Sadbiel Delzine

P FCL Red Sox

Age 19 RHP 6'5" / 198 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.5 · 2033

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #402MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP47ETA2028FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	3	3	9	4.82	1.49	23.1%	2.6%	—	K 23.1% · BB 2.6% · FIP 1.48
2026	18	MIX2 levels	18	14	65	2.64	2.17	29.6%	9.0%	—	K 20.9% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.27
2027PROJ	19	MLBBOS	10	10	45	4.53	4.53	23.6%	11.7%	0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBBOS	7	7	30	4.39	4.34	24.0%	11.0%	0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	21	MLBBOS	10	10	47	4.29	4.22	24.3%	10.4%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control48Command41FB velo61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsLuis Arejula (age 19) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19) · Marco Raya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%23.6%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%11.9%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4555

CTRL4050

CMD2540

K†5565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.8M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	3	3	9	39	9	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	2.6%	20.5%	0.0%	4.82	1.48	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	3	3	9	39	9	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	2.6%	20.5%	0.0%	4.82	1.48	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	3	3	9	39	9	1	0	100%	3.1	23.1%	2.6%	20.5%	0.0%	4.82	1.49	—
2026	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	65	267	79	24	2	78%	3.6	20.9%	11.1%	9.9%	1.0%	2.64	3.27	—
2026	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	65	267	79	24	2	78%	3.6	20.9%	11.1%	9.9%	1.0%	2.64	3.27	—
2026	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	14	65	267	79	24	2	78%	3.6	29.6%	9.0%	20.6%	0.7%	2.64	2.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	BOS	10	10	45	190	45	22	5	100%	4.5	23.6%	11.7%	11.9%	2.8%	4.53	4.53	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	61	258	62	28	7	100%	4.7	24.0%	11.0%	13.0%	2.8%	4.43	4.38	+0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	64	271	66	28	7	100%	4.9	24.3%	10.4%	13.9%	2.8%	4.33	4.26	+0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	67	285	72	28	8	100%	5.2	25.2%	9.9%	15.3%	2.7%	4.19	4.09	+0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	70	295	76	28	8	100%	5.4	25.9%	9.6%	16.3%	2.7%	4.06	3.97	+0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	72	302	80	28	8	100%	5.5	26.5%	9.3%	17.1%	2.6%	3.95	3.88	+0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	72	306	82	28	8	100%	6.0	26.8%	9.2%	17.6%	2.6%	3.87	3.82	+0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	72	306	83	28	8	100%	6.0	27.0%	9.2%	17.9%	2.6%	3.83	3.80	+1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	71	301	81	28	8	100%	6.0	27.0%	9.2%	17.8%	2.7%	3.84	3.84	+0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	69	293	79	28	8	100%	5.8	26.9%	9.4%	17.5%	2.8%	3.89	3.92	+0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	66	280	75	27	8	100%	6.0	26.7%	9.6%	17.0%	2.9%	3.99	4.05	+0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	BOS	10	10	62	263	69	26	8	100%	6.2	26.3%	9.9%	16.4%	3.1%	4.14	4.23	+0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	30	127	30	14	3	100%	4.3	24.0%	11.0%	13.0%	2.7%	4.39	4.34	+0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	47	198	48	21	5	100%	4.7	24.3%	10.4%	13.9%	2.7%	4.29	4.22	+0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	BOS	11	11	57	241	61	24	6	100%	5.2	25.2%	9.9%	15.3%	2.6%	4.15	4.05	+0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	63	266	69	25	7	100%	5.2	25.9%	9.6%	16.3%	2.6%	4.02	3.93	+0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	66	279	74	26	7	100%	5.5	26.5%	9.3%	17.1%	2.6%	3.91	3.84	+0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	68	287	77	26	7	100%	5.7	26.8%	9.2%	17.6%	2.6%	3.83	3.78	+0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	69	291	79	27	7	100%	5.8	27.0%	9.2%	17.9%	2.6%	3.79	3.76	+0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	BOS	11	11	68	287	78	27	7	100%	6.2	27.0%	9.2%	17.8%	2.6%	3.80	3.80	+0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	BOS	11	11	66	279	75	26	8	100%	6.0	26.9%	9.4%	17.5%	2.7%	3.85	3.88	+0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	63	266	71	26	8	100%	6.3	26.7%	9.6%	17.0%	2.9%	3.95	4.01	+0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	59	249	66	25	8	100%	5.9	26.3%	9.9%	16.4%	3.0%	4.10	4.19	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		117	117	655	2764	725	266	74	100%	5.6	26.2%	9.6%	16.6%	2.7%	3.98	3.57	+10.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	221	81	23	100%	5.6	26.2%	9.6%	16.6%	2.7%	3.98	3.57	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		21	17	74	306	65	31	3	81%	3.5	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	0.8%	2.92	3.04	+7.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	46	200	827	175	83	7	81%	3.5	21.2%	10.0%	11.2%	0.8%	2.92	3.04	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sadbiel Delzine (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	23.6%	11.7%	2.8%	—	4.24	24.5%	14.1%	193	-0.29	—	—	—
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	87
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	86
Marco Raya R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	19	SP	4.77	21.4%	10.3%	4.0%	.250	4.42	19.8%	8.6%	254	-0.35	3.99	383	85
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	84
Kyle Glogoski R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.92	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.46	3.32	206	83
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	83
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	82
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	82
Andry Rondon R 2015 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP	3.46	19.8%	8.2%	1.8%	.283	3.98	15.6%	1.1%	49	+0.52	3.26	105	81
Reny Artiles R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	19	SP	4.34	24.2%	12.4%	3.1%	.419	5.64	14.8%	-6.5%	109	+1.30	4.34	165	81
Patricio Aquino R 2022 · 4.24 FIP	19	SP	4.24	21.9%	13.2%	2.4%	.321	3.95	15.1%	5.8%	234	-0.29	3.54	313	81
Trevor Harrison R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	18	SP	4.03	21.0%	10.6%	2.5%	.331	4.94	19.7%	7.0%	205	+0.91	3.79	277	81
Adrian Heredia R 2024 · 3.77 FIP	19	SP	3.77	21.6%	12.8%	1.6%	.300	5.38	14.9%	1.8%	104	+1.61	3.34	149	81
Mikell Manzano R 2022 · 3.55 FIP	19	SP-	3.55	23.3%	9.0%	2.3%	.388	4.27	9.9%	1.4%	72	+0.72	2.58	175	80
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP	4.03	24.5%	12.8%	2.5%	.326	5.91	18.3%	1.5%	143	+1.88	4.03	275	80
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	80
Brandon Young R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	22	SP	4.13	24.5%	12.3%	2.8%	.297	3.48	22.2%	14.6%	150	-0.65	3.03	492	80
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.39	24.3%	10.6%	249	-0.81	2.95	349	80
Cristian Hernandez R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	20	SP	5.38	21.1%	11.4%	4.8%	.291	4.35	19.3%	11.7%	169	-1.03	3.22	302	79
Jose Montero R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	19	SP	3.72	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.03	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.31	3.72	375	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.0	66	26.0%	9.8%	1.07	4.07
Rob Murphy ('85-'95, 6 WAR*)	3.1	69	25.2%*	9.2%*	1.07*	3.94*
Will Smith ('24)	3.3	59	27.4%	8.7%	1.16	3.85
Jason Grilli ('17)	3.4	53	23.4%	9.8%	1.00	4.22
David Hernandez ('19)	3.2	65	23.9%	9.1%	1.22	4.12
Xavier Hernandez ('89-'98, 3 WAR*)	3.4	67	23.9%*	9.1%*	1.12*	4.20*
Al Hrabosky ('70-'82, 10 WAR*)	3.6	72	26.7%*	10.1%*	0.98*	3.50*