José Leclerc P ACL Padres
Age 32 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs ROK peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 63 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10595vR 86
ERA3.68
FIP3.73
K%30.6%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%20.1%
ROS IP63
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
K: +7.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+7KBB: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: +0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +4.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: +0.98 (68 IP)+1.0WAR
0.70.40.10.0262829
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF7070
CTRL3535
CMD6060
K†7070
CH+0.7 (20%)
SI (8%)
CU (4%)
CT-1.5 (14%)
SL-1.7 (23%)
FB-2.2 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201521AAFrisco RoughRiders26221034729873885%4.016.8%17.0%-0.2%2.3%5.775.09
201521AAFrisco RoughRiders26221034729873885%4.020.8%15.5%5.3%1.7%5.774.33
201622MIX3 levels51281337934944%1.624.2%15.3%9.0%1.8%2.783.95+1.0
201622MIX3 levels51281337934944%1.627.6%14.5%13.1%1.2%2.783.26+1.6
201723MIX2 levels49048207633940%1.030.0%19.5%10.5%2.0%3.784.11+0.2
201723MIX2 levels49048207633940%1.030.4%18.8%11.6%1.9%3.784.00+0.3
201824MIX2 levels63062246942910%1.038.1%10.8%27.4%0.4%2.021.48+2.3
201824MIX2 levels63062246942910%1.038.2%11.8%26.4%0.4%2.021.69+2.1
201925MLBTexas Rangers703692991003874%1.033.4%12.7%20.7%2.3%4.333.14+1.3
201925MLBTexas Rangers703692991003874%1.033.4%12.7%20.7%2.3%4.333.17+1.3
202026MLBTexas Rangers202103200%1.030.0%20.0%10.0%0.0%4.503.10+0.0
202026MLBTexas Rangers202103200%1.030.0%20.0%10.0%0.0%4.503.10+0.0
202228MIX3 levels48057240652650%1.227.3%10.6%16.7%2.5%3.183.49+0.7
202228MIX3 levels48057240652650%1.227.1%10.8%16.2%2.1%3.183.33+0.8
202329MIX2 levels59059240682660%1.028.8%11.2%17.6%2.1%2.753.23+0.9
202329MIX2 levels59059240682660%1.028.3%10.8%17.5%2.5%2.753.44+0.8
202430MLBTexas Rangers64067288893170%1.030.9%10.8%20.1%2.4%4.323.16+1.2
202430MLBTexas Rangers64067288893170%1.030.9%10.8%20.1%2.4%4.323.19+1.2
202531MLBAthletics1009468530%0.917.4%10.9%6.5%6.5%6.006.59-0.2
202531MLBAthletics1009468530%0.917.4%10.9%6.5%6.5%6.007.32-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202632ROKACL Padres5241961140%0.94.15
ROS32MLBSD60063267822870%1.130.6%10.5%20.1%2.8%3.683.73+0.7
ROS32MLBSD030.6%10.5%20.1%2.8%3.683.73
2026 TOT32MLBSD682868829830.7%10.2%20.5%2.9%3.713.49+1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733MLBSD55058245732770%1.129.8%11.0%18.8%3.0%3.884.02+0.4
202834MLBSD50053223642670%1.128.9%11.5%17.4%3.3%4.144.32+0.1
202935MLBSD45047200562470%1.127.9%12.0%15.9%3.7%4.454.66-0.1
202733MLBSD55058245732770%1.129.8%11.0%18.8%3.0%3.884.02+0.4
202834MLBSD50053224652670%1.128.9%11.5%17.4%3.3%4.144.32+0.1
202935MLBSD45047198552470%1.027.9%12.0%15.9%3.7%4.454.66-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career51135282231674273541%1.030.2%12.3%18.0%2.4%3.583.43+12.1
/ 200 IP1941200846256104201%1.030.2%12.3%18.0%2.4%3.583.43+4.6
Career447295602404657328506%1.327.3%13.6%13.7%2.1%3.813.67+11.3
/ 200 IP16010200858235117186%1.327.3%13.6%13.7%2.1%3.813.67+4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
José Leclerc (OGILVIE) 3.73 30.6%10.5%2.8% 4.31 28.9%17.5%158 +0.58
C.C. Lee R 2025 · 3.00 FIP 31 SU 3.00 34.7%9.1%3.0%.275 2.50 121 74
Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.07 FIP 32 SU 3.07 34.8%13.5%2.2%.341 3.31 25.2%18.0%129 +0.24 2.33 445 72
Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP 35 SU 3.51 25.4%8.6%2.7%.290 3.93 22.4%12.7%161 +0.42 3.51 219 72
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 72
Daniel Bard R 2029 · 2.70 FIP 35 SU 2.70 25.5%7.5%1.5%.290 3.50 25.3%12.0%175 +0.80 2.48 200 72
Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.13 FIP 32 SU 3.13 29.9%10.0%2.4%.235 4.87 20.2%8.1%85 +1.74 2.00 320 71
Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.09 FIP 33 SU 3.09 27.9%8.7%2.3%.305 5.10 21.4%9.7%88 +2.01 2.74 239 71
Craig Kimbrel R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 32 SU 3.24 40.6%15.9%2.8%.286 2.81 34.6%24.9%189 -0.43 0.89 599 69
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 2.94 FIP 32 SU 2.94 27.3%9.1%1.8%.324 3.29 23.4%17.1%134 +0.35 2.27 426 69
Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.03 FIP 32 SU 3.03 26.0%10.0%1.6%.263 3.35 25.3%16.4%101 +0.32 2.48 277 69
Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.07 FIP 32 SU 3.07 28.4%12.7%1.4%.348 1.69 257 69
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 69
Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 69
Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 68
Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 67
Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 67
Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 32 SU 3.60 27.7%9.0%3.1%.298 3.52 27.3%20.0%58 -0.08 3.52 316 67
David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 32 SU 4.23 24.5%10.9%3.3%.289 3.49 26.7%16.6%84 -0.74 2.51 373 67
Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP 31 SU 4.46 25.1%11.6%3.7%.290 2.30 132 67
Jay Jackson R 2025 · 2.91 FIP 31 SU 2.91 32.4%9.1%2.5%.272 3.61 29.4%19.9%41 +0.70 2.41 261 67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45529.4%11.2%1.224.01
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Cody Allen ('19)55931.3%10.2%1.193.51
Colin Poche ('24)45227.0%9.2%1.343.63
Wade Davis ('21)65327.3%10.4%0.903.77
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84