Romeli Espinosa

SS FCL Phillies

Age 19 R/R 6'4" / 169 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #281MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP42ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	168	.282/.363/.430	2	12	36	—	.171/.250/.243
2026	18	APHI	17	.154/.312/.308	0	0	42	—	.154/.312/.308
2026	18	ROKPHI	234	.212/.298/.281	1	3	21	—	.167/.232/.219
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPHI	361	.207/.264/.297	4	6	58	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPHI	109	.214/.273/.320	2	2	66	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPHI	204	.219/.279/.336	4	4	72	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%76

K%54

Whiff%51

Speed49

ISO24

wRC+9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsLuis Vázquez (age 19) · Ricardo Cova (age 19) · Pedro Severino (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 238 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .262 / .295

PA238

HR3

K%27

BB%5

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	168	149	42	6	5	2	10	34	9	12	4	282	363	430	793	148	354	20	6	356	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	13	2	0	1	0	1	7	2	0	0	154	312	308	620	154	286	41	6	276	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	234	203	43	5	3	1	18	48	7	3	4	212	298	281	579	69	268	21	8	264	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	152	26	4	2	1	7	44	9	12	4	171	250	243	493	72	233	26	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	17	13	2	0	1	0	1	10	2	0	0	154	312	308	620	154	268	59	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	234	210	35	4	2	1	11	69	7	3	4	167	232	219	452	52	226	29	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	152	26	4	2	1	7	44	9	12	4	171	250	243	493	72	234	26	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	168	149	42	6	5	2	10	34	9	12	4	282	363	430	793	148	354	20	6	356	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	251	223	37	4	3	1	12	79	9	3	4	166	238	224	462	58	245	31	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	251	216	45	5	4	1	19	55	9	3	4	208	299	282	582	74	268	22	8	265	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	150	26	4	2	1	7	44	9	12	4	173	250	247	497	73	233	26	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	251	228	37	4	3	1	12	79	9	3	4	162	238	219	457	57	229	31	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	150	26	4	2	1	7	44	9	12	4	173	250	247	497	73	233	26	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	251	228	37	4	3	1	12	79	9	3	4	162	238	219	457	57	229	31	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	361	333	68	11	3	4	19	97	6	6	2	207	264	297	561	90	277	27	5	254	58	-18	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	316	289	62	10	3	5	18	83	6	7	2	213	272	316	588	103	279	26	6	265	66	-13	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	421	385	83	13	4	7	25	109	8	9	3	218	278	331	609	113	281	26	6	274	72	-14	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	495	453	100	16	4	10	30	127	9	11	4	222	283	343	626	121	283	26	6	281	76	-14	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	543	494	112	18	5	12	34	137	10	12	4	225	287	352	639	127	284	25	6	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	574	523	118	19	5	13	36	144	10	13	4	227	290	359	649	132	285	25	6	290	83	-12	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	592	539	123	20	5	14	38	148	10	13	5	228	291	362	652	134	285	25	6	292	84	-12	+1	+3	+6	+13	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	600	547	124	20	5	14	38	150	10	13	5	228	291	363	654	135	285	25	6	292	84	-12	+1	+3	+6	+13	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	601	548	124	20	5	14	38	152	10	13	5	227	290	361	651	134	285	25	6	291	83	-12	+1	+3	+6	+13	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	596	543	123	20	5	14	38	152	10	12	5	225	288	356	644	131	284	26	6	288	81	-13	+0	+2	+6	+13	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	587	535	119	19	5	13	37	151	10	11	5	223	285	350	636	127	283	26	6	285	79	-15	+0	+2	+6	+13	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	576	526	116	19	5	12	36	150	9	10	5	220	282	343	625	123	281	26	6	280	76	-16	+0	+1	+6	+12	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	109	100	21	3	1	2	6	29	2	2	1	214	273	320	593	106	280	27	6	267	66	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	204	186	41	6	2	4	12	53	4	4	2	219	279	336	615	117	282	26	6	276	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	268	245	55	9	2	6	16	69	5	6	2	223	284	348	633	125	283	26	6	283	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	307	280	64	10	3	7	19	78	5	7	2	226	288	358	646	132	285	25	6	289	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	325	295	68	11	3	8	21	82	6	7	3	229	292	366	657	137	286	25	6	293	83	-7	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	335	305	70	11	3	8	21	84	6	8	3	230	292	368	661	139	286	25	6	295	84	-7	+0	+2	+4	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	339	308	71	11	3	9	22	85	6	8	3	230	292	370	662	140	286	25	6	295	84	-7	+0	+2	+4	+7	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	333	303	69	11	3	8	21	84	6	7	3	229	292	367	659	138	285	25	6	294	83	-7	+0	+2	+4	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	327	298	68	11	3	8	21	83	5	7	3	227	290	363	652	136	285	25	6	291	81	-7	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	314	286	65	10	3	8	20	81	5	6	3	225	287	357	644	132	283	26	6	288	79	-8	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	303	276	62	10	2	7	19	79	5	5	3	222	283	349	633	127	282	26	6	283	76	-9	-0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3164	2882	654	103	28	75	198	807	55	67	28	227	289	360	649	133	287	26	6	289	75	-77	+2	+7	+34	+69	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	134	21	6	15	41	166	11	14	6	226	289	358	647	132	287	26	6	289	75	-16	+0	+1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6558	5976	1312	209	58	133	400	1690	124	143	56	220	282	341	623	121	282	26	6	279	75	-158	+6	+11	+66	+133	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	130	21	6	13	40	168	12	14	6	220	282	341	623	122	283	26	6	279	75	-17	+1	+1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,402	72	72	224	283	350	+36	+16	4.7	4.5
/162	664	14	14	+7.1	+3.1	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Romeli Espinosa (OGILVIE)	19	20→43	25→48	60→56	30	205/262/295	89	277	3	4	27%	5%	58	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Franklin Barreto 2015 · A	19	44→50	41→55	49→50	37	209/262/323	114	301	7	9	32%	5%	64	-1.3	240/279/360	120	316	11	14	27%	4%	79	-0.2	221/279/390	169	326	20	13	37%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→42	41→55	47→50	41	199/257/307	107	275	8	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	197/239/329	132	279	14	5	33%	5%	57	-1.8	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	42→52	40→55	48→55	39	205/259/302	97	291	7	13	31%	6%	59	-1.7	227/277/345	118	314	10	16	29%	6%	74	-0.5	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Michael Wing 2008 · A	19	44→50	37→55	52→40	37	207/253/288	81	306	4	6	32%	5%	52	-2.2	220/268/323	103	300	6	5	27%	6%	66	-1.1	236/277/390	154	296	17	3	26%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Maximo Acosta 2022 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	37	207/253/299	92	300	6	14	32%	5%	55	-2.0	222/272/317	95	292	8	24	26%	5%	66	-1.1	227/277/326	99	289	9	27	24%	5%	68	-0.8
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Marlette 2012 · A	19	41→43	37→50	49→45	33	193/232/265	72	306	4	6	37%	4%	39	-3.1	231/265/343	112	314	11	7	29%	4%	70	-0.9	243/287/380	137	309	15	7	26%	5%	82	+0.0

Romeli Espinosa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps