Miguel Ullola — OGILVIE

Miguel Ullola P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%24.1%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4045

CTRL—35

CMD3035

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	5	24	106	38	21	1	50%	2.4	24.4%	24.8%	-0.4%	1.3%	4.07	4.90	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	10	5	24	106	38	21	1	50%	2.4	35.8%	19.8%	16.0%	0.9%	4.07	3.10	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	22	11	72	313	120	55	3	50%	3.3	28.4%	20.7%	7.6%	1.3%	3.25	4.05	—
2022	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	22	11	72	313	120	55	3	50%	3.3	38.3%	17.6%	20.8%	1.0%	3.25	2.60	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	25	13	91	419	116	63	12	52%	3.6	21.3%	17.3%	4.0%	2.9%	5.86	5.10	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	25	13	91	419	116	63	12	52%	3.6	21.3%	17.3%	4.0%	2.9%	5.86	5.10	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	25	13	91	419	116	63	12	52%	3.6	27.7%	15.0%	12.6%	2.9%	5.86	4.35	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	130	549	171	77	12	86%	4.7	25.2%	15.1%	10.2%	2.8%	4.28	4.41	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	24	130	549	171	77	12	86%	4.7	25.2%	15.1%	10.2%	2.8%	4.28	4.41	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	24	130	549	171	77	12	86%	4.7	31.1%	14.0%	17.1%	2.2%	4.28	3.45	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	28	23	114	492	131	78	7	82%	4.1	22.1%	14.3%	7.8%	1.6%	3.88	3.93	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	28	23	114	492	131	78	7	82%	4.1	22.1%	14.3%	7.8%	1.6%	3.88	3.93	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	28	23	114	492	131	78	7	82%	4.1	26.6%	15.9%	10.8%	1.4%	3.88	3.65	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	1	8	30	10	1	2	17%	1.3	33.3%	3.3%	30.0%	6.7%	3.38	4.22	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	45	11	74	313	100	43	11	24%	1.7	26.4%	13.4%	13.0%	3.5%	4.12	4.48	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	45	11	74	313	100	43	11	24%	1.7	26.4%	13.4%	13.0%	3.5%	4.12	4.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	HOU	39	10	66	283	90	42	9	26%	1.7	31.8%	14.8%	17.0%	3.2%	4.21	4.04	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	HOU	6	1	8	30	10	1	2	17%	1.3	33.3%	3.3%	30.0%	6.7%	3.38	4.37	—
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	HOU	6	1	8	30	10	1	2	17%	1.3	33.3%	3.3%	30.0%	6.7%	3.38	4.37	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	HOU	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	16.1%	8.0%	2.4%	4.43	4.43	+0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	HOU	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	16.1%	8.0%	2.4%	4.43	4.43	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	80	338	106	47	12	—	—	31.4%	13.9%	17.5%	3.4%	4.14	4.48	+0.2
FULL	24	MLB A+C	HOU	—	—	14	58	106	47	12	—	—	181.2%	80.3%	100.9%	19.8%	23.96	8.86	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	125	0	131	552	136	75	15	0%	1.0	24.7%	13.7%	11.0%	2.7%	4.65	4.59	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	131	0	138	582	144	77	16	0%	1.1	24.7%	13.2%	11.5%	2.7%	4.57	4.54	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	133	0	140	590	145	77	16	0%	1.1	24.5%	13.0%	11.6%	2.8%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	133	0	140	590	144	77	17	0%	1.1	24.3%	13.0%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.64	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	127	0	133	563	136	74	17	0%	1.1	24.1%	13.2%	10.9%	3.0%	4.71	4.77	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	HOU	119	0	125	529	126	72	17	0%	1.1	23.8%	13.5%	10.2%	3.2%	4.85	4.95	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	118	0	124	524	129	72	14	0%	1.1	24.7%	13.7%	11.0%	2.7%	4.65	4.59	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	125	0	131	553	137	73	15	0%	1.0	24.7%	13.2%	11.5%	2.7%	4.57	4.54	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	127	0	133	562	138	73	15	0%	1.0	24.5%	13.0%	11.6%	2.8%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	127	0	133	562	137	73	16	0%	1.0	24.3%	13.0%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.64	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	121	0	127	536	129	71	16	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.2%	10.9%	3.0%	4.71	4.77	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	HOU	113	0	119	502	119	68	16	0%	1.1	23.8%	13.5%	10.2%	3.2%	4.85	4.95	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		742	1	780	3291	804	434	95	0%	1.1	24.4%	13.2%	11.3%	2.9%	4.64	4.29	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	843	206	111	24	0%	1.1	24.4%	13.2%	11.3%	2.9%	4.64	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		158	87	505	2192	534	358	52	55%	3.2	24.4%	16.3%	8.0%	2.4%	4.29	4.42	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	34	200	868	211	142	21	55%	3.2	24.4%	16.3%	8.0%	2.4%	4.29	4.42	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Ullola (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	23.7%	16.3%	2.4%	—	4.56	24.6%	11.4%	408	-0.30	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	80
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	78
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	77
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	77
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	77
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	77
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	76
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.88	21.5%	9.9%	274	-0.11	4.06	464	76
Ryan Cardona R 2023 · 3.85 FIP	23	SP-	3.85	22.8%	16.5%	1.1%	.262	4.44	16.8%	3.5%	211	+0.59	3.62	367	76
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	76
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	75
Kyle Nicolas R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	23.3%	11.5%	3.7%	.325	3.74	22.5%	9.1%	172	-0.90	3.29	461	75
Andrew Taylor R 2023 · 5.02 FIP	21	SP-	5.02	25.0%	13.6%	4.2%	.391	5.04	18.2%	6.3%	111	+0.02	4.74	195	75
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	73
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	73
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	73
Richard Guasch R 2022 · 4.41 FIP	24	SW	4.41	22.3%	16.2%	2.1%	.287	3.24	23.8%	11.8%	72	-1.17	2.94	316	73
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.11	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.05	3.84	249	73
Austin Schulfer R 2019 · 4.44 FIP	23	SW	4.44	22.1%	13.1%	2.8%	.271	3.73	19.3%	9.3%	166	-0.71	3.28	434	73
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.4	127	24.3%	13.5%	1.09	4.67
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58