Geovanny Villarroel

Geovanny Villarroel P DSL Cubs Blue

Age 19 RHP 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%19.7%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	11	10	37	167	35	14	1	91%	3.3	14.3%	10.5%	3.8%	0.9%	4.66	3.72	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	11	10	37	167	35	14	1	91%	3.3	14.3%	10.5%	3.8%	0.9%	4.66	3.72	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	11	10	37	167	35	14	1	91%	3.3	21.0%	8.4%	12.6%	0.6%	4.66	2.69	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	10	36	161	32	14	1	83%	3.0	13.5%	10.9%	2.6%	0.9%	5.94	3.81	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	10	36	161	32	14	1	83%	3.0	13.5%	10.9%	2.6%	0.9%	5.94	3.81	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	CHC	12	10	36	161	32	14	1	83%	3.0	19.9%	8.7%	11.2%	0.6%	5.94	2.86	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	7	7	37	158	33	15	5	100%	5.3	20.7%	9.6%	11.1%	2.9%	4.58	4.52	+0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	CHC	3	3	18	76	16	7	2	100%	6.0	20.7%	9.6%	11.1%	2.9%	4.58	4.52	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	78	16	7	2	100%	4.6	20.7%	9.6%	11.1%	2.9%	4.58	4.14	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	174	76	22	100%	4.6	20.7%	9.6%	11.1%	2.9%	4.58	4.14	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		23	20	73	328	46	35	3	87%	3.2	13.9%	10.7%	3.2%	0.9%	5.30	3.77	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	55	200	899	125	96	8	87%	3.2	13.9%	10.7%	3.2%	0.9%	5.30	3.77	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Geovanny Villarroel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	19.7%	10.2%	2.9%	—	4.52	20.7%	11.1%	37	-0.18	—	—	—
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	87
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	85
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	85
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	85
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	85
Nelfy Ynfante R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	18	SP	4.22	18.1%	10.7%	2.4%	.309	4.71	16.8%	5.5%	225	+0.49	3.70	297	85
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	85
Cesar Espinal R 2023 · 4.28 FIP	17	SP	4.28	17.0%	10.1%	2.4%	.303	6.16	16.1%	-4.2%	56	+1.88	4.28	109	84
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	84
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	83
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Marco Raya R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	19	SP	4.77	21.4%	10.3%	4.0%	.250	4.44	19.5%	8.3%	254	-0.33	3.99	380	82
Richard Fernandez R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	19	SP	5.10	15.1%	9.3%	3.8%	.309	4.25	16.5%	-0.2%	85	-0.85	3.66	137	82
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	82
Jose Montero R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	19	SP	3.72	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.03	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.31	3.72	375	82
Anderson Cardenas R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	17	SP	4.22	17.3%	12.6%	1.8%	.319	4.04	21.2%	8.3%	92	-0.18	3.52	129	81
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	81
Regi Grace R 2019 · 3.92 FIP	19	SP	3.92	16.3%	11.2%	1.4%	.333	4.23	20.5%	8.8%	86	+0.31	3.44	224	81
Felix Arronde R 2022 · 4.74 FIP	19	SP	4.74	20.7%	9.9%	3.9%	.371	4.23	16.7%	7.3%	278	-0.51	4.16	442	81
Aneury Lora R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	18	SP	3.95	16.6%	11.1%	1.5%	.339	3.72	15.1%	5.9%	114	-0.23	3.69	192	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.3%	9.8%	1.11	4.62
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78