Berny Ortiz
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 167 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151141vR 132
ERA5.88
FIP5.88
K%14.1%
BB%15.8%
K-BB%-1.7%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 9 | 40 | 180 | 36 | 22 | 1 | 82% | 3.7 | 13.6% | 15.3% | -1.7% | 1.0% | 4.69 | 4.45 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 9 | 40 | 180 | 36 | 22 | 1 | 82% | 3.7 | 20.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 0.6% | 4.69 | 3.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 10 | 8 | 26 | 124 | 29 | 23 | 0 | 80% | 2.6 | 15.9% | 23.2% | -7.3% | 0.0% | 7.62 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 27 | 113 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.1% | 15.8% | -1.7% | 2.9% | 5.88 | 5.88 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.1% | 15.8% | -1.7% | 2.9% | 5.88 | 5.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 53 | 237 | 45 | 41 | 3 | — | — | 19.0% | 17.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 6.73 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 28 | 119 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.60 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.60 | 5.52 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.60 | 5.14 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 116 | 29 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.60 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 21 | 17 | 66 | 304 | 44 | 56 | 2 | 81% | 3.2 | 14.5% | 18.5% | -4.0% | 0.6% | 5.83 | 4.55 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 51 | 200 | 917 | 133 | 170 | 6 | 81% | 3.2 | 14.5% | 18.5% | -4.0% | 0.6% | 5.83 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Berny Ortiz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.88 | 14.1% | 15.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.52 | 16.0% | 1.6% | 28 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 88 |
| Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 86 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 86 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2025 · 6.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.57 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 113 | 85 |
| Jorge Bautista R 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.99 | 13.1% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .297 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 231 | -1.16 | 3.69 | 336 | 85 |
| Yovanny Cabrera R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | .238 | 5.31 | 18.5% | 1.6% | 149 | +0.15 | 4.39 | 243 | 84 |
| Kyle Larsen R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.8% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .274 | 5.00 | 20.2% | 6.7% | 77 | -0.50 | 4.71 | 137 | 84 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 84 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 84 |
| Marwys Cabrera R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.42 | 13.5% | 18.4% | 2.1% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 131 | 83 |
| Irv Carter R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.4% | 18.9% | 3.9% | .266 | 5.78 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 150 | -0.87 | 4.81 | 236 | 83 |
| Darlin Alcántara R 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.12 | 12.3% | 22.2% | 2.3% | .320 | 4.61 | 12.3% | 2.5% | 31 | -1.51 | 3.61 | 118 | 83 |
| Harold Chirino R 2025 · 6.05 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.05 | 13.2% | 16.0% | 3.7% | .327 | 3.11 | 19.0% | 6.2% | 34 | -2.94 | 3.11 | 321 | 83 |
| Ismael Agreda R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.23 | 17.1% | 18.5% | 2.3% | .269 | 4.73 | 21.9% | 5.3% | 145 | -0.50 | 3.35 | 239 | 82 |
| Jose Disla R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.52 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 3.8% | .296 | 4.46 | 19.7% | 8.8% | 70 | -1.06 | 3.57 | 139 | 82 |
| Landon Leach R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.73 | 12.4% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .246 | 4.95 | 14.1% | -5.0% | 29 | +0.22 | 3.72 | 116 | 82 |
| Jackson Fristoe R 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.78 | 17.0% | 24.2% | 1.9% | .258 | 6.42 | 15.6% | -2.0% | 110 | +0.64 | 4.79 | 138 | 82 |
| Victor Mederos R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.03 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 5.29 | 16.5% | 5.4% | 301 | +0.26 | 4.19 | 360 | 82 |
| Camilo Sanchez R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 10.0% | 18.5% | 3.8% | .317 | 5.89 | 14.8% | 0.7% | 62 | -0.76 | 3.66 | 117 | 82 |
| Jeter Martinez R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.89 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 209 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.1% | 15.1% | 1.11 | 5.74 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |