Stiven Marinez

SS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #615MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP45ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	205	.275/.429/.375	1	22	58	—	.175/.305/.222
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	250	.315/.448/.545	8	39	73	—	.193/.306/.311
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBNYY	360	.215/.298/.311	4	10	75	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBNYY	101	.220/.304/.328	1	3	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBNYY	196	.224/.308/.340	3	5	84	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed99

wOBA91

ISO90

K%90

wRC+85

Whiff%69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsHector Osorio (age 19) · Kevyn Castillo (age 19) · Marco Vargas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 221 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .296 / .308

PA221

HR2

SB6

K%24

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$9M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	200	63	8	7	8	41	31	7	39	7	315	448	545	993	230	337	12	16	433	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	250	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	212	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	193	306	311	618	118	209	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	256	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	213	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	192	306	310	616	117	214	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	200	63	8	7	8	41	31	7	39	7	315	448	545	993	230	337	12	16	433	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	250	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	213	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	192	306	310	616	117	209	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	250	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	213	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	192	306	310	616	117	209	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	360	319	69	11	4	4	34	87	4	10	2	215	298	311	609	96	280	24	9	279	75	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	293	259	57	9	3	4	28	70	4	8	1	219	304	325	628	105	282	24	10	286	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	405	359	80	13	4	6	38	96	5	10	2	223	307	336	643	113	284	24	9	292	84	-8	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	484	429	97	15	5	9	46	114	6	12	2	226	310	344	654	118	285	24	10	296	87	-8	+2	-1	+5	+10	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	535	472	107	17	5	10	51	125	7	13	3	228	312	351	663	123	286	23	10	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	569	503	115	19	5	11	54	132	7	14	3	230	313	356	669	126	287	23	9	302	90	-6	+2	+1	+6	+12	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	588	520	121	20	6	12	56	137	7	14	3	230	313	357	670	126	287	23	10	302	91	-7	+2	+1	+6	+13	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	598	529	122	20	6	12	57	139	7	14	3	230	313	356	669	126	287	23	10	302	91	-7	+2	+1	+6	+13	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	599	530	122	20	6	12	57	140	7	14	3	229	312	354	666	125	286	23	10	301	90	-7	+2	+1	+6	+13	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	596	528	121	20	6	11	56	141	7	13	3	227	310	349	659	122	286	24	9	298	88	-9	+1	+1	+6	+13	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	586	519	117	19	5	11	55	140	7	12	3	225	308	343	651	118	285	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	576	511	113	18	5	10	54	140	6	11	3	222	304	336	640	114	283	24	9	290	83	-12	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	562	499	109	17	5	9	52	138	6	9	3	218	299	326	626	108	280	25	9	284	79	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	544	483	104	16	5	8	50	136	6	8	4	213	294	315	608	101	277	25	9	277	74	-17	+0	-2	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	101	89	19	3	1	1	10	24	1	3	0	220	304	328	633	108	282	24	10	288	80	-2	+1	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	196	173	38	6	2	3	19	47	2	5	1	224	308	340	648	116	284	24	10	294	84	-4	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	262	232	53	8	3	5	25	62	3	7	1	227	311	349	660	122	285	24	10	298	87	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	303	267	62	10	3	6	29	71	4	8	1	229	313	356	669	127	286	23	10	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	322	285	66	11	3	7	30	75	4	8	2	231	314	361	675	130	287	23	9	304	90	-4	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	332	294	68	11	3	7	31	77	4	8	2	231	314	362	676	131	287	23	9	305	91	-4	+1	+1	+4	+7	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	338	299	69	11	3	7	32	79	4	8	2	231	314	362	676	131	287	23	9	304	91	-4	+1	+1	+4	+7	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	332	294	68	11	3	7	31	78	4	8	2	230	313	359	672	129	287	23	9	303	90	-4	+1	+1	+4	+7	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	327	289	67	11	3	7	31	77	4	7	2	228	311	354	666	126	286	24	9	300	88	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	313	277	63	10	3	6	29	75	4	6	1	226	308	348	657	122	285	24	9	297	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	329	291	65	10	3	6	31	80	4	6	2	223	305	340	645	117	283	24	9	292	83	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	335	297	65	10	3	6	31	82	4	5	2	219	300	331	631	112	280	24	9	286	79	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	333	297	64	10	3	5	30	84	3	5	3	214	294	318	613	104	277	25	9	279	74	-10	-0	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3823	3384	767	122	36	73	359	911	45	84	21	227	309	349	658	122	286	24	9	297	84	-66	+8	-0	+41	+83	6.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	130	21	6	12	61	155	8	14	4	226	309	346	655	120	286	24	9	297	84	-11	+1	-0	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7611	6721	1498	239	74	131	733	1796	93	219	50	223	308	339	647	116	283	24	10	293	84	-125	+17	-2	+77	+155	12.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	127	20	6	11	63	153	8	19	4	221	307	334	641	113	281	24	10	293	84	-11	+2	-0	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.1	4,045	71	88	226	305	343	+43	+11	9.2	7.9
/162	664	12	15	+7.1	+1.8	1.5	pk7: 7
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Marinez (OGILVIE)	19	20→46	25→41	55→58	80	213/296/308	95	280	2	6	24%	9%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2024 · A	19	40→43	40→45	50→60	54	191/279/282	92	228	7	12	19%	10%	62	-1.4	201/284/307	106	276	10	23	29%	9%	70	-0.8	195/276/301	106	276	11	32	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3

Stiven Marinez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps