Jacob McCombs

OF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1970ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AMIN	31	.250/.323/.250	0	5	41	—	.214/.290/.214
2026	22	A+MIN	284	.268/.379/.452	7	16	95	—	.238/.340/.389
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBMIN	1	.233/.295/.367	0	0	87	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBMIN	62	.235/.298/.373	1	1	89	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBMIN	118	.236/.300/.376	3	3	90	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%82

Speed82

Whiff%74

wOBA73

wRC+71

ISO65

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 2.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%

CompsSterlin Thompson (age 23) · Ezequiel Pagan (age 23) · Anthony Webster (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .295 / .367

PA1

HR0

K%24

BB%5

BABIP289

ISO136

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0	250	323	250	573		292	13	0	275	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	284	239	64	13	5	7	16	51	27	16	11	268	379	452	831	184	313	18	6	372	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	5	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		265	16	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	284	244	58	11	4	6	11	65	27	16	11	238	340	389	730	152	287	23	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	5	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		261	16	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0	250	323	250	573		292	13	0	275	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	284	244	58	11	4	6	11	65	27	16	11	238	340	389	730	152	299	23	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	284	239	64	13	5	7	16	51	27	16	11	268	379	452	831	184	313	18	6	372	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	5	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		265	16	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	284	244	58	11	4	6	11	65	27	16	11	238	340	389	730	152	287	23	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	5	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		265	16	0	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	284	244	58	11	4	6	11	65	27	16	11	238	340	389	730	152	287	23	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	394	359	84	16	3	9	18	95	14	9	3	233	295	367	662	134	289	24	5	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	233	295	367	662	134	289	0	0	297	87	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	204	185	44	8	2	5	10	49	7	5	2	235	298	372	670	138	289	24	5	300	89	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	267	243	57	11	2	6	13	63	9	6	2	236	299	375	675	140	290	24	5	302	90	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	317	288	68	13	2	8	16	75	10	7	3	236	300	376	677	141	289	24	5	303	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	340	309	72	14	2	8	18	81	10	7	3	235	300	375	676	140	289	24	5	302	91	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	351	319	75	14	2	9	19	84	10	6	3	234	299	372	672	138	288	24	5	301	90	-4	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	348	316	73	14	2	8	19	84	10	5	2	232	296	366	663	135	287	24	5	297	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	341	310	71	13	2	8	18	83	10	3	2	229	293	358	651	130	285	24	5	292	84	-7	-0	-2	-2	+7	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	62	57	12	2	0	1	3	15	2	1	1	235	298	373	671	138	290	24	5	300	89	-1	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	118	107	26	5	1	3	6	28	4	3	1	236	300	376	675	140	290	24	5	302	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	161	147	34	6	1	4	8	38	5	3	1	236	301	377	678	141	290	24	5	303	91	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	178	161	37	7	1	4	10	42	5	4	2	236	301	376	677	141	289	24	6	302	91	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	187	169	40	7	1	5	10	45	6	3	1	234	299	373	673	139	288	24	5	301	90	-2	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	183	166	38	7	1	4	10	44	5	2	1	232	297	367	663	135	287	24	5	297	87	-3	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	178	161	37	7	1	4	10	44	5	2	1	229	293	359	652	130	285	25	6	292	84	-3	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1067	968	224	41	6	25	57	256	32	18	8	231	296	364	660	132	287	24	5	299	89	-14	+0	-2	-6	+23	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	137	25	4	15	35	156	19	11	5	232	297	364	661	132	288	24	5	299	89	-9	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2653	2396	560	105	19	62	132	630	102	64	29	234	302	371	673	137	290	24	5	299	89	-32	+1	-4	-14	+51	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	138	26	5	15	32	154	25	16	7	235	302	373	675	138	292	24	5	299	89	-9	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 284 PAwOBA .362 → .309 (−53)K% 18.0% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.96%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	22.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.28%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	3.79%
HBP% /PA	9.51%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	7.60%
Singles /BIP	20.74%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.025	×1.012	19.80%
Doubles /BIP	6.91%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.025	×1.012	5.81%
Triples /BIP	2.66%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.025	×1.012	2.35%
Home runs /BIP	3.72%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.012	3.01%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .362 → .309; ISO .184 → .153; BABIP .313 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 31 PAwOBA .269 → .229 (−39)K% 12.9% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.90%	÷0.994	×1.360	—	—	17.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.054	×0.690	—	×1.015	0.00%
HBP% /PA	9.68%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	7.66%
Singles /BIP	29.17%	÷1.029	×0.920	—	×1.015	26.48%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.032	×0.830	—	×1.015	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.898	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .269 → .229; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .292 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Leron Lee'69-'76 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,769 PA	2.7	1,769	31	19	248*	306*	408*	-19	+0	2.2	2.5
/162	664	12	7	-7.2	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,068	25	19	234	296	372	-6	+0	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	12	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob McCombs (OGILVIE)	23	49→54	41→46	57→62	40	231/293/364	133	289	4	4	24%	4%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Sterlin Thompson 2024 · AA	23	48→58	47→50	52→50	43	238/297/373	135	302	14	14	26%	6%	90	+0.6	241/312/380	139	313	14	13	26%	7%	97	+1.1	249/331/393	144	321	14	15	25%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	48→54	45	52→50	44	239/289/363	124	283	12	9	20%	5%	84	+0.1	225/275/326	101	275	10	11	21%	5%	70	-0.9	214/263/307	93	263	9	11	22%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Anthony Webster 2006 · A	23	53→56	46→50	57→55	45	258/293/400	142	287	11	16	15%	4%	93	+0.8	252/288/369	117	285	9	20	15%	4%	84	+0.1	250/286/361	111	279	8	22	13%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Daniel Johnson 2019 · AA	24	47→51	46→55	54→55	38	236/280/370	135	302	13	18	26%	4%	82	+0.0	235/288/394	159	313	16	13	29%	6%	91	+0.6	213/267/367	154	294	17	9	32%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	45→55	48→45	56→60	49	227/298/370	142	278	15	18	24%	8%	88	+0.5	228/287/350	122	318	12	22	30%	7%	80	-0.2	235/311/348	112	327	7	30	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	48→49	47→55	58→55	46	236/291/382	145	287	12	16	22%	7%	88	+0.5	236/299/378	142	289	13	17	22%	8%	91	+0.6	236/303/381	146	287	14	17	22%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Dustin Fowler 2018 · AAA	23	50→54	46→55	56→55	38	249/275/393	144	302	12	19	22%	3%	84	+0.2	237/273/379	142	303	15	16	26%	4%	81	-0.1	229/270/367	139	304	16	14	30%	4%	75	-0.4
✕Nate Tenbrink 2011 · AA	24	50→53	46→50	57→50	46	244/306/379	135	310	12	16	25%	7%	93	+0.8	225/296/369	144	309	14	15	30%	8%	88	+0.4	218/292/364	145	330	15	11	36%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	49→51	45→55	56→55	43	240/300/365	125	317	13	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	222/275/369	147	357	16	25	40%	6%	80	-0.1	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5
●Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	48→53	43→50	53→50	49	229/296/351	122	291	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.1	231/299/350	119	288	9	12	22%	8%	84	+0.2	233/307/367	134	284	11	9	21%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	47→50	47→50	53→45	48	237/295/370	133	270	15	16	18%	7%	88	+0.4	230/300/377	147	279	16	9	23%	8%	92	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	48→54	45	52→55	43	235/285/356	121	299	12	11	26%	6%	80	-0.1	246/322/372	126	302	9	18	20%	9%	98	+1.2	244/325/374	130	290	10	17	18%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Leon Landry 2013 · A	23	49→54	43→45	56→55	41	239/271/362	123	282	8	18	19%	4%	76	-0.4	223/255/320	97	263	7	21	18%	4%	60	-1.6	221/257/313	92	258	6	17	16%	4%	57	-1.2
✕Mitch Maier 2006 · AA	24	47→56	47→50	52→50	40	237/266/386	149	279	13	12	21%	4%	80	-0.1	245/283/371	126	290	11	10	19%	5%	83	+0.1	256/319/358	102	302	8	10	17%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	51→58	51→50	55→60	46	258/315/416	158	303	19	16	22%	7%	106	+1.8	233/303/380	147	291	16	24	25%	8%	93	+0.8	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Mike Gerber 2016 · A	24	49→52	44→50	53→45	43	238/286/367	128	297	11	9	23%	6%	83	+0.1	222/273/355	133	316	13	8	32%	6%	76	-0.4	212/265/363	151	305	17	6	35%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	44→54	44→50	50	43	217/279/332	116	278	12	14	26%	6%	73	-0.6	242/297/373	131	316	13	13	26%	6%	89	+0.5	247/301/371	124	324	12	13	26%	6%	87	+0.3
●Cole Carrigg 2024 · A	22	51→58	46→50	57→60	40	244/294/384	140	335	11	17	30%	6%	91	+0.6	234/292/373	139	310	13	32	27%	6%	87	+0.4	239/301/384	144	312	13	37	26%	7%	91	+0.6
●Shane Peterson 2010 · AA	22	53→59	42→50	55→50	42	255/305/364	109	317	9	12	22%	5%	90	+0.6	246/314/355	109	321	9	12	24%	8%	91	+0.7	254/330/375	120	355	10	13	29%	10%	100	+1.1

Jacob McCombs

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps