Samuel Savinon P ACL Dodgers
Age 19 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
K: +1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -3.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -1.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.26 (19 IP)-0.3WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202518ROKDSL LAD Bautista5252777040%1.025.9%25.9%0.0%0.0%10.804.19
202518ROKDSL LAD Bautista5252777040%1.025.9%25.9%0.0%0.0%10.804.50
▸ 2026 Season
202619ROKACL Dodgers9511682319156%1.323.0%34.9%-11.9%2.1%15.886.71-0.3
ROS19MLBLAD11833831100%7.923.4%9.4%14.0%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
ROS19MLBLAD023.4%9.4%14.0%3.0%4.344.34
2026 TOT19MLBLAD191013122230.4%21.8%8.6%2.0%11.145.74-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720MLBLAD4420842082100%5.023.8%9.0%14.8%2.9%4.274.23+0.1
202720MLBLAD2210421041100%5.023.8%9.0%14.8%2.9%4.274.23+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2210421041100%4.923.8%9.0%14.8%2.9%4.273.85+0.1
/ 200 IP43432008442038120100%4.623.8%9.0%14.8%2.9%4.273.85+3.6
Career14716952331150%1.223.8%32.4%-8.5%1.5%14.336.00-0.3
/ 200 IP1718620011632773771750%1.223.8%32.4%-8.5%1.5%14.336.00-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Samuel Savinon (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.4%9.4%3.0% 4.23 23.8%14.8%20 -0.11
Carson Rudd R 2029 · 3.43 FIP 22 SP- 3.43 25.4%10.6%2.1%.351 5.24 21.6%5.6%193 +1.81 3.43 242 74
Amilcar Chirinos R 2027 · 3.26 FIP 20 SP- 3.26 25.6%12.3%1.4%.349 4.01 19.3%6.3%147 +0.75 2.86 212 73
Fraynel Nova R 2027 · 4.00 FIP 20 SP- 4.00 16.4%7.9%2.3%.296 4.17 14.9%4.9%110 +0.17 3.49 129 72
Alimber Santa R 2025 · 4.85 FIP 18 SW 4.85 17.0%11.4%3.2%.304 5.11 20.9%1.8%125 +0.26 3.22 255 71
David Davalillo R 2027 · 3.24 FIP 20 SW 3.24 18.6%6.8%1.5%.292 3.32 21.0%12.0%262 +0.08 2.94 279 71
Grant Holman R 2028 · 5.18 FIP 21 SP- 5.18 18.2%7.7%4.8%.308 3.75 22.4%13.8%133 -1.43 3.08 184 70
Cole Stapler R 2029 · 3.83 FIP 22 SW 3.83 19.2%6.0%2.9%.266 3.29 18.1%13.2%220 -0.54 3.28 255 70
Saul Teran R 2027 · 5.23 FIP 20 SW 5.23 17.5%9.8%4.3%.333 3.83 20.8%8.7%94 -1.40 2.28 158 69
Daniel Bies R 2029 · 3.96 FIP 22 SW 3.96 24.5%6.8%3.8%.339 3.22 20.3%11.0%89 -0.74 3.22 115 69
Accimias Morales R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 19 SP- 4.31 18.5%13.0%2.1%.362 4.99 16.8%-4.2%55 +0.68 2.52 109 69
Ryan Fernandez R 2027 · 4.44 FIP 20 SP- 4.44 19.2%6.8%3.8%.357 3.52 20.8%13.2%53 -0.92 2.97 335 69
Juan Mendez R 2029 · 4.47 FIP 22 SW 4.47 20.5%14.2%2.4%.271 5.06 21.9%6.1%128 +0.59 3.55 156 69
Miguel Alfonseca R 2028 · 4.24 FIP 21 SP- 4.24 18.3%12.1%2.1%.400 5.54 14.9%-0.9%92 +1.30 4.24 123 68
Deretd Parra R 2026 · 5.29 FIP 19 SP- 5.29 16.8%10.9%4.1%.295 3.80 15.7%2.3%83 -1.49 2.79 161 68
Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP 19 SP- 4.27 18.9%12.8%2.1%.301 4.95 15.9%-5.0%84 +0.68 4.27 148 68
Franco Aleman R 2029 · 3.93 FIP 22 SW 3.93 21.3%8.2%2.9%.391 3.00 29.2%18.4%114 -0.93 0.86 198 68
Leury Tejada R 2025 · 4.03 FIP 18 SW 4.03 16.5%10.1%1.9%.286 5.06 17.4%6.2%39 +1.03 4.03 183 68
Luis Aguilar R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 19 SW 4.54 17.6%10.3%3.0%.356 4.26 16.7%6.7%111 -0.28 3.52 146 68
Henson Leal R 2026 · 5.44 FIP 19 SP- 5.44 17.6%10.0%4.7%.408 3.97 18.1%8.6%141 -1.47 3.42 188 68
Ismael Cabrera R 2028 · 3.56 FIP 21 SU 3.56 19.0%7.4%2.1%.250 5.44 17.4%6.6%117 +1.88 3.56 133 68