	15	8	30%	6%	75	-0.5	207/261/344	136	278	15	5	30%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Yusniel Díaz 2022 · AAA	25	35→45	42→45	42→50	37	181/234/285	104	266	10	6	35%	6%	45	-2.7	219/287/340	121	290	13	11	27%	9%	78	-0.3	233/304/359	126	294	14	11	25%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/331	126	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	209/262/319	110	263	11	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/278	87	234	9	6	22%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Cam Cannon 2023 · AAA	25	44→46	41→45	45	43	217/265/316	99	259	9	10	20%	5%	63	-1.3	207/257/324	117	253	11	9	22%	6%	63	-1.4	166/208/306	139	183	16	3	20%	5%	38	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps