Jacob McCombs — OGILVIE

Jacob McCombsOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION179 act + 119 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .304 / .348

PA119

HR2

K%26

BB%5

BABIP296

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	6	0	0	0	0	6	3	5	0	214	290	214	505		273	19	0	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0	250	323	250	573		292	13	0	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	MIN	—	179	156	35	8	3	3	4	49	19	11	6	224	324	372	696	147	308	27	2	301	89	-2	-0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
YTD	22	A+	MIN	—	179	153	42	10	4	4	7	36	19	11	6	275	380	471	850	196	336	20	4	381	150	+10	-0	+0	-1	+5	1.4
ROS	22	A+	MIN	0%	119	106	24	5	1	2	6	31	6	4	2	226	304	348	652	122	295	26	5	296	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						295	0	0	258	56	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	MIN	—	180	157	35	8	3	3	4	49	19	11	6	223	322	369	692	146	305	27	2	301	88	-2	-0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
TOT	22	A+	MIN	—	298	262	59	13	4	5	10	80	25	15	8	225	316	362	678	137	303	27	3	299	87	-4	-0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIN	35%	268	241	55	11	3	5	14	68	11	8	3	228	301	361	662	133	292	25	5	299	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2028	24	MLB	MIN	46%	359	322	73	14	3	8	20	90	14	10	4	227	301	363	664	137	293	25	6	303	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.5
2029	25	MLB	MIN	52%	406	364	84	16	4	9	23	101	16	12	4	231	305	371	676	140	293	25	6	306	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+12	0.7
2030	26	MLB	MIN	54%	435	390	91	18	4	10	25	108	17	12	5	233	308	377	685	144	293	25	6	308	94	-3	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.7
2031	27	MLB	MIN	54%	445	398	93	18	4	11	27	111	17	13	5	234	310	382	692	148	293	25	6	308	94	-3	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.8
2032	28	MLB	MIN	54%	448	401	93	18	4	11	27	112	17	12	4	232	308	379	687	147	293	25	6	307	93	-4	+1	-1	-3	+13	0.7
2033	29	MLB	MIN	53%	441	394	91	18	4	10	27	112	17	11	4	231	308	373	681	142	292	25	6	305	91	-4	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2034	30	MLB	MIN	52%	434	388	89	17	4	10	27	111	16	10	4	229	306	371	677	142	291	26	6	302	89	-5	+0	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2035	31	MLB	MIN	52%	421	376	85	16	4	9	26	109	16	8	3	226	304	362	666	136	288	26	6	298	86	-7	+0	-3	-3	+12	0.0
2027	23	MLB	MIN	35%	93	84	19	4	1	2	5	24	4	3	1	226	301	369	670	143	292	26	5	268	63	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	MIN	46%	166	149	35	7	2	4	9	42	7	5	2	235	309	389	698	154	293	25	5	274	68	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	MIN	52%	210	188	44	9	2	5	12	52	8	6	2	234	308	383	691	149	294	25	6	278	71	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2030	26	MLB	MIN	54%	236	211	50	10	2	6	14	59	9	7	2	237	312	389	701	152	294	25	6	280	72	-7	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
2031	27	MLB	MIN	54%	241	216	51	10	2	6	14	60	9	7	3	236	310	384	694	148	293	25	6	280	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2032	28	MLB	MIN	54%	243	217	51	10	2	6	15	61	9	7	2	235	311	382	694	147	293	25	6	279	72	-8	+1	-0	-1	+7	-0.2
2033	29	MLB	MIN	53%	234	209	47	9	2	5	14	59	9	6	2	225	302	359	661	134	292	25	6	277	70	-8	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.3
2034	30	MLB	MIN	52%	228	203	46	9	2	5	14	58	9	5	2	227	305	365	670	138	291	25	6	275	68	-8	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.4
2035	31	MLB	MIN	52%	219	196	44	8	2	5	13	57	8	4	2	224	300	362	662	138	288	26	6	271	65	-9	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1871	1674	387	76	17	44	110	472	72	50	18	231	307	376	682	145	294	25	6	276	70	-64	+3	-4	-11	+53	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	134	26	6	15	38	164	25	17	6	230	305	373	678	143	293	25	6	276	70	-22	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3807	3408	784	151	35	85	222	959	150	105	38	230	306	370	675	140	293	25	6	303	90	-42	+6	-7	-23	+108	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	135	26	6	15	38	164	26	18	6	232	309	375	683	143	296	25	6	303	90	-7	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	28	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	5	0	250	323	250	573		292	13	0	275	69	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,870	43	49	231	304	373	-11	+0	2.4	2.3
	/162	664	15	17	231	304	373	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob McCombs (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	225/316/362	137	303	5	15	27%	3%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→46	45→50	47→55	44	215/272/342	127	282	11	11	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/263/334	121	282	13	10	28%	6%	63	-0.8	213/283/334	121	267	13	19	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2018 · A	22	45→55	40→45	50→70	42	219/269/310	92	288	8	16	26%	6%	59	-1.1	214/275/329	115	300	11	19	30%	7%	67	-0.5	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A	22	44→53	42→45	52→50	39	218/266/328	110	281	9	9	26%	4%	63	-0.9	235/285/346	111	289	11	10	22%	5%	76	+0.0	229/281/334	105	279	12	12	22%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	42→49	45→60	49→50	43	209/267/335	126	281	12	13	29%	7%	65	-0.7	223/270/369	146	300	15	12	29%	6%	76	+0.0	220/286/421	201	269	27	8	29%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Kyle Isbel 2019 · A	22	47→53	43→50	53→55	41	227/275/340	113	305	10	19	28%	6%	69	-0.4	218/268/349	131	285	14	17	27%	6%	69	-0.4	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
●Alex Call 2017 · A	22	48→49	42→50	48→50	43	234/290/339	105	297	9	12	24%	6%	76	+0.0	197/257/308	111	275	10	8	30%	6%	54	-1.4	221/327/368	147	257	16	17	20%	12%	99	+1.3
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	41→50	53→50	49	240/298/343	104	292	7	12	20%	8%	79	+0.3	235/285/337	102	290	8	9	21%	6%	72	-0.2	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A	21	43→53	45	51→60	38	218/253/346	128	271	12	13	25%	4%	61	-1.0	240/270/336	96	327	4	28	27%	3%	65	-0.7	279/317/428	149	345	13	14	22%	4%	104	+1.0
✕Drew Vettleson 2013 · A	22	46→49	42→45	50	42	222/274/330	107	305	10	13	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/257/321	107	302	9	8	30%	5%	56	-1.3	203/243/309	106	287	8	7	31%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Efrain Contreras 2009 · A	22	46	43→45	53→55	44	224/286/334	110	263	10	13	19%	5%	73	-0.1	202/257/282	80	288	6	8	30%	5%	46	-2.0	183/236/246	63	277	5	7	34%	5%	25	-1.3
★Zach Borenstein 2013 · A	23	42→52	44→60	52→50	41	209/267/336	126	276	10	14	28%	6%	66	-0.6	248/297/446	198	316	24	8	29%	6%	108	+2.3	251/301/452	201	318	25	6	28%	6%	108	+1.8
✕Matthew Lugo 2023 · A	22	47→48	45→55	52→50	40	233/278/362	129	297	12	13	26%	5%	76	+0.1	213/262/357	144	294	15	14	32%	5%	69	-0.4	204/267/368	164	283	19	16	34%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Kevin Kramer 2016 · A	22	46→56	40→50	54→50	44	219/276/314	95	279	6	12	23%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/353	109	310	8	8	22%	6%	83	+0.6	253/309/371	119	326	9	8	24%	6%	90	+0.7
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	46	44→55	54→55	45	221/283/350	129	308	10	11	30%	8%	76	+0.0	200/252/294	94	334	8	18	40%	6%	47	-1.9	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Juan Silva 2013 · A	22	45→46	42→45	48→55	46	215/285/319	105	304	9	13	31%	9%	69	-0.4	223/299/322	99	302	7	24	26%	9%	75	-0.0	220/300/312	92	292	6	29	24%	10%	69	-0.2
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Troy Montgomery 2017 · A	22	46→55	43→40	50	43	225/285/337	113	300	10	12	28%	7%	73	-0.1	231/296/325	94	316	7	13	27%	8%	75	-0.0	239/308/328	89	327	6	14	26%	9%	77	+0.1
●David Dahl 2015 · A	21	48→54	43→55	55	39	232/263/356	124	291	9	12	24%	4%	68	-0.5	236/274/367	131	319	12	18	29%	5%	76	+0.0	250/303/422	172	323	18	12	27%	7%	99	+1.3