Samuel Savinon — OGILVIE

Samuel Savinon P ACL Dodgers

Age 19 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%23.4%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	5	2	5	27	7	7	0	40%	1.0	25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.19	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	5	2	5	27	7	7	0	40%	1.0	25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.19	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	5	2	5	27	7	7	0	40%	1.0	25.9%	25.9%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	11	68	23	19	1	56%	1.3	23.0%	34.9%	-11.9%	2.1%	15.88	6.71	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	9	5	11	68	23	19	1	56%	1.3	23.0%	34.9%	-11.9%	2.1%	15.88	6.71	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	LAD	9	5	11	68	23	19	1	56%	1.3	33.8%	27.9%	5.9%	1.5%	15.88	4.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAD	4	4	20	84	20	11	2	100%	5.0	23.8%	12.5%	11.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.67	+0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	LAD	2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	5.0	23.8%	12.5%	11.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.67	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	4.9	23.8%	12.5%	11.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.29	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	203	102	20	100%	4.6	23.8%	12.5%	11.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		14	7	16	95	23	31	1	50%	1.2	23.8%	32.4%	-8.5%	1.5%	14.33	6.00	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	86	200	1163	277	377	17	50%	1.2	23.8%	32.4%	-8.5%	1.5%	14.33	6.00	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Samuel Savinon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	23.4%	14.1%	3.0%	—	4.67	23.8%	11.3%	20	-0.27	—	—	—
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	77
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	76
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.32	274	74
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	73
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	73
Raimon Gomez R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SW	4.90	17.3%	13.6%	2.8%	.265	3.28	19.5%	8.0%	48	-1.62	3.28	103	72
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	72
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	72
Victor Simeon R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	20	SW	3.87	17.7%	13.8%	0.9%	.266	4.21	21.3%	5.1%	105	+0.34	3.22	180	71
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	71
Michael Dominguez R 2019 · 3.82 FIP	18	SW	3.82	20.8%	13.2%	1.5%	.218	4.69	21.1%	10.6%	110	+0.87	3.82	383	71
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	70
Miguel Ullola R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	19	SP-	4.90	24.4%	24.8%	1.3%	.239	4.54	24.8%	7.6%	290	-0.36	3.93	494	70
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	70
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	70
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	69
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	69
Ricardo Brizuela R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SW	4.03	20.1%	11.6%	2.1%	.375	4.39	16.0%	7.1%	208	+0.36	3.20	246	69
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	68
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	68