Jacob McCombs — OGILVIE

Jacob McCombsOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP291

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0	250	323	250	573		292	13	0	275	73	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	6	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		261	19	0	232	43	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	6	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		273	19	0	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0	250	323	250	573		292	13	0	275	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	6	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		261	19	0	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	6	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		261	19	0	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	MIN	—	284	244	56	11	4	6	11	69	27	16	11	230	333	381	714	152	294	24	4	303	91	-3	-1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	MIN	—	284	239	64	13	5	7	16	51	27	16	11	268	379	452	831	184	313	18	6	372	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	MIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	111	200	111	311		291	20	0	308	94	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	MIN	—	294	253	57	11	4	6	11	71	28	16	11	225	329	372	700	146	288	24	4	303	91	-3	-1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIN	35%	273	246	57	11	2	6	13	64	12	8	4	232	303	366	668	134	288	23	5	306	93	-2	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	46%	363	326	77	15	3	9	19	85	15	10	5	236	308	383	692	147	289	23	5	310	96	-2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	408	366	87	16	4	10	22	95	17	11	6	238	311	385	696	148	290	23	5	311	97	-1	-0	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	436	392	93	18	4	11	24	101	17	12	6	237	309	388	697	151	290	23	6	312	97	-1	+0	+0	-3	+9	0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	446	400	96	18	4	12	25	104	18	12	6	240	314	395	709	155	289	23	6	312	98	-1	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	448	402	95	18	4	11	25	105	18	12	6	236	310	383	693	147	289	23	6	311	97	-2	+0	-1	-3	+10	0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	442	396	93	17	4	11	25	104	18	11	6	235	310	381	691	146	288	24	6	309	96	-2	-0	-1	-3	+10	0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	434	389	90	17	3	11	25	103	17	10	5	231	306	375	682	144	287	24	6	307	94	-3	+0	-2	-3	+9	0.1
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	421	377	86	16	3	10	24	102	17	8	4	228	304	366	670	138	284	24	6	302	91	-5	+0	-3	-3	+9	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIN	35%	94	86	20	4	1	2	4	22	4	3	1	233	298	372	670	140	289	23	4	274	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	46%	168	150	35	7	1	4	9	39	7	5	2	233	307	373	681	140	290	23	5	279	96	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	211	189	45	9	2	5	11	49	9	6	3	238	311	386	697	148	290	23	5	282	97	-1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	236	212	51	10	2	6	13	55	9	7	3	241	312	392	703	151	290	23	6	283	97	-1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	242	217	51	10	2	6	13	56	10	7	4	235	308	382	691	147	289	23	5	283	98	-1	-0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	243	217	51	10	2	6	14	57	10	6	3	235	311	382	694	147	289	23	6	282	97	-1	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	235	211	49	9	2	6	13	55	9	6	3	232	305	379	684	147	288	23	6	281	96	-1	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	228	204	48	9	2	6	13	54	9	5	3	235	310	387	697	152	287	24	6	278	94	-2	-0	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	219	196	45	8	2	5	12	53	9	4	2	230	304	367	671	138	285	24	5	274	91	-2	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1876	1682	395	76	16	46	102	440	76	49	24	235	308	381	689	146	290	23	5	280	95	-10	+0	-4	-11	+41	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	137	26	6	16	35	152	26	17	8	235	307	383	690	148	289	23	5	280	95	-3	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3712	3331	781	146	31	91	202	871	153	99	48	234	308	379	687	144	289	23	5	309	95	-20	-0	-7	-22	+80	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	137	26	5	16	35	153	27	17	8	235	309	379	688	144	290	24	5	309	95	-4	-0	-1	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.8	1,876	47	48	236	306	384	-11	+0	3.0	2.8
/162	664	17	17	-4.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob McCombs (OGILVIE)	22	46→51	41→46	57→62	40	231/307/371	140	291	2	4	24%	4%	94	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	84	+0.1	252/304/335	83	284	5	13	13%	6%	82	-0.0	264/325/345	82	303	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	50→48	46→55	56→55	44	241/305/370	129	323	13	19	28%	7%	91	+0.7	218/272/362	144	354	15	25	40%	6%	78	-0.3	216/285/389	174	351	21	24	42%	8%	86	+0.3
●Shane Peterson 2010 · AA	22	52→58	42→50	55→50	42	249/299/356	106	310	9	12	22%	5%	85	+0.2	241/306/347	106	314	8	12	24%	7%	86	+0.3	249/323/366	118	347	10	13	29%	9%	95	+0.8
✕David Olmedo-Barrera 2017 · A	23	50→41	43→50	52→50	41	243/287/364	121	295	10	11	21%	4%	83	+0.1	212/252/308	96	284	7	12	27%	4%	57	-1.8	195/232/280	85	265	6	13	28%	4%	41	-1.5
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	48→53	46→45	52→50	43	241/289/368	128	286	13	9	21%	5%	85	+0.2	224/274/326	102	276	10	11	22%	5%	70	-0.9	214/262/306	93	264	9	11	22%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	42→45	53→50	49	241/300/351	109	293	8	12	20%	8%	84	+0.2	239/290/342	103	290	8	9	19%	6%	78	-0.3	243/304/370	127	291	12	9	20%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A	22	46→56	47→50	53→50	42	228/277/370	142	282	13	13	24%	6%	81	-0.1	229/282/356	127	285	12	12	23%	6%	80	-0.2	257/301/390	133	311	13	7	21%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→60	40	56→55	48	248/308/348	100	311	7	17	22%	8%	87	+0.4	262/323/367	105	305	7	19	16%	7%	97	+1.1	262/330/356	94	300	7	20	14%	8%	95	+0.8
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	51→54	46→50	53→55	47	251/308/386	135	310	13	17	23%	7%	96	+1.0	251/312/394	143	310	14	16	22%	8%	99	+1.3	251/316/410	158	287	17	11	18%	8%	101	+1.1
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	48→52	43→50	53→55	41	231/279/347	116	311	10	19	28%	6%	76	-0.4	217/268/342	125	286	13	17	28%	6%	72	-0.7	229/287/366	137	285	12	19	24%	6%	82	+0.0
●TJ Friedl 2018 · A	22	47→54	41→50	50→55	42	227/287/338	111	296	7	11	25%	6%	77	-0.3	225/299/322	97	292	6	18	23%	8%	78	-0.3	249/340/389	140	279	15	18	16%	10%	106	+1.6
●Cedric Mullins 2017 · A	22	44→54	46→55	56→60	39	221/255/363	142	274	13	16	25%	4%	70	-0.8	223/266/354	131	265	13	16	21%	5%	73	-0.6	254/323/429	174	292	19	27	19%	8%	108	+2.0
✕Efrain Contreras 2009 · A	22	46	43→45	53→55	44	224/286/334	110	263	10	13	19%	5%	76	-0.4	203/258/284	81	288	6	8	30%	6%	54	-2.0	185/238/249	65	275	6	7	33%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	89	+0.5	206/266/291	85	289	6	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	164/227/201	37	243	0	2	30%	7%	22	-1.4
●Mat Gamel 2007 · A	22	47→57	46→50	49→45	42	234/277/366	132	285	14	7	23%	5%	80	-0.2	249/301/393	144	327	13	7	26%	6%	95	+0.9	252/308/403	151	341	14	6	29%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Raimel Tapia 2016 · A	22	54→63	44→50	50→55	38	261/292/382	121	322	11	16	22%	3%	88	+0.5	272/301/387	115	332	7	19	20%	4%	93	+0.8	278/309/398	119	339	6	21	19%	4%	95	+0.8
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	51→54	51→50	55→60	46	257/314/415	157	302	19	16	22%	7%	105	+1.7	227/296/370	143	286	16	24	25%	8%	88	+0.5	236/302/353	118	292	12	34	22%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Daulton Varsho 2019 · A	23	47→49	47→60	55→50	42	233/291/362	129	300	15	18	27%	6%	84	+0.2	239/303/406	167	279	19	17	21%	7%	99	+1.3	228/296/424	195	260	25	15	23%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	44→50	52→55	47	239/299/356	117	304	11	14	25%	8%	86	+0.3	236/293/360	124	294	12	23	23%	7%	84	+0.2	230/283/348	118	290	11	26	24%	6%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps